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Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN MSA Regional Analytics
  -- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15

Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015
Natural Change 49,158
  equals Births 115,720
  less Deaths 66,562
Net Migration 103,563
  equals net International Migration 21,264
  plus net Domestic Migration 82,299

The population of the Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN MSA changed from 1,675,972 on 2010 to 1,830,345 in 2015 -- a change of 154,373 (9.21%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.

Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.

From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), net migration (103,563) exceeded natural change (49,158); net migration has been the primary contributing factor for the metro population change. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.

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Related Sections
  • Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN MSA S&O Report
  • State of the States -- all states interactive table
  • Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
  • CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
  • CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
  • Regional Data Analytics Main

Table 1. Population          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg 10-15%Chg 10-15
Cannon County, TN47015P0000001 13,800 13,746 13,848 13,783 13,718 13,840 40 0.29
Cheatham County, TN47021P0000001 39,120 39,000 39,257 39,396 39,714 39,741 621 1.59
Davidson County, TN47037P0000001 628,131 635,799 649,318 659,428 669,094 678,889 50,758 8.08
Dickson County, TN47043P0000001 49,697 49,934 50,153 50,195 50,592 51,487 1,790 3.60
Hickman County, TN47081P0000001 24,659 24,350 24,142 24,170 24,388 24,363 -296 -1.20
Macon County, TN47111P0000001 22,258 22,466 22,509 22,643 23,012 23,177 919 4.13
Maury County, TN47119P0000001 81,218 81,448 82,002 83,640 85,598 87,757 6,539 8.05
Robertson County, TN47147P0000001 66,330 66,644 66,700 67,235 67,983 68,570 2,240 3.38
Rutherford County, TN47149P0000001 263,781 269,097 274,339 281,596 289,147 298,612 34,831 13.20
Smith County, TN47159P0000001 19,135 19,156 19,126 19,064 19,040 19,295 160 0.84
Sumner County, TN47165P0000001 161,288 163,943 166,183 169,128 172,870 175,989 14,701 9.11
Trousdale County, TN47169P0000001 7,867 7,809 7,780 7,785 8,002 8,042 175 2.22
Williamson County, TN47187P0000001 184,068 188,296 193,010 198,969 205,334 211,672 27,604 15.00
Wilson County, TN47189P0000001 114,620 116,787 119,106 122,002 125,418 128,911 14,291 12.47
Total P0000001 1,675,972 1,698,475 1,727,473 1,759,034 1,793,910 1,830,345 154,373 9.21
Table 2. Births          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Cannon County, TN47015B0000001 144 148 144 137 140 129 698 
Cheatham County, TN47021B0000001 416 414 448 415 463 447 2,187 
Davidson County, TN47037B0000001 9,656 9,483 9,711 9,891 10,020 10,223 49,328 
Dickson County, TN47043B0000001 632 597 569 642 590 628 3,026 
Hickman County, TN47081B0000001 228 267 253 258 306 293 1,377 
Macon County, TN47111B0000001 296 323 296 313 328 333 1,593 
Maury County, TN47119B0000001 1,248 1,142 1,042 1,066 1,109 1,111 5,470 
Robertson County, TN47147B0000001 788 887 953 869 882 887 4,478 
Rutherford County, TN47149B0000001 3,728 3,688 3,651 3,650 3,893 3,941 18,823 
