Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV MSA Regional Analytics

Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV MSA Regional Analytics
-- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15

Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015

Natural Change	238,623
equals Births	402,534
less Deaths	163,911
Net Migration	194,594
equals net International Migration	215,377
plus net Domestic Migration	-20,783

The population of the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV MSA changed from 5,666,536 on 2010 to 6,097,684 in 2015 -- a change of 431,148 (7.61%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.

Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.

From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), natural change (238,623) exceeded net migration (194,594); natural change has been the primary contributing factor for the total metro population change. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.

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Related Sections
• Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV MSA S&O Report
• State of the States -- all states interactive table
• Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
• CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
• CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
• Regional Data Analytics Main

Table 1. Population
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Chg 10-15	%Chg 10-15
District of Columbia, DC	11001	P0000001	605,126	620,472	635,342	649,540	659,836	672,228	67,102	11.09
Calvert County, MD	24009	P0000001	88,947	89,288	89,665	90,458	90,562	90,595	1,648	1.85
Charles County, MD	24017	P0000001	147,137	149,265	150,796	152,904	154,687	156,118	8,981	6.10
Frederick County, MD	24021	P0000001	234,196	237,338	239,569	241,159	243,475	245,322	11,126	4.75
Montgomery County, MD	24031	P0000001	976,179	993,068	1,006,472	1,019,164	1,030,476	1,040,116	63,937	6.55
Prince George's County, MD	24033	P0000001	865,912	875,277	882,971	892,941	903,357	909,535	43,623	5.04
Arlington County, VA	51013	P0000001	209,429	216,544	221,739	225,652	226,624	229,164	19,735	9.42
Clarke County, VA	51043	P0000001	14,038	14,204	14,277	14,285	14,365	14,363	325	2.32
Culpeper County, VA	51047	P0000001	46,848	47,330	47,776	48,467	49,117	49,432	2,584	5.52
Fairfax County, VA	51059	P0000001	1,086,835	1,105,914	1,121,445	1,134,972	1,139,045	1,142,234	55,399	5.10
Fauquier County, VA	51061	P0000001	65,481	66,159	66,682	67,309	68,382	68,782	3,301	5.04
Loudoun County, VA	51107	P0000001	315,600	327,076	338,365	351,081	363,494	375,629	60,029	19.02
Prince William County, VA	51153	P0000001	406,371	419,800	430,653	439,175	445,006	451,721	45,350	11.16
Rappahannock County, VA	51157	P0000001	7,501	7,500	7,451	7,467	7,360	7,378	-123	-1.64
Spotsylvania County, VA	51177	P0000001	123,176	124,853	126,179	127,748	129,202	130,475	7,299	5.93
Stafford County, VA	51179	P0000001	129,844	132,261	134,420	136,994	140,047	142,003	12,159	9.36
Warren County, VA	51187	P0000001	37,514	37,665	37,993	38,637	39,028	39,083	1,569	4.18
Alexandria city, VA	51510	P0000001	140,833	144,579	147,227	149,819	151,440	153,511	12,678	9.00
Fairfax city, VA	51600	P0000001	22,595	22,696	23,109	23,496	23,694	24,013	1,418	6.28
Falls Church city, VA	51610	P0000001	12,440	12,711	13,095	13,359	13,481	13,892	1,452	11.67
