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Richmond, VA MSA Regional Analytics
  -- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15

Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015
Natural Change 24,167
  equals Births 74,034
  less Deaths 49,867
Net Migration 36,075
  equals net International Migration 18,065
  plus net Domestic Migration 18,010

The population of the Richmond, VA MSA changed from 1,210,265 on 2010 to 1,271,334 in 2015 -- a change of 61,069 (5.05%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.

Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.

From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), net migration (36,075) exceeded natural change (24,167); net migration has been the primary contributing factor for the metro population change. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.

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Related Sections
  • Richmond, VA MSA S&O Report
  • State of the States -- all states interactive table
  • Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
  • CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
  • CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
  • Regional Data Analytics Main

Table 1. Population          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg 10-15%Chg 10-15
Amelia County, VA51007P0000001 12,742 12,757 12,740 12,698 12,785 12,903 161 1.26
Caroline County, VA51033P0000001 28,643 28,705 28,980 29,281 29,795 29,984 1,341 4.68
Charles City County, VA51036P0000001 7,271 7,248 7,168 7,110 7,024 7,040 -231 -3.18
Chesterfield County, VA51041P0000001 317,312 320,545 324,101 327,955 332,593 335,687 18,375 5.79
Dinwiddie County, VA51053P0000001 28,019 28,178 28,272 28,182 28,068 27,852 -167 -0.60
Goochland County, VA51075P0000001 21,739 21,448 21,348 21,641 21,917 22,253 514 2.36
Hanover County, VA51085P0000001 99,937 99,984 100,432 101,185 101,872 103,227 3,290 3.29
Henrico County, VA51087P0000001 307,639 310,858 315,902 319,585 322,818 325,155 17,516 5.69
King William County, VA51101P0000001 15,986 15,988 15,976 16,093 16,159 16,269 283 1.77
New Kent County, VA51127P0000001 18,559 18,768 19,151 19,490 19,999 20,392 1,833 9.88
Powhatan County, VA51145P0000001 28,100 28,106 28,157 28,280 28,462 28,031 -69 -0.25
Prince George County, VA51149P0000001 35,649 36,771 37,186 37,519 37,563 37,862 2,213 6.21
Sussex County, VA51183P0000001 12,014 12,097 11,936 11,797 11,763 11,715 -299 -2.49
Colonial Heights city, VA51570P0000001 17,363 17,291 17,384 17,504 17,575 17,820 457 2.63
Hopewell city, VA51670P0000001 22,634 22,471 22,276 22,131 22,137 22,378 -256 -1.13
Petersburg city, VA51730P0000001 32,507 31,931 31,843 32,117 32,245 32,477 -30 -0.09
Richmond city, VA51760P0000001 204,151 206,622 210,921 213,931 216,910 220,289 16,138 7.90
Total P0000001 1,210,265 1,219,768 1,233,773 1,246,499 1,259,685 1,271,334 61,069 5.05
Table 2. Births          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Amelia County, VA51007B0000001 156 147 134 136 126 130 673 
Caroline County, VA51033B0000001 424 384 400 393 434 427 2,038 
Charles City County, VA51036B0000001 100 48 57 50 53 46 254 
Chesterfield County, VA51041B0000001 4,164 3,724 3,681 3,726 3,846 3,890 18,867 
Dinwiddie County, VA51053B0000001 280 303 318 333 235 210 1,399 
Goochland County, VA51075B0000001 152 174 157 171 159 163 824 
Hanover County, VA51085B0000001 936 888 862 919 881 902 4,452 
Henrico County, VA51087B0000001 3,996 3,931 4,078 4,029 3,927 3,945 19,910 
King William County, VA51101B0000001 204 199 190 191 186 187 953 
New Kent County, VA51127B0000001 232 169 202 174 163 172 880 
Powhatan County, VA51145B0000001 256 247 242 221 234 225 1,169 
Prince George County, VA51149B0000001 388 418 383 382 338 321 1,842 
Sussex County, VA51183B0000001 124 102 105 111 100 100 518 
Colonial Heights city, VA51570B0000001 164 174 187 217 286 316 1,180 
