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Memphis, TN-MS-AR MSA Regional Analytics
  -- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15

Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015
Natural Change 38,491
  equals Births 94,508
  less Deaths 56,017
Net Migration -20,440
  equals net International Migration 9,255
  plus net Domestic Migration -29,695

The population of the Memphis, TN-MS-AR MSA changed from 1,326,410 on 2010 to 1,344,127 in 2015 -- a change of 17,717 (1.34%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.

Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.

From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), natural change (38,491) exceeded net migration (-20,440); natural change has been the primary contributing factor for the total metro population change. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.

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Related Sections
  • Memphis, TN-MS-AR MSA S&O Report
  • State of the States -- all states interactive table
  • Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
  • CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
  • CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
  • Regional Data Analytics Main

Table 1. Population          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg 10-15%Chg 10-15
Crittenden County, AR05035P0000001 50,948 50,514 50,050 49,738 49,558 48,963 -1,985 -3.90
Benton County, MS28009P0000001 8,695 8,705 8,649 8,503 8,312 8,182 -513 -5.90
DeSoto County, MS28033P0000001 161,788 163,917 166,367 168,438 170,886 173,323 11,535 7.13
Marshall County, MS28093P0000001 37,078 36,759 36,564 36,497 36,191 35,916 -1,162 -3.13
Tate County, MS28137P0000001 28,981 28,725 28,501 28,347 28,206 28,296 -685 -2.36
Tunica County, MS28143P0000001 10,747 10,580 10,445 10,474 10,545 10,343 -404 -3.76
Fayette County, TN47047P0000001 38,408 38,526 38,615 38,765 38,999 39,165 757 1.97
Shelby County, TN47157P0000001 928,618 933,529 939,672 939,074 938,405 938,069 9,451 1.02
Tipton County, TN47167P0000001 61,147 61,318 61,659 61,712 61,812 61,870 723 1.18
Total P0000001 1,326,410 1,332,573 1,340,522 1,341,548 1,342,914 1,344,127 17,717 1.34
Table 2. Births          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Crittenden County, AR05035B0000001 800 802 798 800 774 776 3,950 
Benton County, MS28009B0000001 80 97 80 96 100 97 470 
DeSoto County, MS28033B0000001 1,960 2,021 2,078 2,107 2,007 2,084 10,297 
Marshall County, MS28093B0000001 408 459 465 448 441 448 2,261 
Tate County, MS28137B0000001 304 369 341 310 303 297 1,620 
Tunica County, MS28143B0000001 192 190 202 203 188 191 974 
Fayette County, TN47047B0000001 420 446 418 423 410 419 2,116 
Shelby County, TN47157B0000001 13,152 13,739 14,112 13,776 13,757 13,730 69,114 
Tipton County, TN47167B0000001 808 738 759 740 731 738 3,706 
Total B0000001 18,124 18,861 19,253 18,903 18,711 18,780 94,508 
Table 3. Deaths          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Crittenden County, AR05035D0000001 316 492 460 490 441 472 2,355 
Benton County, MS28009D0000001 156 92 87 99 80 92 450 
DeSoto County, MS28033D0000001 872 1,098 1,173 1,252 1,275 1,271 6,069 
Marshall County, MS28093D0000001 552 372 416 402 423 434 2,047 
Tate County, MS28137D0000001 160 288 242 294 284 295 1,403 
Tunica County, MS28143D0000001 40 131 97 115 63 86 492 
Fayette County, TN47047D0000001 540 323 302 331 400 398 1,754 
Shelby County, TN47157D0000001 6,976 7,546 7,469 7,958 7,880 7,943 38,796 
Tipton County, TN47167D0000001 560 521 483 524 555 568 2,651 
Total D0000001 10,172 10,863 10,729 11,465 11,401 11,559 56,017 
