State of Arizona Regional Analytics
-- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15
Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015
The population of the State of Arizona changed from 6,408,208 on 2010 to 6,828,065 in 2015 -- a change of 419,857 (6.55%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.| Natural Change | 178,830 |
| equals Births | 431,714 |
| less Deaths | 252,884 |
| Net Migration | 231,127 |
| equals net International Migration | 75,198 |
| plus net Domestic Migration | 155,929 |
Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the state and state summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.
From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), net migration (231,127) exceeded natural change (178,830); net migration has been the primary contributing factor for the state population change. Examine the state by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the state population growth or decline.
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Related Sections
• State of the States -- all states interactive table
• Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
• CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
• CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
• Regional Data Analytics Main
| Table 1. Population | ||||||||||
| Area Name | GeoID | Item | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Chg 10-15 | %Chg 10-15 |
| Apache County, AZ | 04001 | P0000001 | 71,766 | 72,387 | 72,946 | 71,953 | 71,858 | 71,474 | -292 | -0.41 |
| Cochise County, AZ | 04003 | P0000001 | 131,809 | 132,996 | 131,888 | 129,605 | 127,321 | 126,427 | -5,382 | -4.08 |
| Coconino County, AZ | 04005 | P0000001 | 134,626 | 134,182 | 135,978 | 136,612 | 137,637 | 139,097 | 4,471 | 3.32 |
| Gila County, AZ | 04007 | P0000001 | 53,544 | 53,473 | 53,031 | 53,025 | 53,139 | 53,159 | -385 | -0.72 |
| Graham County, AZ | 04009 | P0000001 | 37,137 | 37,081 | 36,946 | 37,386 | 37,958 | 37,666 | 529 | 1.42 |
| Greenlee County, AZ | 04011 | P0000001 | 8,339 | 8,589 | 8,768 | 8,908 | 9,323 | 9,529 | 1,190 | 14.27 |
| La Paz County, AZ | 04012 | P0000001 | 20,446 | 20,479 | 20,351 | 20,377 | 20,314 | 20,152 | -294 | -1.44 |
| Maricopa County, AZ | 04013 | P0000001 | 3,825,597 | 3,871,957 | 3,945,460 | 4,015,328 | 4,090,022 | 4,167,947 | 342,350 | 8.95 |
| Mohave County, AZ | 04015 | P0000001 | 200,374 | 202,671 | 203,232 | 202,839 | 203,331 | 204,737 | 4,363 | 2.18 |
| Navajo County, AZ | 04017 | P0000001 | 107,715 | 107,429 | 107,033 | 107,424 | 108,119 | 108,277 | 562 | 0.52 |
| Pima County, AZ | 04019 | P0000001 | 981,870 | 988,024 | 992,973 | 997,418 | 1,004,244 | 1,010,025 | 28,155 | 2.87 |
| Pinal County, AZ | 04021 | P0000001 | 379,384 | 378,044 | 382,349 | 385,360 | 396,521 | 406,584 | 27,200 | 7.17 |
| Santa Cruz County, AZ | 04023 | P0000001 | 47,410 | 47,657 | 47,464 | 47,120 | 46,661 | 46,461 | -949 | -2.00 |