Hopewell city, VA51670B0000001 348 332 332 361 360 380 1,765 
Petersburg city, VA51730B0000001 508 518 493 483 640 746 2,880 
Richmond city, VA51760B0000001 2,820 2,821 2,946 2,860 2,901 2,902 14,430 
Total B0000001 15,252 14,579 14,767 14,757 14,869 15,062 74,034 
Table 3. Deaths          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Amelia County, VA51007D0000001 52 127 142 157 103 127 656 
Caroline County, VA51033D0000001 316 225 226 286 254 259 1,250 
Charles City County, VA51036D0000001 144 85 72 79 75 92 403 
Chesterfield County, VA51041D0000001 2,052 1,945 2,062 2,163 2,191 2,219 10,580 
Dinwiddie County, VA51053D0000001 140 245 216 292 267 255 1,275 
Goochland County, VA51075D0000001 60 184 174 196 149 162 865 
Hanover County, VA51085D0000001 900 756 845 859 811 763 4,034 
Henrico County, VA51087D0000001 2,500 2,473 2,412 2,546 2,639 2,574 12,644 
King William County, VA51101D0000001 76 131 148 149 117 125 670 
New Kent County, VA51127D0000001 264 134 130 144 123 118 649 
Powhatan County, VA51145D0000001 88 192 190 197 221 222 1,022 
Prince George County, VA51149D0000001 136 217 246 225 243 234 1,165 
Sussex County, VA51183D0000001 68 142 137 152 104 136 671 
Colonial Heights city, VA51570D0000001 244 219 220 202 192 185 1,018 
Hopewell city, VA51670D0000001 156 292 267 275 255 272 1,361 
Petersburg city, VA51730D0000001 440 396 356 402 453 445 2,052 
Richmond city, VA51760D0000001 2,044 1,871 1,794 1,897 1,995 1,995 9,552 
Total D0000001 9,680 9,634 9,637 10,221 10,192 10,183 49,867 
Table 4. Natural Change          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Amelia County, VA51007NC000001 104 20 -8 -21 23 3 17 
Caroline County, VA51033NC000001 108 159 174 107 180 168 788 
Charles City County, VA51036NC000001 -44 -37 -15 -29 -22 -46 -149 
Chesterfield County, VA51041NC000001 2,112 1,779 1,619 1,563 1,655 1,671 8,287 
Dinwiddie County, VA51053NC000001 140 58 102 41 -32 -45 124 
Goochland County, VA51075NC000001 92 -10 -17 -25 10 1 -41 
Hanover County, VA51085NC000001 36 132 17 60 70 139 418 
Henrico County, VA51087NC000001 1,496 1,458 1,666 1,483 1,288 1,371 7,266 
King William County, VA51101NC000001 128 68 42 42 69 62 283 
New Kent County, VA51127NC000001 -32 35 72 30 40 54 231 
Powhatan County, VA51145NC000001 168 55 52 24 13 3 147 
Prince George County, VA51149NC000001 252 201 137 157 95 87 677 
Sussex County, VA51183NC000001 56 -40 -32 -41 -4 -36 -153 
Colonial Heights city, VA51570NC000001 -80 -45 -33 15 94 131 162 
Hopewell city, VA51670NC000001 192 40 65 86 105 108 404 
Petersburg city, VA51730NC000001 68 122 137 81 187 301 828 
Richmond city, VA51760NC000001 776 950 1,152 963 906 907 4,878 
Total NC000001 5,572 4,945 5,130 4,536 4,677 4,879 24,167 
Table 5. International Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Amelia County, VA51007MI000001 12 22 7 7 8 8 52 
Caroline County, VA51033MI000001 12 9 8 8 9 9 43 
Charles City County, VA51036MI000001 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 
Chesterfield County, VA51041MI000001 784 612 662 633 712 757 3,376 
Dinwiddie County, VA51053MI000001 16 20 11 13 20 20 84 
Goochland County, VA51075MI000001 4 3 1 1 1 2 8 
Hanover County, VA51085MI000001 60 53 54 59 68 69 303 
Henrico County, VA51087MI000001 1,392 1,569 1,530 1,656 1,884 1,874 8,513 
King William County, VA51101MI000001 0 2 1 2 2 2 9 
New Kent County, VA51127MI000001 8 16 18 20 22 22 98 
Powhatan County, VA51145MI000001 4 4 10 10 12 12 48 
Prince George County, VA51149MI000001 252 90 360 176 140 194 960 
Sussex County, VA51183MI000001 8 7 5 5 5 5 27 
Colonial Heights city, VA51570MI000001 16 51 52 46 54 62 265 
Hopewell city, VA51670MI000001 20 30 28 30 32 31 151 
Petersburg city, VA51730MI000001 60 71 144 110 122 138 585 
Richmond city, VA51760MI000001 868 679 638 680 769 777 3,543 
Total MI000001 3,516 3,238 3,529 3,456 3,860 3,982 18,065 
