San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX MSA Regional Analytics

San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX MSA Regional Analytics
-- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15

Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015

Natural Change	81,564
equals Births	159,897
less Deaths	78,333
Net Migration	145,582
equals net International Migration	29,487
plus net Domestic Migration	116,095

The population of the San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX MSA changed from 2,153,215 on 2010 to 2,384,075 in 2015 -- a change of 230,860 (10.72%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.

Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.

From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), net migration (145,582) exceeded natural change (81,564); net migration has been the primary contributing factor for the metro population change. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.

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Related Sections
• San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX MSA S&O Report
• State of the States -- all states interactive table
• Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
• CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
• CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
• Regional Data Analytics Main

Table 1. Population
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Chg 10-15	%Chg 10-15
Atascosa County, TX	48013	P0000001	44,964	45,473	46,452	47,077	47,812	48,435	3,471	7.72
Bandera County, TX	48019	P0000001	20,551	20,556	20,616	20,621	20,916	21,269	718	3.49
Bexar County, TX	48029	P0000001	1,722,989	1,755,901	1,789,834	1,823,749	1,860,274	1,897,753	174,764	10.14
Comal County, TX	48091	P0000001	109,299	112,059	114,931	118,682	123,439	129,048	19,749	18.07
Guadalupe County, TX	48187	P0000001	132,560	135,857	139,733	143,189	147,272	151,249	18,689	14.10
Kendall County, TX	48259	P0000001	33,645	34,511	35,732	37,419	38,761	40,384	6,739	20.03
Medina County, TX	48325	P0000001	46,132	46,517	46,830	47,319	47,876	48,417	2,285	4.95
Wilson County, TX	48493	P0000001	43,075	43,705	44,450	45,429	46,440	47,520	4,445	10.32
Total		P0000001	2,153,215	2,194,579	2,238,578	2,283,485	2,332,790	2,384,075	230,860	10.72
Table 2. Births
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
Atascosa County, TX	48013	B0000001	600	671	595	661	657	681	3,265
Bandera County, TX	48019	B0000001	160	172	179	156	151	169	827
Bexar County, TX	48029	B0000001	24,872	26,216	25,880	26,448	27,316	27,684	133,544
Comal County, TX	48091	B0000001	1,252	1,256	1,283	1,350	1,411	1,507	6,807
Guadalupe County, TX	48187	B0000001	1,652	1,634	1,702	1,738	1,765	1,812	8,651
Kendall County, TX	48259	B0000001	340	315	346	319	333	344	1,657
Medina County, TX	48325	B0000001	480	548	485	495	551	548	2,627
Wilson County, TX	48493	B0000001	412	443	511	464	558	543	2,519
Total		B0000001	29,768	31,255	30,981	31,631	32,742	33,288	159,897
Table 3. Deaths
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
Atascosa County, TX	48013	D0000001	460	386	368	375	384	408	1,921
Bandera County, TX	48019	D0000001	120	203	179	196	196	195	969
Bexar County, TX	48029	D0000001	11,092	11,364	11,378	12,277	12,743	12,646	60,408
Comal County, TX	48091	D0000001	736	988	1,022	1,058	980	986	5,034
Guadalupe County, TX	48187	D0000001	644	864	875	969	967	986	4,661
Kendall County, TX	48259	D0000001	356	309	298	345	365	363	1,680
Medina County, TX	48325	D0000001	268	348	352	398	424	403	1,925
Wilson County, TX	48493	D0000001	456	346	305	349	364	371	1,735
