Situation & Outlook

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Modeler

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The S&O Modeler is used to develop S&O current estimates and projections.  The estimates and projections become part of the database and are accessible by other S&O operations.

 

Licensed users may also use Modeler to develop their own alternative estimates and projections.  Different assumptions, time frames and cause and effect specifications can be set by the user.

 

Modeler operations make use of time-series, stochastic, multi-equation cause and effect models.  Modeler makes use of four related but different model structures.  ProximityOne modifies the specification of each of the base models as the latest set of projections/forecasts are developed.

 

Outlook36Month

 

Quarterly demographic-economic series projected 12 quarters ahead

Series starts 2008q1 and is extended with each quarterly update.

July 2012 update extends series through 2015q2; October 2012 update extends series through 2015q3.

Details http://proximityone.com/dataresources/guide/outlook_36_month.htm
 

Outlook2017

5-Year Annual Short-term Projections

Annual demographic-economic data; census tract up; projected 5 years ahead

Data include Census 2010, post Census 2010 estimates and projections 5 years ahead.

The 2012 annual update extends the series through 2017; the 2013 update extends the series through 2018.

Current estimates and projections are updated annually; time series extends one year with each update.

Details -- http://proximityone.com/dataresources/guide/outlook_dp1.htm

 

Outlook2030

Annual demographic-economic data; county up; projected to 2030

Data include Census 2000, Census 2010, and projections to 2030.

Current estimates and projections are updated annually; the time periods remain the same.

Details – http://proximityone.com/dataresources/guide/outlook2030.htm

 

Outlook2060

Annual demographic data; national & state; projected to 2060

Data include Census 2000, Census 2010, and projections to 2060.

Current estimates and projections are updated annually; the time periods remain the same.

Details – http://proximityone.com/dataresources/guide/outlook2060.htm

 

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