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Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN MSA Regional Analytics
  -- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15

Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015
Natural Change 20,811
  equals Births 78,894
  less Deaths 58,083
Net Migration 20,811
  equals net International Migration 12,529
  plus net Domestic Migration 8,282

The population of the Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN MSA changed from 1,237,810 on 2010 to 1,278,413 in 2015 -- a change of 40,603 (3.28%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.

Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.

From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), natural change (20,811) exceeded net migration (20,811); natural change has been the primary contributing factor for the total metro population change. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.

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Related Sections
  • Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN MSA S&O Report
  • State of the States -- all states interactive table
  • Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
  • CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
  • CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
  • Regional Data Analytics Main

Table 1. Population          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg 10-15%Chg 10-15
Clark County, IN18019P0000001 110,557 111,553 111,908 112,771 114,301 115,371 4,814 4.35
Floyd County, IN18043P0000001 74,708 75,037 75,355 76,098 76,233 76,778 2,070 2.77
Harrison County, IN18061P0000001 39,352 39,215 39,068 39,051 39,238 39,578 226 0.57
Scott County, IN18143P0000001 24,173 23,928 23,765 23,800 23,678 23,744 -429 -1.77
Washington County, IN18175P0000001 28,284 28,178 27,928 27,814 27,904 27,827 -457 -1.62
Bullitt County, KY21029P0000001 74,506 75,296 75,926 76,842 78,041 78,702 4,196 5.63
Henry County, KY21103P0000001 15,382 15,360 15,321 15,403 15,573 15,620 238 1.55
Jefferson County, KY21111P0000001 742,228 746,174 751,111 757,516 760,621 763,623 21,395 2.88
Oldham County, KY21185P0000001 60,433 60,767 62,145 63,161 64,237 64,875 4,442 7.35
Shelby County, KY21211P0000001 42,276 42,936 43,667 44,286 44,929 45,632 3,356 7.94
Spencer County, KY21215P0000001 17,109 17,347 17,406 17,551 17,688 17,894 785 4.59
Trimble County, KY21223P0000001 8,802 8,800 8,818 8,799 8,729 8,769 -33 -0.37
Total P0000001 1,237,810 1,244,591 1,252,418 1,263,092 1,271,172 1,278,413 40,603 3.28
Table 2. Births          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Clark County, IN18019B0000001 1,368 1,439 1,464 1,458 1,559 1,592 7,512 
Floyd County, IN18043B0000001 1,044 870 898 847 900 870 4,385 
Harrison County, IN18061B0000001 376 400 415 413 406 425 2,059 
Scott County, IN18143B0000001 256 290 283 281 289 281 1,424 
Washington County, IN18175B0000001 280 297 304 310 342 338 1,591 
Bullitt County, KY21029B0000001 788 748 754 732 815 826 3,875 
Henry County, KY21103B0000001 156 190 166 178 184 191 909 
Jefferson County, KY21111B0000001 10,200 10,065 9,924 10,034 9,964 10,000 49,987 
Oldham County, KY21185B0000001 512 531 489 518 513 543 2,594 
Shelby County, KY21211B0000001 608 599 618 628 662 636 3,143 
Spencer County, KY21215B0000001 148 211 190 153 183 176 913 
Trimble County, KY21223B0000001 104 97 110 101 95 99 502 
Total B0000001 15,840 15,737 15,615 15,653 15,912 15,977 78,894 
Table 3. Deaths          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Clark County, IN18019D0000001 984 1,016 1,087 1,153 1,078 1,093 5,427 
Floyd County, IN18043D0000001 516 718 729 736 729 712 3,624 
Harrison County, IN18061D0000001 472 369 363 385 376 336 1,829 
Scott County, IN18143D0000001 360 296 301 299 283 293 1,472 
Washington County, IN18175D0000001 208 302 303 290 281 279 1,455 
Bullitt County, KY21029D0000001 416 454 468 552 587 587 2,648 
Henry County, KY21103D0000001 192 182 152 179 151 157 821 
Jefferson County, KY21111D0000001 7,144 7,227 7,222 7,505 7,206 7,220 36,380 
Oldham County, KY21185D0000001 484 309 335 377 358 361 1,740 
Shelby County, KY21211D0000001 212 326 350 325 307 300 1,608 
Spencer County, KY21215D0000001 48 130 127 132 118 145 652 
Trimble County, KY21223D0000001 32 73 75 89 92 98 427 
Total D0000001 11,068 11,402 11,512 12,022 11,566 11,581 58,083 
