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Waco, TX MSA Regional Analytics
  -- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15

Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015
Natural Change 7,350
  equals Births 18,398
  less Deaths 11,048
Net Migration 1,819
  equals net International Migration 1,511
  plus net Domestic Migration 308

The population of the Waco, TX MSA changed from 253,821 on 2010 to 262,813 in 2015 -- a change of 8,992 (3.54%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.

Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.

From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), natural change (7,350) exceeded net migration (1,819); natural change has been the primary contributing factor for the total metro population change. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.

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Join in the weekly Data Analytics Lab sessions (Tuesdays, 3:00 pm ET) where we review demographic-economic characteristics and patterns for wide-ranging geography and updates/extensions to data provided here. No fee, no registration, see connectivity details.

Related Sections
  • Waco, TX MSA S&O Report
  • State of the States -- all states interactive table
  • Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
  • CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
  • CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
  • Regional Data Analytics Main

Table 1. Population          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg 10-15%Chg 10-15
Falls County, TX48145P0000001 17,882 17,869 17,605 17,260 17,176 17,142 -740 -4.14
McLennan County, TX48309P0000001 235,939 237,827 239,416 241,524 243,088 245,671 9,732 4.12
Total P0000001 253,821 255,696 257,021 258,784 260,264 262,813 8,992 3.54
Table 2. Births          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Falls County, TX48145B0000001 196 194 205 201 200 196 996 
McLennan County, TX48309B0000001 3,404 3,400 3,443 3,413 3,581 3,565 17,402 
Total B0000001 3,600 3,594 3,648 3,614 3,781 3,761 18,398 
Table 3. Deaths          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Falls County, TX48145D0000001 88 198 209 171 167 166 911 
McLennan County, TX48309D0000001 1,640 1,958 1,946 2,163 2,032 2,038 10,137 
Total D0000001 1,728 2,156 2,155 2,334 2,199 2,204 11,048 
Table 4. Natural Change          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Falls County, TX48145NC000001 108 -4 -4 30 33 30 85 
McLennan County, TX48309NC000001 1,764 1,442 1,497 1,250 1,549 1,527 7,265 
Total NC000001 1,872 1,438 1,493 1,280 1,582 1,557 7,350 
Table 5. International Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Falls County, TX48145MI000001 0 9 4 5 9 10 37 
McLennan County, TX48309MI000001 208 252 266 279 334 343 1,474 
Total MI000001 208 261 270 284 343 353 1,511 
Table 6. Domestic Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Falls County, TX48145MD000001 -32 -17 -267 -356 -145 -20 -805 
McLennan County, TX48309MD000001 2,068 300 -159 560 -197 609 1,113 
Total MD000001 2,036 283 -426 204 -342 589 308 
Table 7. Net Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Falls County, TX48145MN000001 -32 -8 -263 -351 -136 -10 -768 
McLennan County, TX48309MN000001 2,276 552 107 839 137 952 2,587 
Total MN000001 2,244 544 -156 488 1 942 1,819 
Table 8. Group Quarters          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg10-15%Chg 10-15
Falls County, TX48145GQ000001 2,068 2,066 2,047 1,823 2,020 2,016 -52 -2.51
McLennan County, TX48309GQ000001 9,083 8,607 9,229 9,504 9,281 9,275 192 2.11
Total GQ000001 11,151 10,673 11,276 11,327 11,301 11,291 140 1.26

Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
  -- http://proximityone.com (888.364.7656)