Demographic projections to 2060 are developed by ProximityOne for counties and higher level geography. This document provides projections for this area under one scenario. Different scenarios reflect alternative assumptions relating to births, deaths, migration and special events that will occur during the projection period. Estimates refer to data values between 2010 and 2020, and projections refer to data values projected for the period 2021 through 2060.

Revised projections are developed periodically as new/updated historical data become available or alternative assumptions are used. Data used to develop this document and scope of content update frequently.

Estimates & Projections to 2025
The following table presents the most basic set of estimates and projections for 2010 and annually 2021 through 2025. These estimates and projections may be superseded by more recent projections.

	2010	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2021-25 Chg/Sum	2021-25 %Chg/Avg
Population & Components of Change
Total population	3,016,376	3,170,851	3,166,857	3,162,158	3,157,441	3,152,706	3,147,953	-18,904	-0.60
Births	37,220	35,514	35,163	35,163	35,111	35,058	35,006	175,501	35,100
Deaths	17,248	21,161	23,233	23,233	23,199	23,164	23,129	115,958	23,192
Natural Increase/Change	19,972	14,353	11,930	11,930	11,912	11,895	11,877	59,544	11,909
Net Migration	5,892	-19,144	-16,039	9,217	8,235	2,240	3,101	6,754	1,351
.. International Migration	5,288	2,765	2,336	7,106	9,349	10,878	12,679	42,348	8,470
.. Domestic Migration	604	-21,909	-18,375	2,111	-1,114	-8,638	-9,578	-35,594	-7,119
Population Year-to-Year %Change		-0.1	-0.1	-0.1	-0.1	-0.1	-0.2	-1	0
Group Quarters population	40,272	44,010	43,650	44,659	44,659	44,659	44,659	1,009	2.31

The following table presents county to county migration data based on the American Community Survey 2018 5 year estimates (ACS 2018).

Migration by County/Area of Origin/Destination
.. estimates of movers based on residence 1 year ago.
.. see more information & interactive table .. http://proximityone.com/countymigration.htm
.. see notes below table.

