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Johnson City, TN MSA Regional Analytics
  -- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15

Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015
Natural Change -1,074
  equals Births 10,114
  less Deaths 11,188
Net Migration 2,541
  equals net International Migration 536
  plus net Domestic Migration 2,005

The population of the Johnson City, TN MSA changed from 198,973 on 2010 to 200,648 in 2015 -- a change of 1,675 (0.84%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.

Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.

From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), net migration (2,541) exceeded natural change (-1,074); net migration has been the primary contributing factor for the metro population change. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.

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Join in the weekly Data Analytics Lab sessions (Tuesdays, 3:00 pm ET) where we review demographic-economic characteristics and patterns for wide-ranging geography and updates/extensions to data provided here. No fee, no registration, see connectivity details.

Related Sections
  • Johnson City, TN MSA S&O Report
  • State of the States -- all states interactive table
  • Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
  • CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
  • CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
  • Regional Data Analytics Main

Table 1. Population          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg 10-15%Chg 10-15
Carter County, TN47019P0000001 57,360 57,483 57,352 57,025 56,358 56,486 -874 -1.52
Unicoi County, TN47171P0000001 18,275 18,272 18,233 18,052 17,928 17,860 -415 -2.27
Washington County, TN47179P0000001 123,338 124,012 124,919 125,488 125,862 126,302 2,964 2.40
Total P0000001 198,973 199,767 200,504 200,565 200,148 200,648 1,675 0.84
Table 2. Births          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Carter County, TN47019B0000001 512 587 519 506 528 506 2,646 
Unicoi County, TN47171B0000001 124 166 158 166 150 157 797 
Washington County, TN47179B0000001 1,412 1,316 1,350 1,371 1,315 1,319 6,671 
Total B0000001 2,048 2,069 2,027 2,043 1,993 1,982 10,114 
Table 3. Deaths          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Carter County, TN47019D0000001 536 579 656 718 679 687 3,319 
Unicoi County, TN47171D0000001 168 256 234 274 284 256 1,304 
Washington County, TN47179D0000001 1,208 1,286 1,319 1,394 1,313 1,253 6,565 
Total D0000001 1,912 2,121 2,209 2,386 2,276 2,196 11,188 
Table 4. Natural Change          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Carter County, TN47019NC000001 -24 8 -137 -212 -151 -181 -673 
Unicoi County, TN47171NC000001 -44 -90 -76 -108 -134 -99 -507 
Washington County, TN47179NC000001 204 30 31 -23 2 66 106 
Total NC000001 136 -52 -182 -343 -283 -214 -1,074 
Table 5. International Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Carter County, TN47019MI000001 8 15 19 21 24 23 102 
Unicoi County, TN47171MI000001 12 4 12 15 19 21 71 
Washington County, TN47179MI000001 40 57 64 71 85 86 363 
Total MI000001 60 76 95 107 128 130 536 
Table 6. Domestic Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Carter County, TN47019MD000001 -200 84 -10 -181 -499 242 -364 
Unicoi County, TN47171MD000001 -100 94 28 -105 -7 12 22 
Washington County, TN47179MD000001 1,172 631 791 438 277 210 2,347 
Total MD000001 872 809 809 152 -229 464 2,005 
Table 7. Net Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Carter County, TN47019MN000001 -192 99 9 -160 -475 265 -262 
Unicoi County, TN47171MN000001 -88 98 40 -90 12 33 93 
Washington County, TN47179MN000001 1,212 688 855 509 362 296 2,710 
Total MN000001 932 885 904 259 -101 594 2,541 
Table 8. Group Quarters          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg10-15%Chg 10-15
Carter County, TN47019GQ000001 1,491 1,502 1,438 1,187 934 910 -581 -38.97
Unicoi County, TN47171GQ000001 405 405 405 405 405 405 0 0.00
Washington County, TN47179GQ000001 4,649 4,634 4,505 4,435 4,251 4,250 -399 -8.58
Total GQ000001 6,545 6,541 6,348 6,027 5,590 5,565 -980 -14.97

Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
  -- http://proximityone.com (888.364.7656)