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Modeler: Estimation, Projection & Impact Analysis
  -- use this predictive analytics tool to develop & examine projections
  -- Modeler Level 1

Use the Modeler Level 1 software and integrated model and database on your computer. Develop U.S. by State demographic projections to 2040 using alternative assumptions. View illustrative all states projections to 2040 table below in this section.

Start using Modeler today. Create your own proprietary estimates and projections. Use this link to order Modeler Level 1.

ProximityOne uses the Modeler software to develop Situation & Outlook estimates and projections. The Modeler software is a generalized predictive analytics tool. Modeler integrates user specified cause and effect models with associated datasets and estimates/projection methods. "Run" Modeler with alternative scenario models to examine multiple "what-if" outcomes. Integrate policy tools, marketing/sales specifications to assess what, when and where what outcomes will be impacted and by how much.

This section provides an overview of "Modeler Level 1". The table presented below shows state by state projections to 2040 with U.S. summary. Run Model Level 1 on your computer and generate this same output -- or alternative projections with different assumptions.

Modeler Level 1 Features/Operation
Modeler is a single program. Different Modeler levels are enabled with a user key. Modeler operates on Windows computers. The Modeler installer provides the ready-to-use historical time series database.
Modeler packages:
  • Modeler Level 1 -- U.S. by State
    .. population, births, deaths and migration; urban & rural; annual 2010-2040
  • Modeler Level 1A -- U.S. by State
    .. Modeler 1 extended: population age single year of age x race/ethnicity x gender
  • Modeler Level 2 -- U.S. by State, Metro, County
    .. population, births, deaths and migration; urban & rural; annual 2010-2040
  • Modeler Level 2A -- U.S. by State, Metro, County
    .. Modeler 2 extended: population age single year of age x race/ethnicity x gender
Modeler options enable:
  • Run one area, multiple areas, all areas
  • Using generic models, set assumptions for selected or all areas.
  • Optionally set predetermined values for projection period
Modeler produces several types of output:
  • HTML table/file shown below
    .. modify the name used in the HTML file; optionally use a date or other reference.
  • Analytical time series dataset: one record per area
    .. complete annual series for each component in same record (XLS or DBF)
  • CSV file suitable for use in Web-based interactive table
Modeler Level 1: U.S. by State Projections to 2040
The table shown below is an illustration of one form of output (an HTML file) generated using Modeler Level 1. These are not ProximityOne S&O projections, but rather an illustration of what is produced. A section is generated for each state. The state summary is shown at the bottom. Each state/U.S. component shows the population, births, deaths and migration. Columns show annual data for 2010 through 2020, 2030, 2040 and change. Data for 2010 through 2016 are Census-sourced (using updates released December 2016).

Assumptions used in these projections (set your own):
  • Births
  • Deaths
  • International Migration
  • Domestic Migration

M1 Projections to 2040: U.S. by State
Scroll vertically to view states and the U.S. Scroll horizontally to view 2040 projections.
Click a state abbreviation link to view that state: US AL AK AZ AR CA CA CT DE DC FL GA HI ID
IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Alabama -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 4,779,736 4,799,918 4,815,960 4,829,479 4,843,214 4,853,875 4,863,300 4,872,849 4,881,817 4,890,211 4,898,036 4,946,337 4,944,131 164,395 3.4
Births... 59,689 59,066 57,939 58,906 59,034 58,556 58,078 57,600 57,122 56,644 51,864 47,084......
- Birth Rate... 12.4 12.3 12.0 12.2 12.2 12.0 11.9 11.8 11.7 11.6 10.5 9.5......
Deaths... 48,817 48,372 50,845 49,693 51,407 52,405 52,405 52,508 52,605 52,695 53,273 53,301......
- Death Rate... 10.2 10.0 10.5 10.3 10.6 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.8......
Int Migration... 4,816 4,695 4,179 4,732 5,110 4,738 4,739 4,739 4,739 4,739 4,739 4,739......
- IM Rate... 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0......
Dom Migration... -1,416 414 1,619 420 -3,114 -864 -863 -863 -863 -863 -863 -863......
- DM Rate... -0.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 -0.6 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2......
Net Migration... 3,400 5,109 5,798 5,152 1,996 3,874 3,875 3,875 3,875 3,875 3,875 3,875......
- NM Rate... 0.8 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.1 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Alaska -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 710,231 722,713 731,089 736,879 736,705 737,709 741,894 746,024 750,070 754,032 757,911 792,243 818,802 108,571 15.3
Births... 11,707 11,126 11,347 11,448 11,314 11,255 11,196 11,137 11,078 11,019 10,429 9,839......
- Birth Rate... 16.2 15.2 15.4 15.5 15.3 15.2 15.0 14.8 14.7 14.5 13.2 12.0......
Deaths... 3,937 3,937 4,047 4,047 4,315 4,511 4,511 4,536 4,561 4,585 4,798 4,965......
- Death Rate... 5.4 5.4 5.5 5.5 5.8 6.1 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.1 6.1......
Int Migration... 1,480 2,723 2,249 2,208 2,527 2,030 2,031 2,031 2,031 2,031 2,031 2,031......
- IM Rate... 2.0 3.7 3.1 3.0 3.4 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.5......
Dom Migration... -795 -1,549 -3,223 -10,408 -7,882 -4,587 -4,586 -4,586 -4,586 -4,586 -4,586 -4,586......
- DM Rate... -1.1 -2.1 -4.4 -14.1 -10.7 -6.2 -6.1 -6.1 -6.1 -6.1 -5.8 -5.6......
Net Migration... 685 1,174 -974 -8,200 -5,355 -2,557 -2,556 -2,556 -2,556 -2,556 -2,556 -2,556......
