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State Population & Household Projections to 2030

August 2018. The latest 2017 official population estimates provide important information about state demographic change since 2010. While these are the most accurate data available, they tell us only about the past. Projections of how demographics might change by 2020 or 2030 can be even more important to plan and anticipate change.

  • State-to-State Geographic Mobility
  • State Economic Characteristics, Patterns & Change
    .. an example: California .. choose from multiple tables.
    .. select any state via scroll section on above page.

State Population Percent Change 2010-2030
Click graphic for larger view with more detail.

View developed with CV XE GIS software.

This section provides information on accessing state and national population, population components of change and household projections to 2030 by year. The estimates and projections have been developed by ProximityOne and are a part of the Situation & Outlook database and information system. These data are updated annually or more frequently.

Extended Data in XLS File
  Data shown in the interactive table are a subset of a broader set of data available as an XLS file.
  See details about structure/content of annual estimate/projections file below in this section.
  See illustrative scope of data in graphic below table.
  Click Add to Cart button to order. The file will be sent to the email address used to place the order.
S&O_30_1S Group 1 Items
Total population, components of change, households

State Population Projections to 2030 -- Interactive Table
  Click column header to sort; click again to sort other direction.
  See usage notes below table. See related interactive tables

Terms of Use. Projections are proprietary to ProximityOne. Data in table are for personal use only and may not be copied/distributed. Data are not authorized for consulting or business use. There is no warranty for any aspect of these data. The user is solely responsible for any use of the data.

Table Usage Notes
  • Use horizontal and vertical scroll bars to navigate.
  • Click column header to sort; click again to sort other direction.
  • Click ShowAll button to refresh.

Illustrative Examples of Subjetc Matter in File
The "S&O_30_1S" XLS file (see above) includes total population, components of change (births, deaths, international migration, domestic migration) and households. The following graphic from the more detailed interactive table illustrates these data for Hawaii. Data columns continue to the right (not displayed) through the year 2030.

Example 1. Time-series profile for one state, multi-subject matter

Example 2. Time-series profile for selected subject matter (households), across all states
Using the spreadsheet file or the more detailed interactive table, selected subject matter items can be examines across states as illustrated for households in the following graphic.

Structure of Estimates & Projections File [goto top]
The "S&O_30_1S" XLS file (see above) contains a row for the U.S. and each state. The file contains fields/columns for the total population, components of change (births, deaths, international migration, domestic migration) and households. There are 131 fields/columns as described below.
Summary level code
Region code
Division code
State FIPS code
Area name
-- Total resident population by year (2010-2030)
POP2010 7/1/10
POP2011 7/1/11
POP2012 7/1/12
... continuing through ...
POP2030 7/1/30
-- Total households by year (2010-2030)
HH2010 7/1/10
HH2011 7/1/11
HH2012 7/1/12
... continuing through ...
HH2030 7/1/30
-- Births by year (2010-2030)
BIRTHS10 part year
BIRTHS11 7/1/10-7/1/11
BIRTHS12 7/1/11-7/1/12
... continuing through ...
BIRTHS30 7/1/29-7/1/30
-- Deaths by year (2010-2030)
DEATHS10 part year
DEATHS11 7/1/10-7/1/11
DEATHS12 7/1/11-7/1/12
... continuing through ...
DEATHS30 7/1/29-7/1/30
-- International migration by year (2010-2030)
INTMIG10 part year
INTMIG11 7/1/10-7/1/11
INTMIG12 7/1/11-7/1/12
... continuing through ...
INTMIG30 7/1/29-7/1/30
-- Domestic migration by year (2010-2030)
DOMMIG10 part year
DOMMIG11 7/1/10-7/1/11
DOMMIG12 7/1/11-7/1/12
... continuing through ...
DOMMIG30 7/1/29-7/1/30

Methodology [goto top]
Estimates and projections are developed using the population identity:
Population[t] = Population[t-1] + Births[t,t-1] - Deaths[t,t-1] + International Migration[t,t-1] + Domestic Migration[t,t-1]
where t is the year. 
The components of change (Births, Deaths, International Migration and Domestic Migration) are each estimated/projected annually using a time series model.

Support Using these Resources [goto top]
Learn more about demographic economic data and related analytical tools. Join us in a Data Analytics Lab session. There is no fee for these Web sessions. Each informal session is focused on a specific topic. The open structure also provides for Q&A and discussion of application issues of interest to participants.

ProximityOne User Group [goto top]
Join the ProximityOne User Group to keep up-to-date with new developments relating to geographic-demographic-economic decision-making information resources. Receive updates and access to tools and resources available only to members. Use this form to join the User Group.

Additional Information
ProximityOne develops geodemographic-economic data and analytical tools and helps organizations knit together and use diverse data in a decision-making and analytical framework. We develop custom demographic/economic estimates and projections, develop geographic and geocoded address files, and assist with impact and geospatial analyses. Wide-ranging organizations use our tools (software, data, methodologies) to analyze their own data integrated with other data. Follow ProximityOne on Twitter at Contact us (888-364-7656) with questions about data covered in this section or to discuss custom estimates, projections or analyses for your areas of interest.

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