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Gainesville, FL MSA Regional Analytics
  -- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15

Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015
Natural Change 5,479
  equals Births 15,357
  less Deaths 9,878
Net Migration 6,857
  equals net International Migration 7,032
  plus net Domestic Migration -175

The population of the Gainesville, FL MSA changed from 264,619 on 2010 to 277,163 in 2015 -- a change of 12,544 (4.74%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.

Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.

From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), net migration (6,857) exceeded natural change (5,479); net migration has been the primary contributing factor for the metro population change. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.

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Join in the weekly Data Analytics Lab sessions (Tuesdays, 3:00 pm ET) where we review demographic-economic characteristics and patterns for wide-ranging geography and updates/extensions to data provided here. No fee, no registration, see connectivity details.

Related Sections
  • Gainesville, FL MSA S&O Report
  • State of the States -- all states interactive table
  • Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
  • CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
  • CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
  • Regional Data Analytics Main

Table 1. Population          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg 10-15%Chg 10-15
Alachua County, FL12001P0000001 247,625 249,688 251,669 253,252 256,518 259,964 12,339 4.98
Gilchrist County, FL12041P0000001 16,994 16,986 16,878 16,921 16,977 17,199 205 1.21
Total P0000001 264,619 266,674 268,547 270,173 273,495 277,163 12,544 4.74
Table 2. Births          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Alachua County, FL12001B0000001 2,780 2,823 3,002 2,822 2,869 2,904 14,420 
Gilchrist County, FL12041B0000001 196 179 189 217 169 183 937 
Total B0000001 2,976 3,002 3,191 3,039 3,038 3,087 15,357 
Table 3. Deaths          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Alachua County, FL12001D0000001 1,428 1,763 1,671 1,790 1,877 1,875 8,976 
Gilchrist County, FL12041D0000001 76 166 183 195 182 176 902 
Total D0000001 1,504 1,929 1,854 1,985 2,059 2,051 9,878 
Table 4. Natural Change          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Alachua County, FL12001NC000001 1,352 1,060 1,331 1,032 992 1,029 5,444 
Gilchrist County, FL12041NC000001 120 13 6 22 -13 7 35 
Total NC000001 1,472 1,073 1,337 1,054 979 1,036 5,479 
Table 5. International Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Alachua County, FL12001MI000001 1,152 1,279 1,253 1,355 1,541 1,534 6,962 
Gilchrist County, FL12041MI000001 8 12 14 14 15 15 70 
Total MI000001 1,160 1,291 1,267 1,369 1,556 1,549 7,032 
Table 6. Domestic Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Alachua County, FL12001MD000001 -1,428 -175 -589 -930 664 775 -255 
Gilchrist County, FL12041MD000001 92 -42 -128 0 66 184 80 
Total MD000001 -1,336 -217 -717 -930 730 959 -175 
Table 7. Net Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Alachua County, FL12001MN000001 -276 1,104 664 425 2,205 2,309 6,707 
Gilchrist County, FL12041MN000001 100 -30 -114 14 81 199 150 
Total MN000001 -176 1,074 550 439 2,286 2,508 6,857 
Table 8. Group Quarters          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg10-15%Chg 10-15
Alachua County, FL12001GQ000001 14,034 14,135 13,295 13,273 13,361 13,362 -672 -4.79
Gilchrist County, FL12041GQ000001 1,130 1,141 1,138 1,090 1,094 953 -177 -15.66
Total GQ000001 15,164 15,276 14,433 14,363 14,455 14,315 -849 -5.60

Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
  -- http://proximityone.com (888.364.7656)