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Minot, ND MISA Regional Analytics
  -- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15

Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015
Natural Change 3,431
  equals Births 6,313
  less Deaths 2,882
Net Migration 6,343
  equals net International Migration 1,218
  plus net Domestic Migration 5,125

The population of the Minot, ND MISA changed from 69,986 on 2010 to 79,814 in 2015 -- a change of 9,828 (14.04%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.

Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.

From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), net migration (6,343) exceeded natural change (3,431); net migration has been the primary contributing factor for the metro population change. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.

Data Analytics Lab Sessions
Join in the weekly Data Analytics Lab sessions (Tuesdays, 3:00 pm ET) where we review demographic-economic characteristics and patterns for wide-ranging geography and updates/extensions to data provided here. No fee, no registration, see connectivity details.

Related Sections
  • Minot, ND MISA S&O Report
  • State of the States -- all states interactive table
  • Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
  • CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
  • CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
  • Regional Data Analytics Main

Table 1. Population          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg 10-15%Chg 10-15
McHenry County, ND38049P0000001 5,397 5,484 5,779 5,894 5,955 5,968 571 10.58
Renville County, ND38075P0000001 2,476 2,494 2,552 2,615 2,578 2,571 95 3.84
Ward County, ND38101P0000001 62,113 64,343 65,534 67,992 69,536 71,275 9,162 14.75
Total P0000001 69,986 72,321 73,865 76,501 78,069 79,814 9,828 14.04
Table 2. Births          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
McHenry County, ND38049B0000001 56 55 68 87 61 68 339 
Renville County, ND38075B0000001 40 21 32 39 30 34 156 
Ward County, ND38101B0000001 1,044 1,062 1,118 1,095 1,276 1,267 5,818 
Total B0000001 1,140 1,138 1,218 1,221 1,367 1,369 6,313 
Table 3. Deaths          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
McHenry County, ND38049D0000001 16 61 56 71 57 52 297 
Renville County, ND38075D0000001 4 18 32 34 29 23 136 
Ward County, ND38101D0000001 412 496 472 512 492 477 2,449 
Total D0000001 432 575 560 617 578 552 2,882 
Table 4. Natural Change          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
McHenry County, ND38049NC000001 40 -6 12 16 4 16 42 
Renville County, ND38075NC000001 36 3 0 5 1 11 20 
Ward County, ND38101NC000001 632 566 646 583 784 790 3,369 
Total NC000001 708 563 658 604 789 817 3,431 
Table 5. International Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
McHenry County, ND38049MI000001 0 2 0 0 2 2 6 
Renville County, ND38075MI000001 0 1 1 1 1 1 5 
Ward County, ND38101MI000001 280 63 429 245 201 269 1,207 
Total MI000001 280 66 430 246 204 272 1,218 
Table 6. Domestic Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
McHenry County, ND38049MD000001 -16 83 276 104 46 -4 505 
Renville County, ND38075MD000001 0 14 56 57 -45 -16 66 
Ward County, ND38101MD000001 788 1,572 125 1,637 534 686 4,554 
Total MD000001 772 1,669 457 1,798 535 666 5,125 
Table 7. Net Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
McHenry County, ND38049MN000001 -16 85 276 104 48 -2 511 
Renville County, ND38075MN000001 0 15 57 58 -44 -15 71 
Ward County, ND38101MN000001 1,068 1,635 554 1,882 735 955 5,761 
Total MN000001 1,052 1,735 887 2,044 739 938 6,343 
Table 8. Group Quarters          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg10-15%Chg 10-15
McHenry County, ND38049GQ000001 48 44 54 53 47 49 1 2.08
Renville County, ND38075GQ000001 54 52 53 53 55 52 -2 -3.70
Ward County, ND38101GQ000001 2,683 2,901 3,425 3,326 3,428 3,410 727 27.10
Total GQ000001 2,785 2,997 3,532 3,432 3,530 3,511 726 26.07

Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
  -- http://proximityone.com (888.364.7656)