- NM Rate... -3.4 0.9 1.6 -1.3 -11.1 -7.3 -3.4 -3.4 -3.4 -3.4 -3.2 -3.1......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Arizona -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 6,392,017 6,467,163 6,549,634 6,624,617 6,719,993 6,817,565 6,931,071 7,038,064 7,144,130 7,249,276 7,353,510 8,347,295 9,257,685 2,865,668 44.8
Births... 86,106 85,573 86,097 86,128 87,258 87,204 87,150 87,096 87,042 86,988 86,448 85,908......
- Birth Rate... 13.3 13.1 13.0 12.8 12.8 12.6 12.4 12.2 12.0 11.8 10.4 9.3......
Deaths... 48,164 48,756 50,609 50,249 54,576 56,564 56,564 57,437 58,303 59,161 67,342 74,837......
- Death Rate... 7.4 7.4 7.6 7.5 8.0 8.2 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.1 8.1......
Int Migration... 10,947 11,686 12,282 14,290 15,414 14,861 14,862 14,862 14,862 14,862 14,862 14,862......
- IM Rate... 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0 1.8 1.6......
Dom Migration... 8,535 33,964 25,538 41,038 48,341 61,544 61,545 61,545 61,545 61,545 61,545 61,545......
- DM Rate... 1.3 5.2 3.9 6.1 7.1 8.9 8.7 8.6 8.5 8.4 7.4 6.6......
Net Migration... 19,482 45,650 37,820 55,328 63,755 76,405 76,406 76,406 76,406 76,406 76,406 76,406......
- NM Rate... 10.4 3.0 7.0 5.7 8.2 9.4 11.0 10.9 10.7 10.5 9.2 8.3......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Arkansas -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 2,915,918 2,939,493 2,950,685 2,958,663 2,966,912 2,977,853 2,988,248 2,998,859 3,009,085 3,018,931 3,028,400 3,103,197 3,144,320 228,402 7.8
Births... 38,451 38,603 37,976 38,233 38,212 37,936 37,660 37,384 37,108 36,832 34,072 31,312......
- Birth Rate... 13.1 13.1 12.8 12.9 12.8 12.7 12.6 12.4 12.3 12.2 11.0 10.0......
Deaths... 29,427 29,745 30,948 29,954 29,955 30,581 30,581 30,690 30,794 30,895 31,697 32,151......
- Death Rate... 10.0 10.1 10.5 10.1 10.1 10.2 10.2 10.2 10.2 10.2 10.2 10.2......
Int Migration... 2,635 2,995 2,806 3,251 3,469 3,335 3,336 3,336 3,336 3,336 3,336 3,336......
- IM Rate... 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1......
Dom Migration... 5,591 -868 -1,265 -2,864 -963 195 196 196 196 196 196 196......
- DM Rate... 1.9 -0.3 -0.4 -1.0 -0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1......
Net Migration... 8,226 2,127 1,541 387 2,506 3,530 3,531 3,531 3,531 3,531 3,531 3,531......
- NM Rate... 1.2 2.8 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for California -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 37,253,956 37,676,861 38,011,074 38,335,203 38,680,810 38,993,940 39,250,017 39,512,092 39,771,883 40,029,407 40,284,680 42,716,957 44,940,665 7,686,709 20.6
Births... 509,772 497,438 499,642 498,910 503,303 502,848 502,393 501,938 501,483 501,028 496,478 491,928......
- Birth Rate... 13.5 13.1 13.0 12.9 12.9 12.8 12.7 12.6 12.5 12.4 11.6 10.9......
Deaths... 238,419 239,600 247,773 244,043 262,984 273,850 273,850 275,679 277,491 279,288 296,409 312,065......
- Death Rate... 6.3 6.3 6.5 6.3 6.7 7.0 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.9......
Int Migration... 124,150 122,429 121,944 138,820 148,098 142,553 142,554 142,554 142,554 142,554 142,554 142,554......
- IM Rate... 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.6 3.8 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.3 3.2......
Dom Migration... -42,576 -43,897 -51,795 -41,146 -77,603 -109,023 -109,022 -109,022 -109,022 -109,022 -109,022 -109,022......
- DM Rate... -1.1 -1.2 -1.4 -1.1 -2.0 -2.8 -2.8 -2.7 -2.7 -2.7 -2.6 -2.4......
Net Migration... 81,574 78,532 70,149 97,674 70,495 33,530 33,531 33,531 33,531 33,531 33,531 33,531......
- NM Rate... 0.8 2.2 2.1 1.8 2.5 1.8 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Colorado -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 5,029,196 5,118,360 5,189,867 5,267,603 5,349,648 5,448,819 5,540,545 5,632,678 5,725,220 5,818,167 5,911,518 6,866,622 7,859,191 2,829,995 56.3
Births... 65,911 64,733 64,738 65,713 66,427 67,453 68,479 69,505 70,531 71,557 81,817 92,077......
- Birth Rate... 12.9 12.5 12.3 12.3 12.2 12.2 12.2 12.1 12.1 12.1 11.9 11.7......
Deaths... 32,009 32,714 33,597 33,943 36,381 37,121 37,121 37,738 38,358 38,981 45,354 51,980......
- Death Rate... 6.3 6.3 6.4 6.3 6.7 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.6......
Int Migration... 8,238 10,445 9,364 10,391 11,505 10,557 10,558 10,558 10,558 10,558 10,558 10,558......
- IM Rate... 1.6 2.0 1.8 1.9 2.1 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.5 1.3......
Dom Migration... 25,703 28,485 36,296 39,052 56,122 50,216 50,217 50,217 50,217 50,217 50,217 50,217......
- DM Rate... 5.0 5.5 6.9 7.3 10.3 9.1 8.9 8.8 8.6 8.5 7.3 6.4......
Net Migration... 33,941 38,930 45,660 49,443 67,627 60,773 60,774 60,774 60,774 60,774 60,774 60,774......