Origin/Destination State/Area	Origin/Destination County	Movers to Orange County	Counterflow Movers from Orange County to this area	Net Movers	Gross Movers
-	Asia	18,100	0	0	0
Riverside	California	10,359	17,546	-7,187	27,905
San Diego	California	6,269	6,790	-521	13,059
San Bernardino	California	4,916	7,440	-2,524	12,356
-	Central America	3,456	0	0	0
-	Europe	2,477	0	0	0
Santa Clara	California	1,942	1,617	325	3,559
Clark	Nevada	1,838	2,207	-369	4,045
Maricopa	Arizona	1,680	5,084	-3,404	6,764
Cook	Illinois	1,460	546	914	2,006
King	Washington	1,440	1,334	106	2,774
Ventura	California	1,343	973	370	2,316
Alameda	California	1,176	1,712	-536	2,888
-	Africa	1,127	0	0	0
San Francisco	California	1,035	917	118	1,952
Sacramento	California	883	996	-113	1,879
New York	New York	811	477	334	1,288
Santa Barbara	California	772	948	-176	1,720
Kern	California	764	1,256	-492	2,020
Contra Costa	California	764	867	-103	1,631
Fresno	California	677	514	163	1,191
Honolulu	Hawaii	670	1,041	-371	1,711
Mobile	Alabama	605	6	599	611
San Mateo	California	593	658	-65	1,251
Napa	California	579	25	554	604
Philadelphia	Pennsylvania	548	40	508	588
Hennepin	Minnesota	529	288	241	817
El Paso	Colorado	514	401	113	915
Yolo	California	492	595	-103	1,087
Salt Lake	Utah	481	463	18	944
Placer	California	447	1,193	-746	1,640
Tarrant	Texas	443	778	-335	1,221
Middlesex	Massachusetts	420	52	368	472
Cowlitz	Washington	394	18	376	412
El Paso	Texas	372	166	206	538
Dallas	Texas	363	783	-420	1,146
San Luis Obispo	California	360	1,214	-854	1,574
Harris	Texas	351	462	-111	813
Tulare	California	347	132	215	479
Monterey	California	334	311	23	645
Douglas	Colorado	319	404	-85	723
Santa Cruz	California	309	427	-118	736
Morris	New Jersey	299	58	241	357
Travis	Texas	298	557	-259	855
San Joaquin	California	296	305	-9	601
Suffolk	Massachusetts	289	240	49	529
Denver	Colorado	287	336	-49	623
Erie	New York	284	10	274	294
Broward	Florida	282	191	91	473
Fairfax	Virginia	273	294	-21	567
Lake	Florida	272	0	272	272
Marion	Indiana	255	97	158	352
Merced	California	250	86	164	336
Imperial	California	246	286	-40	532
El Dorado	California	244	104	140	348
Ramsey	Minnesota	240	40	200	280
Utah	Utah	239	571	-332	810
Washington	Oregon	239	354	-115	593
Virginia Beach city	Virginia	237	101	136	338
Sonoma	California	231	214	17	445
Oakland	Michigan	230	109	121	339
Marin	California	227	140	87	367
Fort Bend	Texas	226	101	125	327
Anchorage Municipality	Alaska	221	37	184	258
Wake	North Carolina	214	319	-105	533
Montgomery	Pennsylvania	209	75	134	284
Champaign	Illinois	209	54	155	263
Cuyahoga	Ohio	208	13	195	221
Pima	Arizona	207	786	-579	993
Fairfield	Connecticut	207	97	110	304
Orleans Parish	Louisiana	206	45	161	251
Allegheny	Pennsylvania	204	68	136	272
Stanislaus	California	202	88	114	290
Solano	California	200	228	-28	428
Montgomery	Maryland	200	123	77	323
Lake	Illinois	197	129	68	326
Shelby	Tennessee	196	104	92	300
Nevada	California	193	29	164	222
DuPage	Illinois	183	138	45	321
Palm Beach	Florida	178	94	84	272
Multnomah	Oregon	176	230	-54	406
Hudson	New Jersey	175	63	112	238
Queens	New York	174	42	132	216
Jefferson	Kentucky	173	89	84	262
Bernalillo	New Mexico	172	165	7	337
-	Caribbean	172	0	0	0
Washoe	Nevada	169	201	-32	370
Butte	California	167	260	-93	427
Collin	Texas	163	845	-682	1,008
Cleveland	Oklahoma	163	0	163	163
Kings	New York	161	212	-51	373
Snohomish	Washington	158	361	-203	519
Boulder	Colorado	154	564	-410	718
Nassau	New York	154	227	-73	381
Linn	Iowa	154	0	154	154
Humboldt	California	148	179	-31	327
Wayne	Michigan	146	368	-222	514
Arapahoe	Colorado	145	194	-49	339
Franklin	Ohio	143	88	55	231
Craven	North Carolina	143	6	137	149
Delaware	Pennsylvania	141	39	102	180
Clark	Washington	139	87	52	226
Monroe	New York	138	11	127	149
Orange	Florida	136	122	14	258
Madison	Idaho	134	181	-47	315
Denton	Texas	126	674	-548	800
Norfolk city	Virginia	122	98	24	220
Monmouth	New Jersey	122	0	122	122
Greene	Missouri	121	61	60	182
Centre	Pennsylvania	118	17	101	135
Pierce	Washington	115	492	-377	607
Spokane	Washington	115	296	-181	411
Hillsborough	New Hampshire	115	0	115	115
Madera	California	111	149	-38	260
St. Tammany Parish	Louisiana	110	46	64	156
Whatcom	Washington	109	172	-63	281
Ada	Idaho	108	734	-626	842
Miami-Dade	Florida	107	320	-213	427
Westchester	New York	107	173	-66	280
Lee	Florida	107	0	107	107
DeKalb	Georgia	105	189	-84	294
Northampton	Pennsylvania	103	7	96	110
Broome	New York	103	0	103	103
Inyo	California	101	17	84	118
Totals	...	138,438	119,067	-8,496	229,638

  .. origin counties/areas presented in descending order based on 'Movers to' column.
  .. origin counties/areas presented where the number of 'Movers to' column is 100 or more.
  .. total row shows sums for all Origin counties/areas.
  .. for international areas, only the number of 'Movers to' can be determined.
    values for the other three data columns cannot be determined.

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