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Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI MSA Regional Analytics
  -- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15

Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015
Natural Change 119,261
  equals Births 228,035
  less Deaths 108,774
Net Migration 51,213
  equals net International Migration 57,429
  plus net Domestic Migration -6,216

The population of the Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI MSA changed from 3,355,540 on 2010 to 3,524,583 in 2015 -- a change of 169,043 (5.04%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.

Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.

From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), natural change (119,261) exceeded net migration (51,213); natural change has been the primary contributing factor for the total metro population change. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.

Data Analytics Lab Sessions
Join in the weekly Data Analytics Lab sessions (Tuesdays, 3:00 pm ET) where we review demographic-economic characteristics and patterns for wide-ranging geography and updates/extensions to data provided here. No fee, no registration, see connectivity details.

Related Sections
  • Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI MSA S&O Report
  • State of the States -- all states interactive table
  • Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
  • CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
  • CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
  • Regional Data Analytics Main

Table 1. Population          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg 10-15%Chg 10-15
Anoka County, MN27003P0000001 331,453 332,877 336,021 339,027 341,742 344,151 12,698 3.83
Carver County, MN27019P0000001 91,394 92,843 93,923 95,671 97,396 98,741 7,347 8.04
Chisago County, MN27025P0000001 53,917 53,742 53,479 53,728 53,928 54,293 376 0.70
Dakota County, MN27037P0000001 399,188 401,977 404,925 408,508 412,182 414,686 15,498 3.88
Hennepin County, MN27053P0000001 1,154,250 1,169,437 1,184,617 1,199,581 1,212,097 1,223,149 68,899 5.97
Isanti County, MN27059P0000001 37,884 38,243 38,239 38,175 38,394 38,429 545 1.44
Le Sueur County, MN27079P0000001 27,701 27,809 27,650 27,664 27,748 27,663 -38 -0.14
Mille Lacs County, MN27095P0000001 26,095 25,884 25,737 25,842 25,794 25,788 -307 -1.18
Ramsey County, MN27123P0000001 509,428 515,945 521,288 528,056 533,634 538,133 28,705 5.63
Scott County, MN27139P0000001 130,537 132,681 135,265 137,533 139,470 141,660 11,123 8.52
Sherburne County, MN27141P0000001 88,799 89,286 89,555 90,251 91,208 91,705 2,906 3.27
Sibley County, MN27143P0000001 15,234 15,182 15,109 15,040 14,897 14,875 -359 -2.36
Washington County, MN27163P0000001 238,995 241,609 244,138 246,686 249,320 251,597 12,602 5.27
Wright County, MN27171P0000001 125,137 126,343 127,372 128,402 130,026 131,311 6,174 4.93
Pierce County, WI55093P0000001 41,091 40,805 40,658 40,721 40,920 40,889 -202 -0.49
St. Croix County, WI55109P0000001 84,437 84,963 85,274 85,941 86,900 87,513 3,076 3.64
Total P0000001 3,355,540 3,389,626 3,423,250 3,460,826 3,495,656 3,524,583 169,043 5.04
Table 2. Births          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Anoka County, MN27003B0000001 4,336 4,068 4,065 4,064 4,252 4,223 20,672 
Carver County, MN27019B0000001 1,252 1,106 1,099 1,131 1,163 1,186 5,685 
Chisago County, MN27025B0000001 552 551 573 541 531 532 2,728 
Dakota County, MN27037B0000001 5,288 5,123 5,221 5,154 5,258 5,258 26,014 
Hennepin County, MN27053B0000001 16,152 15,917 16,027 16,497 16,725 16,891 82,057 
Isanti County, MN27059B0000001 496 501 445 446 420 435 2,247 
Le Sueur County, MN27079B0000001 408 321 314 299 303 302 1,539 
Mille Lacs County, MN27095B0000001 380 296 338 345 318 313 1,610 
Ramsey County, MN27123B0000001 7,376 7,474 7,523 7,830 7,919 7,945 38,691 