- NM Rate... 10.3 6.6 7.5 8.7 9.2 12.4 11.0 10.8 10.6 10.4 8.9 7.7......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Connecticut -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 3,574,097 3,589,893 3,593,795 3,596,003 3,591,873 3,584,730 3,576,452 3,568,540 3,560,394 3,552,015 3,543,407 3,445,083 3,325,804 -248,293 -6.9
Births... 37,644 36,847 36,138 36,155 36,150 35,848 35,546 35,244 34,942 34,640 31,620 28,600......
- Birth Rate... 10.5 10.3 10.0 10.1 10.1 10.0 10.0 9.9 9.8 9.8 9.2 8.6......
Deaths... 29,324 29,093 29,789 29,681 30,025 30,638 30,638 30,570 30,500 30,429 29,605 28,601......
- Death Rate... 8.2 8.1 8.3 8.3 8.4 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6......
Int Migration... 16,004 15,316 14,804 16,740 17,439 17,058 17,059 17,059 17,059 17,059 17,059 17,059......
- IM Rate... 4.5 4.3 4.1 4.7 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 5.0 5.1......
Dom Migration... -13,242 -19,031 -17,204 -27,123 -28,939 -29,880 -29,879 -29,879 -29,879 -29,879 -29,879 -29,879......
- DM Rate... -3.7 -5.3 -4.8 -7.6 -8.1 -8.4 -8.4 -8.4 -8.4 -8.4 -8.7 -9.0......
Net Migration... 2,762 -3,715 -2,400 -10,383 -11,500 -12,822 -12,821 -12,821 -12,821 -12,821 -12,821 -12,821......
- NM Rate... -3.6 0.8 -1.0 -0.7 -2.9 -3.2 -3.6 -3.6 -3.6 -3.6 -3.7 -3.9......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Delaware -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 897,934 907,924 916,993 925,395 934,948 944,076 952,065 959,667 967,238 974,777 982,286 1,055,738 1,126,409 228,475 25.4
Births... 11,303 11,157 10,889 10,979 10,882 10,922 10,962 11,002 11,042 11,082 11,482 11,882......
- Birth Rate... 12.4 12.2 11.8 11.7 11.5 11.5 11.4 11.4 11.3 11.3 10.9 10.5......
Deaths... 7,873 7,694 8,094 8,078 8,569 8,945 8,945 9,016 9,088 9,158 9,851 10,518......
- Death Rate... 8.7 8.4 8.7 8.6 9.1 9.4 9.3 9.3 9.3 9.3 9.3 9.3......
Int Migration... 2,175 2,424 2,239 2,522 2,658 2,556 2,557 2,557 2,557 2,557 2,557 2,557......
- IM Rate... 2.4 2.6 2.4 2.7 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.4 2.3......
Dom Migration... 2,632 3,261 3,417 3,887 3,989 3,027 3,028 3,028 3,028 3,028 3,028 3,028......
- DM Rate... 2.9 3.6 3.7 4.2 4.2 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.1 2.9 2.7......
Net Migration... 4,807 5,685 5,656 6,409 6,647 5,583 5,584 5,584 5,584 5,584 5,584 5,584......
- NM Rate... 5.7 5.3 6.2 6.1 6.9 7.0 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.3 5.0......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for District of Columbia -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 601,723 620,477 635,327 649,165 659,005 670,377 681,170 692,010 702,885 713,795 724,740 836,032 950,495 348,772 58.0
Births... 9,196 9,232 9,446 9,337 9,657 9,779 9,901 10,023 10,145 10,267 11,487 12,707......
- Birth Rate... 14.8 14.5 14.6 14.2 14.4 14.4 14.3 14.3 14.2 14.2 13.7 13.4......
Deaths... 4,671 4,543 4,809 4,649 5,166 5,455 5,455 5,542 5,629 5,716 6,605 7,519......
- Death Rate... 7.5 7.2 7.4 7.1 7.7 8.0 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9......
Int Migration... 3,299 3,692 3,643 4,019 4,237 4,116 4,117 4,117 4,117 4,117 4,117 4,117......
- IM Rate... 5.3 5.8 5.6 6.1 6.3 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.7 4.9 4.3......
Dom Migration... 7,069 6,305 6,022 691 2,885 2,276 2,277 2,277 2,277 2,277 2,277 2,277......
- DM Rate... 11.4 9.9 9.3 1.0 4.3 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.1 2.7 2.4......
Net Migration... 10,368 9,997 9,665 4,710 7,122 6,392 6,393 6,393 6,393 6,393 6,393 6,393......
- NM Rate... 8.8 16.7 15.7 14.9 7.1 10.6 9.4 9.2 9.1 9.0 7.6 6.7......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Florida -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 18,801,310 19,096,952 19,344,156 19,582,022 19,888,741 20,244,914 20,612,439 20,961,517 21,308,965 21,654,798 21,999,033 25,356,829 28,571,033 9,769,723 52.0
Births... 213,209 214,037 212,992 218,344 221,011 222,793 224,575 226,357 228,139 229,921 247,741 265,561......
- Birth Rate... 11.2 11.1 10.9 11.0 10.9 10.8 10.7 10.6 10.5 10.5 9.8 9.3......
Deaths... 174,530 173,775 181,652 181,074 195,790 201,485 201,485 204,897 208,293 211,674 244,644 276,197......
- Death Rate... 9.1 9.0 9.3 9.1 9.7 9.8 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.7......
Int Migration... 105,659 107,214 103,303 116,098 121,235 118,831 118,832 118,832 118,832 118,832 118,832 118,832......
- IM Rate... 5.5 5.5 5.3 5.8 6.0 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.4 4.7 4.2......
Dom Migration... 101,716 98,825 97,999 141,388 207,537 207,155 207,156 207,156 207,156 207,156 207,156 207,156......
- DM Rate... 5.3 5.1 5.0 7.1 10.3 10.0 9.9 9.7 9.6 9.4 8.2 7.3......
