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Estimates & Projections

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Use the ProximityOne annually updated national scope demographic estimates and projections to assess the current demographic situation, demographic change 5 or more years into the future, and demographic trends.  This section is focused on census tract estimates and projections, but the same scope of subject matter carries through to all counties, metropolitan areas, states and the U.S.  Current year estimates are for 2009 and projections are for 2014.  These data may be ordered as estimates and projections only or integrated into shapefiles with ready-to-use CommunityViewer GIS projects.

 

Geography

The 2009 estimates and 2014 projections are for the Census 2000 geography.  Boundaries exactly match all geographies updated in the Census Bureau MAF/TIGER Accuracy Improvement Project (counties, census blocks, places, roads, water features, etc.) .  For coastal states, tract boundaries extending to 3-mile limit have been clipped to the  state smoothed water edge boundary.

Starting with the 2010 estimates, scheduled for release in late 2010, census tract boundaries will be for the Census 2010 census tracts.  Boundaries exactly match all geographies updated in the Census Bureau MAF/TIGER Accuracy Improvement Project for Census 2010 .

 

In all cases, the estimates and projections are provided for the U.S. and each state, CBSA, county and census tract.

 

Subject Matter

Subject matter items for the 2009 estimates and 2014 projections are listed below.  Where possible 2010 estimates and projections will include these items plus a few more.

 

