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Fargo, ND-MN MSA Regional Analytics
  -- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15

Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015
Natural Change 9,083
  equals Births 16,024
  less Deaths 6,941
Net Migration 14,916
  equals net International Migration 4,118
  plus net Domestic Migration 10,798

The population of the Fargo, ND-MN MSA changed from 209,419 on 2010 to 233,836 in 2015 -- a change of 24,417 (11.66%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.

Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.

From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), net migration (14,916) exceeded natural change (9,083); net migration has been the primary contributing factor for the metro population change. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.

Data Analytics Lab Sessions
Join in the weekly Data Analytics Lab sessions (Tuesdays, 3:00 pm ET) where we review demographic-economic characteristics and patterns for wide-ranging geography and updates/extensions to data provided here. No fee, no registration, see connectivity details.

Related Sections
  • Fargo, ND-MN MSA S&O Report
  • State of the States -- all states interactive table
  • Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
  • CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
  • CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
  • Regional Data Analytics Main

Table 1. Population          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg 10-15%Chg 10-15
Clay County, MN27027P0000001 59,149 59,967 60,218 60,606 61,281 62,324 3,175 5.37
Cass County, ND38017P0000001 150,270 153,115 157,509 163,089 167,276 171,512 21,242 14.14
Total P0000001 209,419 213,082 217,727 223,695 228,557 233,836 24,417 11.66
Table 2. Births          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Clay County, MN27027B0000001 796 792 793 780 841 830 4,036 
Cass County, ND38017B0000001 2,156 2,199 2,355 2,428 2,483 2,523 11,988 
Total B0000001 2,952 2,991 3,148 3,208 3,324 3,353 16,024 
Table 3. Deaths          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Clay County, MN27027D0000001 472 460 424 503 422 427 2,236 
Cass County, ND38017D0000001 1,020 890 830 953 1,019 1,013 4,705 
Total D0000001 1,492 1,350 1,254 1,456 1,441 1,440 6,941 
Table 4. Natural Change          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Clay County, MN27027NC000001 324 332 369 277 419 403 1,800 
Cass County, ND38017NC000001 1,136 1,309 1,525 1,475 1,464 1,510 7,283 
Total NC000001 1,460 1,641 1,894 1,752 1,883 1,913 9,083 
Table 5. International Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Clay County, MN27027MI000001 64 79 70 80 89 88 406 
Cass County, ND38017MI000001 492 574 697 754 843 844 3,712 
Total MI000001 556 653 767 834 932 932 4,118 
Table 6. Domestic Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Clay County, MN27027MD000001 200 400 -188 32 176 519 939 
Cass County, ND38017MD000001 348 876 2,140 3,263 1,774 1,806 9,859 
Total MD000001 548 1,276 1,952 3,295 1,950 2,325 10,798 
Table 7. Net Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Clay County, MN27027MN000001 264 479 -118 112 265 607 1,345 
Cass County, ND38017MN000001 840 1,450 2,837 4,017 2,617 2,650 13,571 
Total MN000001 1,104 1,929 2,719 4,129 2,882 3,257 14,916 
Table 8. Group Quarters          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg10-15%Chg 10-15
Clay County, MN27027GQ000001 3,743 3,872 3,872 3,671 3,562 3,561 -182 -4.86
Cass County, ND38017GQ000001 5,011 5,417 5,502 5,419 5,530 5,490 479 9.56
Total GQ000001 8,754 9,289 9,374 9,090 9,092 9,051 297 3.39

Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
  -- http://proximityone.com (888.364.7656)