Net Migration... 207,375 206,039 201,302 257,486 328,772 325,986 325,987 325,987 325,987 325,987 325,987 325,987......
- NM Rate... 14.8 10.9 10.7 10.3 12.9 16.2 15.8 15.6 15.3 15.1 12.9 11.4......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Georgia -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 9,687,653 9,811,610 9,914,668 9,984,938 10,087,231 10,199,398 10,310,371 10,419,866 10,528,039 10,634,901 10,740,462 11,726,741 12,593,741 2,906,088 30.0
Births... 132,623 131,876 128,652 129,544 131,318 130,862 130,406 129,950 129,494 129,038 124,478 119,918......
- Birth Rate... 13.5 13.3 12.9 12.8 12.9 12.7 12.5 12.3 12.2 12.0 10.6 9.5......
Deaths... 71,119 70,427 74,854 74,855 78,843 81,525 81,525 82,391 83,246 84,091 91,988 98,935......
- Death Rate... 7.2 7.1 7.5 7.4 7.7 7.9 7.8 7.8 7.8 7.8 7.8 7.9......
Int Migration... 21,072 24,082 21,159 23,558 25,469 23,831 23,832 23,832 23,832 23,832 23,832 23,832......
- IM Rate... 2.1 2.4 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.0 1.9......
Dom Migration... 11,328 16,868 -5,905 22,868 33,156 36,781 36,782 36,782 36,782 36,782 36,782 36,782......
- DM Rate... 1.2 1.7 -0.6 2.3 3.3 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.1 2.9......
Net Migration... 32,400 40,950 15,254 46,426 58,625 60,612 60,613 60,613 60,613 60,613 60,613 60,613......
- NM Rate... 5.6 3.3 4.1 1.5 4.6 5.7 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.2 4.8......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Hawaii -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 1,360,301 1,377,864 1,391,820 1,406,481 1,416,349 1,425,157 1,428,557 1,432,446 1,436,502 1,440,723 1,445,107 1,497,664 1,565,134 204,833 15.1
Births... 19,157 18,895 19,037 18,954 18,307 18,507 18,707 18,907 19,107 19,307 21,307 23,307......
- Birth Rate... 13.9 13.6 13.5 13.4 12.8 13.0 13.1 13.2 13.3 13.4 14.2 14.9......
Deaths... 10,073 10,244 10,342 10,754 11,864 12,237 12,237 12,270 12,305 12,341 12,778 13,344......
- Death Rate... 7.3 7.4 7.4 7.6 8.3 8.6 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.5......
Int Migration... 6,443 8,998 7,434 7,677 8,596 7,438 7,439 7,439 7,439 7,439 7,439 7,439......
- IM Rate... 4.7 6.5 5.3 5.4 6.0 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.0 4.8......
Dom Migration... -941 -3,556 -1,443 -5,359 -6,759 -10,021 -10,020 -10,020 -10,020 -10,020 -10,020 -10,020......
- DM Rate... -0.7 -2.6 -1.0 -3.8 -4.7 -7.0 -7.0 -7.0 -7.0 -6.9 -6.7 -6.4......
Net Migration... 5,502 5,442 5,991 2,318 1,837 -2,583 -2,582 -2,582 -2,582 -2,582 -2,582 -2,582......
- NM Rate... -1.8 4.0 3.9 4.3 1.6 1.3 -1.8 -1.8 -1.8 -1.8 -1.7 -1.6......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Idaho -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 1,567,582 1,584,143 1,595,911 1,612,011 1,633,532 1,652,828 1,683,140 1,712,098 1,740,632 1,768,745 1,796,441 2,051,092 2,267,241 699,659 44.6
Births... 22,957 22,366 22,705 22,430 23,001 22,792 22,583 22,374 22,165 21,956 19,866 17,776......
- Birth Rate... 14.5 14.0 14.1 13.7 13.9 13.5 13.2 12.9 12.5 12.2 9.7 7.8......
Deaths... 11,885 11,902 12,301 12,546 12,348 12,496 12,496 12,711 12,923 13,132 15,052 16,684......
- Death Rate... 7.5 7.5 7.6 7.7 7.5 7.4 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.4......
Int Migration... 1,313 1,600 1,458 1,669 1,848 1,726 1,727 1,727 1,727 1,727 1,727 1,727......
- IM Rate... 0.8 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8......
Dom Migration... 152 -307 4,786 8,916 6,748 17,143 17,144 17,144 17,144 17,144 17,144 17,144......
- DM Rate... 0.1 -0.2 3.0 5.5 4.1 10.2 10.0 9.8 9.7 9.5 8.4 7.6......
Net Migration... 1,465 1,293 6,244 10,585 8,596 18,869 18,870 18,870 18,870 18,870 18,870 18,870......
- NM Rate... 10.5 0.9 0.8 3.9 6.5 5.2 11.2 11.0 10.8 10.7 9.2 8.3......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Illinois -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 12,830,632 12,860,012 12,870,798 12,879,505 12,867,544 12,839,047 12,801,539 12,763,274 12,723,077 12,680,964 12,636,952 12,095,812 11,381,520 -1,449,112 -11.3
Births... 162,419 160,143 157,488 157,517 157,493 155,238 152,983 150,728 148,473 146,218 123,668 101,118......
- Birth Rate... 12.6 12.4 12.2 12.2 12.3 12.1 12.0 11.8 11.7 11.6 10.2 8.9......
Deaths... 101,617 101,298 104,312 102,715 107,022 108,040 108,040 107,717 107,378 107,022 102,608 96,721......
- Death Rate... 7.9 7.9 8.1 8.0 8.3 8.4 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.5......
Int Migration... 26,317 26,875 26,501 30,024 32,005 30,934 30,935 30,935 30,935 30,935 30,935 30,935......
- IM Rate... 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.6 2.7......
