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Winston-Salem, NC MSA Regional Analytics
  -- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15

Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015
Natural Change 7,062
  equals Births 37,316
  less Deaths 30,254
Net Migration 10,428
  equals net International Migration 4,405
  plus net Domestic Migration 6,023

The population of the Winston-Salem, NC MSA changed from 641,399 on 2010 to 659,330 in 2015 -- a change of 17,931 (2.80%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.

Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.

From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), net migration (10,428) exceeded natural change (7,062); net migration has been the primary contributing factor for the metro population change. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.

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Join in the weekly Data Analytics Lab sessions (Tuesdays, 3:00 pm ET) where we review demographic-economic characteristics and patterns for wide-ranging geography and updates/extensions to data provided here. No fee, no registration, see connectivity details.

Related Sections
  • Winston-Salem, NC MSA S&O Report
  • State of the States -- all states interactive table
  • Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
  • CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
  • CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
  • Regional Data Analytics Main

Table 1. Population          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg 10-15%Chg 10-15
Davidson County, NC37057P0000001 162,884 163,340 163,516 163,788 164,067 164,622 1,738 1.07
Davie County, NC37059P0000001 41,281 41,344 41,325 41,490 41,322 41,753 472 1.14
Forsyth County, NC37067P0000001 351,463 354,510 357,919 361,379 365,593 369,019 17,556 5.00
Stokes County, NC37169P0000001 47,335 47,192 46,761 46,588 46,415 46,351 -984 -2.08
Yadkin County, NC37197P0000001 38,436 38,311 38,115 38,045 37,798 37,585 -851 -2.21
Total P0000001 641,399 644,697 647,636 651,290 655,195 659,330 17,931 2.80
Table 2. Births          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Davidson County, NC37057B0000001 1,652 1,729 1,744 1,679 1,727 1,731 8,610 
Davie County, NC37059B0000001 300 370 400 389 366 363 1,888 
Forsyth County, NC37067B0000001 4,776 4,644 4,583 4,586 4,511 4,573 22,897 
Stokes County, NC37169B0000001 428 428 388 382 397 389 1,984 
Yadkin County, NC37197B0000001 528 392 389 403 382 371 1,937 
Total B0000001 7,684 7,563 7,504 7,439 7,383 7,427 37,316 
Table 3. Deaths          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Davidson County, NC37057D0000001 1,304 1,584 1,602 1,742 1,720 1,685 8,333 
Davie County, NC37059D0000001 420 400 401 430 415 379 2,025 
Forsyth County, NC37067D0000001 2,756 2,999 3,036 3,166 3,143 3,067 15,411 
Stokes County, NC37169D0000001 580 498 477 496 492 513 2,476 
Yadkin County, NC37197D0000001 368 390 370 397 458 394 2,009 
Total D0000001 5,428 5,871 5,886 6,231 6,228 6,038 30,254 
Table 4. Natural Change          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Davidson County, NC37057NC000001 348 145 142 -63 7 46 277 
Davie County, NC37059NC000001 -120 -30 -1 -41 -49 -16 -137 
Forsyth County, NC37067NC000001 2,020 1,645 1,547 1,420 1,368 1,506 7,486 
Stokes County, NC37169NC000001 -152 -70 -89 -114 -95 -124 -492 
Yadkin County, NC37197NC000001 160 2 19 6 -76 -23 -72 
Total NC000001 2,256 1,692 1,618 1,208 1,155 1,389 7,062 
Table 5. International Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Davidson County, NC37057MI000001 88 96 91 101 120 121 529 
Davie County, NC37059MI000001 20 20 19 20 26 26 111 
Forsyth County, NC37067MI000001 736 735 634 683 819 831 3,702 
Stokes County, NC37169MI000001 8 9 6 9 10 10 44 
Yadkin County, NC37197MI000001 0 10 -2 2 3 6 19 
Total MI000001 852 870 748 815 978 994 4,405 
Table 6. Domestic Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Davidson County, NC37057MD000001 -384 69 -46 140 164 268 595 
Davie County, NC37059MD000001 348 76 -30 164 -152 434 492 
Forsyth County, NC37067MD000001 424 864 1,244 1,165 2,130 952 6,355 
Stokes County, NC37169MD000001 -116 -108 -358 -102 -90 11 -647 
Yadkin County, NC37197MD000001 -32 -113 -213 -94 -159 -193 -772 
Total MD000001 240 788 597 1,273 1,893 1,472 6,023 
Table 7. Net Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Davidson County, NC37057MN000001 -296 165 45 241 284 389 1,124 
Davie County, NC37059MN000001 368 96 -11 184 -126 460 603 
Forsyth County, NC37067MN000001 1,160 1,599 1,878 1,848 2,949 1,783 10,057 
Stokes County, NC37169MN000001 -108 -99 -352 -93 -80 21 -603 
Yadkin County, NC37197MN000001 -32 -103 -215 -92 -156 -187 -753 
Total MN000001 1,092 1,658 1,345 2,088 2,871 2,466 10,428 
Table 8. Group Quarters          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg10-15%Chg 10-15
Davidson County, NC37057GQ000001 1,691 1,695 1,700 1,733 1,783 1,785 94 5.56
Davie County, NC37059GQ000001 365 365 369 377 380 380 15 4.11
Forsyth County, NC37067GQ000001 9,859 9,926 9,820 10,072 10,545 10,566 707 7.17
Stokes County, NC37169GQ000001 456 456 450 456 457 457 1 0.22
Yadkin County, NC37197GQ000001 304 308 304 303 304 304 0 0.00
Total GQ000001 12,675 12,750 12,643 12,941 13,469 13,492 817 6.45

Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
  -- http://proximityone.com (888.364.7656)