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Outlook 2030: Demographic-Economic Projections to 2030
  -- examining county, metro, regional, state & national patterns and trends

August 2018. The latest Census Bureau 2017 official population estimates ... states .. metros .. counties .. places .. provide important information about demographic change since 2010. While these are the most accurate data available, they tell us only about the past. Projections of how demographics might change by 2020 or 2030 can be even more important to plan and anticipate change.

The ProximityOne Situation & Outlook (S&O) database and information system provides access to frequently refreshed data on current and future demographic-economic conditions. S&O enables users to determine the how, what, where and when change might occur and better assess the impact on subjects, markets and geographies of interest.

This section provides illustrative Outlook 2030 profiles/files developed using the Outlook2030 software and database. Part of the broader S&O database, the focus here is on single year of age and selected age cohort summaries (ages less that 1, 1,2, ... 84 and 85 years and over.

Modeler
Modeler 5 is the latest version of an integrated software and database used to develop annual demographic-economic estimates and projections. This ProximityOne package to prepare county-level up estimates and projections. It uses a county level generic model; the cause and effect model can be modified for any county. Alternative assumptions can be set to develop different scenario estimates and projections. Modeler is available for use on Windows computers.

Outlook 2030 Data: Access & Analysis
The Outlook 2030 Estimates & Projections database is developed using the Modeler 5 system. Outlook 2030 database includes annual estimates and projections for the period 2010 through 2030 for each county. The database is updated frequently to reflect updated historical data and notable geographic, demographic, economic and environment factors that may affect the projections. The database is available in CSV, XLS, DBF formats.

The Outlook software is a Windows-based program used with the Outlook 2010-2060 database. The Outlook software can be used to develop a wide range of demographic reports and analyze patterns and trends.

  • Run Outlook2030 Installer
    .. userid and password required; provided separately.

Outlook 2030 Database Scope of Subject Matter - categories
Each category may include from 1 to more than 100 fields/items.
For example, "age and gender" includes more than 100 items.
Group 1
Units in structure
Rooms in unit
Bedrooms in unit
Housing tenure
Year householder moved into unit
Vehicles available
House heating fuel
Selected housing unit characteristics
Occupants per room
Housing value (owner occupied units)
Mortgage status
Selected monthly owner costs
Gross rent (renter occupied units)
Gross rent as percent of household income
Migration - residence 1 year ago
Place of birth
Citizenship status
Language spoken at home; linguistic isolation
Employment status
Employment by occupation
Employment by industry
Employment by class of worker
Commuting
Income and benefits
Families and population in poverty
Housing units & occupancy
Year structure built
 
Geographic identification; relationship codes
Population and components of change
Citizen Voting Age Population
Housing Price Index
Cost of Living Index
Net Worth
Age and gender
Race/Origin
Households by type
Relationship within household
Marital status
School enrollment
Educational attainment
 

Group 2
Personal Income by Source/Origin
Personal Income by Major Source
Earnings by Source & Sector
Employment by Sector
Economic Profile
Transfer Payments
Farm Income & Expenditures

Establishments, Employment, Wages
  by type of business (NAICS)






Labor Force, Unemployment, Job Openings








Contact us to obtain a full list of subject matter items and related details. Enter text "requesting Outlook 2030 subject matter list" in the text/message section and any other questions.

Web Sessions
.. join us in the demographic-economic outlook data analytics web sessions. Warren Glimpse reviews current trends and short/long-term projections for selected metros with drill-down to the census tract geographic level. Register here.

Outlook 2030 Selected Reports: 2010-2020-2030
- The database includes annual data 2010 through 2030; these profiles show data for 2010, 2020 and 2030.
    any selection of years can be specified when running Outlook2030.
- Click a link to open the associated HTM section; similar files also available in Excel.
- In the profile header, Vintage refers to date that the projections database used was developed;
    Model refers to model specification used; Run refers to date report generated.
- See terms of use below.