Fredericksburg city, VA	51630	P0000001	24,202	25,641	27,097	27,816	28,305	28,118	3,916	16.18
Manassas city, VA	51683	P0000001	38,267	39,155	40,336	41,097	41,363	41,764	3,497	9.14
Manassas Park city, VA	51685	P0000001	14,439	15,176	15,475	15,941	15,805	15,726	1,287	8.91
Jefferson County, WV	54037	P0000001	53,626	54,345	54,543	54,958	55,740	56,482	2,856	5.33
Total		P0000001	5,666,536	5,778,317	5,872,677	5,964,439	6,033,891	6,097,684	431,148	7.61
Table 2. Births
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
District of Columbia, DC	11001	B0000001	8,972	9,196	9,234	9,447	9,415	9,593	46,885
Calvert County, MD	24009	B0000001	932	930	906	950	887	911	4,584
Charles County, MD	24017	B0000001	1,760	1,842	1,913	1,837	1,824	1,863	9,279
Frederick County, MD	24021	B0000001	2,844	2,855	2,721	2,701	2,779	2,814	13,870
Montgomery County, MD	24031	B0000001	13,696	13,191	13,031	13,109	13,019	13,106	65,456
Prince George's County, MD	24033	B0000001	12,068	12,137	12,012	11,951	11,978	12,025	60,103
Arlington County, VA	51013	B0000001	3,260	2,986	3,126	3,259	3,160	3,177	15,708
Clarke County, VA	51043	B0000001	104	129	115	125	156	160	685
Culpeper County, VA	51047	B0000001	708	597	625	638	628	646	3,134
Fairfax County, VA	51059	B0000001	15,380	15,354	15,214	15,243	14,761	14,470	75,042
Fauquier County, VA	51061	B0000001	828	747	774	709	779	811	3,820
Loudoun County, VA	51107	B0000001	5,168	5,015	5,008	4,907	5,133	5,225	25,288
Prince William County, VA	51153	B0000001	6,368	6,513	6,647	6,687	6,759	6,874	33,480
Rappahannock County, VA	51157	B0000001	68	79	54	63	49	46	291
Spotsylvania County, VA	51177	B0000001	1,576	1,626	1,551	1,561	1,504	1,548	7,790
Stafford County, VA	51179	B0000001	1,724	1,733	1,628	1,701	1,750	1,809	8,621
Warren County, VA	51187	B0000001	400	453	447	471	494	495	2,360
Alexandria city, VA	51510	B0000001	2,564	2,687	2,670	2,854	2,750	2,818	13,779
Fairfax city, VA	51600	B0000001	308	217	337	270	472	630	1,926
Falls Church city, VA	51610	B0000001	108	134	153	147	210	221	865
Fredericksburg city, VA	51630	B0000001	404	401	421	407	435	431	2,095
Manassas city, VA	51683	B0000001	592	595	667	670	739	766	3,437
Manassas Park city, VA	51685	B0000001	140	295	240	280	119	19	953
Jefferson County, WV	54037	B0000001	596	620	604	586	637	636	3,083
Total		B0000001	80,568	80,332	80,098	80,573	80,437	81,094	402,534
Table 3. Deaths
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
District of Columbia, DC	11001	D0000001	4,720	4,671	4,537	4,809	5,030	5,218	24,265
Calvert County, MD	24009	D0000001	360	649	613	642	649	680	3,233
Charles County, MD	24017	D0000001	756	947	889	990	980	1,018	4,824
Frederick County, MD	24021	D0000001	1,484	1,509	1,574	1,711	1,688	1,665	8,147
Montgomery County, MD	24031	D0000001	5,904	5,666	5,659	5,922	5,912	5,950	29,109
Prince George's County, MD	24033	D0000001	5,204	5,157	4,978	5,281	5,629	6,101	27,146
Arlington County, VA	51013	D0000001	956	934	898	970	971	1,013	4,786
Clarke County, VA	51043	D0000001	236	150	150	142	152	137	731
Culpeper County, VA	51047	D0000001	432	373	345	390	378	380	1,866
Fairfax County, VA	51059	D0000001	4,200	4,648	4,684	4,902	5,197	5,314	24,745
Fauquier County, VA	51061	D0000001	364	527	481	499	561	579	2,647
Loudoun County, VA	51107	D0000001	784	1,022	1,066	1,121	1,230	1,279	5,718
Prince William County, VA	51153	D0000001	1,776	1,506	1,491	1,688	1,750	1,753	8,188
Rappahannock County, VA	51157	D0000001	116	67	80	69	62	69	347
