Tulsa, OK MSA Regional Analytics

Tulsa, OK MSA Regional Analytics
-- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15

Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015

Natural Change	21,055
equals Births	66,376
less Deaths	45,321
Net Migration	19,375
equals net International Migration	6,945
plus net Domestic Migration	12,430

The population of the Tulsa, OK MSA changed from 939,978 on 2010 to 981,005 in 2015 -- a change of 41,027 (4.36%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.

Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.

From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), natural change (21,055) exceeded net migration (19,375); natural change has been the primary contributing factor for the total metro population change. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.

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Related Sections
• Tulsa, OK MSA S&O Report
• State of the States -- all states interactive table
• Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
• CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
• CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
• Regional Data Analytics Main

Table 1. Population
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Chg 10-15	%Chg 10-15
Creek County, OK	40037	P0000001	70,204	70,662	70,866	70,729	70,657	70,892	688	0.98
Okmulgee County, OK	40111	P0000001	40,118	39,815	39,617	39,475	39,137	39,187	-931	-2.32
Osage County, OK	40113	P0000001	47,435	48,331	48,013	47,966	48,075	47,887	452	0.95
Pawnee County, OK	40117	P0000001	16,592	16,786	16,462	16,477	16,336	16,436	-156	-0.94
Rogers County, OK	40131	P0000001	87,019	87,735	88,420	89,129	89,862	90,802	3,783	4.35
Tulsa County, OK	40143	P0000001	605,197	608,701	614,814	623,488	630,428	639,242	34,045	5.63
Wagoner County, OK	40145	P0000001	73,413	74,088	75,018	75,680	75,612	76,559	3,146	4.29
Total		P0000001	939,978	946,118	953,210	962,944	970,107	981,005	41,027	4.36
Table 2. Births
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
Creek County, OK	40037	B0000001	896	906	850	861	856	853	4,326
Okmulgee County, OK	40111	B0000001	544	520	535	503	496	504	2,558
Osage County, OK	40113	B0000001	456	531	405	425	444	450	2,255
Pawnee County, OK	40117	B0000001	212	193	187	193	190	181	944
Rogers County, OK	40131	B0000001	980	937	999	965	1,080	1,062	5,043
Tulsa County, OK	40143	B0000001	9,596	9,453	9,484	9,200	9,364	9,427	46,928
Wagoner County, OK	40145	B0000001	948	882	878	927	813	822	4,322
Total		B0000001	13,632	13,422	13,338	13,074	13,243	13,299	66,376
Table 3. Deaths
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
Creek County, OK	40037	D0000001	736	802	792	838	874	879	4,185
Okmulgee County, OK	40111	D0000001	644	518	493	531	483	513	2,538
Osage County, OK	40113	D0000001	296	482	476	433	472	526	2,389
Pawnee County, OK	40117	D0000001	164	220	219	214	185	173	1,011
Rogers County, OK	40131	D0000001	820	721	749	813	830	799	3,912
Tulsa County, OK	40143	D0000001	5,284	5,611	5,321	5,729	5,747	5,753	28,161
Wagoner County, OK	40145	D0000001	416	618	582	640	647	638	3,125
Total		D0000001	8,360	8,972	8,632	9,198	9,238	9,281	45,321
Table 4. Natural Change
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
Creek County, OK	40037	NC000001	160	104	58	23	-18	-26	141
Okmulgee County, OK	40111	NC000001	-100	2	42	-28	13	-9	20
Osage County, OK	40113	NC000001	160	49	-71	-8	-28	-76	-134
Pawnee County, OK	40117	NC000001	48	-27	-32	-21	5	8	-67
Rogers County, OK	40131	NC000001	160	216	250	152	250	263	1,131
Tulsa County, OK	40143	NC000001	4,312	3,842	4,163	3,471	3,617	3,674	18,767
Wagoner County, OK	40145	NC000001	532	264	296	287	166	184	1,197
Total		NC000001	5,272	4,450	4,706	3,876	4,005	4,018	21,055
Table 5. International Migration
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
Creek County, OK	40037	MI000001	4	19	19	16	22	22	98
Okmulgee County, OK	40111	MI000001	8	6	9	11	12	12	50
Osage County, OK	40113	MI000001	16	19	22	22	24	24	111
Pawnee County, OK	40117	MI000001	8	4	4	4	4	4	20
Rogers County, OK	40131	MI000001	40	25	27	32	41	40	165
Tulsa County, OK	40143	MI000001	836	1,092	1,171	1,267	1,475	1,484	6,489
Wagoner County, OK	40145	MI000001	8	7	-1	0	3	3	12
Total		MI000001	920	1,172	1,251	1,352	1,581	1,589	6,945
Table 6. Domestic Migration
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
Creek County, OK	40037	MD000001	744	308	140	-209	-72	185	352
Okmulgee County, OK	40111	MD000001	300	-290	-250	-139	-355	31	-1,003
Osage County, OK	40113	MD000001	-296	596	-276	-68	142	-171	223
Pawnee County, OK	40117	MD000001	8	206	-295	42	-140	84	-103
Rogers County, OK	40131	MD000001	292	406	430	477	427	562	2,302
Tulsa County, OK	40143	MD000001	1,952	-1,145	797	3,682	2,094	3,348	8,776
Wagoner County, OK	40145	MD000001	740	362	630	344	-221	768	1,883
Total		MD000001	3,740	443	1,176	4,129	1,875	4,807	12,430
Table 7. Net Migration
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
Creek County, OK	40037	MN000001	748	327	159	-193	-50	207	450
Okmulgee County, OK	40111	MN000001	308	-284	-241	-128	-343	43	-953
Osage County, OK	40113	MN000001	-280	615	-254	-46	166	-147	334
Pawnee County, OK	40117	MN000001	16	210	-291	46	-136	88	-83
Rogers County, OK	40131	MN000001	332	431	457	509	468	602	2,467
Tulsa County, OK	40143	MN000001	2,788	-53	1,968	4,949	3,569	4,832	15,265
Wagoner County, OK	40145	MN000001	748	369	629	344	-218	771	1,895
Total		MN000001	4,660	1,615	2,427	5,481	3,456	6,396	19,375
Table 8. Group Quarters
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Chg10-15	%Chg 10-15
Creek County, OK	40037	GQ000001	1,062	1,062	1,062	1,062	1,062	1,062	0	0.00
Okmulgee County, OK	40111	GQ000001	1,374	1,374	1,374	1,374	1,374	1,374	0	0.00
Osage County, OK	40113	GQ000001	1,504	1,504	1,504	1,504	1,504	1,504	0	0.00
Pawnee County, OK	40117	GQ000001	194	194	194	194	194	194	0	0.00
Rogers County, OK	40131	GQ000001	1,216	1,216	1,216	1,216	1,216	1,216	0	0.00
Tulsa County, OK	40143	GQ000001	9,866	9,866	9,868	9,869	9,876	9,874	8	0.08
Wagoner County, OK	40145	GQ000001	319	319	319	319	319	319	0	0.00
Total		GQ000001	15,535	15,535	15,537	15,538	15,545	15,543	8	0.05

Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
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