Scott County, MN27139B0000001 2,040 1,916 1,953 1,935 1,870 1,863 9,537 
Sherburne County, MN27141B0000001 1,308 1,171 1,135 1,186 1,167 1,157 5,816 
Sibley County, MN27143B0000001 184 188 178 169 176 161 872 
Washington County, MN27163B0000001 3,068 2,879 2,722 2,859 2,872 2,887 14,219 
Wright County, MN27171B0000001 2,004 1,879 1,831 1,831 1,769 1,792 9,102 
Pierce County, WI55093B0000001 408 401 398 413 358 366 1,936 
St. Croix County, WI55109B0000001 1,268 1,125 1,012 1,034 1,072 1,067 5,310 
Total B0000001 46,520 44,916 44,834 45,734 46,173 46,378 228,035 
Table 3. Deaths          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Anoka County, MN27003D0000001 1,840 1,781 1,730 1,866 1,876 1,826 9,079 
Carver County, MN27019D0000001 496 425 402 486 440 466 2,219 
Chisago County, MN27025D0000001 272 362 349 383 405 372 1,871 
Dakota County, MN27037D0000001 1,928 2,266 2,137 2,319 2,330 2,421 11,473 
Hennepin County, MN27053D0000001 7,364 7,799 7,741 8,232 8,164 8,146 40,082 
Isanti County, MN27059D0000001 328 268 308 284 297 289 1,446 
Le Sueur County, MN27079D0000001 124 193 198 237 219 214 1,061 
Mille Lacs County, MN27095D0000001 352 281 279 295 283 258 1,396 
Ramsey County, MN27123D0000001 3,672 3,919 3,799 4,034 3,976 3,990 19,718 
Scott County, MN27139D0000001 424 559 547 570 581 586 2,843 
Sherburne County, MN27141D0000001 272 499 430 502 460 490 2,381 
Sibley County, MN27143D0000001 84 163 141 149 135 126 714 
Washington County, MN27163D0000001 1,336 1,317 1,335 1,397 1,472 1,473 6,994 
Wright County, MN27171D0000001 736 705 637 705 746 738 3,531 
Pierce County, WI55093D0000001 272 232 242 261 253 256 1,244 
St. Croix County, WI55109D0000001 608 571 537 549 508 557 2,722 
Total D0000001 20,108 21,340 20,812 22,269 22,145 22,208 108,774 
Table 4. Natural Change          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Anoka County, MN27003NC000001 2,496 2,287 2,335 2,198 2,376 2,397 11,593 
Carver County, MN27019NC000001 756 681 697 645 723 720 3,466 
Chisago County, MN27025NC000001 280 189 224 158 126 160 857 
Dakota County, MN27037NC000001 3,360 2,857 3,084 2,835 2,928 2,837 14,541 
Hennepin County, MN27053NC000001 8,788 8,118 8,286 8,265 8,561 8,745 41,975 
Isanti County, MN27059NC000001 168 233 137 162 123 146 801 
Le Sueur County, MN27079NC000001 284 128 116 62 84 88 478 
Mille Lacs County, MN27095NC000001 28 15 59 50 35 55 214 
Ramsey County, MN27123NC000001 3,704 3,555 3,724 3,796 3,943 3,955 18,973 
Scott County, MN27139NC000001 1,616 1,357 1,406 1,365 1,289 1,277 6,694 
Sherburne County, MN27141NC000001 1,036 672 705 684 707 667 3,435 
Sibley County, MN27143NC000001 100 25 37 20 41 35 158 
Washington County, MN27163NC000001 1,732 1,562 1,387 1,462 1,400 1,414 7,225 
Wright County, MN27171NC000001 1,268 1,174 1,194 1,126 1,023 1,054 5,571 
Pierce County, WI55093NC000001 136 169 156 152 105 110 692 
St. Croix County, WI55109NC000001 660 554 475 485 564 510 2,588 
Total NC000001 26,412 23,576 24,022 23,465 24,028 24,170 119,261 
Table 5. International Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Anoka County, MN27003MI000001 460 459 487 522 595 595 2,658 
Carver County, MN27019MI000001 84 85 76 95 111 111 478 
Chisago County, MN27025MI000001 20 17 15 19 21 21 93 
Dakota County, MN27037MI000001 664 596 654 696 797 814 3,557 
Hennepin County, MN27053MI000001 4,544 5,242 5,047 5,514 6,276 6,279 28,358 
Isanti County, MN27059MI000001 4 13 11 12 13 13 62 
Le Sueur County, MN27079MI000001 8 9 11 14 14 14 62 
Mille Lacs County, MN27095MI000001 4 6 5 6 6 6 29 
Ramsey County, MN27123MI000001 2,632 3,150 3,162 3,429 3,877 3,864 17,482 
Scott County, MN27139MI000001 248 245 239 266 298 299 1,347 
Sherburne County, MN27141MI000001 32 78 91 93 104 105 471 
Sibley County, MN27143MI000001 -4 7 6 7 7 8 35 
Washington County, MN27163MI000001 404 390 400 423 488 485 2,186 
Wright County, MN27171MI000001 48 73 77 85 103 102 440 
Pierce County, WI55093MI000001 -8 0 1 1 5 5 12 