Table 4. Natural Change          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Clark County, IN18019NC000001 384 423 377 305 481 499 2,085 
Floyd County, IN18043NC000001 528 152 169 111 171 158 761 
Harrison County, IN18061NC000001 -96 31 52 28 30 89 230 
Scott County, IN18143NC000001 -104 -6 -18 -18 6 -12 -48 
Washington County, IN18175NC000001 72 -5 1 20 61 59 136 
Bullitt County, KY21029NC000001 372 294 286 180 228 239 1,227 
Henry County, KY21103NC000001 -36 8 14 -1 33 34 88 
Jefferson County, KY21111NC000001 3,056 2,838 2,702 2,529 2,758 2,780 13,607 
Oldham County, KY21185NC000001 28 222 154 141 155 182 854 
Shelby County, KY21211NC000001 396 273 268 303 355 336 1,535 
Spencer County, KY21215NC000001 100 81 63 21 65 31 261 
Trimble County, KY21223NC000001 72 24 35 12 3 1 75 
Total NC000001 4,772 4,335 4,103 3,631 4,346 4,396 20,811 
Table 5. International Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Clark County, IN18019MI000001 104 128 71 80 94 98 471 
Floyd County, IN18043MI000001 8 14 13 21 31 31 110 
Harrison County, IN18061MI000001 12 11 11 11 12 12 57 
Scott County, IN18143MI000001 0 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -3 
Washington County, IN18175MI000001 8 12 10 12 12 12 58 
Bullitt County, KY21029MI000001 0 -4 9 5 6 6 22 
Henry County, KY21103MI000001 0 7 6 7 8 8 36 
Jefferson County, KY21111MI000001 1,640 1,843 2,041 2,199 2,469 2,475 11,027 
Oldham County, KY21185MI000001 68 55 88 98 110 111 462 
Shelby County, KY21211MI000001 44 63 48 53 59 60 283 
Spencer County, KY21215MI000001 -4 -4 -3 -2 -2 -2 -13 
Trimble County, KY21223MI000001 16 16 1 0 1 1 19 
Total MI000001 1,896 2,142 2,294 2,483 2,799 2,811 12,529 
Table 6. Domestic Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Clark County, IN18019MD000001 768 454 -78 425 962 445 2,208 
Floyd County, IN18043MD000001 -8 157 139 647 -73 306 1,176 
Harrison County, IN18061MD000001 52 -168 -214 -73 174 225 -56 
Scott County, IN18143MD000001 92 -250 -144 49 -132 57 -420 
Washington County, IN18175MD000001 28 -104 -267 -148 20 -152 -651 
Bullitt County, KY21029MD000001 360 456 336 714 917 377 2,800 
Henry County, KY21103MD000001 -100 -28 -58 82 137 14 147 
Jefferson County, KY21111MD000001 24 -323 207 1,603 -1,535 -2,030 -2,078 
Oldham County, KY21185MD000001 300 38 1,122 764 845 410 3,179 
Shelby County, KY21211MD000001 384 291 409 277 250 345 1,572 
Spencer County, KY21215MD000001 88 163 0 125 74 168 530 
Trimble County, KY21223MD000001 -104 -37 -16 -27 -78 33 -125 
Total MD000001 1,884 649 1,436 4,438 1,561 198 8,282 
Table 7. Net Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Clark County, IN18019MN000001 872 582 -7 505 1,056 543 2,679 
Floyd County, IN18043MN000001 0 171 152 668 -42 337 1,286 
Harrison County, IN18061MN000001 64 -157 -203 -62 186 237 1 
Scott County, IN18143MN000001 92 -249 -145 48 -133 56 -423 
Washington County, IN18175MN000001 36 -92 -257 -136 32 -140 -593 
Bullitt County, KY21029MN000001 360 452 345 719 923 383 2,822 
Henry County, KY21103MN000001 -100 -21 -52 89 145 22 183 
Jefferson County, KY21111MN000001 1,664 1,520 2,248 3,802 934 445 8,949 
Oldham County, KY21185MN000001 368 93 1,210 862 955 521 3,641 
Shelby County, KY21211MN000001 428 354 457 330 309 405 1,855 
Spencer County, KY21215MN000001 84 159 -3 123 72 166 517 
Trimble County, KY21223MN000001 -88 -21 -15 -27 -77 34 -106 
Total MN000001 3,780 2,791 3,730 6,921 4,360 3,009 20,811 
Table 8. Group Quarters          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg10-15%Chg 10-15
Clark County, IN18019GQ000001 1,515 1,483 1,515 1,462 1,492 1,466 -49 -3.23
Floyd County, IN18043GQ000001 1,329 1,329 1,329 1,329 1,329 1,329 0 0.00
Harrison County, IN18061GQ000001 461 461 461 461 461 461 0 0.00
Scott County, IN18143GQ000001 312 312 312 312 312 312 0 0.00
Washington County, IN18175GQ000001 261 261 261 261 261 261 0 0.00
Bullitt County, KY21029GQ000001 340 340 340 340 340 340 0 0.00
Henry County, KY21103GQ000001 80 80 80 80 80 80 0 0.00
Jefferson County, KY21111GQ000001 14,153 14,155 14,533 14,891 14,941 15,195 1,042 7.36
Oldham County, KY21185GQ000001 4,568 4,461 5,186 5,173 5,179 5,176 608 13.31
Shelby County, KY21211GQ000001 1,673 1,725 1,817 1,820 1,807 1,808 135 8.07
Spencer County, KY21215GQ000001 113 113 113 113 113 113 0 0.00
Trimble County, KY21223GQ000001 41 41 41 41 41 41 0 0.00
Total GQ000001 24,846 24,761 25,988 26,283 26,356 26,582 1,736 6.99

Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
  -- http://proximityone.com (888.364.7656)