Situation & Outlook Demographic-Economic Estimates & Projections
Maricopa County, AZ
Population & Components of Change
| | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
.. Population
| | 4,445,059 | 4,499,438 | 4,555,833 | 4,585,871 | 4,628,837 | 4,665,272 | 4,704,973 | 4,743,040 | 4,781,924 | 4,820,400 | 4,859,080 |
.... Births
| | 46,388 | 48,709 | 51,145 | 50,795 | 50,970 | 50,883 | 50,926 | 50,904 | 50,915 | 50,910 | 50,913 |
.... Deaths
| | 38,556 | 43,801 | 43,452 | 38,287 | 40,870 | 39,578 | 40,224 | 39,901 | 40,062 | 39,982 | 40,022 |
.... Migration, Net
| | 75,268 | 48,504 | 48,335 | 17,396 | 32,866 | 25,131 | 28,998 | 27,064 | 28,031 | 27,548 | 27,790 |
...... International
| | 540 | 5,514 | 15,356 | 15,217 | 15,287 | 15,252 | 15,269 | 15,260 | 15,265 | 15,263 | 15,264 |
...... Domestic
| | 74,728 | 42,990 | 32,979 | 2,179 | 17,579 | 9,879 | 13,729 | 11,804 | 12,767 | 12,285 | 12,526 |
.... Group Quarters
| | 74,551 | 68,677 | 77,488 | 77,694 | 77,591 | 77,643 | 77,617 | 77,630 | 77,623 | 77,626 | 77,625 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Population by Gender/Race-Origin
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Population
| | 4,445,059 | 4,499,438 | 4,555,833 | 4,585,871 | | | | | | | |
.. White alone
| | 3,652,998 | 3,686,138 | 3,716,176 | 3,726,222 | | | | | | | |
.. Black alone
| | 295,234 | 303,460 | 313,157 | 318,613 | | | | | | | |
.. AIAN alone
| | 127,227 | 129,789 | 132,171 | 134,506 | | | | | | | |
.. Asian alone
| | 213,965 | 219,219 | 227,534 | 235,784 | | | | | | | |
.. NHOPI alone
| | 13,047 | 13,364 | 13,829 | 14,057 | | | | | | | |
.. Multirace
| | 142,588 | 147,468 | 152,966 | 156,689 | | | | | | | |
.. Hispanic (any race)
| | 1,360,069 | 1,386,209 | 1,417,020 | 1,440,234 | | | | | | | |
.. WhiteA, NonHispanic
| | 2,435,759 | 2,446,572 | 2,450,059 | 2,440,295 | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Male Population
| | 2,210,962 | 2,237,012 | 2,265,271 | 2,280,286 | | | | | | | |
.. White alone
| | 1,819,724 | 1,835,333 | 1,850,419 | 1,855,191 | | | | | | | |
.. Black alone
| | 148,963 | 152,978 | 158,184 | 161,093 | | | | | | | |
.. AIAN alone
| | 62,294 | 63,593 | 64,792 | 65,828 | | | | | | | |
.. Asian alone
| | 102,573 | 105,256 | 109,069 | 113,179 | | | | | | | |
.. NHOPI alone
| | 6,698 | 6,829 | 7,064 | 7,131 | | | | | | | |
.. Multirace
| | 70,710 | 73,023 | 75,743 | 77,864 | | | | | | | |
.. Hispanic (any race)
| | 684,428 | 696,919 | 712,588 | 723,697 | | | | | | | |
.. WhiteA, NonHispanic
| | 1,207,312 | 1,212,303 | 1,213,846 | 1,209,105 | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Female Population
| | 2,234,097 | 2,262,426 | 2,290,562 | 2,305,585 | | | | | | | |
.. White alone
| | 1,833,274 | 1,850,805 | 1,865,757 | 1,871,031 | | | | | | | |
.. Black alone
| | 146,271 | 150,482 | 154,973 | 157,520 | | | | | | | |
.. AIAN alone
| | 64,933 | 66,196 | 67,379 | 68,678 | | | | | | | |
.. Asian alone
| | 111,392 | 113,963 | 118,465 | 122,605 | | | | | | | |
.. NHOPI alone
| | 6,349 | 6,535 | 6,765 | 6,926 | | | | | | | |
.. Multirace
| | 71,878 | 74,445 | 77,223 | 78,825 | | | | | | | |
.. Hispanic (any race)
| | 675,641 | 689,290 | 704,432 | 716,537 | | | | | | | |
.. WhiteA, NonHispanic
| | 1,228,447 | 1,234,269 | 1,236,213 | 1,231,190 | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Population by Age
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
.. Total population
| | 4,445,059 | 4,499,438 | 4,555,833 | 4,585,871 | | | | | | | |
.. Ages 00-04
| | 260,446 | 256,045 | 254,913 | 252,940 | | | | | | | |
.. Ages 05-09
| | 279,606 | 275,339 | 275,277 | 276,184 | | | | | | | |
.. Ages 10-14
| | 273,803 | 281,819 | 285,463 | 285,082 | | | | | | | |
.. Ages 15-19
| | 273,953 | 272,830 | 270,247 | 268,446 | | | | | | | |
.. Ages 20-24
| | 252,302 | 259,093 | 263,335 | 266,148 | | | | | | | |
.. Ages 25-29
| | 217,822 | 222,689 | 227,963 | 233,210 | | | | | | | |
.. Ages 30-34
| | 190,800 | 198,937 | 195,336 | 196,178 | | | | | | | |
.. Ages 35-39
| | 131,025 | 135,305 | 148,354 | 155,080 | | | | | | | |
.. Ages 40-44
| | 81,919 | 85,252 | 89,467 | 96,514 | | | | | | | |
.. Ages 45-49
| | 75,944 | 77,048 | 78,446 | 81,616 | | | | | | | |
.. Ages 50-54
| | 282,279 | 283,087 | 282,147 | 277,963 | | | | | | | |
.. Ages 55-59
| | 306,960 | 303,316 | 298,197 | 291,466 | | | | | | | |
.. Ages 60-64
| | 297,736 | 299,114 | 308,327 | 312,273 | | | | | | | |
.. Ages 65-69
| | 289,617 | 295,118 | 303,002 | 306,239 | | | | | | | |
.. Ages 70-74
| | 324,711 | 326,999 | 331,183 | 334,053 | | | | | | | |
.. Ages 75-79
| | 319,295 | 328,446 | 335,870 | 337,904 | | | | | | | |
.. Ages 80-84
| | 303,149 | 307,643 | 310,588 | 312,821 | | | | | | | |
.. Ages 85-89
| | 283,692 | 291,358 | 297,718 | 301,754 | | | | | | | |
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Source: Census Bureau Vintage 2023 Model-based Estimates; ProximityOne