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Elizabethtown-Fort Knox, KY MSA Regional Analytics
  -- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15

Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015
Natural Change 4,071
  equals Births 10,229
  less Deaths 6,158
Net Migration -5,621
  equals net International Migration 1,995
  plus net Domestic Migration -7,616

The population of the Elizabethtown-Fort Knox, KY MSA changed from 149,940 on 2010 to 148,604 in 2015 -- a change of -1,336 (-0.89%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.

Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.

From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), natural change (4,071) was not enough to offset outbound net migration (-5,621); outbound net migration has been the primary contributing factor for the total metro population change. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.

Data Analytics Lab Sessions
Join in the weekly Data Analytics Lab sessions (Tuesdays, 3:00 pm ET) where we review demographic-economic characteristics and patterns for wide-ranging geography and updates/extensions to data provided here. No fee, no registration, see connectivity details.

Related Sections
  • Elizabethtown-Fort Knox, KY MSA S&O Report
  • State of the States -- all states interactive table
  • Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
  • CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
  • CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
  • Regional Data Analytics Main

Table 1. Population          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg 10-15%Chg 10-15
Hardin County, KY21093P0000001 107,016 107,457 107,100 108,188 108,463 106,439 -577 -0.54
Larue County, KY21123P0000001 14,192 14,194 14,071 14,065 14,172 14,241 49 0.35
Meade County, KY21163P0000001 28,732 29,679 29,305 29,320 29,260 27,924 -808 -2.81
Total P0000001 149,940 151,330 150,476 151,573 151,895 148,604 -1,336 -0.89
Table 2. Births          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Hardin County, KY21093B0000001 1,676 1,796 1,487 1,632 1,583 1,589 8,087 
Larue County, KY21123B0000001 124 135 146 164 167 175 787 
Meade County, KY21163B0000001 308 271 265 277 264 278 1,355 
Total B0000001 2,108 2,202 1,898 2,073 2,014 2,042 10,229 
Table 3. Deaths          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Hardin County, KY21093D0000001 968 844 824 840 904 893 4,305 
Larue County, KY21123D0000001 200 179 134 175 150 152 790 
Meade County, KY21163D0000001 268 234 202 228 190 209 1,063 
Total D0000001 1,436 1,257 1,160 1,243 1,244 1,254 6,158 
Table 4. Natural Change          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Hardin County, KY21093NC000001 708 952 663 792 679 696 3,782 
Larue County, KY21123NC000001 -76 -44 12 -11 17 23 -3 
Meade County, KY21163NC000001 40 37 63 49 74 69 292 
Total NC000001 672 945 738 830 770 788 4,071 
Table 5. International Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Hardin County, KY21093MI000001 516 110 520 324 270 292 1,516 
Larue County, KY21123MI000001 4 0 -3 -2 -2 -2 -9 
Meade County, KY21163MI000001 152 69 136 95 90 98 488 
Total MI000001 672 179 653 417 358 388 1,995 
Table 6. Domestic Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Hardin County, KY21093MD000001 4,468 -606 -1,572 -44 -683 -3,138 -6,043 
Larue County, KY21123MD000001 80 52 -134 0 101 35 54 
Meade County, KY21163MD000001 240 820 -584 -135 -216 -1,512 -1,627 
Total MD000001 4,788 266 -2,290 -179 -798 -4,615 -7,616 
Table 7. Net Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Hardin County, KY21093MN000001 4,984 -496 -1,052 280 -413 -2,846 -4,527 
Larue County, KY21123MN000001 84 52 -137 -2 99 33 45 
Meade County, KY21163MN000001 392 889 -448 -40 -126 -1,414 -1,139 
Total MN000001 5,460 445 -1,637 238 -440 -4,227 -5,621 
Table 8. Group Quarters          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg10-15%Chg 10-15
Hardin County, KY21093GQ000001 3,256 3,258 3,258 3,256 3,260 3,261 5 0.15
Larue County, KY21123GQ000001 313 313 313 313 313 313 0 0.00
Meade County, KY21163GQ000001 212 212 212 212 212 212 0 0.00
Total GQ000001 3,781 3,783 3,783 3,781 3,785 3,786 5 0.13

Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
  -- http://proximityone.com (888.364.7656)