Table 4. Natural Change          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Crittenden County, AR05035NC000001 484 310 338 310 333 304 1,595 
Benton County, MS28009NC000001 -76 5 -7 -3 20 5 20 
DeSoto County, MS28033NC000001 1,088 923 905 855 732 813 4,228 
Marshall County, MS28093NC000001 -144 87 49 46 18 14 214 
Tate County, MS28137NC000001 144 81 99 16 19 2 217 
Tunica County, MS28143NC000001 152 59 105 88 125 105 482 
Fayette County, TN47047NC000001 -120 123 116 92 10 21 362 
Shelby County, TN47157NC000001 6,176 6,193 6,643 5,818 5,877 5,787 30,318 
Tipton County, TN47167NC000001 248 217 276 216 176 170 1,055 
Total NC000001 7,952 7,998 8,524 7,438 7,310 7,221 38,491 
Table 5. International Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Crittenden County, AR05035MI000001 16 13 14 17 18 18 80 
Benton County, MS28009MI000001 0 -3 -4 -4 -4 -4 -19 
DeSoto County, MS28033MI000001 72 92 80 87 112 115 486 
Marshall County, MS28093MI000001 -4 -5 -4 -3 -2 -2 -16 
Tate County, MS28137MI000001 4 9 6 6 7 6 34 
Tunica County, MS28143MI000001 32 24 9 14 15 15 77 
Fayette County, TN47047MI000001 -4 -1 2 2 4 4 11 
Shelby County, TN47157MI000001 1,308 1,388 1,530 1,609 1,859 1,901 8,287 
Tipton County, TN47167MI000001 28 37 59 66 76 77 315 
Total MI000001 1,452 1,554 1,692 1,794 2,085 2,130 9,255 
Table 6. Domestic Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Crittenden County, AR05035MD000001 -304 -762 -827 -614 -539 -882 -3,624 
Benton County, MS28009MD000001 -68 10 -46 -145 -220 -132 -533 
DeSoto County, MS28033MD000001 924 1,078 1,465 1,076 1,576 1,420 6,615 
Marshall County, MS28093MD000001 -76 -405 -242 -129 -307 -312 -1,395 
Tate County, MS28137MD000001 240 -364 -336 -186 -148 122 -912 
Tunica County, MS28143MD000001 -312 -254 -256 -62 -70 -327 -969 
Fayette County, TN47047MD000001 104 -24 -26 31 169 100 250 
Shelby County, TN47157MD000001 -3,580 -2,472 -1,899 -7,976 -8,273 -7,770 -28,390 
Tipton County, TN47167MD000001 -16 -114 8 -251 -163 -217 -737 
Total MD000001 -3,088 -3,307 -2,159 -8,256 -7,975 -7,998 -29,695 
Table 7. Net Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Crittenden County, AR05035MN000001 -288 -749 -813 -597 -521 -864 -3,544 
Benton County, MS28009MN000001 -68 7 -50 -149 -224 -136 -552 
DeSoto County, MS28033MN000001 996 1,170 1,545 1,163 1,688 1,535 7,101 
Marshall County, MS28093MN000001 -80 -410 -246 -132 -309 -314 -1,411 
Tate County, MS28137MN000001 244 -355 -330 -180 -141 128 -878 
Tunica County, MS28143MN000001 -280 -230 -247 -48 -55 -312 -892 
Fayette County, TN47047MN000001 100 -25 -24 33 173 104 261 
Shelby County, TN47157MN000001 -2,272 -1,084 -369 -6,367 -6,414 -5,869 -20,103 
Tipton County, TN47167MN000001 12 -77 67 -185 -87 -140 -422 
Total MN000001 -1,636 -1,753 -467 -6,462 -5,890 -5,868 -20,440 
Table 8. Group Quarters          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg10-15%Chg 10-15
Crittenden County, AR05035GQ000001 701 701 701 701 701 701 0 0.00
Benton County, MS28009GQ000001 78 78 78 79 79 79 1 1.28
DeSoto County, MS28033GQ000001 610 609 609 609 609 609 -1 -0.16
Marshall County, MS28093GQ000001 1,737 1,841 1,840 1,843 1,848 1,848 111 6.39
Tate County, MS28137GQ000001 1,281 1,301 1,286 1,279 1,305 1,308 27 2.11
Tunica County, MS28143GQ000001 104 104 104 104 104 104 0 0.00
Fayette County, TN47047GQ000001 421 422 423 423 424 424 3 0.71
Shelby County, TN47157GQ000001 18,320 18,380 18,308 18,329 17,978 18,113 -207 -1.13
Tipton County, TN47167GQ000001 962 962 962 963 963 963 1 0.10
Total GQ000001 24,214 24,398 24,311 24,330 24,011 24,149 -65 -0.27

Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
  -- http://proximityone.com (888.364.7656)