Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR-MO MSA Regional Analytics

Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR-MO MSA Regional Analytics
-- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15

Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015

Natural Change	18,183
equals Births	35,325
less Deaths	17,142
Net Migration	28,864
equals net International Migration	7,533
plus net Domestic Migration	21,331

The population of the Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR-MO MSA changed from 465,802 on 2010 to 513,559 in 2015 -- a change of 47,757 (10.25%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.

Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.

From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), net migration (28,864) exceeded natural change (18,183); net migration has been the primary contributing factor for the metro population change. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.

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Related Sections
• Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR-MO MSA S&O Report
• State of the States -- all states interactive table
• Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
• CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
• CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
• Regional Data Analytics Main

Table 1. Population
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Chg 10-15	%Chg 10-15
Benton County, AR	05007	P0000001	223,010	227,899	232,973	237,580	242,868	249,672	26,662	11.96
Madison County, AR	05087	P0000001	15,693	15,689	15,631	15,701	15,722	15,767	74	0.47
Washington County, AR	05143	P0000001	204,026	207,882	211,637	216,480	220,682	225,477	21,451	10.51
McDonald County, MO	29119	P0000001	23,073	22,873	22,917	22,591	22,792	22,643	-430	-1.86
Total		P0000001	465,802	474,343	483,158	492,352	502,064	513,559	47,757	10.25
Table 2. Births
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
Benton County, AR	05007	B0000001	3,296	3,265	3,343	3,217	3,396	3,416	16,637
Madison County, AR	05087	B0000001	192	167	204	192	207	203	973
Washington County, AR	05143	B0000001	3,224	3,207	3,331	3,236	3,187	3,225	16,186
McDonald County, MO	29119	B0000001	304	286	318	316	301	308	1,529
Total		B0000001	7,016	6,925	7,196	6,961	7,091	7,152	35,325
Table 3. Deaths
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
Benton County, AR	05007	D0000001	1,184	1,595	1,674	1,669	1,620	1,642	8,200
Madison County, AR	05087	D0000001	256	180	165	149	183	145	822
Washington County, AR	05143	D0000001	1,316	1,325	1,438	1,449	1,415	1,437	7,064
McDonald County, MO	29119	D0000001	148	194	208	218	219	217	1,056
Total		D0000001	2,904	3,294	3,485	3,485	3,437	3,441	17,142
Table 4. Natural Change
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
Benton County, AR	05007	NC000001	2,112	1,670	1,669	1,548	1,776	1,774	8,437
Madison County, AR	05087	NC000001	-64	-13	39	43	24	58	151
Washington County, AR	05143	NC000001	1,908	1,882	1,893	1,787	1,772	1,788	9,122
McDonald County, MO	29119	NC000001	156	92	110	98	82	91	473
Total		NC000001	4,112	3,631	3,711	3,476	3,654	3,711	18,183
Table 5. International Migration
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
Benton County, AR	05007	MI000001	544	598	633	697	812	813	3,553
Madison County, AR	05087	MI000001	4	4	7	7	9	9	36
Washington County, AR	05143	MI000001	628	706	644	719	832	834	3,735
McDonald County, MO	29119	MI000001	36	30	37	44	49	49	209
Total		MI000001	1,212	1,338	1,321	1,467	1,702	1,705	7,533
Table 6. Domestic Migration
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
Benton County, AR	05007	MD000001	3,852	2,517	2,716	2,196	2,707	4,003	14,139
Madison County, AR	05087	MD000001	-44	3	-103	26	-8	-37	-119
Washington County, AR	05143	MD000001	1,296	1,187	1,217	2,335	1,567	2,055	8,361
McDonald County, MO	29119	MD000001	-232	-328	-92	-458	80	-252	-1,050
Total		MD000001	4,872	3,379	3,738	4,099	4,346	5,769	21,331
Table 7. Net Migration
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
Benton County, AR	05007	MN000001	4,396	3,115	3,349	2,893	3,519	4,816	17,692
Madison County, AR	05087	MN000001	-40	7	-96	33	1	-28	-83
Washington County, AR	05143	MN000001	1,924	1,893	1,861	3,054	2,399	2,889	12,096
McDonald County, MO	29119	MN000001	-196	-298	-55	-414	129	-203	-841
Total		MN000001	6,084	4,717	5,059	5,566	6,048	7,474	28,864
Table 8. Group Quarters
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Chg10-15	%Chg 10-15
Benton County, AR	05007	GQ000001	2,061	2,141	2,132	2,108	2,109	2,109	48	2.33
Madison County, AR	05087	GQ000001	79	79	79	79	79	79	0	0.00
Washington County, AR	05143	GQ000001	7,563	7,789	7,811	7,820	8,181	8,214	651	8.61
McDonald County, MO	29119	GQ000001	157	157	157	157	157	157	0	0.00
Total		GQ000001	9,860	10,166	10,179	10,164	10,526	10,559	699	7.09

Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
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