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Harrisonburg, VA MSA Regional Analytics
  -- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15

Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015
Natural Change 2,202
  equals Births 6,913
  less Deaths 4,711
Net Migration 3,094
  equals net International Migration 2,092
  plus net Domestic Migration 1,002

The population of the Harrisonburg, VA MSA changed from 125,415 on 2010 to 131,131 in 2015 -- a change of 5,716 (4.56%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.

Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.

From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), net migration (3,094) exceeded natural change (2,202); net migration has been the primary contributing factor for the metro population change. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.

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Join in the weekly Data Analytics Lab sessions (Tuesdays, 3:00 pm ET) where we review demographic-economic characteristics and patterns for wide-ranging geography and updates/extensions to data provided here. No fee, no registration, see connectivity details.

Related Sections
  • Harrisonburg, VA MSA S&O Report
  • State of the States -- all states interactive table
  • Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
  • CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
  • CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
  • Regional Data Analytics Main

Table 1. Population          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg 10-15%Chg 10-15
Rockingham County, VA51165P0000001 76,367 77,116 77,379 77,698 78,137 78,593 2,226 2.91
Harrisonburg city, VA51660P0000001 49,048 49,757 51,100 51,288 52,258 52,538 3,490 7.12
Total P0000001 125,415 126,873 128,479 128,986 130,395 131,131 5,716 4.56
Table 2. Births          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Rockingham County, VA51165B0000001 880 881 839 810 816 803 4,149 
Harrisonburg city, VA51660B0000001 500 528 488 553 582 613 2,764 
Total B0000001 1,380 1,409 1,327 1,363 1,398 1,416 6,913 
Table 3. Deaths          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Rockingham County, VA51165D0000001 672 635 692 734 709 718 3,488 
Harrisonburg city, VA51660D0000001 184 271 258 241 218 235 1,223 
Total D0000001 856 906 950 975 927 953 4,711 
Table 4. Natural Change          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Rockingham County, VA51165NC000001 208 246 147 76 107 85 661 
Harrisonburg city, VA51660NC000001 316 257 230 312 364 378 1,541 
Total NC000001 524 503 377 388 471 463 2,202 
Table 5. International Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Rockingham County, VA51165MI000001 60 48 50 53 69 70 290 
Harrisonburg city, VA51660MI000001 324 356 316 343 395 392 1,802 
Total MI000001 384 404 366 396 464 462 2,092 
Table 6. Domestic Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Rockingham County, VA51165MD000001 0 293 78 181 241 259 1,052 
Harrisonburg city, VA51660MD000001 -64 -25 775 -486 180 -494 -50 
Total MD000001 -64 268 853 -305 421 -235 1,002 
Table 7. Net Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Rockingham County, VA51165MN000001 60 341 128 234 310 329 1,342 
Harrisonburg city, VA51660MN000001 260 331 1,091 -143 575 -102 1,752 
Total MN000001 320 672 1,219 91 885 227 3,094 
Table 8. Group Quarters          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg10-15%Chg 10-15
Rockingham County, VA51165GQ000001 1,471 1,548 1,526 1,600 1,658 1,583 112 7.61
Harrisonburg city, VA51660GQ000001 7,584 7,548 7,618 7,590 7,387 7,526 -58 -0.76
Total GQ000001 9,055 9,096 9,144 9,190 9,045 9,109 54 0.60

Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
  -- http://proximityone.com (888.364.7656)