| Yavapai County, AZ | 04025 | P0000001 | 211,122 | 211,135 | 212,468 | 215,271 | 218,852 | 222,255 | 11,133 | 5.27 |
| Yuma County, AZ | 04027 | P0000001 | 197,069 | 202,628 | 202,375 | 202,173 | 203,483 | 204,275 | 7,206 | 3.66 |
| Total | P0000001 | 6,408,208 | 6,468,732 | 6,553,262 | 6,630,799 | 6,728,783 | 6,828,065 | 419,857 | 6.55 | |
| Table 2. Births | ||||||||||
| Area Name | GeoID | Item | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Sum11-15 | |
| Apache County, AZ | 04001 | B0000001 | 1,104 | 1,075 | 984 | 995 | 974 | 1,089 | 5,117 | |
| Cochise County, AZ | 04003 | B0000001 | 1,588 | 1,773 | 1,687 | 1,632 | 1,653 | 1,580 | 8,325 | |
| Coconino County, AZ | 04005 | B0000001 | 1,712 | 1,802 | 1,723 | 1,683 | 1,670 | 1,691 | 8,569 | |
| Gila County, AZ | 04007 | B0000001 | 668 | 658 | 592 | 605 | 635 | 620 | 3,110 | |
| Graham County, AZ | 04009 | B0000001 | 500 | 560 | 527 | 595 | 611 | 608 | 2,901 | |
| Greenlee County, AZ | 04011 | B0000001 | 72 | 114 | 125 | 105 | 141 | 143 | 628 | |
| La Paz County, AZ | 04012 | B0000001 | 168 | 195 | 182 | 201 | 211 | 210 | 999 | |
| Maricopa County, AZ | 04013 | B0000001 | 52,492 | 53,377 | 54,292 | 54,627 | 55,060 | 55,671 | 273,027 | |
| Mohave County, AZ | 04015 | B0000001 | 1,964 | 2,013 | 1,870 | 1,745 | 1,794 | 1,854 | 9,276 | |
| Navajo County, AZ | 04017 | B0000001 | 1,812 | 1,740 | 1,607 | 1,624 | 1,579 | 1,597 | 8,147 | |
| Pima County, AZ | 04019 | B0000001 | 11,592 | 12,078 | 11,817 | 12,043 | 11,994 | 12,048 | 59,980 | |
| Pinal County, AZ | 04021 | B0000001 | 4,688 | 4,912 | 4,531 | 4,646 | 4,579 | 4,625 | 23,293 | |
| Santa Cruz County, AZ | 04023 | B0000001 | 716 | 710 | 660 | 670 | 635 | 628 | 3,303 | |
| Yavapai County, AZ | 04025 | B0000001 | 1,844 | 1,844 | 1,733 | 1,859 | 1,906 | 1,914 | 9,256 | |
| Yuma County, AZ | 04027 | B0000001 | 2,828 | 3,253 | 3,236 | 3,073 | 3,114 | 3,107 | 15,783 | |
| Total | B0000001 | 83,748 | 86,104 | 85,566 | 86,103 | 86,556 | 87,385 | 431,714 | ||
| Table 3. Deaths | ||||||||||
| Area Name | GeoID | Item | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Sum11-15 | |
| Apache County, AZ | 04001 | D0000001 | 348 | 586 | 521 | 529 | 649 | 642 | 2,927 | |
| Cochise County, AZ | 04003 | D0000001 | 1,060 | 1,216 | 1,216 | 1,270 | 1,246 | 1,203 | 6,151 | |
| Coconino County, AZ | 04005 | D0000001 | 660 | 720 | 730 | 741 | 765 | 812 | 3,768 | |
| Gila County, AZ | 04007 | D0000001 | 796 | 689 | 698 | 669 | 782 | 777 | 3,615 | |
| Graham County, AZ | 04009 | D0000001 | 184 | 282 | 269 | 301 | 274 | 270 | 1,396 | |
| Greenlee County, AZ | 04011 | D0000001 | 108 | 51 | 83 | 55 | 32 | 37 | 258 | |
| La Paz County, AZ | 04012 | D0000001 | 104 | 198 | 215 | 256 | 232 | 249 | 1,150 | |
| Maricopa County, AZ | 04013 | D0000001 | 25,244 | 25,933 | 26,038 | 27,385 | 28,175 | 28,981 | 136,512 | |
| Mohave County, AZ | 04015 | D0000001 | 2,280 | 2,371 | 2,577 | 2,641 | 2,646 | 2,789 | 13,024 | |
| Navajo County, AZ | 04017 | D0000001 | 816 | 886 | 913 | 989 | 981 | 963 | 4,732 | |
