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Rochester, NY MSA Regional Analytics
  -- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15

Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015
Natural Change 10,999
  equals Births 58,671
  less Deaths 47,672
Net Migration -9,083
  equals net International Migration 15,490
  plus net Domestic Migration -24,573

The population of the Rochester, NY MSA changed from 1,080,285 on 2010 to 1,081,954 in 2015 -- a change of 1,669 (0.15%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.

Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.

From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), natural change (10,999) exceeded net migration (-9,083); natural change has been the primary contributing factor for the total metro population change. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.

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Related Sections
  • Rochester, NY MSA S&O Report
  • State of the States -- all states interactive table
  • Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
  • CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
  • CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
  • Regional Data Analytics Main

Table 1. Population          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg 10-15%Chg 10-15
Livingston County, NY36051P0000001 65,241 64,890 64,869 64,764 64,763 64,717 -524 -0.80
Monroe County, NY36055P0000001 744,874 747,615 748,789 750,414 750,362 749,600 4,726 0.63
Ontario County, NY36069P0000001 108,219 108,759 108,795 109,262 109,583 109,561 1,342 1.24
Orleans County, NY36073P0000001 42,847 42,703 42,469 42,323 41,944 41,582 -1,265 -2.95
Wayne County, NY36117P0000001 93,755 93,267 93,017 92,434 91,914 91,446 -2,309 -2.46
Yates County, NY36123P0000001 25,349 25,387 25,253 25,135 25,112 25,048 -301 -1.19
Total P0000001 1,080,285 1,082,621 1,083,192 1,084,332 1,083,678 1,081,954 1,669 0.15
Table 2. Births          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Livingston County, NY36051B0000001 580 566 571 520 506 531 2,694 
Monroe County, NY36055B0000001 8,840 8,612 8,303 8,521 8,303 8,461 42,200 
Ontario County, NY36069B0000001 992 1,050 1,037 1,044 1,032 1,041 5,204 
Orleans County, NY36073B0000001 448 431 401 411 411 409 2,063 
Wayne County, NY36117B0000001 1,024 993 1,014 989 965 994 4,955 
Yates County, NY36123B0000001 300 313 309 325 303 305 1,555 
Total B0000001 12,184 11,965 11,635 11,810 11,520 11,741 58,671 
Table 3. Deaths          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Livingston County, NY36051D0000001 436 557 536 537 525 510 2,665 
Monroe County, NY36055D0000001 6,156 6,426 6,527 6,485 6,459 6,462 32,359 
Ontario County, NY36069D0000001 1,136 1,044 1,022 1,029 1,053 1,021 5,169 
Orleans County, NY36073D0000001 472 412 422 423 419 398 2,074 
Wayne County, NY36117D0000001 924 855 816 849 809 808 4,137 
Yates County, NY36123D0000001 152 241 255 268 252 252 1,268 
Total D0000001 9,276 9,535 9,578 9,591 9,517 9,451 47,672 
Table 4. Natural Change          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Livingston County, NY36051NC000001 144 9 35 -17 -19 21 29 
Monroe County, NY36055NC000001 2,684 2,186 1,776 2,036 1,844 1,999 9,841 
Ontario County, NY36069NC000001 -144 6 15 15 -21 20 35 
Orleans County, NY36073NC000001 -24 19 -21 -12 -8 11 -11 
Wayne County, NY36117NC000001 100 138 198 140 156 186 818 
Yates County, NY36123NC000001 148 72 54 57 51 53 287 
Total NC000001 2,908 2,430 2,057 2,219 2,003 2,290 10,999 
Table 5. International Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Livingston County, NY36051MI000001 60 107 107 110 129 129 582 
Monroe County, NY36055MI000001 1,772 2,444 2,469 2,585 3,003 2,991 13,492 
Ontario County, NY36069MI000001 84 137 123 132 157 157 706 
Orleans County, NY36073MI000001 44 33 26 29 38 40 166 
Wayne County, NY36117MI000001 92 81 87 93 107 107 475 
Yates County, NY36123MI000001 8 12 12 12 16 17 69 
Total MI000001 2,060 2,814 2,824 2,961 3,450 3,441 15,490 
Table 6. Domestic Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Livingston County, NY36051MD000001 -92 -466 -157 -227 -77 -245 -1,172 
Monroe County, NY36055MD000001 -2,564 -1,684 -3,118 -3,165 -4,558 -5,966 -18,491 
Ontario County, NY36069MD000001 576 369 -99 271 191 -191 541 
Orleans County, NY36073MD000001 -148 -198 -245 -176 -406 -391 -1,416 
Wayne County, NY36117MD000001 -172 -673 -543 -797 -749 -658 -3,420 
Yates County, NY36123MD000001 -156 -50 -202 -170 -92 -101 -615 
Total MD000001 -2,556 -2,702 -4,364 -4,264 -5,691 -7,552 -24,573 
Table 7. Net Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Livingston County, NY36051MN000001 -32 -359 -50 -117 52 -116 -590 
Monroe County, NY36055MN000001 -792 760 -649 -580 -1,555 -2,975 -4,999 
Ontario County, NY36069MN000001 660 506 24 403 348 -34 1,247 
Orleans County, NY36073MN000001 -104 -165 -219 -147 -368 -351 -1,250 
Wayne County, NY36117MN000001 -80 -592 -456 -704 -642 -551 -2,945 
Yates County, NY36123MN000001 -148 -38 -190 -158 -76 -84 -546 
Total MN000001 -496 112 -1,540 -1,303 -2,241 -4,111 -9,083 
Table 8. Group Quarters          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg10-15%Chg 10-15
Livingston County, NY36051GQ000001 5,806 5,667 5,846 5,999 6,102 6,085 279 4.81
Monroe County, NY36055GQ000001 26,510 26,738 26,675 26,452 26,375 26,362 -148 -0.56
Ontario County, NY36069GQ000001 3,330 3,331 3,361 3,367 3,384 3,386 56 1.68
Orleans County, NY36073GQ000001 2,576 2,563 2,596 2,741 2,750 2,734 158 6.13
Wayne County, NY36117GQ000001 1,409 1,348 1,353 1,304 1,122 1,120 -289 -20.51
Yates County, NY36123GQ000001 1,284 1,368 1,333 1,279 1,251 1,251 -33 -2.57
Total GQ000001 40,915 41,015 41,164 41,142 40,984 40,938 23 0.06

Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
  -- http://proximityone.com (888.364.7656)