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Roanoke, VA MSA Regional Analytics
  -- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15

Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015
Natural Change -39
  equals Births 16,719
  less Deaths 16,758
Net Migration 5,614
  equals net International Migration 4,411
  plus net Domestic Migration 1,203

The population of the Roanoke, VA MSA changed from 308,659 on 2010 to 314,560 in 2015 -- a change of 5,901 (1.91%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.

Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.

From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), net migration (5,614) exceeded natural change (-39); net migration has been the primary contributing factor for the metro population change. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.

Data Analytics Lab Sessions
Join in the weekly Data Analytics Lab sessions (Tuesdays, 3:00 pm ET) where we review demographic-economic characteristics and patterns for wide-ranging geography and updates/extensions to data provided here. No fee, no registration, see connectivity details.

Related Sections
  • Roanoke, VA MSA S&O Report
  • State of the States -- all states interactive table
  • Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
  • CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
  • CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
  • Regional Data Analytics Main

Table 1. Population          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg 10-15%Chg 10-15
Botetourt County, VA51023P0000001 33,182 33,066 33,196 33,053 33,115 33,347 165 0.50
Craig County, VA51045P0000001 5,176 5,226 5,198 5,185 5,240 5,211 35 0.68
Franklin County, VA51067P0000001 56,202 56,410 56,343 56,324 56,233 56,264 62 0.11
Roanoke County, VA51161P0000001 92,405 92,968 93,047 93,761 93,979 94,409 2,004 2.17
Roanoke city, VA51770P0000001 96,778 96,874 98,087 99,047 99,774 99,897 3,119 3.22
Salem city, VA51775P0000001 24,916 24,847 25,009 25,187 25,350 25,432 516 2.07
Total P0000001 308,659 309,391 310,880 312,557 313,691 314,560 5,901 1.91
Table 2. Births          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Botetourt County, VA51023B0000001 216 252 246 249 239 224 1,210 
Craig County, VA51045B0000001 36 28 38 49 54 54 223 
Franklin County, VA51067B0000001 528 486 514 532 480 482 2,494 
Roanoke County, VA51161B0000001 768 806 800 854 886 870 4,216 
Roanoke city, VA51770B0000001 1,332 1,455 1,456 1,488 1,456 1,505 7,360 
Salem city, VA51775B0000001 228 235 243 228 238 272 1,216 
Total B0000001 3,108 3,262 3,297 3,400 3,353 3,407 16,719 
Table 3. Deaths          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Botetourt County, VA51023D0000001 200 305 307 331 318 322 1,583 
Craig County, VA51045D0000001 12 52 48 63 47 66 276 
Franklin County, VA51067D0000001 612 527 552 555 591 592 2,817 
Roanoke County, VA51161D0000001 952 957 955 956 932 928 4,728 
Roanoke city, VA51770D0000001 1,304 1,248 1,110 1,202 1,171 1,140 5,871 
Salem city, VA51775D0000001 164 282 310 323 277 291 1,483 
Total D0000001 3,244 3,371 3,282 3,430 3,336 3,339 16,758 
Table 4. Natural Change          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Botetourt County, VA51023NC000001 16 -53 -61 -82 -79 -98 -373 
Craig County, VA51045NC000001 24 -24 -10 -14 7 -12 -53 
Franklin County, VA51067NC000001 -84 -41 -38 -23 -111 -110 -323 
Roanoke County, VA51161NC000001 -184 -151 -155 -102 -46 -58 -512 
Roanoke city, VA51770NC000001 28 207 346 286 285 365 1,489 
Salem city, VA51775NC000001 64 -47 -67 -95 -39 -19 -267 
Total NC000001 -136 -109 15 -30 17 68 -39 
Table 5. International Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Botetourt County, VA51023MI000001 4 0 2 4 4 5 15 
Craig County, VA51045MI000001 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 
Franklin County, VA51067MI000001 8 4 2 4 4 4 18 
Roanoke County, VA51161MI000001 204 231 251 267 296 297 1,342 
Roanoke city, VA51770MI000001 396 499 449 503 564 563 2,578 
Salem city, VA51775MI000001 48 91 79 86 100 102 458 
Total MI000001 660 825 783 864 968 971 4,411 
Table 6. Domestic Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Botetourt County, VA51023MD000001 128 -113 190 -91 151 328 465 
Craig County, VA51045MD000001 4 35 -18 12 44 -17 56 
Franklin County, VA51067MD000001 256 234 -27 21 54 103 385 
Roanoke County, VA51161MD000001 -168 447 -14 494 -8 79 998 
Roanoke city, VA51770MD000001 -1,012 -560 406 109 -84 -815 -944 
Salem city, VA51775MD000001 172 -192 150 186 119 -20 243 
Total MD000001 -620 -149 687 731 276 -342 1,203 
Table 7. Net Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Botetourt County, VA51023MN000001 132 -113 192 -87 155 333 480 
Craig County, VA51045MN000001 4 35 -18 12 44 -17 56 
Franklin County, VA51067MN000001 264 238 -25 25 58 107 403 
Roanoke County, VA51161MN000001 36 678 237 761 288 376 2,340 
Roanoke city, VA51770MN000001 -616 -61 855 612 480 -252 1,634 
Salem city, VA51775MN000001 220 -101 229 272 219 82 701 
Total MN000001 40 676 1,470 1,595 1,244 629 5,614 
Table 8. Group Quarters          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg10-15%Chg 10-15
Botetourt County, VA51023GQ000001 275 278 288 278 278 278 3 1.09
Craig County, VA51045GQ000001 9 9 9 9 9 9 0 0.00
Franklin County, VA51067GQ000001 1,472 1,518 1,555 1,552 1,500 1,443 -29 -1.97
Roanoke County, VA51161GQ000001 2,312 2,288 2,287 2,202 2,178 2,201 -111 -4.80
Roanoke city, VA51770GQ000001 2,112 2,106 2,181 2,114 2,126 2,137 25 1.18
Salem city, VA51775GQ000001 1,712 1,810 1,737 1,899 1,995 1,941 229 13.38
Total GQ000001 7,892 8,009 8,057 8,054 8,086 8,009 117 1.48

Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
  -- http://proximityone.com (888.364.7656)