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Jacksonville, FL MSA Regional Analytics
  -- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15

Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015
Natural Change 30,056
  equals Births 88,540
  less Deaths 58,484
Net Migration 68,589
  equals net International Migration 21,133
  plus net Domestic Migration 47,456

The population of the Jacksonville, FL MSA changed from 1,349,083 on 2010 to 1,449,481 in 2015 -- a change of 100,398 (7.44%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.

Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.

From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), net migration (68,589) exceeded natural change (30,056); net migration has been the primary contributing factor for the metro population change. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.

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Join in the weekly Data Analytics Lab sessions (Tuesdays, 3:00 pm ET) where we review demographic-economic characteristics and patterns for wide-ranging geography and updates/extensions to data provided here. No fee, no registration, see connectivity details.

Related Sections
  • Jacksonville, FL MSA S&O Report
  • State of the States -- all states interactive table
  • Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
  • CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
  • CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
  • Regional Data Analytics Main

Table 1. Population          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg 10-15%Chg 10-15
Baker County, FL12003P0000001 27,076 27,076 27,052 26,991 27,135 27,420 344 1.27
Clay County, FL12019P0000001 191,436 192,340 194,341 196,559 199,876 203,967 12,531 6.55
Duval County, FL12031P0000001 865,785 872,455 880,959 887,586 899,353 913,010 47,225 5.45
Nassau County, FL12089P0000001 73,528 74,142 74,616 75,599 76,597 78,444 4,916 6.69
St. Johns County, FL12109P0000001 191,258 196,019 202,241 209,532 218,043 226,640 35,382 18.50
Total P0000001 1,349,083 1,362,032 1,379,209 1,396,267 1,421,004 1,449,481 100,398 7.44
Table 2. Births          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Baker County, FL12003B0000001 324 360 344 312 375 354 1,745 
Clay County, FL12019B0000001 2,076 2,108 2,087 2,063 2,105 2,123 10,486 
Duval County, FL12031B0000001 12,084 12,575 12,390 12,308 12,694 12,714 62,681 
Nassau County, FL12089B0000001 748 779 733 766 734 750 3,762 
St. Johns County, FL12109B0000001 1,716 1,847 1,814 1,969 2,073 2,163 9,866 
Total B0000001 16,948 17,669 17,368 17,418 17,981 18,104 88,540 
Table 3. Deaths          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Baker County, FL12003D0000001 316 228 226 247 201 219 1,121 
Clay County, FL12019D0000001 1,348 1,484 1,487 1,529 1,644 1,614 7,758 
Duval County, FL12031D0000001 7,004 7,031 7,284 7,551 7,962 7,960 37,788 
Nassau County, FL12089D0000001 508 708 661 731 743 806 3,649 
St. Johns County, FL12109D0000001 1,244 1,512 1,480 1,683 1,734 1,759 8,168 
Total D0000001 10,420 10,963 11,138 11,741 12,284 12,358 58,484 
Table 4. Natural Change          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Baker County, FL12003NC000001 8 132 118 65 174 135 624 
Clay County, FL12019NC000001 728 624 600 534 461 509 2,728 
Duval County, FL12031NC000001 5,080 5,544 5,106 4,757 4,732 4,754 24,893 
Nassau County, FL12089NC000001 240 71 72 35 -9 -56 113 
St. Johns County, FL12109NC000001 472 335 334 286 339 404 1,698 
Total NC000001 6,528 6,706 6,230 5,677 5,697 5,746 30,056 
Table 5. International Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Baker County, FL12003MI000001 0 9 8 8 11 11 47 
Clay County, FL12019MI000001 460 456 588 507 579 618 2,748 
Duval County, FL12031MI000001 2,776 2,806 3,551 3,298 3,708 3,866 17,229 
Nassau County, FL12089MI000001 60 50 73 61 68 75 327 
St. Johns County, FL12109MI000001 120 103 158 151 177 193 782 
Total MI000001 3,416 3,424 4,378 4,025 4,543 4,763 21,133 
Table 6. Domestic Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Baker County, FL12003MD000001 -160 -137 -150 -145 -27 134 -325 
Clay County, FL12019MD000001 1,120 -231 870 1,213 2,134 2,874 6,860 
Duval County, FL12031MD000001 -1,656 -1,337 -89 -1,605 3,142 4,248 4,359 
Nassau County, FL12089MD000001 560 458 349 836 797 1,921 4,361 
St. Johns County, FL12109MD000001 4,120 4,051 5,681 6,889 7,390 8,190 32,201 
Total MD000001 3,984 2,804 6,661 7,188 13,436 17,367 47,456 
Table 7. Net Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Baker County, FL12003MN000001 -160 -128 -142 -137 -16 145 -278 
Clay County, FL12019MN000001 1,580 225 1,458 1,720 2,713 3,492 9,608 
Duval County, FL12031MN000001 1,120 1,469 3,462 1,693 6,850 8,114 21,588 
Nassau County, FL12089MN000001 620 508 422 897 865 1,996 4,688 
St. Johns County, FL12109MN000001 4,240 4,154 5,839 7,040 7,567 8,383 32,983 
Total MN000001 7,400 6,228 11,039 11,213 17,979 22,130 68,589 
Table 8. Group Quarters          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg10-15%Chg 10-15
Baker County, FL12003GQ000001 2,334 2,319 2,340 2,364 2,350 2,417 83 3.56
Clay County, FL12019GQ000001 1,251 1,251 1,251 1,251 1,251 1,251 0 0.00
Duval County, FL12031GQ000001 20,181 20,268 20,284 20,098 20,770 20,751 570 2.82
Nassau County, FL12089GQ000001 543 543 543 543 543 543 0 0.00
St. Johns County, FL12109GQ000001 2,809 2,820 2,860 2,831 2,888 2,890 81 2.88
Total GQ000001 27,118 27,201 27,278 27,087 27,802 27,852 734 2.71

Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
  -- http://proximityone.com (888.364.7656)