Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA MSA Regional Analytics
-- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15
Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015
The population of the Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA MSA changed from 550,239 on 2010 to 565,006 in 2015 -- a change of 14,767 (2.68%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.| Natural Change | 7,418 |
| equals Births | 32,742 |
| less Deaths | 25,324 |
| Net Migration | 7,708 |
| equals net International Migration | 8,021 |
| plus net Domestic Migration | -313 |
Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.
From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), net migration (7,708) exceeded natural change (7,418); net migration has been the primary contributing factor for the metro population change. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.
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Related Sections
• Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA MSA S&O Report
• State of the States -- all states interactive table
• Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
• CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
• CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
• Regional Data Analytics Main
| Table 1. Population | ||||||||||
| Area Name | GeoID | Item | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Chg 10-15 | %Chg 10-15 |
| Cumberland County, PA | 42041 | P0000001 | 235,977 | 236,912 | 239,187 | 241,163 | 243,533 | 246,338 | 10,361 | 4.39 |
| Dauphin County, PA | 42043 | P0000001 | 268,260 | 269,119 | 269,984 | 271,307 | 272,078 | 272,983 | 4,723 | 1.76 |
| Perry County, PA | 42099 | P0000001 | 46,002 | 45,864 | 45,742 | 45,571 | 45,523 | 45,685 | -317 | -0.69 |
| Total | P0000001 | 550,239 | 551,895 | 554,913 | 558,041 | 561,134 | 565,006 | 14,767 | 2.68 | |
| Table 2. Births | ||||||||||
| Area Name | GeoID | Item | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Sum11-15 | |
| Cumberland County, PA | 42041 | B0000001 | 2,504 | 2,523 | 2,493 | 2,545 | 2,633 | 2,636 | 12,830 | |
| Dauphin County, PA | 42043 | B0000001 | 3,360 | 3,455 | 3,377 | 3,468 | 3,457 | 3,455 | 17,212 | |
| Perry County, PA | 42099 | B0000001 | 480 | 606 | 538 | 544 | 496 | 516 | 2,700 | |
| Total | B0000001 | 6,344 | 6,584 | 6,408 | 6,557 | 6,586 | 6,607 | 32,742 | ||
| Table 3. Deaths | ||||||||||
| Area Name | GeoID | Item | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Sum11-15 | |
| Cumberland County, PA | 42041 | D0000001 | 2,068 | 2,164 | 2,225 | 2,346 | 2,136 | 2,176 | 11,047 | |
| Dauphin County, PA | 42043 | D0000001 | 2,260 | 2,490 | 2,402 | 2,463 | 2,378 | 2,427 | 12,160 | |
| Perry County, PA | 42099 | D0000001 | 332 | 417 | 438 | 440 | 406 | 416 | 2,117 | |
| Total | D0000001 | 4,660 | 5,071 | 5,065 | 5,249 | 4,920 | 5,019 | 25,324 | ||
| Table 4. Natural Change | ||||||||||
| Area Name | GeoID | Item | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Sum11-15 | |
| Cumberland County, PA | 42041 | NC000001 | 436 | 359 | 268 | 199 | 497 | 460 | 1,783 | |
| Dauphin County, PA | 42043 | NC000001 | 1,100 | 965 | 975 | 1,005 | 1,079 | 1,028 | 5,052 | |
| Perry County, PA | 42099 | NC000001 | 148 | 189 | 100 | 104 | 90 | 100 | 583 | |
| Total | NC000001 | 1,684 | 1,513 | 1,343 | 1,308 | 1,666 | 1,588 | 7,418 | ||
| Table 5. International Migration | ||||||||||
| Area Name | GeoID | Item | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Sum11-15 | |
| Cumberland County, PA | 42041 | MI000001 | 532 | 466 | 584 | 593 | 670 | 686 | 2,999 | |
| Dauphin County, PA | 42043 | MI000001 | 720 | 815 | 932 | 969 | 1,113 | 1,117 | 4,946 | |
| Perry County, PA | 42099 | MI000001 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 18 | 76 | |
| Total | MI000001 | 1,260 | 1,295 | 1,529 | 1,575 | 1,801 | 1,821 | 8,021 | ||
| Table 6. Domestic Migration | ||||||||||
| Area Name | GeoID | Item | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Sum11-15 | |
| Cumberland County, PA | 42041 | MD000001 | 1,364 | 267 | 1,416 | 1,053 | 1,231 | 1,390 | 5,357 | |
| Dauphin County, PA | 42043 | MD000001 | -1,180 | -775 | -1,041 | -513 | -1,276 | -1,120 | -4,725 | |
| Perry County, PA | 42099 | MD000001 | 4 | -368 | -232 | -285 | -135 | 75 | -945 | |
| Total | MD000001 | 188 | -876 | 143 | 255 | -180 | 345 | -313 | ||
| Table 7. Net Migration | ||||||||||
| Area Name | GeoID | Item | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Sum11-15 | |
| Cumberland County, PA | 42041 | MN000001 | 1,896 | 733 | 2,000 | 1,646 | 1,901 | 2,076 | 8,356 | |
| Dauphin County, PA | 42043 | MN000001 | -460 | 40 | -109 | 456 | -163 | -3 | 221 | |
| Perry County, PA | 42099 | MN000001 | 12 | -354 | -219 | -272 | -117 | 93 | -869 | |
| Total | MN000001 | 1,448 | 419 | 1,672 | 1,830 | 1,621 | 2,166 | 7,708 | ||
| Table 8. Group Quarters | ||||||||||
| Area Name | GeoID | Item | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Chg10-15 | %Chg 10-15 |
| Cumberland County, PA | 42041 | GQ000001 | 12,830 | 12,667 | 12,765 | 12,764 | 12,552 | 12,554 | -276 | -2.15 |
| Dauphin County, PA | 42043 | GQ000001 | 6,776 | 6,774 | 6,777 | 6,781 | 6,785 | 6,783 | 7 | 0.10 |
| Perry County, PA | 42099 | GQ000001 | 657 | 657 | 657 | 657 | 658 | 658 | 1 | 0.15 |
| Total | GQ000001 | 20,263 | 20,098 | 20,199 | 20,202 | 19,995 | 19,995 | -268 | -1.32 |
Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
-- http://proximityone.com (888.364.7656)