Dom Migration... -67,239 -74,709 -68,697 -96,297 -105,619 -114,144 -114,143 -114,143 -114,143 -114,143 -114,143 -114,143......
- DM Rate... -5.2 -5.8 -5.3 -7.5 -8.2 -8.9 -8.9 -9.0 -9.0 -9.0 -9.4 -10.0......
Net Migration... -40,922 -47,834 -42,196 -66,273 -73,614 -83,210 -83,209 -83,209 -83,209 -83,209 -83,209 -83,209......
- NM Rate... -6.6 -3.2 -3.7 -3.3 -5.2 -5.7 -6.5 -6.5 -6.5 -6.6 -6.9 -7.3......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Indiana -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 6,483,802 6,516,480 6,537,743 6,569,102 6,595,233 6,612,768 6,633,053 6,653,935 6,674,230 6,693,944 6,713,082 6,873,919 6,982,676 498,874 7.7
Births... 83,463 83,073 83,364 83,532 83,662 83,267 82,872 82,477 82,082 81,687 77,737 73,787......
- Birth Rate... 12.8 12.7 12.7 12.7 12.7 12.6 12.5 12.4 12.3 12.2 11.3 10.6......
Deaths... 57,897 58,632 60,721 59,872 60,852 60,909 60,909 61,101 61,287 61,468 62,995 64,040......
- Death Rate... 8.9 9.0 9.2 9.1 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2......
Int Migration... 9,263 9,599 9,519 10,725 11,258 11,052 11,053 11,053 11,053 11,053 11,053 11,053......
- IM Rate... 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.6......
Dom Migration... -8,511 -12,698 -247 -6,723 -15,870 -12,135 -12,134 -12,134 -12,134 -12,134 -12,134 -12,134......
- DM Rate... -1.3 -1.9 0.0 -1.0 -2.4 -1.8 -1.8 -1.8 -1.8 -1.8 -1.8 -1.7......
Net Migration... 752 -3,099 9,272 4,002 -4,612 -1,083 -1,082 -1,082 -1,082 -1,082 -1,082 -1,082......
- NM Rate... -0.2 0.1 -0.5 1.4 0.6 -0.7 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Iowa -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 3,046,355 3,065,223 3,076,310 3,091,930 3,108,030 3,121,997 3,134,693 3,148,035 3,161,041 3,173,713 3,186,055 3,291,970 3,368,028 321,673 10.6
Births... 37,851 38,469 38,805 39,458 39,563 39,349 39,135 38,921 38,707 38,493 36,353 34,213......
- Birth Rate... 12.3 12.5 12.6 12.7 12.7 12.6 12.4 12.3 12.2 12.1 11.0 10.2......
Deaths... 28,208 28,048 29,141 28,926 28,486 28,739 28,739 28,861 28,981 29,097 30,097 30,820......
- Death Rate... 9.2 9.1 9.4 9.3 9.1 9.2 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.2......
Int Migration... 4,811 4,984 5,580 6,165 6,441 6,336 6,337 6,337 6,337 6,337 6,337 6,337......
- IM Rate... 1.6 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9......
Dom Migration... 237 -4,316 617 5 -3,689 -3,392 -3,391 -3,391 -3,391 -3,391 -3,391 -3,391......
- DM Rate... 0.1 -1.4 0.2 0.0 -1.2 -1.1 -1.1 -1.1 -1.1 -1.1 -1.0 -1.0......
Net Migration... 5,048 668 6,197 6,170 2,752 2,944 2,945 2,945 2,945 2,945 2,945 2,945......
- NM Rate... 0.9 1.6 0.2 2.0 2.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Kansas -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 2,853,118 2,869,503 2,885,262 2,892,821 2,899,360 2,906,721 2,907,289 2,908,106 2,908,901 2,909,674 2,910,425 2,916,787 2,921,177 68,059 2.4
Births... 40,115 39,579 39,724 39,292 38,717 38,702 38,687 38,672 38,657 38,642 38,492 38,342......
- Birth Rate... 14.0 13.7 13.7 13.6 13.3 13.3 13.3 13.3 13.3 13.3 13.2 13.1......
Deaths... 25,183 24,965 25,593 25,505 25,018 25,128 25,128 25,135 25,142 25,149 25,205 25,245......
- Death Rate... 8.8 8.7 8.8 8.8 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6......
Int Migration... 4,703 6,358 5,356 5,864 6,415 5,851 5,852 5,852 5,852 5,852 5,852 5,852......
- IM Rate... 1.6 2.2 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0......
Dom Migration... -9,071 -5,234 -12,072 -13,027 -13,011 -18,595 -18,594 -18,594 -18,594 -18,594 -18,594 -18,594......
- DM Rate... -3.2 -1.8 -4.2 -4.5 -4.5 -6.4 -6.4 -6.4 -6.4 -6.4 -6.4 -6.4......
Net Migration... -4,368 1,124 -6,716 -7,163 -6,596 -12,744 -12,743 -12,743 -12,743 -12,743 -12,743 -12,743......
- NM Rate... -4.4 -1.5 0.4 -2.3 -2.5 -2.3 -4.4 -4.4 -4.4 -4.4 -4.4 -4.4......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Kentucky -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 4,339,367 4,369,354 4,384,799 4,400,477 4,413,057 4,424,611 4,436,974 4,450,108 4,462,621 4,474,520 4,485,810 4,566,576 4,592,896 253,529 5.8
Births... 55,309 55,286 56,049 55,747 55,686 55,198 54,710 54,222 53,734 53,246 48,366 43,486......
- Birth Rate... 12.7 12.6 12.7 12.6 12.6 12.4 12.3 12.2 12.0 11.9 10.6 9.5......
Deaths... 42,424 42,795 44,425 43,684 44,681 44,883 44,883 45,016 45,142 45,263 46,138 46,457......
