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Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA MSA Regional Analytics
  -- Population & Components of Change; 2010-15

Components of Change: 7/1/2010-6/30/2015
Natural Change -6,384
  equals Births 28,147
  less Deaths 34,531
Net Migration -7,812
  equals net International Migration 1,672
  plus net Domestic Migration -9,484

The population of the Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA MSA changed from 564,878 on 2010 to 549,885 in 2015 -- a change of -14,993 (-2.65%). This report provides a summary of how and why the population has changed during this period and what these factors suggest about future change.

Primary Contributing Factors to Change
The primary contributing factors resulting in population change are 1) natural change (births less deaths) and/or 2) net migration. Eight tables are presented below providing annual data for each component county of the metro and metro summary. The tables provide data on the total population, births, deaths, natural change (births less deaths), international migration, domestic migration and net migration.

From 2010 to 2015 (7/1/2010-6/30/2015), net migration (-7,812) and natural change (-6,384); were both negative and jointly contributed to the declining metro population. Examine the metro by county tables below to learn about how each county contributes to the metro population growth or decline.

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Related Sections
  • Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA MSA S&O Report
  • State of the States -- all states interactive table
  • Metro S&O Reports -- all metros interactive table
  • CountyTrends 2010-2015 -- all counties interactive table
  • CountyTrends -- multi-sourced county data
  • Regional Data Analytics Main

Table 1. Population          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg 10-15%Chg 10-15
Mahoning County, OH39099P0000001 238,398 237,323 235,845 234,384 233,298 231,900 -6,498 -2.73
Trumbull County, OH39155P0000001 209,854 208,952 207,399 206,508 205,255 203,751 -6,103 -2.91
Mercer County, PA42085P0000001 116,626 116,239 115,818 115,354 114,957 114,234 -2,392 -2.05
Total P0000001 564,878 562,514 559,062 556,246 553,510 549,885 -14,993 -2.65
Table 2. Births          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Mahoning County, OH39099B0000001 2,428 2,338 2,325 2,397 2,446 2,417 11,923 
Trumbull County, OH39155B0000001 2,008 2,090 2,015 2,149 2,143 2,141 10,538 
Mercer County, PA42085B0000001 1,240 1,145 1,116 1,123 1,163 1,139 5,686 
Total B0000001 5,676 5,573 5,456 5,669 5,752 5,697 28,147 
Table 3. Deaths          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Mahoning County, OH39099D0000001 3,172 3,016 3,047 3,082 3,029 2,948 15,122 
Trumbull County, OH39155D0000001 2,568 2,437 2,517 2,517 2,452 2,442 12,365 
Mercer County, PA42085D0000001 1,220 1,400 1,360 1,429 1,411 1,444 7,044 
Total D0000001 6,960 6,853 6,924 7,028 6,892 6,834 34,531 
Table 4. Natural Change          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Mahoning County, OH39099NC000001 -744 -678 -722 -685 -583 -531 -3,199 
Trumbull County, OH39155NC000001 -560 -347 -502 -368 -309 -301 -1,827 
Mercer County, PA42085NC000001 20 -255 -244 -306 -248 -305 -1,358 
Total NC000001 -1,284 -1,280 -1,468 -1,359 -1,140 -1,137 -6,384 
Table 5. International Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Mahoning County, OH39099MI000001 176 222 248 256 307 306 1,339 
Trumbull County, OH39155MI000001 28 15 31 25 30 30 131 
Mercer County, PA42085MI000001 16 29 37 35 50 51 202 
Total MI000001 220 266 316 316 387 387 1,672 
Table 6. Domestic Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Mahoning County, OH39099MD000001 -1,124 -447 -1,020 -985 -634 -1,038 -4,124 
Trumbull County, OH39155MD000001 -1,328 -479 -1,103 -476 -811 -1,180 -4,049 
Mercer County, PA42085MD000001 -208 -124 -219 -257 -160 -551 -1,311 
Total MD000001 -2,660 -1,050 -2,342 -1,718 -1,605 -2,769 -9,484 
Table 7. Net Migration          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Sum11-15 
Mahoning County, OH39099MN000001 -948 -225 -772 -729 -327 -732 -2,785 
Trumbull County, OH39155MN000001 -1,300 -464 -1,072 -451 -781 -1,150 -3,918 
Mercer County, PA42085MN000001 -192 -95 -182 -222 -110 -500 -1,109 
Total MN000001 -2,440 -784 -2,026 -1,402 -1,218 -2,382 -7,812 
Table 8. Group Quarters          
Area NameGeoIDItem201020112012201320142015Chg10-15%Chg 10-15
Mahoning County, OH39099GQ000001 8,007 8,046 8,102 7,900 7,854 7,837 -170 -2.12
Trumbull County, OH39155GQ000001 3,821 3,550 3,554 3,806 3,978 3,905 84 2.20
Mercer County, PA42085GQ000001 6,750 6,791 6,789 6,781 6,795 6,796 46 0.68
Total GQ000001 18,578 18,387 18,445 18,487 18,627 18,538 -40 -0.22

Source: developed by ProximityOne based on Census Bureau and other data.
  -- http://proximityone.com (888.364.7656)