| Pima County, AZ | 04019 | D0000001 | 8,016 | 8,631 | 8,704 | 8,873 | 9,140 | 9,251 | 44,599 | |
| Pinal County, AZ | 04021 | D0000001 | 2,560 | 2,366 | 2,477 | 2,518 | 2,685 | 2,739 | 12,785 | |
| Santa Cruz County, AZ | 04023 | D0000001 | 160 | 273 | 278 | 293 | 293 | 301 | 1,438 | |
| Yavapai County, AZ | 04025 | D0000001 | 2,564 | 2,611 | 2,603 | 2,723 | 2,825 | 2,726 | 13,488 | |
| Yuma County, AZ | 04027 | D0000001 | 1,056 | 1,339 | 1,437 | 1,349 | 1,423 | 1,493 | 7,041 | |
| Total | D0000001 | 45,956 | 48,152 | 48,759 | 50,592 | 52,148 | 53,233 | 252,884 | ||
| Table 4. Natural Change | ||||||||||
| Area Name | GeoID | Item | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Sum11-15 | |
| Apache County, AZ | 04001 | NC000001 | 756 | 489 | 463 | 466 | 325 | 447 | 2,190 | |
| Cochise County, AZ | 04003 | NC000001 | 528 | 557 | 471 | 362 | 407 | 377 | 2,174 | |
| Coconino County, AZ | 04005 | NC000001 | 1,052 | 1,082 | 993 | 942 | 905 | 879 | 4,801 | |
| Gila County, AZ | 04007 | NC000001 | -128 | -31 | -106 | -64 | -147 | -157 | -505 | |
| Graham County, AZ | 04009 | NC000001 | 316 | 278 | 258 | 294 | 337 | 338 | 1,505 | |
| Greenlee County, AZ | 04011 | NC000001 | -36 | 63 | 42 | 50 | 109 | 106 | 370 | |
| La Paz County, AZ | 04012 | NC000001 | 64 | -3 | -33 | -55 | -21 | -39 | -151 | |
| Maricopa County, AZ | 04013 | NC000001 | 27,248 | 27,444 | 28,254 | 27,242 | 26,885 | 26,690 | 136,515 | |
| Mohave County, AZ | 04015 | NC000001 | -316 | -358 | -707 | -896 | -852 | -935 | -3,748 | |
| Navajo County, AZ | 04017 | NC000001 | 996 | 854 | 694 | 635 | 598 | 634 | 3,415 | |
| Pima County, AZ | 04019 | NC000001 | 3,576 | 3,447 | 3,113 | 3,170 | 2,854 | 2,797 | 15,381 | |
| Pinal County, AZ | 04021 | NC000001 | 2,128 | 2,546 | 2,054 | 2,128 | 1,894 | 1,886 | 10,508 | |
| Santa Cruz County, AZ | 04023 | NC000001 | 556 | 437 | 382 | 377 | 342 | 327 | 1,865 | |
| Yavapai County, AZ | 04025 | NC000001 | -720 | -767 | -870 | -864 | -919 | -812 | -4,232 | |
| Yuma County, AZ | 04027 | NC000001 | 1,772 | 1,914 | 1,799 | 1,724 | 1,691 | 1,614 | 8,742 | |
| Total | NC000001 | 37,792 | 37,952 | 36,807 | 35,511 | 34,408 | 34,152 | 178,830 | ||
| Table 5. International Migration | ||||||||||
| Area Name | GeoID | Item | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Sum11-15 | |
| Apache County, AZ | 04001 | MI000001 | 12 | 23 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 121 | |
| Cochise County, AZ | 04003 | MI000001 | 460 | 235 | 471 | 302 | 302 | 355 | 1,665 | |
| Coconino County, AZ | 04005 | MI000001 | 132 | 112 | 123 | 141 | 172 | 175 | 723 | |
| Gila County, AZ | 04007 | MI000001 | 24 | 18 | 21 | 24 | 26 | 27 | 116 | |
| Graham County, AZ | 04009 | MI000001 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 35 | |
| Greenlee County, AZ | 04011 | MI000001 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 78 | |
| La Paz County, AZ | 04012 | MI000001 | -8 | 36 | 36 | 40 | 44 | 46 | 202 | |
