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Asheville, NC MSA Regional Analytics
  -- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15

Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015
Natural Change -1,140
  equals Births 22,096
  less Deaths 23,236
Net Migration 21,248
  equals net International Migration 1,527
  plus net Domestic Migration 19,721

The population of the Asheville, NC MSA changed from 425,462 on 2010 to 446,840 in 2015 -- a change of 21,378 (5.02%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.

Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.

From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), net migration (21,248) exceeded natural change (-1,140); net migration has been the primary contributing factor for the metro population change. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.

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Related Sections
  • Asheville, NC MSA S&O Report
  • State of the States -- all states interactive table
  • Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
  • CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
  • CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
  • Regional Data Analytics Main

Table 1. Population          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg 10-15%Chg 10-15
Buncombe County, NC37021P0000001 238,776 241,345 244,243 247,618 250,297 253,178 14,402 6.03
Haywood County, NC37087P0000001 58,958 58,703 58,781 59,120 59,380 59,868 910 1.54
Henderson County, NC37089P0000001 106,951 107,514 108,081 109,404 110,939 112,655 5,704 5.33
Madison County, NC37115P0000001 20,777 20,825 20,878 21,125 21,166 21,139 362 1.74
Total P0000001 425,462 428,387 431,983 437,267 441,782 446,840 21,378 5.02
Table 2. Births          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Buncombe County, NC37021B0000001 2,440 2,566 2,554 2,650 2,607 2,658 13,035 
Haywood County, NC37087B0000001 524 530 579 553 546 559 2,767 
Henderson County, NC37089B0000001 1,160 1,076 1,078 1,022 1,086 1,088 5,350 
Madison County, NC37115B0000001 156 178 183 210 181 192 944 
Total B0000001 4,280 4,350 4,394 4,435 4,420 4,497 22,096 
Table 3. Deaths          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Buncombe County, NC37021D0000001 2,368 2,364 2,272 2,447 2,478 2,492 12,053 
Haywood County, NC37087D0000001 772 653 701 718 723 738 3,533 
Henderson County, NC37089D0000001 1,120 1,270 1,249 1,337 1,352 1,328 6,536 
Madison County, NC37115D0000001 272 230 187 238 227 232 1,114 
Total D0000001 4,532 4,517 4,409 4,740 4,780 4,790 23,236 
Table 4. Natural Change          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Buncombe County, NC37021NC000001 72 202 282 203 129 166 982 
Haywood County, NC37087NC000001 -248 -123 -122 -165 -177 -179 -766 
Henderson County, NC37089NC000001 40 -194 -171 -315 -266 -240 -1,186 
Madison County, NC37115NC000001 -116 -52 -4 -28 -46 -40 -170 
Total NC000001 -252 -167 -15 -305 -360 -293 -1,140 
Table 5. International Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Buncombe County, NC37021MI000001 232 234 174 206 260 269 1,143 
Haywood County, NC37087MI000001 0 -3 -8 -6 -2 -2 -21 
Henderson County, NC37089MI000001 100 68 49 76 94 98 385 
Madison County, NC37115MI000001 16 8 0 0 6 6 20 
Total MI000001 348 307 215 276 358 371 1,527 
Table 6. Domestic Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Buncombe County, NC37021MD000001 1,504 2,031 2,431 2,794 2,054 2,115 11,425 
Haywood County, NC37087MD000001 -64 -117 213 463 425 622 1,606 
Henderson County, NC37089MD000001 704 705 692 1,525 1,596 1,672 6,190 
Madison County, NC37115MD000001 112 91 61 264 93 -9 500 
Total MD000001 2,256 2,710 3,397 5,046 4,168 4,400 19,721 
Table 7. Net Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Buncombe County, NC37021MN000001 1,736 2,265 2,605 3,000 2,314 2,384 12,568 
Haywood County, NC37087MN000001 -64 -120 205 457 423 620 1,585 
Henderson County, NC37089MN000001 804 773 741 1,601 1,690 1,770 6,575 
Madison County, NC37115MN000001 128 99 61 264 99 -3 520 
Total MN000001 2,604 3,017 3,612 5,322 4,526 4,771 21,248 
Table 8. Group Quarters          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg10-15%Chg 10-15
Buncombe County, NC37021GQ000001 7,673 7,616 7,702 7,728 7,819 7,818 145 1.89
Haywood County, NC37087GQ000001 813 815 696 724 707 707 -106 -13.04
Henderson County, NC37089GQ000001 1,299 1,324 1,311 1,311 1,293 1,292 -7 -0.54
Madison County, NC37115GQ000001 1,028 1,097 1,204 1,286 1,305 1,306 278 27.04
Total GQ000001 10,813 10,852 10,913 11,049 11,124 11,123 310 2.87

Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
  -- http://proximityone.com (888.364.7656)