Bowling Green, KY MSA Regional Analytics

Bowling Green, KY MSA Regional Analytics
-- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15

Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015

Natural Change	3,209
equals Births	10,226
less Deaths	7,017
Net Migration	6,084
equals net International Migration	2,584
plus net Domestic Migration	3,500

The population of the Bowling Green, KY MSA changed from 159,154 on 2010 to 168,436 in 2015 -- a change of 9,282 (5.83%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.

Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.

From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), net migration (6,084) exceeded natural change (3,209); net migration has been the primary contributing factor for the metro population change. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.

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Related Sections
• Bowling Green, KY MSA S&O Report
• State of the States -- all states interactive table
• Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
• CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
• CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
• Regional Data Analytics Main

Table 1. Population
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Chg 10-15	%Chg 10-15
Allen County, KY	21003	P0000001	20,033	20,168	20,240	20,293	20,436	20,640	607	3.03
Butler County, KY	21031	P0000001	12,719	12,763	12,791	12,802	12,879	12,938	219	1.72
Edmonson County, KY	21061	P0000001	12,192	12,267	12,135	12,083	12,031	12,007	-185	-1.52
Warren County, KY	21227	P0000001	114,210	115,518	116,936	118,844	120,601	122,851	8,641	7.57
Total		P0000001	159,154	160,716	162,102	164,022	165,947	168,436	9,282	5.83
Table 2. Births
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
Allen County, KY	21003	B0000001	268	246	238	266	266	274	1,290
Butler County, KY	21031	B0000001	144	143	145	145	186	182	801
Edmonson County, KY	21061	B0000001	104	110	98	97	103	101	509
Warren County, KY	21227	B0000001	1,476	1,445	1,478	1,568	1,545	1,590	7,626
Total		B0000001	1,992	1,944	1,959	2,076	2,100	2,147	10,226
Table 3. Deaths
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
Allen County, KY	21003	D0000001	76	216	204	225	215	236	1,096
Butler County, KY	21031	D0000001	60	154	154	135	130	114	687
Edmonson County, KY	21061	D0000001	72	124	122	143	131	140	660
Warren County, KY	21227	D0000001	640	906	918	968	890	892	4,574
Total		D0000001	848	1,400	1,398	1,471	1,366	1,382	7,017
Table 4. Natural Change
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
Allen County, KY	21003	NC000001	192	30	34	41	51	38	194
Butler County, KY	21031	NC000001	84	-11	-9	10	56	68	114
Edmonson County, KY	21061	NC000001	32	-14	-24	-46	-28	-39	-151
Warren County, KY	21227	NC000001	836	539	560	600	655	698	3,052
Total		NC000001	1,144	544	561	605	734	765	3,209
Table 5. International Migration
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
Allen County, KY	21003	MI000001	4	8	7	8	9	9	41
Butler County, KY	21031	MI000001	16	33	22	24	24	24	127
Edmonson County, KY	21061	MI000001	0	0	1	1	1	1	4
Warren County, KY	21227	MI000001	360	431	435	468	538	540	2,412
Total		MI000001	380	472	465	501	572	574	2,584
Table 6. Domestic Migration
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
Allen County, KY	21003	MD000001	80	102	30	32	96	155	415
Butler County, KY	21031	MD000001	24	6	15	-26	2	-21	-24
Edmonson County, KY	21061	MD000001	96	57	-109	-1	-13	0	-66
Warren County, KY	21227	MD000001	496	382	428	775	594	996	3,175
Total		MD000001	696	547	364	780	679	1,130	3,500
Table 7. Net Migration
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
Allen County, KY	21003	MN000001	84	110	37	40	105	164	456
Butler County, KY	21031	MN000001	40	39	37	-2	26	3	103
Edmonson County, KY	21061	MN000001	96	57	-108	0	-12	1	-62
Warren County, KY	21227	MN000001	856	813	863	1,243	1,132	1,536	5,587
Total		MN000001	1,076	1,019	829	1,281	1,251	1,704	6,084
Table 8. Group Quarters
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Chg10-15	%Chg 10-15
Allen County, KY	21003	GQ000001	197	197	197	197	197	197	0	0.00
Butler County, KY	21031	GQ000001	203	203	203	203	203	203	0	0.00
Edmonson County, KY	21061	GQ000001	351	349	351	358	352	352	1	0.28
Warren County, KY	21227	GQ000001	6,260	6,310	6,142	6,433	6,314	6,316	56	0.89
Total		GQ000001	7,011	7,059	6,893	7,191	7,066	7,068	57	0.81

Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
-- http://proximityone.com (888.364.7656)