Codes & Geography
Tract Geocode (State+County+Tract)STFID
State FIPS CodeSTATE
County FIPS CodeCOUNTY
Tract CodeTRACT
Land Area Square MetersLASQMT
Water Area Square MetersWASQMT
LatitudeLAT
LongitudeLON
Reference YearTEAR
VersionVERSION
Population by Age-Race/Ethnicity-Gender
Total populationDP1001
    MaleDP1002
    FemaleDP1003
    Under 5 yearsDP1004
    5 to 9 yearsDP1005
    10 to 14 yearsDP1006
    15 to 19 yearsDP1007
    20 to 24 yearsDP1008
    25 to 34 yearsDP1009
    35 to 44 yearsDP1010
    45 to 54 yearsDP1011
    55 to 59 yearsDP1012
    60 to 64 yearsDP1013
    65 to 74 yearsDP1014
    75 to 84 yearsDP1015
    85 years and overDP1016
    Median age (years)DP1017
    18 years and overDP1018
        MaleDP1019
        FemaleDP1020
    21 years and overDP1021
    62 years and overDP1022
    65 years and overDP1023
        MaleDP1024
        FemaleDP1025
RACE 
    One raceDP1026
        WhiteDP1027
        Black or African AmericanDP1028
        American Indian and Alaska NativeDP1029
        AsianDP1030
        Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific IslanderDP1038
        Some other raceDP1043
    Two or more racesDP1044
ETHNICITY 
  Hispanic or LatinoDP1051
  Not Hispanic or LatinoDP1057
Relationship & Households by Type
RELATIONSHIP 
Total populationDP1059
    In householdsDP1060
        HouseholderDP1061
        SpouseDP1062
        ChildDP1063
        Own child under 18 yearsDP1064
        Other relativesDP1065
        Under 18 yearsDP1066
        NonrelativesDP1067
        Unmarried partnerDP1068
    In group quartersDP1069
        Institutionalized populationDP1070
        Noninstitutionalized populationDP1071
HOUSEHOLD BY TYPE 
Total householdsDP1072
    Family households (families)DP1073
        With own children under 18 yearsDP1074
        Married-couple familyDP1075
            With own children under 18 yearsDP1076
        Female householder,no husband presentDP1077
            With own children under 18 yearsDP1078
    Nonfamily householdsDP1079
DP1080
    Householder 65 years and overDP1081
    Households with individuals under 18 yearsDP1082
    Households with individuals 65 years and overDP1083
    Average household sizeDP1084
    Average family sizeDP1085
Enrollment & Educational Attainment
SCHOOL ENROLLMENT 
Population 3 years and over enrolled in schoolDP2001
    Nursery school, preschoolDP2002
    KindergartenDP2003
    Elementary school (grades 1-8)DP2004
    High school (grades 9-12)DP2005
    College or graduate schoolDP2006
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT 
Population 25 years and overDP2007
    Less than 9th gradeDP2008
    9th to 12th grade, no diplomaDP2009
    High school graduate (includes equivalency)DP2010
    Some college, no degreeDP2011
    Associate degreeDP2012
    Bachelor's degreeDP2013
    Graduate or professional degreeDP2014
    Percent high school graduate or higher (1 expressed decimal)DP2015
    Percent bachelor's degree or higher (1 expressed decimal)DP2016
Marital Status & Grandparents
MARITAL STATUS 
Population 15 years and overDP2017
    Never marriedDP2018
    Now married, except separatedDP2019
    SeparatedDP2020
    WidowedDP2021
        FemaleDP2022
    DivorcedDP2023
        FemaleDP2024
GRANDPARENTS AS CAREGIVERS 
    Grandparent living in household with one or more own grandchildren under 18 yearsDP2025
    Grandparent responsible for grandchildrenDP2026
Veteran Status
VETERAN STATUS 
    Civilian population 18 years and overDP2027
    Civilian veteransDP2028
Disability Status
DISABILITY STATUS OF THE CIVILIAN NONINSTITUTIONALIZED POPULATION 
Population 5 to 20 yearsDP2029
    With a disabilityDP2030
Population 21 to 64 yearsDP2031
    With a disabilityDP2032
        Percent employed (1 expressed decimal)DP2033
    No disabilityDP2034
        Percent employed (1 expressed decimal)DP2035
Population 65 years and overDP2036
    With a disabilityDP2037
Residence 5 Years Earlier
RESIDENCE 5 YEARS EARLIER 
Population 5 years and overDP2038
    Same house 5 years earlierDP2039
    Different house in the U.S. 5 years earlierDP2040
        Same countyDP2041
        Different countyDP2042
            Same stateDP2043
            Different stateDP2044
    Elsewhere 5 years earlierDP2045
Nativity & Place of Birth; Region of Birth
NATIVITY AND PLACE OF BIRTH 
Total populationDP2046
    NativeDP2047
    Born in United StatesDP2048
        State of residenceDP2049
        Different stateDP2050
    Born outside United StatesDP2051
        Foreign bornDP2052
            Entered 1990 to Current YearDP2053
        Naturalized citizenDP2054
    Not a citizenDP2055
REGION OF BIRTH OF FOREIGN BORN 
Total (excluding born at sea)DP2056
    EuropeDP2057
    AsiaDP2058
    AfricaDP2059
    OceaniaDP2060
    Latin AmericaDP2061
    Northern AmericaDP2062
Language Spoken at Home
Population 5 years and overDP2063
    English onlyDP2064
    Language other than EnglishDP2065
        Speak English less than "very well"DP2066
        SpanishDP2067
            Speak English less than "very well"DP2068
        Other Indo-European languagesDP2069
            Speak English less than "very well"DP2070
        Asian and Pacific Island languagesDP2071
            Speak English less than "very well"DP2072
Employment Status; Occupation; Industry; Class of Worker
EMPLOYMENT STATUS 
Population 16 years and overDP3001
    In labor forceDP3002
        Civilian labor forceDP3003
            EmployedDP3004
            UnemployedDP3005
                Percent of civilian labor force (1 decimal)DP3006
        Armed ForcesDP3007
    Not in labor force DP3008
OCCUPATION 
    Management, professional, and related occupationsDP3024
    Service occupationsDP3025
    Sales and office occupationsDP3026
    Farming, fishing, and forestry occupationsDP3027
    Construction, extraction, and maintenance occupationsDP3028
    Production, transportation, and material moving occupationsDP3029
INDUSTRY 
    Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting, and miningDP3030
    ConstructionDP3031
    ManufacturingDP3032
    Wholesale tradeDP3033
    Retail tradeDP3034
    Transportation and warehousing,and utilitiesDP3035
    InformationDP3036
    Finance, insurance, real estate, and rental and leasingDP3037
    Professional, scientific, management, administrative, and waste management servicesDP3038
    Educational, health and social servicesDP3039
    Arts, entertainment, recreation, accommodation and food servicesDP3040
    Other services (except public administration)DP3041
    Public administrationDP3042
CLASS OF WORKER 
    Private wage and salary workersDP3043
    Government workersDP3044
    Self-employed workers in own not incorporated businessDP3045
    Unpaid family workerDP3046
Households by Income Interval; Family Median Household Income; Per Capita Income
INCOME IN PREVIOUS YEAR 
HouseholdsDP3047
    Less than $10,000DP3048
    $10,000 to $14,999DP3049
    $15,000 to $24,999DP3050
    $25,000 to $34,999DP3051
    $35,000 to $49,999DP3052
    $50,000 to $74,999DP3053
    $75,000 to $99,999DP3054
    $100,000 to $149,999DP3055
    $150,000 to $199,999DP3056
    $200,000 or moreDP3057
    Median household income (dollars)DP3058
FamiliesDP3069
    Median family income (dollars)DP3080
Per capita income (dollars)DP3081
Poverty Characteristics
NUMBER BELOW POVERTY LEVEL IN PREVIOUS YEAR 
    FamiliesDP3084
    IndividualsDP3090
        18 years and overDP3091
        65 years and overDP3092
NUMBER FOR WHOM POVERTY STATUS IS DETERMINED IN PREVIOUS YEAR 
    FamiliesDP3096
    IndividualsDP3102
        18 years and overDP3103
        65 years and overDP3104
Housing Characteristics: Occupancy, Tenure, Units in Structure, Year Structure Built, Occupants per Room
 