Spotsylvania County, VA	51177	D0000001	520	760	788	764	849	864	4,025
Stafford County, VA	51179	D0000001	788	569	581	691	691	676	3,208
Warren County, VA	51187	D0000001	444	335	358	367	335	350	1,745
Alexandria city, VA	51510	D0000001	844	743	682	733	740	759	3,657
Fairfax city, VA	51600	D0000001	136	185	188	171	193	236	973
Falls Church city, VA	51610	D0000001	52	60	70	70	73	75	348
Fredericksburg city, VA	51630	D0000001	68	185	159	195	190	223	952
Manassas city, VA	51683	D0000001	104	186	186	191	172	164	899
Manassas Park city, VA	51685	D0000001	4	53	26	27	41	36	183
Jefferson County, WV	54037	D0000001	528	415	426	441	428	459	2,169
Total		D0000001	30,780	31,317	30,909	32,786	33,901	34,998	163,911
Table 4. Natural Change
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
District of Columbia, DC	11001	NC000001	4,252	4,525	4,697	4,638	4,385	4,375	22,620
Calvert County, MD	24009	NC000001	572	281	293	308	238	231	1,351
Charles County, MD	24017	NC000001	1,004	895	1,024	847	844	845	4,455
Frederick County, MD	24021	NC000001	1,360	1,346	1,147	990	1,091	1,149	5,723
Montgomery County, MD	24031	NC000001	7,792	7,525	7,372	7,187	7,107	7,156	36,347
Prince George's County, MD	24033	NC000001	6,864	6,980	7,034	6,670	6,349	5,924	32,957
Arlington County, VA	51013	NC000001	2,304	2,052	2,228	2,289	2,189	2,164	10,922
Clarke County, VA	51043	NC000001	-132	-21	-35	-17	4	23	-46
Culpeper County, VA	51047	NC000001	276	224	280	248	250	266	1,268
Fairfax County, VA	51059	NC000001	11,180	10,706	10,530	10,341	9,564	9,156	50,297
Fauquier County, VA	51061	NC000001	464	220	293	210	218	232	1,173
Loudoun County, VA	51107	NC000001	4,384	3,993	3,942	3,786	3,903	3,946	19,570
Prince William County, VA	51153	NC000001	4,592	5,007	5,156	4,999	5,009	5,121	25,292
Rappahannock County, VA	51157	NC000001	-48	12	-26	-6	-13	-23	-56
Spotsylvania County, VA	51177	NC000001	1,056	866	763	797	655	684	3,765
Stafford County, VA	51179	NC000001	936	1,164	1,047	1,010	1,059	1,133	5,413
Warren County, VA	51187	NC000001	-44	118	89	104	159	145	615
Alexandria city, VA	51510	NC000001	1,720	1,944	1,988	2,121	2,010	2,059	10,122
Fairfax city, VA	51600	NC000001	172	32	149	99	279	394	953
Falls Church city, VA	51610	NC000001	56	74	83	77	137	146	517
Fredericksburg city, VA	51630	NC000001	336	216	262	212	245	208	1,143
Manassas city, VA	51683	NC000001	488	409	481	479	567	602	2,538
Manassas Park city, VA	51685	NC000001	136	242	214	253	78	-17	770
Jefferson County, WV	54037	NC000001	68	205	178	145	209	177	914
Total		NC000001	49,788	49,015	49,189	47,787	46,536	46,096	238,623
Table 5. International Migration
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
District of Columbia, DC	11001	MI000001	2,936	3,351	3,717	3,968	4,516	4,551	20,103
Calvert County, MD	24009	MI000001	80	67	114	94	103	111	489
Charles County, MD	24017	MI000001	328	213	297	257	283	297	1,347
Frederick County, MD	24021	MI000001	720	695	692	703	786	797	3,673
Montgomery County, MD	24031	MI000001	8,204	9,465	9,059	9,734	10,993	11,008	50,259
Prince George's County, MD	24033	MI000001	5,640	6,035	5,685	6,085	6,885	6,917	31,607
Arlington County, VA	51013	MI000001	2,208	2,063	2,180	2,236	2,518	2,549	11,546
Clarke County, VA	51043	MI000001	4	2	8	9	9	10	38
Culpeper County, VA	51047	MI000001	24	33	27	30	38	38	166
Fairfax County, VA	51059	MI000001	8,784	9,618	9,985	10,427	11,707	11,796	53,533
Fauquier County, VA	51061	MI000001	24	23	32	29	35	37	156
