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Paducah, KY-IL MISA Regional Analytics
  -- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15

Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015
Natural Change -550
  equals Births 5,649
  less Deaths 6,199
Net Migration -907
  equals net International Migration 18
  plus net Domestic Migration -925

The population of the Paducah, KY-IL MISA changed from 98,733 on 2010 to 97,312 in 2015 -- a change of -1,421 (-1.44%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.

Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.

From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), net migration (-907) and natural change (-550); were both negative and jointly contributed to the declining metro population. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.

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Join in the weekly Data Analytics Lab sessions (Tuesdays, 3:00 pm ET) where we review demographic-economic characteristics and patterns for wide-ranging geography and updates/extensions to data provided here. No fee, no registration, see connectivity details.

Related Sections
  • Paducah, KY-IL MISA S&O Report
  • State of the States -- all states interactive table
  • Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
  • CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
  • CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
  • Regional Data Analytics Main

Table 1. Population          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg 10-15%Chg 10-15
Massac County, IL17127P0000001 15,408 15,321 15,150 14,969 14,876 14,766 -642 -4.17
Ballard County, KY21007P0000001 8,258 8,285 8,302 8,270 8,213 8,212 -46 -0.56
Livingston County, KY21139P0000001 9,536 9,500 9,441 9,352 9,355 9,316 -220 -2.31
McCracken County, KY21145P0000001 65,531 65,780 65,609 65,333 65,300 65,018 -513 -0.78
Total P0000001 98,733 98,886 98,502 97,924 97,744 97,312 -1,421 -1.44
Table 2. Births          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Massac County, IL17127B0000001 164 182 170 146 156 153 807 
Ballard County, KY21007B0000001 76 99 80 79 72 72 402 
Livingston County, KY21139B0000001 92 98 97 108 107 106 516 
McCracken County, KY21145B0000001 676 778 777 783 787 799 3,924 
Total B0000001 1,008 1,157 1,124 1,116 1,122 1,130 5,649 
Table 3. Deaths          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Massac County, IL17127D0000001 324 217 203 227 184 171 1,002 
Ballard County, KY21007D0000001 64 105 102 107 106 99 519 
Livingston County, KY21139D0000001 184 139 115 128 111 114 607 
McCracken County, KY21145D0000001 588 797 808 847 799 820 4,071 
Total D0000001 1,160 1,258 1,228 1,309 1,200 1,204 6,199 
Table 4. Natural Change          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Massac County, IL17127NC000001 -160 -35 -33 -81 -28 -18 -195 
Ballard County, KY21007NC000001 12 -6 -22 -28 -34 -27 -117 
Livingston County, KY21139NC000001 -92 -41 -18 -20 -4 -8 -91 
McCracken County, KY21145NC000001 88 -19 -31 -64 -12 -21 -147 
Total NC000001 -152 -101 -104 -193 -78 -74 -550 
Table 5. International Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Massac County, IL17127MI000001 0 2 2 2 3 3 12 
Ballard County, KY21007MI000001 0 2 0 1 1 1 5 
Livingston County, KY21139MI000001 4 1 3 3 4 4 15 
McCracken County, KY21145MI000001 0 -6 -4 -2 -1 -1 -14 
Total MI000001 4 -1 1 4 7 7 18 
Table 6. Domestic Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Massac County, IL17127MD000001 108 -64 -141 -108 -62 -113 -488 
Ballard County, KY21007MD000001 36 21 38 2 -35 44 70 
Livingston County, KY21139MD000001 164 5 -43 -78 -1 -33 -150 
McCracken County, KY21145MD000001 -204 309 -130 -234 17 -319 -357 
Total MD000001 104 271 -276 -418 -81 -421 -925 
Table 7. Net Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Massac County, IL17127MN000001 108 -62 -139 -106 -59 -110 -476 
Ballard County, KY21007MN000001 36 23 38 3 -34 45 75 
Livingston County, KY21139MN000001 168 6 -40 -75 3 -29 -135 
McCracken County, KY21145MN000001 -204 303 -134 -236 16 -320 -371 
Total MN000001 108 270 -275 -414 -74 -414 -907 
Table 8. Group Quarters          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg10-15%Chg 10-15
Massac County, IL17127GQ000001 292 292 292 292 292 292 0 0.00
Ballard County, KY21007GQ000001 127 127 127 127 127 127 0 0.00
Livingston County, KY21139GQ000001 69 69 69 69 69 69 0 0.00
McCracken County, KY21145GQ000001 1,189 1,189 1,189 1,189 1,189 1,189 0 0.00
Total GQ000001 1,677 1,677 1,677 1,677 1,677 1,677 0 0.00

Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
  -- http://proximityone.com (888.364.7656)