Total		D0000001	14,132	14,808	14,777	15,967	16,423	16,358	78,333
Table 4. Natural Change
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
Atascosa County, TX	48013	NC000001	140	285	227	286	273	273	1,344
Bandera County, TX	48019	NC000001	40	-31	0	-40	-45	-26	-142
Bexar County, TX	48029	NC000001	13,780	14,852	14,502	14,171	14,573	15,038	73,136
Comal County, TX	48091	NC000001	516	268	261	292	431	521	1,773
Guadalupe County, TX	48187	NC000001	1,008	770	827	769	798	826	3,990
Kendall County, TX	48259	NC000001	-16	6	48	-26	-32	-19	-23
Medina County, TX	48325	NC000001	212	200	133	97	127	145	702
Wilson County, TX	48493	NC000001	-44	97	206	115	194	172	784
Total		NC000001	15,636	16,447	16,204	15,664	16,319	16,930	81,564
Table 5. International Migration
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
Atascosa County, TX	48013	MI000001	-8	-2	-5	-2	1	4	-4
Bandera County, TX	48019	MI000001	0	10	11	14	14	13	62
Bexar County, TX	48029	MI000001	3,472	4,332	5,845	5,374	5,883	6,213	27,647
Comal County, TX	48091	MI000001	84	78	100	94	110	116	498
Guadalupe County, TX	48187	MI000001	108	157	149	154	178	179	817
Kendall County, TX	48259	MI000001	56	51	51	55	60	60	277
Medina County, TX	48325	MI000001	52	20	19	19	22	22	102
Wilson County, TX	48493	MI000001	4	17	15	16	20	20	88
Total		MI000001	3,768	4,663	6,185	5,724	6,288	6,627	29,487
Table 6. Domestic Migration
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
Atascosa County, TX	48013	MD000001	92	249	737	330	479	341	2,136
Bandera County, TX	48019	MD000001	224	23	49	13	330	327	742
Bexar County, TX	48029	MD000001	14,744	13,675	13,352	13,363	15,887	15,241	71,518
Comal County, TX	48091	MD000001	2,632	2,297	2,482	3,308	3,930	4,961	16,978
Guadalupe County, TX	48187	MD000001	2,824	2,241	2,857	2,513	2,941	2,885	13,437
Kendall County, TX	48259	MD000001	896	740	1,121	1,717	1,183	1,610	6,371
Medina County, TX	48325	MD000001	232	156	163	361	419	358	1,457
Wilson County, TX	48493	MD000001	688	505	527	838	749	837	3,456
Total		MD000001	22,332	19,886	21,288	22,443	25,918	26,560	116,095
Table 7. Net Migration
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
Atascosa County, TX	48013	MN000001	84	247	732	328	480	345	2,132
Bandera County, TX	48019	MN000001	224	33	60	27	344	340	804
Bexar County, TX	48029	MN000001	18,216	18,007	19,197	18,737	21,770	21,454	99,165
Comal County, TX	48091	MN000001	2,716	2,375	2,582	3,402	4,040	5,077	17,476
Guadalupe County, TX	48187	MN000001	2,932	2,398	3,006	2,667	3,119	3,064	14,254
Kendall County, TX	48259	MN000001	952	791	1,172	1,772	1,243	1,670	6,648
Medina County, TX	48325	MN000001	284	176	182	380	441	380	1,559
Wilson County, TX	48493	MN000001	692	522	542	854	769	857	3,544
Total		MN000001	26,100	24,549	27,473	28,167	32,206	33,187	145,582
Table 8. Group Quarters
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Chg10-15	%Chg 10-15
Atascosa County, TX	48013	GQ000001	384	385	382	377	388	388	4	1.04
Bandera County, TX	48019	GQ000001	320	322	322	320	320	320	0	0.00
Bexar County, TX	48029	GQ000001	42,040	41,986	42,112	41,884	43,091	43,081	1,041	2.48
Comal County, TX	48091	GQ000001	1,060	1,044	1,078	1,088	1,084	1,084	24	2.26
Guadalupe County, TX	48187	GQ000001	1,888	1,903	1,873	1,888	1,925	1,925	37	1.96
Kendall County, TX	48259	GQ000001	519	545	545	542	527	527	8	1.54
Medina County, TX	48325	GQ000001	2,317	2,332	2,378	2,368	2,388	2,383	66	2.85
Wilson County, TX	48493	GQ000001	551	553	547	533	531	532	-19	-3.45
Total		GQ000001	49,079	49,070	49,237	49,000	50,254	50,240	1,161	2.37

Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
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