- Death Rate... 9.7 9.8 10.1 9.9 10.1 10.1 10.1 10.1 10.1 10.1 10.1 10.1......
Int Migration... 5,104 6,726 6,215 6,711 7,168 6,734 6,735 6,735 6,735 6,735 6,735 6,735......
- IM Rate... 1.2 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5......
Dom Migration... 2,955 -3,858 -2,217 -5,171 -6,917 -3,429 -3,428 -3,428 -3,428 -3,428 -3,428 -3,428......
- DM Rate... 0.7 -0.9 -0.5 -1.2 -1.6 -0.8 -0.8 -0.8 -0.8 -0.8 -0.8 -0.7......
Net Migration... 8,059 2,868 3,998 1,540 251 3,305 3,306 3,306 3,306 3,306 3,306 3,306......
- NM Rate... 0.7 1.8 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Louisiana -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 4,533,372 4,575,404 4,603,429 4,626,402 4,647,880 4,668,960 4,681,666 4,694,763 4,707,309 4,719,309 4,730,769 4,816,765 4,854,130 320,758 7.1
Births... 62,303 62,265 62,531 64,213 63,995 63,570 63,145 62,720 62,295 61,870 57,620 53,370......
- Birth Rate... 13.6 13.5 13.5 13.8 13.7 13.6 13.5 13.3 13.2 13.1 12.0 11.0......
Deaths... 40,758 40,744 43,787 43,576 44,002 45,030 45,030 45,156 45,277 45,392 46,269 46,673......
- Death Rate... 8.9 8.9 9.5 9.4 9.4 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.6......
Int Migration... 6,641 7,278 6,513 7,175 7,660 7,223 7,224 7,224 7,224 7,224 7,224 7,224......
- IM Rate... 1.5 1.6 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5......
Dom Migration... 2,206 -1,040 -2,451 -5,726 -7,238 -12,243 -12,242 -12,242 -12,242 -12,242 -12,242 -12,242......
- DM Rate... 0.5 -0.2 -0.5 -1.2 -1.6 -2.6 -2.6 -2.6 -2.6 -2.6 -2.5 -2.5......
Net Migration... 8,847 6,238 4,062 1,449 422 -5,020 -5,019 -5,019 -5,019 -5,019 -5,019 -5,019......
- NM Rate... -1.1 1.9 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 -1.1 -1.1 -1.1 -1.1 -1.0 -1.0......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Maine -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 1,328,361 1,328,231 1,328,895 1,329,076 1,330,719 1,329,453 1,331,479 1,334,075 1,336,584 1,339,007 1,341,345 1,360,227 1,371,509 43,148 3.2
Births... 12,626 12,802 12,868 12,703 12,602 12,542 12,482 12,422 12,362 12,302 11,702 11,102......
- Birth Rate... 9.5 9.6 9.7 9.5 9.5 9.4 9.4 9.3 9.2 9.2 8.6 8.1......
Deaths... 13,031 12,750 13,407 13,353 13,656 13,842 13,842 13,869 13,895 13,920 14,125 14,250......
- Death Rate... 9.8 9.6 10.1 10.0 10.3 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.4......
Int Migration... 1,245 1,305 1,565 1,736 1,823 1,785 1,786 1,786 1,786 1,786 1,786 1,786......
- IM Rate... 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3......
Dom Migration... 33 -586 -1,269 674 -1,738 2,169 2,170 2,170 2,170 2,170 2,170 2,170......
- DM Rate... 0.0 -0.4 -1.0 0.5 -1.3 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6......
Net Migration... 1,278 719 296 2,410 85 3,954 3,955 3,955 3,955 3,955 3,955 3,955......
- NM Rate... 2.9 1.0 0.5 0.2 1.8 0.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Maryland -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 5,773,552 5,843,603 5,889,651 5,931,129 5,967,295 5,994,983 6,016,447 6,039,372 6,061,568 6,083,042 6,103,799 6,273,245 6,377,285 603,733 10.5
Births... 73,541 72,732 72,355 72,756 73,859 73,321 72,783 72,245 71,707 71,169 65,789 60,409......
- Birth Rate... 12.6 12.3 12.2 12.2 12.3 12.2 12.1 11.9 11.8 11.7 10.5 9.5......
Deaths... 43,675 43,464 45,739 44,753 48,446 50,036 50,036 50,227 50,411 50,590 52,056 52,974......
- Death Rate... 7.5 7.4 7.7 7.5 8.1 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.3......
Int Migration... 25,655 25,599 23,876 26,088 27,472 26,408 26,409 26,409 26,409 26,409 26,409 26,409......
- IM Rate... 4.4 4.3 4.0 4.4 4.6 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.1......
Dom Migration... 527 -8,270 -9,192 -16,232 -24,906 -26,232 -26,231 -26,231 -26,231 -26,231 -26,231 -26,231......
- DM Rate... 0.1 -1.4 -1.5 -2.7 -4.2 -4.4 -4.3 -4.3 -4.3 -4.3 -4.2 -4.1......
Net Migration... 26,182 17,329 14,684 9,856 2,566 176 177 177 177 177 177 177......
- NM Rate... 0.0 4.5 2.9 2.5 1.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Massachusetts -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 6,547,629 6,611,923 6,658,008 6,706,786 6,749,911 6,784,240 6,811,779 6,841,613 6,871,274 6,900,763 6,930,082 7,214,222 7,482,850 935,221 14.3
Births... 73,191 72,214 72,162 71,940 71,945 72,024 72,103 72,182 72,261 72,340 73,130 73,920......
- Birth Rate... 11.1 10.8 10.8 10.7 10.6 10.6 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.4 10.1 9.9......
Deaths... 54,026 52,418 54,804 54,741 56,119 57,563 57,563 57,815 58,066 58,315 60,730 63,012......
- Death Rate... 8.2 7.9 8.2 8.1 8.3 8.5 8.4 8.4 8.4 8.4 8.4 8.4......
