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Duluth, MN-WI MSA Regional Analytics
  -- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15

Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015
Natural Change 95
  equals Births 14,302
  less Deaths 14,207
Net Migration 166
  equals net International Migration 1,037
  plus net Domestic Migration -871

The population of the Duluth, MN-WI MSA changed from 279,746 on 2010 to 279,601 in 2015 -- a change of -145 (-0.05%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.

Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.

From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), net migration (166) exceeded natural change (95); but outbound net migration has been the primary contributing factor for the metro population change. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.

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Join in the weekly Data Analytics Lab sessions (Tuesdays, 3:00 pm ET) where we review demographic-economic characteristics and patterns for wide-ranging geography and updates/extensions to data provided here. No fee, no registration, see connectivity details.

Related Sections
  • Duluth, MN-WI MSA S&O Report
  • State of the States -- all states interactive table
  • Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
  • CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
  • CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
  • Regional Data Analytics Main

Table 1. Population          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg 10-15%Chg 10-15
Carlton County, MN27017P0000001 35,416 35,484 35,324 35,368 35,470 35,569 153 0.43
St. Louis County, MN27137P0000001 200,158 200,353 200,383 200,581 200,780 200,431 273 0.14
Douglas County, WI55031P0000001 44,172 44,012 43,819 43,832 43,733 43,601 -571 -1.29
Total P0000001 279,746 279,849 279,526 279,781 279,983 279,601 -145 -0.05
Table 2. Births          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Carlton County, MN27017B0000001 420 369 388 363 350 366 1,836 
St. Louis County, MN27137B0000001 1,960 2,057 2,045 2,082 2,049 2,045 10,278 
Douglas County, WI55031B0000001 492 476 480 422 391 419 2,188 
Total B0000001 2,872 2,902 2,913 2,867 2,790 2,830 14,302 
Table 3. Deaths          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Carlton County, MN27017D0000001 300 351 345 393 375 360 1,824 
St. Louis County, MN27137D0000001 1,944 2,118 2,091 2,080 2,014 1,998 10,301 
Douglas County, WI55031D0000001 496 442 404 428 417 391 2,082 
Total D0000001 2,740 2,911 2,840 2,901 2,806 2,749 14,207 
Table 4. Natural Change          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Carlton County, MN27017NC000001 120 18 43 -30 -25 6 12 
St. Louis County, MN27137NC000001 16 -61 -46 2 35 47 -23 
Douglas County, WI55031NC000001 -4 34 76 -6 -26 28 106 
Total NC000001 132 -9 73 -34 -16 81 95 
Table 5. International Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Carlton County, MN27017MI000001 0 6 11 9 9 9 44 
St. Louis County, MN27137MI000001 152 150 179 171 181 186 867 
Douglas County, WI55031MI000001 12 20 23 25 29 29 126 
Total MI000001 164 176 213 205 219 224 1,037 
Table 6. Domestic Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Carlton County, MN27017MD000001 8 43 -217 51 141 48 66 
St. Louis County, MN27137MD000001 -432 235 -91 7 110 -435 -174 
Douglas County, WI55031MD000001 56 -206 -291 -4 -95 -167 -763 
Total MD000001 -368 72 -599 54 156 -554 -871 
Table 7. Net Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Carlton County, MN27017MN000001 8 49 -206 60 150 57 110 
St. Louis County, MN27137MN000001 -280 385 88 178 291 -249 693 
Douglas County, WI55031MN000001 68 -186 -268 21 -66 -138 -637 
Total MN000001 -204 248 -386 259 375 -330 166 
Table 8. Group Quarters          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg10-15%Chg 10-15
Carlton County, MN27017GQ000001 1,984 2,010 2,029 2,045 1,991 1,994 10 0.50
St. Louis County, MN27137GQ000001 9,433 9,595 9,522 9,208 9,313 9,284 -149 -1.58
Douglas County, WI55031GQ000001 1,372 1,326 1,283 1,344 1,342 1,350 -22 -1.60
Total GQ000001 12,789 12,931 12,834 12,597 12,646 12,628 -161 -1.26

Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
  -- http://proximityone.com (888.364.7656)