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New Bern, NC MSA Regional Analytics
  -- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15

Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015
Natural Change 2,514
  equals Births 8,851
  less Deaths 6,337
Net Migration -3,754
  equals net International Migration 2,279
  plus net Domestic Migration -6,033

The population of the New Bern, NC MSA changed from 127,120 on 2010 to 126,245 in 2015 -- a change of -875 (-0.69%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.

Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.

From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), natural change (2,514) was not enough to offset outbound net migration (-3,754); outbound net migration has been the primary contributing factor for the total metro population change. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.

Data Analytics Lab Sessions
Join in the weekly Data Analytics Lab sessions (Tuesdays, 3:00 pm ET) where we review demographic-economic characteristics and patterns for wide-ranging geography and updates/extensions to data provided here. No fee, no registration, see connectivity details.

Related Sections
  • New Bern, NC MSA S&O Report
  • State of the States -- all states interactive table
  • Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
  • CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
  • CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
  • Regional Data Analytics Main

Table 1. Population          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg 10-15%Chg 10-15
Craven County, NC37049P0000001 103,939 104,705 105,327 104,419 104,350 103,451 -488 -0.47
Jones County, NC37103P0000001 10,078 10,265 10,277 10,202 10,074 10,013 -65 -0.64
Pamlico County, NC37137P0000001 13,103 13,291 13,033 12,894 12,909 12,781 -322 -2.46
Total P0000001 127,120 128,261 128,637 127,515 127,333 126,245 -875 -0.69
Table 2. Births          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Craven County, NC37049B0000001 1,636 1,745 1,631 1,531 1,499 1,493 7,899 
Jones County, NC37103B0000001 84 110 99 94 100 96 499 
Pamlico County, NC37137B0000001 84 105 87 99 73 89 453 
Total B0000001 1,804 1,960 1,817 1,724 1,672 1,678 8,851 
Table 3. Deaths          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Craven County, NC37049D0000001 780 1,011 956 1,010 1,014 991 4,982 
Jones County, NC37103D0000001 212 146 123 120 119 126 634 
Pamlico County, NC37137D0000001 216 158 130 138 144 151 721 
Total D0000001 1,208 1,315 1,209 1,268 1,277 1,268 6,337 
Table 4. Natural Change          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Craven County, NC37049NC000001 856 734 675 521 485 502 2,917 
Jones County, NC37103NC000001 -128 -36 -24 -26 -19 -30 -135 
Pamlico County, NC37137NC000001 -132 -53 -43 -39 -71 -62 -268 
Total NC000001 596 645 608 456 395 410 2,514 
Table 5. International Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Craven County, NC37049MI000001 536 216 731 448 345 476 2,216 
Jones County, NC37103MI000001 4 5 12 8 6 10 41 
Pamlico County, NC37137MI000001 8 2 2 5 6 7 22 
Total MI000001 548 223 745 461 357 493 2,279 
Table 6. Domestic Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Craven County, NC37049MD000001 308 -152 -781 -1,972 -918 -1,979 -5,802 
Jones County, NC37103MD000001 -132 82 23 -61 -115 -50 -121 
Pamlico County, NC37137MD000001 -28 202 -215 -113 91 -75 -110 
Total MD000001 148 132 -973 -2,146 -942 -2,104 -6,033 
Table 7. Net Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Craven County, NC37049MN000001 844 64 -50 -1,524 -573 -1,503 -3,586 
Jones County, NC37103MN000001 -128 87 35 -53 -109 -40 -80 
Pamlico County, NC37137MN000001 -20 204 -213 -108 97 -68 -88 
Total MN000001 696 355 -228 -1,685 -585 -1,611 -3,754 
Table 8. Group Quarters          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg10-15%Chg 10-15
Craven County, NC37049GQ000001 4,939 4,900 5,237 5,099 4,998 4,997 58 1.17
Jones County, NC37103GQ000001 91 90 91 91 90 90 -1 -1.10
Pamlico County, NC37137GQ000001 705 702 697 700 696 696 -9 -1.28
Total GQ000001 5,735 5,692 6,025 5,890 5,784 5,783 48 0.84

Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
  -- http://proximityone.com (888.364.7656)