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Bakersfield, CA MSA Regional Analytics
  -- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15

Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015
Natural Change 43,738
  equals Births 71,782
  less Deaths 28,044
Net Migration -2,335
  equals net International Migration 9,849
  plus net Domestic Migration -12,184

The population of the Bakersfield, CA MSA changed from 841,682 on 2010 to 882,176 in 2015 -- a change of 40,494 (4.81%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.

Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.

From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), natural change (43,738) exceeded net migration (-2,335); natural change has been the primary contributing factor for the total metro population change. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.

Data Analytics Lab Sessions
Join in the weekly Data Analytics Lab sessions (Tuesdays, 3:00 pm ET) where we review demographic-economic characteristics and patterns for wide-ranging geography and updates/extensions to data provided here. No fee, no registration, see connectivity details.

Related Sections
  • Bakersfield, CA MSA S&O Report
  • State of the States -- all states interactive table
  • Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
  • CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
  • CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
  • Regional Data Analytics Main

Table 1. Population          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg 10-15%Chg 10-15
Kern County, CA06029P0000001 841,682 849,949 856,576 865,787 874,190 882,176 40,494 4.81
Table 2. Births          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Kern County, CA06029B0000001 13,948 14,405 14,206 14,411 14,331 14,429 71,782 
Table 3. Deaths          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Kern County, CA06029D0000001 5,412 5,404 5,250 5,652 5,908 5,830 28,044 
Table 4. Natural Change          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Kern County, CA06029NC000001 8,536 9,001 8,956 8,759 8,423 8,599 43,738 
Table 5. International Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Kern County, CA06029MI000001 1,296 1,886 1,730 1,859 2,154 2,220 9,849 
Table 6. Domestic Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Kern County, CA06029MD000001 -1,716 -2,379 -4,107 -1,273 -1,709 -2,716 -12,184 
Table 7. Net Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Kern County, CA06029MN000001 -420 -493 -2,377 586 445 -496 -2,335 
Table 8. Group Quarters          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg10-15%Chg 10-15
Kern County, CA06029GQ000001 36,505 36,147 32,177 31,053 31,756 32,500 -4,005 -10.97

Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
  -- http://proximityone.com (888.364.7656)