Smith County, TN47159B0000001 236 210 215 228 236 242 1,131 
Sumner County, TN47165B0000001 1,872 1,859 1,938 1,958 2,079 2,106 9,940 
Trousdale County, TN47169B0000001 76 88 91 84 100 96 459 
Williamson County, TN47187B0000001 1,964 1,963 2,007 2,016 2,110 2,197 10,293 
Wilson County, TN47189B0000001 1,328 1,310 1,363 1,345 1,442 1,457 6,917 
Total B0000001 22,612 22,379 22,681 22,872 23,698 24,090 115,720 
Table 3. Deaths          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Cannon County, TN47015D0000001 192 156 162 172 168 149 807 
Cheatham County, TN47021D0000001 232 369 351 397 332 351 1,800 
Davidson County, TN47037D0000001 4,824 4,936 4,921 5,129 5,154 5,268 25,408 
Dickson County, TN47043D0000001 600 495 504 472 502 464 2,437 
Hickman County, TN47081D0000001 284 274 276 249 256 250 1,305 
Macon County, TN47111D0000001 348 229 253 298 265 270 1,315 
Maury County, TN47119D0000001 620 743 730 792 900 870 4,035 
Robertson County, TN47147D0000001 764 603 627 618 591 604 3,043 
Rutherford County, TN47149D0000001 1,304 1,583 1,621 1,660 1,634 1,710 8,208 
Smith County, TN47159D0000001 288 219 222 221 205 195 1,062 
Sumner County, TN47165D0000001 1,208 1,313 1,255 1,422 1,413 1,466 6,869 
Trousdale County, TN47169D0000001 32 92 90 92 73 80 427 
Williamson County, TN47187D0000001 708 988 982 988 1,024 1,054 5,036 
Wilson County, TN47189D0000001 604 884 936 935 1,038 1,017 4,810 
Total D0000001 12,008 12,884 12,930 13,445 13,555 13,748 66,562 
Table 4. Natural Change          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Cannon County, TN47015NC000001 -48 -8 -18 -35 -28 -20 -109 
Cheatham County, TN47021NC000001 184 45 97 18 131 96 387 
Davidson County, TN47037NC000001 4,832 4,547 4,790 4,762 4,866 4,955 23,920 
Dickson County, TN47043NC000001 32 102 65 170 88 164 589 
Hickman County, TN47081NC000001 -56 -7 -23 9 50 43 72 
Macon County, TN47111NC000001 -52 94 43 15 63 63 278 
Maury County, TN47119NC000001 628 399 312 274 209 241 1,435 
Robertson County, TN47147NC000001 24 284 326 251 291 283 1,435 
Rutherford County, TN47149NC000001 2,424 2,105 2,030 1,990 2,259 2,231 10,615 
Smith County, TN47159NC000001 -52 -9 -7 7 31 47 69 
Sumner County, TN47165NC000001 664 546 683 536 666 640 3,071 
Trousdale County, TN47169NC000001 44 -4 1 -8 27 16 32 
Williamson County, TN47187NC000001 1,256 975 1,025 1,028 1,086 1,143 5,257 
Wilson County, TN47189NC000001 724 426 427 410 404 440 2,107 
Total NC000001 10,604 9,495 9,751 9,427 10,143 10,342 49,158 
Table 5. International Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Cannon County, TN47015MI000001 4 5 12 12 14 14 57 
Cheatham County, TN47021MI000001 12 6 9 11 11 11 48 
Davidson County, TN47037MI000001 2,140 2,549 2,531 2,781 3,175 3,191 14,227 
Dickson County, TN47043MI000001 0 -1 -5 -3 1 1 -7 
Hickman County, TN47081MI000001 12 5 4 4 5 5 23 
Macon County, TN47111MI000001 40 41 47 51 59 59 257 
Maury County, TN47119MI000001 116 100 80 96 114 115 505 
Robertson County, TN47147MI000001 32 39 28 35 45 47 194 
Rutherford County, TN47149MI000001 360 429 491 512 602 611 2,645 
Smith County, TN47159MI000001 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -5 
Sumner County, TN47165MI000001 108 105 103 118 144 147 617 
Trousdale County, TN47169MI000001 4 -1 1 1 1 1 3 
Williamson County, TN47187MI000001 332 364 346 389 442 441 1,982 
Wilson County, TN47189MI000001 100 129 121 137 164 167 718 
