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- S&O Desktop - S&O Server - S&O Profiles|Reports > Comparative > Narrative > Site Analysis CVXE GIS Tools Data Resources Guide - projections to 2060 Related Sections - Applications Gallery - States - Metros - Congressional District - Counties - Cities/Places - Tracts/Neighborhoods - Block Groups - Census Blocks - ZIP Codes - Urban Areas Demographic-Economic Estimates-Projections GIS Thematic Mapping Visual Analysis Tools Ranking Tables National Scope Demographic Change 2000-2010 - States - Metros - Congressional District - School Districts - Counties - Cities/Places - Census Tracts |
Situation & Outlook
... the how, when and where ... what will change and by how much, ... and how change might impact you. The ProximityOne Situation & Outlook (S&O) Program is a combined database and interpretive resource that you can use to better understand the existing situation, find out how area demographic-economic conditions are changing, and assess how changing conditions might impact you. The S&O database is comprised of demographic-economic historical data and estimates and projections, updated quarterly, for the U.S., states, metropolitan areas, counties, school districts, cities and census tracts. S&O Server Use the no fee, no registration S&O Server to access Census 2010 Summary File 1 and American Community Survey 2010 5-year (ACS 2010 5-year estimates) Summary File data ... down to the census block and block group level. S&O subscribers can also use the S&O Server to access/analyze S&O demographic-economic estimates and projections. The S&O Server makes use of API queries to access only the data you need ... down to the census block and block group levels of geography. Estimates & Projections Time Series 1. Quarterly demographic-economic series projected 12 quarters ahead Series starts 2006q1 and is extended with each quarterly update. July 2012 update extends series through 2015q2; October 2012 update extends series through 2015q3. Details about these data 2. Annual demographic data; national & state; projected to 2060 Data include Census 2000, Census 2010, and projections to 2060. Current estimates and projections are updated annually; the time periods remain the same. Details about these data 3. Annual demographic-economic data; county up; projected to 2030 Data include Census 2000, Census 2010, and projections to 2030. Current estimates and projections are updated annually; the time periods remain the same. Details about these data 4. Annual demographic-economic data; census tract up; projected 5 years ahead Series starts 2008 and is extended one year with each annual update. Data include Census 2010, post Census 2010 estimates and projections 5 years ahead. The 2012 annual update extends the series through 2017; the 2013 update extends the series through 2018. Current estimates and projections are updated annually; time series extends one year with each update. Details about these data: General Demographics .. Social .. Economic .. Housing Situation & Outlook Briefing Sessions: The Economy and Demographic-Economic Patterns Join us in one or all quarterly S&O Briefing Sessions on The Economy and Demographic-Economic Patterns. The Briefing Sessions are conducted shortly after the release of the new S&O quarterly updates. Topics covered in each Briefing Session include: • Summary of new/updated data included in the latest quarterly update, • Highlights of national, state and metro demographic-economic patterns revealed by new data and models, • Updated demographic-economic outlook overview - when will what change how and where? More detailed information on the updates and outlook are released to subscribers electronically. Licensing Options. See details about S&O licensing. Scope of Subject Matter • Population & Households - age, race-ethnicity, attributes; annual components of change - household structure, formation, attributes • Housing, Housing Markets & Real Estate • GDP & Personal Income by Major Sources • Prices & Cost of Living • Businesses & Retailer Locations & Attributes • Schools & Education • Establishments by Industrial Sector • Employment by Industrial Sector • Earnings by Industrial Sector • Economic Structure • Labor Market Conditions • Review of Alternative Future Demographic-Economic Scenarios Updates & Timelines Data are updated and maintained in monthly, quarterly & annual time series. • quarterly demographic-economic series projected 12 quarters ahead • annual demographic data; national & state; projected to 2060 • annual demographic-economic data; county up; projected to 2030 • annual demographic-economic data; census tract up; projected 5 years ahead More about these series. A Look Ahead Recent and upcoming data developments are summarized below. In addition, various other national level to locational specific data added continuously. Quarterly update schedules are approximate; subscribers are provided with data access dates in advance. • July 1, 2012 -- quarterly update: revised quarterly & annual estimates and projection; new data include: - ProximityOne Outlook 36 month estimates and projections, county up, quarterly update - BEA regional economic information system annual series; 2010 updates; county up, Apr 25 - BEA state quarterly personal income (2011q1-2012q2; June 27) - BLS/CEW county up employment, establishments, earnings (2011q4; June 28) - BLS employment situation quarterly update; includes U-1 to U6 series (thru 2012q1; Apr 27) - Census county components of change; 2011 age-race-gender estimates; May 2012 - Census 2010 Summary File 1 updates (urban population & other) - Census 2010 Summary File 2 updates (selected detailed race/ethnicity) - NCES/Census ACS 2010 school district special tabulation demographics - FHFA quarterly metro housing price index 2012Q1 May 23 • October 1, 2012 -- quarterly update: revised quarterly & annual estimates and projections; new data include: - ProximityOne Outlook 36 month estimates and projections, county up, quarterly update - ProximityOne