Charlottesville, VA MSA Regional Analytics

Charlottesville, VA MSA Regional Analytics
-- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15

Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015

Natural Change	3,612
equals Births	12,089
less Deaths	8,477
Net Migration	6,619
equals net International Migration	4,406
plus net Domestic Migration	2,213

The population of the Charlottesville, VA MSA changed from 219,094 on 2010 to 229,514 in 2015 -- a change of 10,420 (4.76%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.

Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.

From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), net migration (6,619) exceeded natural change (3,612); net migration has been the primary contributing factor for the metro population change. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.

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Related Sections
• Charlottesville, VA MSA S&O Report
• State of the States -- all states interactive table
• Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
• CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
• CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
• Regional Data Analytics Main

Table 1. Population
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Chg 10-15	%Chg 10-15
Albemarle County, VA	51003	P0000001	99,236	100,643	101,962	102,883	104,351	105,703	6,467	6.52
Buckingham County, VA	51029	P0000001	17,111	17,181	17,051	17,149	16,927	17,032	-79	-0.46
Fluvanna County, VA	51065	P0000001	25,760	25,977	25,919	25,883	26,056	26,235	475	1.84
Greene County, VA	51079	P0000001	18,480	18,728	18,847	18,892	19,061	19,162	682	3.69
Nelson County, VA	51125	P0000001	14,992	15,050	14,823	14,788	14,843	14,785	-207	-1.38
Charlottesville city, VA	51540	P0000001	43,515	43,721	44,483	44,995	45,622	46,597	3,082	7.08
Total		P0000001	219,094	221,300	223,085	224,590	226,860	229,514	10,420	4.76
Table 2. Births
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
Albemarle County, VA	51003	B0000001	1,180	1,104	1,061	1,100	1,121	1,096	5,482
Buckingham County, VA	51029	B0000001	168	165	155	191	167	160	838
Fluvanna County, VA	51065	B0000001	272	264	257	267	250	255	1,293
Greene County, VA	51079	B0000001	320	205	234	215	188	183	1,025
Nelson County, VA	51125	B0000001	164	145	130	132	123	132	662
Charlottesville city, VA	51540	B0000001	496	486	543	505	614	641	2,789
Total		B0000001	2,600	2,369	2,380	2,410	2,463	2,467	12,089
Table 3. Deaths
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
Albemarle County, VA	51003	D0000001	812	694	733	806	804	827	3,864
Buckingham County, VA	51029	D0000001	216	165	153	139	162	143	762
Fluvanna County, VA	51065	D0000001	216	194	191	214	191	190	980
Greene County, VA	51079	D0000001	176	146	131	161	142	137	717
Nelson County, VA	51125	D0000001	272	186	172	195	145	139	837
Charlottesville city, VA	51540	D0000001	204	256	249	259	265	288	1,317
Total		D0000001	1,896	1,641	1,629	1,774	1,709	1,724	8,477
Table 4. Natural Change
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
Albemarle County, VA	51003	NC000001	368	410	328	294	317	269	1,618
Buckingham County, VA	51029	NC000001	-48	0	2	52	5	17	76
Fluvanna County, VA	51065	NC000001	56	70	66	53	59	65	313
Greene County, VA	51079	NC000001	144	59	103	54	46	46	308
Nelson County, VA	51125	NC000001	-108	-41	-42	-63	-22	-7	-175
Charlottesville city, VA	51540	NC000001	292	230	294	246	349	353	1,472
Total		NC000001	704	728	751	636	754	743	3,612
Table 5. International Migration
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
Albemarle County, VA	51003	MI000001	364	302	332	351	406	410	1,801
Buckingham County, VA	51029	MI000001	4	10	10	11	11	11	53
Fluvanna County, VA	51065	MI000001	4	8	11	12	13	13	57
Greene County, VA	51079	MI000001	8	18	21	22	22	23	106
Nelson County, VA	51125	MI000001	0	6	5	6	7	7	31
Charlottesville city, VA	51540	MI000001	400	404	440	464	524	526	2,358
Total		MI000001	780	748	819	866	983	990	4,406
Table 6. Domestic Migration
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
Albemarle County, VA	51003	MD000001	252	539	677	291	670	675	2,852
Buckingham County, VA	51029	MD000001	-72	55	-147	34	-235	95	-198
Fluvanna County, VA	51065	MD000001	172	138	-133	-115	96	81	67
Greene County, VA	51079	MD000001	132	145	-1	-29	115	18	248
Nelson County, VA	51125	MD000001	4	96	-194	37	83	-33	-11
Charlottesville city, VA	51540	MD000001	-376	-491	31	-172	-261	148	-745
Total		MD000001	112	482	233	46	468	984	2,213
Table 7. Net Migration
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
Albemarle County, VA	51003	MN000001	616	841	1,009	642	1,076	1,085	4,653
Buckingham County, VA	51029	MN000001	-68	65	-137	45	-224	106	-145
Fluvanna County, VA	51065	MN000001	176	146	-122	-103	109	94	124
Greene County, VA	51079	MN000001	140	163	20	-7	137	41	354
Nelson County, VA	51125	MN000001	4	102	-189	43	90	-26	20
Charlottesville city, VA	51540	MN000001	24	-87	471	292	263	674	1,613
Total		MN000001	892	1,230	1,052	912	1,451	1,974	6,619
Table 8. Group Quarters
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Chg10-15	%Chg 10-15
Albemarle County, VA	51003	GQ000001	6,902	6,818	6,818	6,132	6,161	6,318	-584	-8.46
Buckingham County, VA	51029	GQ000001	2,326	2,317	2,238	2,212	2,123	2,206	-120	-5.16
Fluvanna County, VA	51065	GQ000001	1,272	1,267	1,291	1,294	1,289	1,289	17	1.34
Greene County, VA	51079	GQ000001	137	137	137	137	137	137	0	0.00
Nelson County, VA	51125	GQ000001	102	102	102	102	102	102	0	0.00
Charlottesville city, VA	51540	GQ000001	2,398	2,398	2,399	2,414	2,419	2,418	20	0.83
Total		GQ000001	13,137	13,039	12,985	12,291	12,231	12,470	-667	-5.08

Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
-- http://proximityone.com (888.364.7656)