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Knoxville, TN MSA Regional Analytics
  -- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15

Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015
Natural Change 2,474
  equals Births 46,572
  less Deaths 44,098
Net Migration 19,573
  equals net International Migration 3,806
  plus net Domestic Migration 15,767

The population of the Knoxville, TN MSA changed from 838,767 on 2010 to 861,424 in 2015 -- a change of 22,657 (2.70%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.

Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.

From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), net migration (19,573) exceeded natural change (2,474); net migration has been the primary contributing factor for the metro population change. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.

Data Analytics Lab Sessions
Join in the weekly Data Analytics Lab sessions (Tuesdays, 3:00 pm ET) where we review demographic-economic characteristics and patterns for wide-ranging geography and updates/extensions to data provided here. No fee, no registration, see connectivity details.

Related Sections
  • Knoxville, TN MSA S&O Report
  • State of the States -- all states interactive table
  • Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
  • CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
  • CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
  • Regional Data Analytics Main

Table 1. Population          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg 10-15%Chg 10-15
Anderson County, TN47001P0000001 75,154 75,222 75,354 75,443 75,382 75,749 595 0.79
Blount County, TN47009P0000001 123,156 123,623 123,998 124,943 126,124 127,253 4,097 3.33
Campbell County, TN47013P0000001 40,716 40,570 40,439 40,211 39,910 39,752 -964 -2.37
Grainger County, TN47057P0000001 22,709 22,722 22,633 22,663 22,815 22,846 137 0.60
Knox County, TN47093P0000001 433,035 436,530 441,097 444,170 448,617 451,324 18,289 4.22
Loudon County, TN47105P0000001 48,752 49,088 49,773 50,431 50,722 51,130 2,378 4.88
Morgan County, TN47129P0000001 22,001 22,062 21,946 21,709 21,757 21,498 -503 -2.29
Roane County, TN47145P0000001 54,144 53,820 53,472 53,011 52,756 52,753 -1,391 -2.57
Union County, TN47173P0000001 19,100 19,216 19,112 19,051 18,984 19,119 19 0.10
Total P0000001 838,767 842,853 847,824 851,632 857,067 861,424 22,657 2.70
Table 2. Births          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Anderson County, TN47001B0000001 864 807 802 823 765 777 3,974 
Blount County, TN47009B0000001 1,192 1,239 1,303 1,272 1,308 1,322 6,444 
Campbell County, TN47013B0000001 416 403 430 428 408 415 2,084 
Grainger County, TN47057B0000001 284 205 229 214 235 226 1,109 
Knox County, TN47093B0000001 5,108 5,086 5,275 5,202 5,149 5,205 25,917 
Loudon County, TN47105B0000001 468 544 544 534 531 531 2,684 
Morgan County, TN47129B0000001 220 195 166 215 193 208 977 
Roane County, TN47145B0000001 548 511 474 491 444 452 2,372 
Union County, TN47173B0000001 200 210 222 229 174 176 1,011 
Total B0000001 9,300 9,200 9,445 9,408 9,207 9,312 46,572 
Table 3. Deaths          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Anderson County, TN47001D0000001 776 877 934 926 936 896 4,569 
Blount County, TN47009D0000001 1,036 1,259 1,265 1,361 1,312 1,266 6,463 
Campbell County, TN47013D0000001 376 533 477 551 574 542 2,677 
Grainger County, TN47057D0000001 304 238 238 284 283 256 1,299 
Knox County, TN47093D0000001 3,900 3,921 4,049 4,180 4,166 4,226 20,542 
Loudon County, TN47105D0000001 608 535 574 667 608 565 2,949 
Morgan County, TN47129D0000001 132 226 204 227 233 220 1,110 
Roane County, TN47145D0000001 516 697 657 732 688 672 3,446 