Int Migration... 34,572 35,460 35,960 40,091 41,526 40,898 40,899 40,899 40,899 40,899 40,899 40,899......
- IM Rate... 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.9 6.1 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.7 5.5......
Dom Migration... -4,679 -8,675 -3,709 -11,569 -22,087 -25,606 -25,605 -25,605 -25,605 -25,605 -25,605 -25,605......
- DM Rate... -0.7 -1.3 -0.6 -1.7 -3.3 -3.8 -3.7 -3.7 -3.7 -3.7 -3.5 -3.4......
Net Migration... 29,893 26,785 32,251 28,522 19,439 15,292 15,293 15,293 15,293 15,293 15,293 15,293......
- NM Rate... 2.2 4.5 4.0 4.8 4.2 2.9 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.0......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Michigan -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 9,883,640 9,876,213 9,887,238 9,898,982 9,915,767 9,917,715 9,928,300 9,941,760 9,954,794 9,967,406 9,979,601 10,079,417 10,141,586 257,946 2.6
Births... 113,974 113,077 113,012 114,527 113,735 113,437 113,139 112,841 112,543 112,245 109,265 106,285......
- Birth Rate... 11.5 11.4 11.4 11.5 11.5 11.4 11.4 11.3 11.3 11.2 10.8 10.5......
Deaths... 89,856 89,064 92,325 91,841 94,319 94,353 94,353 94,481 94,605 94,725 95,711 96,336......
- Death Rate... 9.1 9.0 9.3 9.3 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5......
Int Migration... 17,731 19,239 19,958 22,052 22,969 22,511 22,512 22,512 22,512 22,512 22,512 22,512......
- IM Rate... 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2......
Dom Migration... -43,442 -32,306 -29,395 -26,045 -38,770 -27,839 -27,838 -27,838 -27,838 -27,838 -27,838 -27,838......
- DM Rate... -4.4 -3.3 -3.0 -2.6 -3.9 -2.8 -2.8 -2.8 -2.8 -2.8 -2.8 -2.7......
Net Migration... -25,711 -13,067 -9,437 -3,993 -15,801 -5,328 -5,327 -5,327 -5,327 -5,327 -5,327 -5,327......
- NM Rate... -0.5 -2.6 -1.3 -1.0 -0.4 -1.6 -0.5 -0.5 -0.5 -0.5 -0.5 -0.5......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Minnesota -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 5,303,925 5,348,562 5,380,285 5,418,521 5,453,109 5,482,435 5,519,952 5,558,812 5,597,101 5,634,823 5,671,982 6,013,556 6,303,374 999,449 18.8
Births... 68,369 68,052 68,968 69,886 69,466 69,190 68,914 68,638 68,362 68,086 65,326 62,566......
- Birth Rate... 12.8 12.6 12.7 12.8 12.7 12.5 12.4 12.3 12.1 12.0 10.9 9.9......
Deaths... 39,985 39,320 41,327 40,831 41,577 41,938 41,938 42,233 42,524 42,811 45,447 47,687......
- Death Rate... 7.5 7.3 7.6 7.5 7.6 7.6 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.6 7.6......
Int Migration... 12,369 12,071 12,004 13,247 13,853 13,644 13,645 13,645 13,645 13,645 13,645 13,645......
- IM Rate... 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.2......
Dom Migration... -3,326 -8,864 -1,828 -6,258 -12,241 -1,762 -1,761 -1,761 -1,761 -1,761 -1,761 -1,761......
- DM Rate... -0.6 -1.6 -0.3 -1.1 -2.2 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3......
Net Migration... 9,043 3,207 10,176 6,989 1,612 11,882 11,883 11,883 11,883 11,883 11,883 11,883......
- NM Rate... 2.1 1.7 0.6 1.9 1.3 0.3 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0 1.9......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Mississippi -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 2,967,297 2,978,162 2,984,945 2,990,482 2,992,400 2,989,390 2,988,726 2,987,711 2,986,283 2,984,445 2,982,202 2,938,408 2,858,476 -108,821 -3.7
Births... 39,747 39,420 38,492 38,712 38,304 37,880 37,456 37,032 36,608 36,184 31,944 27,704......
- Birth Rate... 13.3 13.2 12.9 12.9 12.8 12.7 12.5 12.4 12.3 12.1 10.9 9.7......
Deaths... 29,129 29,018 30,639 30,582 30,203 31,006 31,006 30,995 30,981 30,962 30,547 29,753......
- Death Rate... 9.8 9.7 10.2 10.2 10.1 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.4......
Int Migration... 1,834 2,774 2,088 2,251 2,543 2,223 2,224 2,224 2,224 2,224 2,224 2,224......
- IM Rate... 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8......
Dom Migration... -5,610 -6,583 -4,248 -8,641 -13,502 -9,690 -9,689 -9,689 -9,689 -9,689 -9,689 -9,689......
- DM Rate... -1.9 -2.2 -1.4 -2.9 -4.5 -3.2 -3.2 -3.2 -3.2 -3.2 -3.3 -3.4......
Net Migration... -3,776 -3,809 -2,160 -6,390 -10,959 -7,467 -7,466 -7,466 -7,466 -7,466 -7,466 -7,466......
- NM Rate... -2.5 -1.3 -1.3 -0.7 -2.1 -3.7 -2.5 -2.5 -2.5 -2.5 -2.5 -2.6......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Missouri -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 5,988,927 6,010,717 6,025,415 6,042,711 6,060,930 6,076,204 6,093,000 6,110,557 6,127,637 6,144,244 6,160,383 6,297,002 6,391,513 402,586 6.7
Births... 76,249 75,424 75,174 75,788 74,731 74,423 74,115 73,807 73,499 73,191 70,111 67,031......