Table 6. Domestic Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Amelia County, VA51007MD000001 68 -27 -14 -22 57 123 117 
Caroline County, VA51033MD000001 220 -103 94 165 300 -11 445 
Charles City County, VA51036MD000001 108 -1 -65 -23 -67 60 -96 
Chesterfield County, VA51041MD000001 1,528 860 1,315 1,535 2,234 432 6,376 
Dinwiddie County, VA51053MD000001 -56 43 -14 -160 -85 -183 -399 
Goochland County, VA51075MD000001 68 -342 -89 293 265 320 447 
Hanover County, VA51085MD000001 292 -187 382 667 514 1,051 2,427 
Henrico County, VA51087MD000001 -172 288 1,872 500 98 -1,088 1,670 
King William County, VA51101MD000001 120 -70 -52 69 3 57 7 
New Kent County, VA51127MD000001 528 167 286 281 434 304 1,472 
Powhatan County, VA51145MD000001 48 -68 -11 76 154 -480 -329 
Prince George County, VA51149MD000001 -852 802 -76 16 -177 30 595 
Sussex County, VA51183MD000001 -352 112 -136 -114 -28 -13 -179 
Colonial Heights city, VA51570MD000001 -136 -76 74 67 -77 41 29 
Hopewell city, VA51670MD000001 -24 -228 -293 -273 -128 80 -842 
Petersburg city, VA51730MD000001 228 -848 -372 111 -157 -195 -1,461 
Richmond city, VA51760MD000001 -1,672 822 2,412 1,434 1,162 1,901 7,731 
Total MD000001 -56 1,144 5,313 4,622 4,502 2,429 18,010 
Table 7. Net Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Amelia County, VA51007MN000001 80 -5 -7 -15 65 131 169 
Caroline County, VA51033MN000001 232 -94 102 173 309 -2 488 
Charles City County, VA51036MN000001 108 -1 -65 -23 -67 60 -96 
Chesterfield County, VA51041MN000001 2,312 1,472 1,977 2,168 2,946 1,189 9,752 
Dinwiddie County, VA51053MN000001 -40 63 -3 -147 -65 -163 -315 
Goochland County, VA51075MN000001 72 -339 -88 294 266 322 455 
Hanover County, VA51085MN000001 352 -134 436 726 582 1,120 2,730 
Henrico County, VA51087MN000001 1,220 1,857 3,402 2,156 1,982 786 10,183 
King William County, VA51101MN000001 120 -68 -51 71 5 59 16 
New Kent County, VA51127MN000001 536 183 304 301 456 326 1,570 
Powhatan County, VA51145MN000001 52 -64 -1 86 166 -468 -281 
Prince George County, VA51149MN000001 -600 892 284 192 -37 224 1,555 
Sussex County, VA51183MN000001 -344 119 -131 -109 -23 -8 -152 
Colonial Heights city, VA51570MN000001 -120 -25 126 113 -23 103 294 
Hopewell city, VA51670MN000001 -4 -198 -265 -243 -96 111 -691 
Petersburg city, VA51730MN000001 288 -777 -228 221 -35 -57 -876 
Richmond city, VA51760MN000001 -804 1,501 3,050 2,114 1,931 2,678 11,274 
Total MN000001 3,460 4,382 8,842 8,078 8,362 6,411 36,075 
Table 8. Group Quarters          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg10-15%Chg 10-15
Amelia County, VA51007GQ000001 128 128 128 128 128 128 0 0.00
Caroline County, VA51033GQ000001 513 513 513 513 513 513 0 0.00
Charles City County, VA51036GQ000001 0 0 0 0 0 0 0..
Chesterfield County, VA51041GQ000001 4,623 4,776 5,305 5,023 4,756 4,425 -198 -4.28
Dinwiddie County, VA51053GQ000001 928 937 966 911 862 713 -215 -23.17
Goochland County, VA51075GQ000001 1,406 971 902 1,002 995 1,001 -405 -28.81
Hanover County, VA51085GQ000001 1,958 1,847 2,039 1,956 1,863 1,970 12 0.61
Henrico County, VA51087GQ000001 2,514 2,494 2,605 2,497 2,498 2,498 -16 -0.64
King William County, VA51101GQ000001 72 72 72 72 72 72 0 0.00
New Kent County, VA51127GQ000001 551 551 551 551 551 551 0 0.00
Powhatan County, VA51145GQ000001 2,384 2,392 2,320 2,285 2,208 1,439 -945 -39.64
Prince George County, VA51149GQ000001 4,681 4,780 4,830 4,844 4,668 4,605 -76 -1.62
Sussex County, VA51183GQ000001 2,537 2,593 2,604 2,646 2,649 2,634 97 3.82
Colonial Heights city, VA51570GQ000001 171 171 171 171 171 171 0 0.00
Hopewell city, VA51670GQ000001 237 237 237 237 237 237 0 0.00
Petersburg city, VA51730GQ000001 1,061 1,076 1,052 1,058 1,059 1,058 -3 -0.28
Richmond city, VA51760GQ000001 12,781 12,558 12,598 12,942 13,333 13,518 737 5.77
Total GQ000001 36,545 36,096 36,893 36,836 36,563 35,533 -1,012 -2.77

Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
  -- http://proximityone.com (888.364.7656)