Union County, TN47173D0000001 76 193 199 212 235 204 1,043 
Total D0000001 7,724 8,479 8,597 9,140 9,035 8,847 44,098 
Table 4. Natural Change          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Anderson County, TN47001NC000001 88 -70 -132 -103 -171 -119 -595 
Blount County, TN47009NC000001 156 -20 38 -89 -4 56 -19 
Campbell County, TN47013NC000001 40 -130 -47 -123 -166 -127 -593 
Grainger County, TN47057NC000001 -20 -33 -9 -70 -48 -30 -190 
Knox County, TN47093NC000001 1,208 1,165 1,226 1,022 983 979 5,375 
Loudon County, TN47105NC000001 -140 9 -30 -133 -77 -34 -265 
Morgan County, TN47129NC000001 88 -31 -38 -12 -40 -12 -133 
Roane County, TN47145NC000001 32 -186 -183 -241 -244 -220 -1,074 
Union County, TN47173NC000001 124 17 23 17 -61 -28 -32 
Total NC000001 1,576 721 848 268 172 465 2,474 
Table 5. International Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Anderson County, TN47001MI000001 44 46 42 50 56 57 251 
Blount County, TN47009MI000001 120 75 71 71 87 88 392 
Campbell County, TN47013MI000001 0 -3 -4 -4 -4 -4 -19 
Grainger County, TN47057MI000001 0 1 0 1 1 1 4 
Knox County, TN47093MI000001 464 524 535 564 658 669 2,950 
Loudon County, TN47105MI000001 32 34 19 23 32 35 143 
Morgan County, TN47129MI000001 0 1 1 1 1 1 5 
Roane County, TN47145MI000001 20 17 20 20 24 24 105 
Union County, TN47173MI000001 0 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 -25 
Total MI000001 680 690 679 721 850 866 3,806 
Table 6. Domestic Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Anderson County, TN47001MD000001 -8 145 228 122 93 400 988 
Blount County, TN47009MD000001 312 398 285 895 1,013 828 3,419 
Campbell County, TN47013MD000001 -16 -3 -72 -99 -98 -41 -313 
Grainger County, TN47057MD000001 240 56 -80 100 199 42 317 
Knox County, TN47093MD000001 1,464 1,972 2,786 1,260 2,794 844 9,656 
Loudon County, TN47105MD000001 876 297 683 729 305 340 2,354 
Morgan County, TN47129MD000001 -12 69 -78 -224 99 -203 -337 
Roane County, TN47145MD000001 -172 -138 -187 -216 9 156 -376 
Union County, TN47173MD000001 -140 93 -123 -76 7 158 59 
Total MD000001 2,544 2,889 3,442 2,491 4,421 2,524 15,767 
Table 7. Net Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Anderson County, TN47001MN000001 36 191 270 172 149 457 1,239 
Blount County, TN47009MN000001 432 473 356 966 1,100 916 3,811 
Campbell County, TN47013MN000001 -16 -6 -76 -103 -102 -45 -332 
Grainger County, TN47057MN000001 240 57 -80 101 200 43 321 
Knox County, TN47093MN000001 1,928 2,496 3,321 1,824 3,452 1,513 12,606 
Loudon County, TN47105MN000001 908 331 702 752 337 375 2,497 
Morgan County, TN47129MN000001 -12 70 -77 -223 100 -202 -332 
Roane County, TN47145MN000001 -152 -121 -167 -196 33 180 -271 
Union County, TN47173MN000001 -140 88 -128 -81 2 153 34 
Total MN000001 3,224 3,579 4,121 3,212 5,271 3,390 19,573 
Table 8. Group Quarters          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg10-15%Chg 10-15
Anderson County, TN47001GQ000001 1,183 1,183 1,183 1,183 1,183 1,183 0 0.00
Blount County, TN47009GQ000001 2,027 1,990 1,963 2,041 1,957 2,005 -22 -1.09
Campbell County, TN47013GQ000001 519 519 519 519 519 519 0 0.00
Grainger County, TN47057GQ000001 151 151 151 151 151 151 0 0.00
Knox County, TN47093GQ000001 12,349 12,351 12,424 12,162 12,499 12,096 -253 -2.05
Loudon County, TN47105GQ000001 480 480 480 480 480 480 0 0.00
Morgan County, TN47129GQ000001 2,527 2,600 2,491 2,367 2,412 2,232 -295 -11.67
Roane County, TN47145GQ000001 646 646 646 646 646 646 0 0.00
Union County, TN47173GQ000001 152 152 152 152 152 152 0 0.00
Total GQ000001 20,034 20,072 20,009 19,701 19,999 19,464 -570 -2.85

Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
  -- http://proximityone.com (888.364.7656)