| Maricopa County, AZ | 04013 | MI000001 | 6,128 | 8,783 | 8,969 | 9,992 | 11,695 | 11,820 | 51,259 | |
| Mohave County, AZ | 04015 | MI000001 | -32 | 17 | 10 | 30 | 59 | 62 | 178 | |
| Navajo County, AZ | 04017 | MI000001 | 16 | 32 | 36 | 47 | 54 | 55 | 224 | |
| Pima County, AZ | 04019 | MI000001 | 1,516 | 1,879 | 2,227 | 2,225 | 2,548 | 2,636 | 11,515 | |
| Pinal County, AZ | 04021 | MI000001 | 440 | 846 | 820 | 931 | 1,085 | 1,103 | 4,785 | |
| Santa Cruz County, AZ | 04023 | MI000001 | 32 | 108 | 60 | 75 | 89 | 93 | 425 | |
| Yavapai County, AZ | 04025 | MI000001 | 128 | 96 | 141 | 172 | 218 | 221 | 848 | |
| Yuma County, AZ | 04027 | MI000001 | 208 | 433 | 666 | 598 | 631 | 696 | 3,024 | |
| Total | MI000001 | 9,064 | 12,638 | 13,618 | 14,622 | 16,976 | 17,344 | 75,198 | ||
| Table 6. Domestic Migration | ||||||||||
| Area Name | GeoID | Item | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Sum11-15 | |
| Apache County, AZ | 04001 | MD000001 | 228 | 128 | 87 | -1,490 | -408 | -810 | -2,493 | |
| Cochise County, AZ | 04003 | MD000001 | 812 | 444 | -2,069 | -2,992 | -2,992 | -1,725 | -9,334 | |
| Coconino County, AZ | 04005 | MD000001 | -408 | -1,667 | 663 | -430 | -111 | 414 | -1,131 | |
| Gila County, AZ | 04007 | MD000001 | -52 | -41 | -353 | -3 | 219 | 91 | -87 | |
| Graham County, AZ | 04009 | MD000001 | -652 | -336 | -405 | 136 | 225 | -656 | -1,036 | |
| Greenlee County, AZ | 04011 | MD000001 | -380 | 173 | 121 | 100 | 261 | 100 | 755 | |
| La Paz County, AZ | 04012 | MD000001 | -188 | -14 | -135 | 63 | -70 | -215 | -371 | |
| Maricopa County, AZ | 04013 | MD000001 | 756 | 9,408 | 36,089 | 31,365 | 33,711 | 37,670 | 148,243 | |
| Mohave County, AZ | 04015 | MD000001 | 1,140 | 2,585 | 1,243 | 274 | 1,029 | 2,113 | 7,244 | |
| Navajo County, AZ | 04017 | MD000001 | -96 | -1,187 | -1,146 | -269 | 51 | -584 | -3,135 | |
| Pima County, AZ | 04019 | MD000001 | 1,748 | 861 | -246 | -1,375 | 1,037 | 161 | 438 | |
| Pinal County, AZ | 04021 | MD000001 | 11,100 | -5,237 | 1,638 | 371 | 6,817 | 7,629 | 11,218 | |
| Santa Cruz County, AZ | 04023 | MD000001 | -620 | -288 | -650 | -830 | -921 | -643 | -3,332 | |
| Yavapai County, AZ | 04025 | MD000001 | 1,232 | 558 | 2,095 | 3,538 | 3,917 | 3,884 | 13,992 | |
| Yuma County, AZ | 04027 | MD000001 | 3,048 | 3,160 | -2,777 | -2,713 | -1,217 | -1,495 | -5,042 | |
| Total | MD000001 | 17,668 | 8,547 | 34,155 | 25,745 | 41,548 | 45,934 | 155,929 | ||
| Table 7. Net Migration | ||||||||||
| Area Name | GeoID | Item | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Sum11-15 | |
| Apache County, AZ | 04001 | MN000001 | 240 | 151 | 109 | -1,465 | -383 | -784 | -2,372 | |
| Cochise County, AZ | 04003 | MN000001 | 1,272 | 679 | -1,598 | -2,690 | -2,690 | -1,370 | -7,669 | |
| Coconino County, AZ | 04005 | MN000001 | -276 | -1,555 | 786 | -289 | 61 | 589 | -408 | |
| Gila County, AZ | 04007 | MN000001 | -28 | -23 | -332 | 21 | 245 | 118 | 29 | |