St. Croix County, WI55109MI000001 24 16 30 33 40 40 159 
Total MI000001 9,164 10,386 10,312 11,215 12,755 12,761 57,429 
Table 6. Domestic Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Anoka County, MN27003MD000001 -504 -1,318 351 218 -89 -472 -1,310 
Carver County, MN27019MD000001 416 648 322 987 886 496 3,339 
Chisago County, MN27025MD000001 -164 -394 -510 73 26 166 -639 
Dakota County, MN27037MD000001 -1,540 -783 -767 -57 33 -1,388 -2,962 
Hennepin County, MN27053MD000001 -6,072 2,219 1,881 1,074 -1,584 -3,485 105 
Isanti County, MN27059MD000001 136 77 -150 -249 83 -162 -401 
Le Sueur County, MN27079MD000001 -264 -51 -286 -32 -12 -143 -524 
Mille Lacs County, MN27095MD000001 -32 -229 -215 80 -102 -85 -551 
Ramsey County, MN27123MD000001 -3,372 82 -1,488 -411 -1,954 -3,220 -6,991 
Scott County, MN27139MD000001 544 504 935 664 352 574 3,029 
Sherburne County, MN27141MD000001 128 -296 -531 -73 124 -267 -1,043 
Sibley County, MN27143MD000001 -48 -94 -118 -80 -187 -71 -550 
Washington County, MN27163MD000001 1,348 614 792 561 762 170 2,899 
Wright County, MN27171MD000001 468 -101 -234 -193 514 55 41 
Pierce County, WI55093MD000001 164 -480 -307 -92 105 -144 -918 
St. Croix County, WI55109MD000001 -312 -85 -185 166 352 12 260 
Total MD000001 -9,104 313 -510 2,636 -691 -7,964 -6,216 
Table 7. Net Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Anoka County, MN27003MN000001 -44 -859 838 740 506 123 1,348 
Carver County, MN27019MN000001 500 733 398 1,082 997 607 3,817 
Chisago County, MN27025MN000001 -144 -377 -495 92 47 187 -546 
Dakota County, MN27037MN000001 -876 -187 -113 639 830 -574 595 
Hennepin County, MN27053MN000001 -1,528 7,461 6,928 6,588 4,692 2,794 28,463 
Isanti County, MN27059MN000001 140 90 -139 -237 96 -149 -339 
Le Sueur County, MN27079MN000001 -256 -42 -275 -18 2 -129 -462 
Mille Lacs County, MN27095MN000001 -28 -223 -210 86 -96 -79 -522 
Ramsey County, MN27123MN000001 -740 3,232 1,674 3,018 1,923 644 10,491 
Scott County, MN27139MN000001 792 749 1,174 930 650 873 4,376 
Sherburne County, MN27141MN000001 160 -218 -440 20 228 -162 -572 
Sibley County, MN27143MN000001 -52 -87 -112 -73 -180 -63 -515 
Washington County, MN27163MN000001 1,752 1,004 1,192 984 1,250 655 5,085 
Wright County, MN27171MN000001 516 -28 -157 -108 617 157 481 
Pierce County, WI55093MN000001 156 -480 -306 -91 110 -139 -906 
St. Croix County, WI55109MN000001 -288 -69 -155 199 392 52 419 
Total MN000001 60 10,699 9,802 13,851 12,064 4,797 51,213 
Table 8. Group Quarters          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg10-15%Chg 10-15
Anoka County, MN27003GQ000001 3,009 3,007 3,008 3,008 2,982 2,979 -30 -1.00
Carver County, MN27019GQ000001 836 976 923 968 965 916 80 9.57
Chisago County, MN27025GQ000001 1,673 1,673 1,673 1,661 1,673 1,673 0 0.00
Dakota County, MN27037GQ000001 2,853 2,848 2,851 2,842 2,840 2,832 -21 -0.74
Hennepin County, MN27053GQ000001 25,073 25,189 25,234 25,332 25,894 25,572 499 1.99
Isanti County, MN27059GQ000001 465 465 465 465 465 465 0 0.00
Le Sueur County, MN27079GQ000001 270 270 270 270 270 270 0 0.00
Mille Lacs County, MN27095GQ000001 523 523 523 523 523 523 0 0.00
Ramsey County, MN27123GQ000001 18,383 18,389 18,393 17,888 17,993 17,929 -454 -2.47
Scott County, MN27139GQ000001 1,287 1,286 1,287 1,311 1,288 1,287 0 0.00
Sherburne County, MN27141GQ000001 2,174 2,173 2,176 2,177 2,170 2,169 -5 -0.23
Sibley County, MN27143GQ000001 230 230 230 230 230 230 0 0.00
Washington County, MN27163GQ000001 3,569 3,648 3,631 3,605 3,570 3,561 -8 -0.22
Wright County, MN27171GQ000001 1,104 1,104 1,104 1,104 1,105 1,104 0 0.00
Pierce County, WI55093GQ000001 2,766 2,661 2,612 2,516 2,517 2,498 -268 -9.69
St. Croix County, WI55109GQ000001 850 789 788 797 812 807 -43 -5.06
Total GQ000001 65,065 65,231 65,168 64,697 65,297 64,815 -250 -0.38

Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
  -- http://proximityone.com (888.364.7656)