Loudoun County, VA	51107	MI000001	2,120	2,317	2,243	2,401	2,695	2,709	12,365
Prince William County, VA	51153	MI000001	2,336	2,164	2,392	2,296	2,569	2,647	12,068
Rappahannock County, VA	51157	MI000001	0	-1	-3	-3	-3	-3	-13
Spotsylvania County, VA	51177	MI000001	224	177	237	205	223	235	1,077
Stafford County, VA	51179	MI000001	416	186	482	336	368	437	1,809
Warren County, VA	51187	MI000001	-4	2	6	7	9	11	35
Alexandria city, VA	51510	MI000001	1,544	1,808	1,987	2,056	2,309	2,334	10,494
Fairfax city, VA	51600	MI000001	140	170	177	175	201	201	924
Falls Church city, VA	51610	MI000001	88	90	83	93	100	100	466
Fredericksburg city, VA	51630	MI000001	160	134	135	129	152	152	702
Manassas city, VA	51683	MI000001	344	279	242	270	309	310	1,410
Manassas Park city, VA	51685	MI000001	88	87	83	87	104	105	466
Jefferson County, WV	54037	MI000001	112	124	115	127	145	146	657
Total		MI000001	36,520	39,102	39,975	41,751	47,054	47,495	215,377
Table 6. Domestic Migration
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
District of Columbia, DC	11001	MD000001	5,696	7,084	6,312	6,076	969	3,731	24,172
Calvert County, MD	24009	MD000001	216	1	-31	356	-233	-396	-303
Charles County, MD	24017	MD000001	976	1,019	213	950	724	179	3,085
Frederick County, MD	24021	MD000001	1,124	1,097	409	-207	477	-120	1,656
Montgomery County, MD	24031	MD000001	1,532	218	-2,922	-4,285	-6,579	-8,265	-21,833
Prince George's County, MD	24033	MD000001	-2,864	-3,351	-4,902	-2,692	-2,372	-6,481	-19,798
Arlington County, VA	51013	MD000001	2,292	2,803	767	-398	-3,904	-1,929	-2,661
Clarke County, VA	51043	MD000001	180	178	100	25	71	-46	328
Culpeper County, VA	51047	MD000001	328	229	142	391	353	-13	1,102
Fairfax County, VA	51059	MD000001	940	-1,172	-4,791	-6,015	-17,997	-16,768	-46,743
Fauquier County, VA	51061	MD000001	332	405	199	352	782	74	1,812
Loudoun County, VA	51107	MD000001	6,240	4,897	5,037	6,441	5,609	5,568	27,552
Prince William County, VA	51153	MD000001	10,164	6,119	3,272	1,235	-1,623	-1,016	7,987
Rappahannock County, VA	51157	MD000001	32	-26	-19	35	-85	50	-45
Spotsylvania County, VA	51177	MD000001	748	539	341	532	514	395	2,321
Stafford County, VA	51179	MD000001	2,148	1,045	658	1,236	1,536	331	4,806
Warren County, VA	51187	MD000001	384	29	241	513	236	-132	887
Alexandria city, VA	51510	MD000001	-12	-93	-1,292	-1,417	-2,781	-2,139	-7,722
Fairfax city, VA	51600	MD000001	-72	-215	89	107	-285	-281	-585
Falls Church city, VA	51610	MD000001	448	113	220	117	-119	202	533
Fredericksburg city, VA	51630	MD000001	220	1,033	1,025	367	48	-568	1,905
Manassas city, VA	51683	MD000001	836	192	458	46	-657	-500	-461
Manassas Park city, VA	51685	MD000001	540	355	4	121	-329	-166	-15
Jefferson County, WV	54037	MD000001	360	380	-90	131	433	383	1,237
Total		MD000001	32,788	22,879	5,440	4,017	-25,212	-27,907	-20,783
Table 7. Net Migration
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Sum11-15
District of Columbia, DC	11001	MN000001	8,632	10,435	10,029	10,044	5,485	8,282	44,275
Calvert County, MD	24009	MN000001	296	68	83	450	-130	-285	186
Charles County, MD	24017	MN000001	1,304	1,232	510	1,207	1,007	476	4,432
Frederick County, MD	24021	MN000001	1,844	1,792	1,101	496	1,263	677	5,329
Montgomery County, MD	24031	MN000001	9,736	9,683	6,137	5,449	4,414	2,743	28,426
Prince George's County, MD	24033	MN000001	2,776	2,684	783	3,393	4,513	436	11,809