U.S. by State
  • U.S. by State .. state total population

U.S. by County
  • U.S. by County .. county total population


Atlanta, GA Metro Outlook 2030
  • Atlanta, GA Metro by County <- click link to view profile
    .. total population by county and metro
    .. more about this metro ... click map at right for larger view with details
  • Gwinette County, GA <- click link to view profile
    .. county population by single year of age population and 5-year age cohorts


Houston, TX Metro Outlook 2030
  • Houston, TX Metro by County <- click link to view profile
    .. total population by county and metro
    .. more about this metro ... click map at right for larger view with details
  • Harris County, TX <- click link to view profile
    .. county population by single year of age population and 5-year age cohorts


Kansas City, MO-KS Metro Outlook 2030
  • Kansas City, MO-KS Metro by County <- click link to view profile
    .. total population by county and metro
    .. more about this metro ... click map at right for larger view with details
  • Jackson County, MO <- click link to view profile
    .. county population by single year of age population and 5-year age cohorts


New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA Metro Outlook 2030
  • New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA Metro by County <- click link to view profile
    .. total population by county and metro
    .. more about this metro ... click map at right for larger view with details
  • Kings County, NY <- click link to view profile
    .. county population by single year of age population and 5-year age cohorts


Philadelphia, PA-NJ-DE-MD Metro Outlook 2030
  • Philadelphia, PA-NJ-DE-MD Metro by County <- click link to view profile
    .. total population by county and metro
    .. more about this metro ... click map at right for larger view with details
  • Philadelphia County, PA <- click link to view profile
    .. county population by single year of age population and 5-year age cohorts


Pittsburgh, PA Metro Outlook 2030
  • Pittsburgh, PA Metro by County <- click link to view profile
    .. total population by county and metro
    .. more about this metro ... click map at right for larger view with details
  • Allegheny County, PA <- click link to view profile
    .. county population by single year of age population and 5-year age cohorts


Rapid City, SD Metro Outlook 2030
  • Rapid City, SD Metro by County <- click link to view profile
    .. total population by county and metro
    .. more about this metro ... click map at right for larger view with details
  • Custer County, SD .. Meade County, SD .. Pennington County, SD <- click links to view profile
    .. county population by single year of age population and 5-year age cohorts


Washington, VA-DC-MD Metro Outlook 2030
  • Washington, DC Metro by County <- click link to view profile
    .. total population by county and metro ... click map at right for larger view with details
    .. more about this metro
  • Fairfax County, VA <- click link to view profile
    .. county population by single year of age population and 5-year age cohorts
  • Fairfax County, VA <- click link to view XLS file
    .. county population by single year of age population, annual data columns 2010 through 2030

Hawaii Metros & Honolulu County Outlook 2030
Hawaii is comprised of five counties organized into four metropolitan areas:
  • Urban Honolulu (CBSA 46520) - Honolulu County
  • Hilo (CBSA 25900) - Hawaii County
  • Kahului-Wailuku-Lahaina (CBSA 27980) - Maui and Kalawao Counties
  • Kapaa (CBSA 28180) - Kauai County

  • Honolulu County, HI <- click link to view profile
    .. county population by single year of age population and 5-year age cohorts
  • Honolulu County, HI <- click link to view XLS file
    .. county population by single year of age population, annual data columns 2010 through 2030

See more about Hawaii GeoDemographics

Terms of Use
These data are for personal use only and are not authorized for funded, business or income generating use and are not authorized for redistribution. Contact us to inquire about availability for business use (key in message in text section "Outlook 2030 data access"). There is no warranty regarding any aspect of these data; the user is solely responsible for any use. All usage should reference the source as ProximityOne -- http://proximityone.com/outlook2030.htm.

Support Using these Resources [goto top]
Learn more about demographic economic data and related analytical tools. Join us in a Data Analytics Lab session. There is no fee for these Web sessions. Each informal session is focused on a specific topic. The open structure also provides for Q&A and discussion of application issues of interest to participants.

ProximityOne User Group [goto top]
Join the ProximityOne User Group to keep up-to-date with new developments relating to geographic-demographic-economic decision-making information resources. Receive updates and access to tools and resources available only to members. Use this form to join the User Group.

Additional Information
ProximityOne develops geodemographic-economic data and analytical tools and helps organizations knit together and use diverse data in a decision-making and analytical framework. We develop custom demographic/economic estimates and projections, develop geographic and geocoded address files, and assist with impact and geospatial analyses. Wide-ranging organizations use our tools (software, data, methodologies) to analyze their own data integrated with other data. Follow ProximityOne on Twitter at www.twitter.com/proximityone. Contact us (888-364-7656) with questions about data covered in this section or to discuss custom estimates, projections or analyses for your areas of interest.


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