HOUSING OCCUPANCY 
Total housing unitsDP1086
    Occupied housing unitsDP1087
    Vacant housing unitsDP1088
    For seasonal,recreational,or occasional useDP1089
    Homeowner vacancy rate (percent)DP1090
    Rental vacancy rate (percent)DP1091
HOUSING TENURE 
Occupied housing unitsDP1092
    Owner-occupied housing unitsDP1093
    Renter-occupied housing unitsDP1094
    Average household size of owner-occupied unitsDP1095
    Average household size of renter-occupied unitsDP1096
UNITS IN STRUCTURE 
    1 unit, detachedDP4002
    1 unit, attachedDP4003
    2 unitsDP4004
    3 or 4 unitsDP4005
    5 to 9 unitsDP4006
    10 to 19 unitsDP4007
    20 or more unitsDP4008
    Mobile homeDP4009
    Boat, RV, van, etc. DP4010
YEAR STRUCTURE BUILT 
    1999 to Current YearDP4011
    1995 to 1998DP4012
    1990 to 1994DP4013
    1980 to 1989DP4014
    1970 to 1979DP4015
    1960 to 1969DP4016
    1940 to 1959DP4017
    1939 or earlierDP4018
OCCUPANTS PER ROOM 
    1.00 or lessDP4053
    1.01 to 1.50DP4054
    1.51 or moreDP4055
Owner Occupied Housing Units by Value
OWNER OCCUPIED UNITS BY VALUEDP4056
    Less than $50,000DP4057
    $50,000 to $99,999DP4058
    $100,000 to $149,999DP4059
    $150,000 to $199,999DP4060
    $200,000 to $299,999DP4061
    $300,000 to $499,999DP4062
    $500,000 to $999,999DP4063
    $1,000,000 or moreDP4064
    Median (dollars)DP4065

 

Time Periods and Updates

Starting with the 2010 estimates, scheduled for release in late 2010, demographic estimates and projections will make use of annually updated American Community Survey (ACS) 1-year, 3-year and 5-year estimates.  The 2010 estimates will be anchored to the ACS 2005-10 5-year census tract estimates, scheduled for release in late 2010.  These are the first national scope Census Bureau sourced all U.S. demographic estimates since Census 2000.

 

Starting with the 2011 estimates, scheduled for release in late 2011, demographic estimates and projections will make use of Census 2010 data as well as the ACS estimates.  Also starting with 2011 vintage estimates and projections, the estimates and projections will be released as an annually updated time series starting with 2010.  Stated differently, the late 2011 estimates and projections will include data for 2010, 2011, 2012,  2013, 2014, 2015, and 2016.  2012 vintage estimates and projections will expand this time frame and include annual data for the period 2010 - 2020.  

 

Modeler and Alternative Scenario Estimates and Projections

Starting with the 2011 estimates, the estimates and projections time series the Proximity Modeler software, and underlying datasets, will optionally also be available.  The Modeler package enables users to replicate development of the estimates and projections under alternative scenarios.

 

Ordering

Subscribe to annual estimates and projections licensed for use as data only or integrated into shapefiles with ready-to-use CommunityViewer GIS projects. Contact Proximity for additional information. Mention Census Tracts Estimates and Projections Subscription Information and any other questions in the text section.

 

Licensing Renewals

Annual updates for a new 12-month period is 45% of the license price at the time or transaction if performed without a lapse in the license period. After the license period expiration date, the annual update price increases to 60% of the license price at the time of the transaction.

 

Additional Information

Contact Proximity (888-364-7656) for additional information.

 


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