| Graham County, AZ | 04009 | MN000001 | -648 | -332 | -402 | 141 | 236 | -644 | -1,001 | |
| Greenlee County, AZ | 04011 | MN000001 | -376 | 189 | 134 | 115 | 278 | 117 | 833 | |
| La Paz County, AZ | 04012 | MN000001 | -196 | 22 | -99 | 103 | -26 | -169 | -169 | |
| Maricopa County, AZ | 04013 | MN000001 | 6,884 | 18,191 | 45,058 | 41,357 | 45,406 | 49,490 | 199,502 | |
| Mohave County, AZ | 04015 | MN000001 | 1,108 | 2,602 | 1,253 | 304 | 1,088 | 2,175 | 7,422 | |
| Navajo County, AZ | 04017 | MN000001 | -80 | -1,155 | -1,110 | -222 | 105 | -529 | -2,911 | |
| Pima County, AZ | 04019 | MN000001 | 3,264 | 2,740 | 1,981 | 850 | 3,585 | 2,797 | 11,953 | |
| Pinal County, AZ | 04021 | MN000001 | 11,540 | -4,391 | 2,458 | 1,302 | 7,902 | 8,732 | 16,003 | |
| Santa Cruz County, AZ | 04023 | MN000001 | -588 | -180 | -590 | -755 | -832 | -550 | -2,907 | |
| Yavapai County, AZ | 04025 | MN000001 | 1,360 | 654 | 2,236 | 3,710 | 4,135 | 4,105 | 14,840 | |
| Yuma County, AZ | 04027 | MN000001 | 3,256 | 3,593 | -2,111 | -2,115 | -586 | -799 | -2,018 | |
| Total | MN000001 | 26,732 | 21,185 | 47,773 | 40,367 | 58,524 | 63,278 | 231,127 | ||
| Table 8. Group Quarters | ||||||||||
| Area Name | GeoID | Item | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Chg10-15 | %Chg 10-15 |
| Apache County, AZ | 04001 | GQ000001 | 1,006 | 998 | 913 | 990 | 941 | 968 | -38 | -3.78 |
| Cochise County, AZ | 04003 | GQ000001 | 6,223 | 6,718 | 6,974 | 5,909 | 5,032 | 5,052 | -1,171 | -18.82 |
| Coconino County, AZ | 04005 | GQ000001 | 8,845 | 8,593 | 10,133 | 10,112 | 10,528 | 11,174 | 2,329 | 26.33 |
| Gila County, AZ | 04007 | GQ000001 | 969 | 923 | 921 | 933 | 926 | 919 | -50 | -5.16 |
| Graham County, AZ | 04009 | GQ000001 | 3,766 | 3,703 | 3,320 | 3,230 | 3,322 | 3,237 | -529 | -14.05 |
| Greenlee County, AZ | 04011 | GQ000001 | 37 | 35 | 35 | 35 | 35 | 35 | -2 | -5.41 |
| La Paz County, AZ | 04012 | GQ000001 | 363 | 415 | 331 | 393 | 400 | 399 | 36 | 9.92 |
| Maricopa County, AZ | 04013 | GQ000001 | 53,332 | 53,096 | 54,505 | 56,521 | 59,020 | 61,732 | 8,400 | 15.75 |
| Mohave County, AZ | 04015 | GQ000001 | 2,650 | 4,091 | 4,661 | 4,721 | 4,802 | 4,832 | 2,182 | 82.34 |
| Navajo County, AZ | 04017 | GQ000001 | 2,324 | 2,303 | 2,067 | 2,172 | 2,249 | 2,248 | -76 | -3.27 |
| Pima County, AZ | 04019 | GQ000001 | 24,222 | 26,011 | 25,621 | 25,674 | 25,834 | 25,522 | 1,300 | 5.37 |
| Pinal County, AZ | 04021 | GQ000001 | 27,800 | 27,613 | 27,550 | 25,512 | 25,952 | 25,298 | -2,502 | -9.00 |
| Santa Cruz County, AZ | 04023 | GQ000001 | 367 | 365 | 484 | 467 | 375 | 407 | 40 | 10.90 |
| Yavapai County, AZ | 04025 | GQ000001 | 3,544 | 3,612 | 3,616 | 3,682 | 3,813 | 3,777 | 233 | 6.57 |
| Yuma County, AZ | 04027 | GQ000001 | 6,523 | 10,050 | 9,177 | 8,270 | 8,476 | 9,082 | 2,559 | 39.23 |
| Total | GQ000001 | 141,971 | 148,526 | 150,308 | 148,621 | 151,705 | 154,682 | 12,711 | 8.95 |
Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
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