Total MI000001 3,260 3,769 3,767 4,143 4,776 4,809 21,264 
Table 6. Domestic Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Cannon County, TN47015MD000001 52 -58 109 -50 -42 133 92 
Cheatham County, TN47021MD000001 -148 -174 152 110 182 -103 167 
Davidson County, TN47037MD000001 -1,104 725 5,980 2,640 1,735 2,012 13,092 
Dickson County, TN47043MD000001 156 141 164 -150 293 671 1,119 
Hickman County, TN47081MD000001 -116 -308 -187 4 158 -66 -399 
Macon County, TN47111MD000001 76 74 -46 60 248 35 371 
Maury County, TN47119MD000001 292 -253 182 1,242 1,502 1,799 4,472 
Robertson County, TN47147MD000001 148 23 -297 215 382 230 553 
Rutherford County, TN47149MD000001 1,836 2,563 2,701 4,701 4,423 6,449 20,837 
Smith County, TN47159MD000001 -56 25 -23 -68 -43 195 86 
Sumner County, TN47165MD000001 1,744 1,783 1,448 2,244 2,783 2,316 10,574 
Trousdale County, TN47169MD000001 -44 -54 -30 6 186 30 138 
Williamson County, TN47187MD000001 1,928 2,848 3,328 4,528 4,646 4,716 20,066 
Wilson County, TN47189MD000001 1,556 1,483 1,766 2,388 2,658 2,836 11,131 
Total MD000001 6,320 8,818 15,247 17,870 19,111 21,253 82,299 
Table 7. Net Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Cannon County, TN47015MN000001 56 -53 121 -38 -28 147 149 
Cheatham County, TN47021MN000001 -136 -168 161 121 193 -92 215 
Davidson County, TN47037MN000001 1,036 3,274 8,511 5,421 4,910 5,203 27,319 
Dickson County, TN47043MN000001 156 140 159 -153 294 672 1,112 
Hickman County, TN47081MN000001 -104 -303 -183 8 163 -61 -376 
Macon County, TN47111MN000001 116 115 1 111 307 94 628 
Maury County, TN47119MN000001 408 -153 262 1,338 1,616 1,914 4,977 
Robertson County, TN47147MN000001 180 62 -269 250 427 277 747 
Rutherford County, TN47149MN000001 2,196 2,992 3,192 5,213 5,025 7,060 23,482 
Smith County, TN47159MN000001 -56 24 -24 -69 -44 194 81 
Sumner County, TN47165MN000001 1,852 1,888 1,551 2,362 2,927 2,463 11,191 
Trousdale County, TN47169MN000001 -40 -55 -29 7 187 31 141 
Williamson County, TN47187MN000001 2,260 3,212 3,674 4,917 5,088 5,157 22,048 
Wilson County, TN47189MN000001 1,656 1,612 1,887 2,525 2,822 3,003 11,849 
Total MN000001 9,580 12,587 19,014 22,013 23,887 26,062 103,563 
Table 8. Group Quarters          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg10-15%Chg 10-15
Cannon County, TN47015GQ000001 164 164 164 164 164 164 0 0.00
Cheatham County, TN47021GQ000001 283 283 283 283 283 283 0 0.00
Davidson County, TN47037GQ000001 25,880 26,027 26,225 25,860 25,715 26,717 837 3.23
Dickson County, TN47043GQ000001 617 617 617 617 617 617 0 0.00
Hickman County, TN47081GQ000001 1,513 1,513 1,513 1,512 1,529 1,511 -2 -0.13
Macon County, TN47111GQ000001 269 269 269 269 269 269 0 0.00
Maury County, TN47119GQ000001 1,009 1,009 1,009 1,009 1,009 1,009 0 0.00
Robertson County, TN47147GQ000001 703 703 703 703 703 703 0 0.00
Rutherford County, TN47149GQ000001 5,110 4,977 4,893 5,114 4,769 4,893 -217 -4.25
Smith County, TN47159GQ000001 159 159 159 159 159 159 0 0.00
Sumner County, TN47165GQ000001 1,252 1,252 1,252 1,252 1,252 1,252 0 0.00
Trousdale County, TN47169GQ000001 130 130 130 130 130 130 0 0.00
Williamson County, TN47187GQ000001 1,153 1,153 1,153 1,153 1,153 1,153 0 0.00
Wilson County, TN47189GQ000001 1,232 1,272 1,344 1,336 1,329 1,247 15 1.22
Total GQ000001 39,474 39,528 39,714 39,561 39,081 40,107 633 1.60

Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
  -- http://proximityone.com (888.364.7656)