Outlook 2060 estimates & projections, national & state, annual update - ProximityOne Outlook 2030 estimates & projections, county up, annual update - ProximityOne Outlook 2017 estimates & projections, 5-year annual 2010-2017 census tract up, annual update - ACS 2011 1-year estimates (phase 1, released September 2012) - BEA state quarterly personal income (2009q1-2012q2; Sept 25) - BEA state annual personal income (2009-2011; Sept 25) - BEA gross domestic product by metropolitan area, 2010, revised 2007-09; Sept - BLS/CEW county up employment, establishments, earnings (2012q1; Sept 27) - BLS employment situation quarterly update; includes U-1 to U6 series (thru 2012q2; July 27) - NCES K-12 schools; geocoded with attributes; prelim 2011-12 - NCES school district enrollment demographics; prelim 2011-12 - FHFA quarterly metro housing price index 2012Q2 Aug 23 • January 1, 2013 -- quarterly update: revised quarterly & annual estimates and projections; new data include: - ProximityOne Outlook 36 month estimates and projections, county up, quarterly update - ACS 2011 1-year estimates (phase 2, released Sept 2012) - ACS 2011 5-year estimates (phase 1, released Dec 2012) - BEA local area personal income, 2009-2011 Nov 26 - BEA state quarterly personal income (2012q1-2012q3; Dec 19) - BLS/CEW county up employment, establishments, earnings (2012q2; Jan 8) - BLS employment situation quarterly update; includes U-1 to U6 series (thru 2012q3; Oct 27) - FHFA quarterly metro housing price index 2012Q3 Nov 27 Access • iOS5 & iOS6 apps • Internet Online -- profiles and ranking tables • Internet Download -- CSV and database • S&O/Windows Software -- Modeling • GIS/Windows Software -- Mapping, visual analysis, geospatial analysis Situation & Outlook Licensing Standard licensing provides for use by 1-5 users under a non-exclusive, non-transferrable license. Site licenses are available. As applicable, licenses with updates provide for downloadable database updates for 4 quarterly periods. Licensed/downloaded data may be used by the licensee on a perpetual basis. 1. S&O Full Database with Quarterly Updates (includes items 2, 3 & 4) • Core Database; updated annually in January • Quarterly Updates • CV XE GIS Level 1 Software • National scope shapefiles 2. S&O Full Database with Quarterly Updates without ProximityOne Current Estimates & Projections • Core Database; updated annually in January • Quarterly Core Database Updates 3. S&O ProximityOne Current Estimates & Projections Only • Core Estimates and Projections Database; updated annually in January • Quarterly Updates • Optional estimates & projections segments - Outlook 2060 national & state, annual update - Outlook 2030 county up, annual update - Outlook 2017 5-year annual 2010-2017 census tract up, annual update - Outlook 36 month demographic-economic series 4. S&O Core Database Only • Core Database; updated annually; intermittent updates throughout year as applicable - Census 2010 DPSF; census tract, county, metro, state, U.S. - ACS 2010 DP1-DP4; census tract, county, metro, state, U.S. - ACS 20xx DP1-DP4; xx: for annual editions as released; census tract up - Census county components of change; age-race-gender estimates; 2010 through latest year estimated - BLS/CEW county up employment, establishments, earnings quarterly & annual series 2008 to current quarter (2011q3) - BLS employment situation quarterly series; includes U-1 to U6 series; 2008 forward - FHFA quarterly metro housing price index series 2008 forward - BEA regional economic information system annual series; 1969 through current estimated year (2010) - NCES K-12 schools; geocoded with attributes; latest year - NCES school district enrollment demographics; latest year 5. CV XE GIS Software Level 3 • Site Analysis and Comparative Analysis Report Generation 6. Modeler Software • Enables development of alternative scenario current estimates and projections Methodology ProximityOne demographic-economic estimates and projections are developed using holistic demographic-economic models. Annual time series simultaneous equation models are used that specify cause and effect relationships among jointly dependent variables. Model estimation uses the most recent official current/historical data and estimates. Model specifications, including assumptions, are set to reflect regional variations and new developments that evolve. Development of ProximityOne estimates and projections make use of Census Bureau data from Census 2010, annual American Community Survey and annual county and sub-county population estimates (Federal-State Coop Program for Population Estimates - FSCP) and related FSCP components of change data (births, deaths, migration). ProximityOne estimates and projections are not "control adjusted" to agree with the FSCP estimates. Other wide-ranging data are used in the models including data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, Department of Education, Health & Human Services and Bureau of Labor Statistics - among others. In general, three sets of estimates and projections are developed for Outlook 2030 and Outlook 2060 reflecting three scenarios: conservative, most likely and expansive. Each scenario reflects different assumptions. Only the most likely estimates and projections are released. The more convervative, expansive and alternative scenario estimates and projections, producing bands, can be developed by using the Modeler software. About ProximityOne ProximityOne develops geographic-demographic-economic data and analytical tools and helps organizations knit together and use diverse data in a decision-making and analytical framework. We develop custom demographic/economic estimates and projections, develop geographic and geocoded address files, and assist with impact and geospatial analyses. Wide-ranging organizations use our tools (software, data, methodologies) to analyze their own data integrated with other data. Contact us (888-364-7656) with questions or for additional information. |
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