Arlington County, VA	51013	MN000001	4,500	4,866	2,947	1,838	-1,386	620	8,885
Clarke County, VA	51043	MN000001	184	180	108	34	80	-36	366
Culpeper County, VA	51047	MN000001	352	262	169	421	391	25	1,268
Fairfax County, VA	51059	MN000001	9,724	8,446	5,194	4,412	-6,290	-4,972	6,790
Fauquier County, VA	51061	MN000001	356	428	231	381	817	111	1,968
Loudoun County, VA	51107	MN000001	8,360	7,214	7,280	8,842	8,304	8,277	39,917
Prince William County, VA	51153	MN000001	12,500	8,283	5,664	3,531	946	1,631	20,055
Rappahannock County, VA	51157	MN000001	32	-27	-22	32	-88	47	-58
Spotsylvania County, VA	51177	MN000001	972	716	578	737	737	630	3,398
Stafford County, VA	51179	MN000001	2,564	1,231	1,140	1,572	1,904	768	6,615
Warren County, VA	51187	MN000001	380	31	247	520	245	-121	922
Alexandria city, VA	51510	MN000001	1,532	1,715	695	639	-472	195	2,772
Fairfax city, VA	51600	MN000001	68	-45	266	282	-84	-80	339
Falls Church city, VA	51610	MN000001	536	203	303	210	-19	302	999
Fredericksburg city, VA	51630	MN000001	380	1,167	1,160	496	200	-416	2,607
Manassas city, VA	51683	MN000001	1,180	471	700	316	-348	-190	949
Manassas Park city, VA	51685	MN000001	628	442	87	208	-225	-61	451
Jefferson County, WV	54037	MN000001	472	504	25	258	578	529	1,894
Total		MN000001	69,308	61,981	45,415	45,768	21,842	19,588	194,594
Table 8. Group Quarters
Area Name	GeoID	Item	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Chg10-15	%Chg 10-15
District of Columbia, DC	11001	GQ000001	39,986	40,265	40,378	40,231	40,040	40,209	223	0.56
Calvert County, MD	24009	GQ000001	652	647	626	641	643	643	-9	-1.38
Charles County, MD	24017	GQ000001	1,395	1,430	1,409	1,375	1,405	1,406	11	0.79
Frederick County, MD	24021	GQ000001	4,182	4,370	4,359	4,183	4,313	4,315	133	3.18
Montgomery County, MD	24031	GQ000001	8,936	9,496	9,439	9,185	9,206	9,208	272	3.04
Prince George's County, MD	24033	GQ000001	19,456	19,678	19,640	20,324	20,050	20,056	600	3.08
Arlington County, VA	51013	GQ000001	2,890	2,926	3,006	3,050	3,049	3,004	114	3.94
Clarke County, VA	51043	GQ000001	255	276	276	248	255	180	-75	-29.41
Culpeper County, VA	51047	GQ000001	1,761	1,760	1,653	1,648	1,534	1,403	-358	-20.33
Fairfax County, VA	51059	GQ000001	9,243	9,620	9,793	9,890	10,134	10,244	1,001	10.83
Fauquier County, VA	51061	GQ000001	389	389	389	389	389	389	0	0.00
Loudoun County, VA	51107	GQ000001	1,175	1,175	1,341	1,340	1,340	1,347	172	14.64
Prince William County, VA	51153	GQ000001	2,533	2,519	2,520	2,631	2,629	2,626	93	3.67
Rappahannock County, VA	51157	GQ000001	35	35	35	35	35	35	0	0.00
Spotsylvania County, VA	51177	GQ000001	524	524	524	524	524	524	0	0.00
Stafford County, VA	51179	GQ000001	3,662	3,595	3,702	3,770	3,768	3,793	131	3.58
Warren County, VA	51187	GQ000001	725	745	740	760	788	799	74	10.21
Alexandria city, VA	51510	GQ000001	1,829	1,828	1,849	1,830	1,831	1,831	2	0.11
Fairfax city, VA	51600	GQ000001	521	521	521	521	521	521	0	0.00
Falls Church city, VA	51610	GQ000001	42	42	42	42	42	42	0	0.00
Fredericksburg city, VA	51630	GQ000001	2,596	2,691	2,799	2,856	2,786	2,580	-16	-0.62
Manassas city, VA	51683	GQ000001	46	46	46	46	46	46	0	0.00
Manassas Park city, VA	51685	GQ000001	6	6	6	6	6	6	0	0.00
Jefferson County, WV	54037	GQ000001	1,391	1,391	1,372	1,323	1,290	1,293	-98	-7.05
Total		GQ000001	104,230	105,975	106,465	106,848	106,624	106,500	2,270	2.18

Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
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