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Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL MSA Regional Analytics
  -- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15

Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015
Natural Change 9,561
  equals Births 157,061
  less Deaths 147,500
Net Migration 172,062
  equals net International Migration 57,632
  plus net Domestic Migration 114,430

The population of the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL MSA changed from 2,788,715 on 2010 to 2,975,225 in 2015 -- a change of 186,510 (6.69%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.

Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.

From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), net migration (172,062) exceeded natural change (9,561); net migration has been the primary contributing factor for the metro population change. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.

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Join in the weekly Data Analytics Lab sessions (Tuesdays, 3:00 pm ET) where we review demographic-economic characteristics and patterns for wide-ranging geography and updates/extensions to data provided here. No fee, no registration, see connectivity details.

Related Sections
  • Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL MSA S&O Report
  • State of the States -- all states interactive table
  • Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
  • CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
  • CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
  • Regional Data Analytics Main

Table 1. Population          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg 10-15%Chg 10-15
Hernando County, FL12053P0000001 172,970 172,838 173,047 174,016 175,704 178,439 5,469 3.16
Hillsborough County, FL12057P0000001 1,233,831 1,271,399 1,281,606 1,294,039 1,318,325 1,349,050 115,219 9.34
Pasco County, FL12101P0000001 465,474 466,523 470,618 475,751 485,640 497,909 32,435 6.97
Pinellas County, FL12103P0000001 916,440 917,730 921,999 929,683 938,144 949,827 33,387 3.64
Total P0000001 2,788,715 2,828,490 2,847,270 2,873,489 2,917,813 2,975,225 186,510 6.69
Table 2. Births          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Hernando County, FL12053B0000001 1,472 1,519 1,438 1,440 1,496 1,518 7,411 
Hillsborough County, FL12057B0000001 15,056 16,541 16,449 16,412 16,761 16,995 83,158 
Pasco County, FL12101B0000001 4,472 4,774 4,693 4,800 4,782 4,930 23,979 
Pinellas County, FL12103B0000001 7,696 8,501 8,287 8,407 8,647 8,671 42,513 
Total B0000001 28,696 31,335 30,867 31,059 31,686 32,114 157,061 
Table 3. Deaths          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Hernando County, FL12053D0000001 2,552 2,483 2,467 2,512 2,521 2,569 12,552 
Hillsborough County, FL12057D0000001 8,536 9,106 9,254 9,914 10,180 10,572 49,026 
Pasco County, FL12101D0000001 4,916 5,550 5,431 5,711 5,736 5,742 28,170 
Pinellas County, FL12103D0000001 10,744 11,398 11,028 11,525 11,772 12,029 57,752 
Total D0000001 26,748 28,537 28,180 29,662 30,209 30,912 147,500 
Table 4. Natural Change          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Hernando County, FL12053NC000001 -1,080 -964 -1,029 -1,072 -1,025 -1,051 -5,141 
Hillsborough County, FL12057NC000001 6,520 7,435 7,195 6,498 6,581 6,423 34,132 
Pasco County, FL12101NC000001 -444 -776 -738 -911 -954 -812 -4,191 
Pinellas County, FL12103NC000001 -3,048 -2,897 -2,741 -3,118 -3,125 -3,358 -15,239 
Total NC000001 1,948 2,798 2,687 1,397 1,477 1,202 9,561 
Table 5. International Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Hernando County, FL12053MI000001 184 144 166 172 224 227 933 
Hillsborough County, FL12057MI000001 6,132 7,116 7,048 7,227 8,448 8,518 38,357 
Pasco County, FL12101MI000001 612 898 881 920 1,128 1,137 4,964 
Pinellas County, FL12103MI000001 1,520 2,294 2,412 2,573 3,040 3,059 13,378 
Total MI000001 8,448 10,452 10,507 10,892 12,840 12,941 57,632 
Table 6. Domestic Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Hernando County, FL12053MD000001 1,648 749 1,066 1,654 2,337 3,449 9,255 
Hillsborough County, FL12057MD000001 5,572 22,470 -4,157 -1,562 9,125 14,687 40,563 
Pasco County, FL12101MD000001 2,820 1,069 3,991 4,693 8,971 11,839 30,563 
Pinellas County, FL12103MD000001 240 2,605 4,602 7,444 8,368 11,030 34,049 
Total MD000001 10,280 26,893 5,502 12,229 28,801 41,005 114,430 
Table 7. Net Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Hernando County, FL12053MN000001 1,832 893 1,232 1,826 2,561 3,676 10,188 
Hillsborough County, FL12057MN000001 11,704 29,586 2,891 5,665 17,573 23,205 78,920 
Pasco County, FL12101MN000001 3,432 1,967 4,872 5,613 10,099 12,976 35,527 
Pinellas County, FL12103MN000001 1,760 4,899 7,014 10,017 11,408 14,089 47,427 
Total MN000001 18,728 37,345 16,009 23,121 41,641 53,946 172,062 
Table 8. Group Quarters          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg10-15%Chg 10-15
Hernando County, FL12053GQ000001 1,828 1,828 1,770 1,838 1,837 1,827 -1 -0.05
Hillsborough County, FL12057GQ000001 22,039 22,051 22,279 22,165 23,077 22,974 935 4.24
Pasco County, FL12101GQ000001 5,684 5,700 5,794 5,825 5,884 5,890 206 3.62
Pinellas County, FL12103GQ000001 19,943 19,938 20,000 19,995 19,879 19,753 -190 -0.95
Total GQ000001 49,494 49,517 49,843 49,823 50,677 50,444 950 1.92

Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
  -- http://proximityone.com (888.364.7656)