- Birth Rate... 12.7 12.5 12.4 12.5 12.3 12.2 12.1 12.0 12.0 11.9 11.1 10.5......
Deaths... 55,985 55,637 57,589 57,141 58,255 58,723 58,723 58,892 59,057 59,217 60,576 61,526......
- Death Rate... 9.3 9.2 9.5 9.4 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.6......
Int Migration... 7,519 8,670 7,590 8,343 8,880 8,413 8,414 8,414 8,414 8,414 8,414 8,414......
- IM Rate... 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3......
Dom Migration... -13,328 -13,498 -7,392 -7,785 -9,602 -6,250 -6,249 -6,249 -6,249 -6,249 -6,249 -6,249......
- DM Rate... -2.2 -2.2 -1.2 -1.3 -1.6 -1.0 -1.0 -1.0 -1.0 -1.0 -1.0 -1.0......
Net Migration... -5,809 -4,828 198 558 -722 2,163 2,164 2,164 2,164 2,164 2,164 2,164......
- NM Rate... 0.4 -1.0 -0.8 0.0 0.1 -0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Montana -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 989,415 997,821 1,005,196 1,014,314 1,022,867 1,032,073 1,042,520 1,052,690 1,062,678 1,072,487 1,082,117 1,168,966 1,239,699 250,284 25.3
Births... 12,003 12,036 12,201 12,387 12,519 12,431 12,343 12,255 12,167 12,079 11,199 10,319......
- Birth Rate... 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.1 12.1 11.9 11.7 11.5 11.3 11.2 9.6 8.3......
Deaths... 9,128 8,961 9,448 9,380 9,228 9,597 9,597 9,691 9,783 9,873 10,688 11,353......
- Death Rate... 9.1 8.9 9.3 9.2 8.9 9.2 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.2......
Int Migration... 621 753 565 586 646 569 570 570 570 570 570 570......
- IM Rate... 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5......
Dom Migration... 3,493 3,515 5,678 4,742 5,035 6,853 6,854 6,854 6,854 6,854 6,854 6,854......
- DM Rate... 3.5 3.5 5.6 4.6 4.9 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.3 5.9 5.5......
Net Migration... 4,114 4,268 6,243 5,328 5,681 7,422 7,423 7,423 7,423 7,423 7,423 7,423......
- NM Rate... 6.9 4.1 4.2 6.2 5.2 5.5 7.1 7.1 7.0 6.9 6.4 6.0......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Nebraska -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 1,826,341 1,842,283 1,855,725 1,868,559 1,881,145 1,893,765 1,907,116 1,920,261 1,933,202 1,945,941 1,958,480 2,073,181 2,169,523 343,182 18.8
Births... 25,725 25,756 26,023 26,463 26,651 26,553 26,455 26,357 26,259 26,161 25,181 24,201......
- Birth Rate... 14.0 13.9 13.9 14.1 14.1 13.9 13.8 13.6 13.5 13.4 12.1 11.2......
Deaths... 15,621 15,218 16,171 15,706 15,168 15,355 15,355 15,461 15,565 15,668 16,607 17,396......
- Death Rate... 8.5 8.2 8.7 8.3 8.0 8.1 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0......
Int Migration... 3,205 3,857 3,739 4,111 4,390 4,187 4,188 4,188 4,188 4,188 4,188 4,188......
- IM Rate... 1.7 2.1 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.0 1.9......
Dom Migration... -1,162 -861 -571 -2,204 -2,920 -2,144 -2,143 -2,143 -2,143 -2,143 -2,143 -2,143......
- DM Rate... -0.6 -0.5 -0.3 -1.2 -1.5 -1.1 -1.1 -1.1 -1.1 -1.1 -1.0 -1.0......
Net Migration... 2,043 2,996 3,168 1,907 1,470 2,043 2,044 2,044 2,044 2,044 2,044 2,044......
- NM Rate... 1.0 1.1 1.6 1.7 1.0 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.9......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Nevada -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 2,700,551 2,718,379 2,752,565 2,786,464 2,833,013 2,883,758 2,940,058 2,994,894 3,049,463 3,103,766 3,157,806 3,684,202 4,186,526 1,485,975 55.0
Births... 35,847 34,712 35,084 35,226 36,286 36,462 36,638 36,814 36,990 37,166 38,926 40,686......
- Birth Rate... 13.2 12.6 12.6 12.4 12.6 12.4 12.2 12.1 11.9 11.8 10.6 9.7......
Deaths... 20,200 20,412 21,267 21,280 23,053 23,771 23,771 24,214 24,656 25,095 29,371 33,451......
- Death Rate... 7.4 7.4 7.6 7.5 8.0 8.1 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9 8.0 8.0......
Int Migration... 6,432 6,153 6,220 7,163 7,727 7,392 7,393 7,393 7,393 7,393 7,393 7,393......
- IM Rate... 2.4 2.2 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.0 1.8......
Dom Migration... -6,661 13,649 13,342 23,610 28,376 34,575 34,576 34,576 34,576 34,576 34,576 34,576......
- DM Rate... -2.5 5.0 4.8 8.3 9.8 11.8 11.5 11.3 11.1 10.9 9.4 8.3......
Net Migration... -229 19,802 19,562 30,773 36,103 41,967 41,968 41,968 41,968 41,968 41,968 41,968......
- NM Rate... 13.3 -0.1 7.2 7.0 10.9 12.5 14.3 14.0 13.8 13.5 11.4 10.0......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for New Hampshire -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 1,316,470 1,318,473 1,321,182 1,322,687 1,328,743 1,330,111 1,334,795 1,339,850 1,344,850 1,349,796 1,354,688 1,400,745 1,441,903 125,433 9.5
Births... 12,991 12,370 12,593 12,220 12,285 12,274 12,263 12,252 12,241 12,230 12,120 12,010......
- Birth Rate... 9.9 9.4 9.5 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.1 9.1 9.0 8.7 8.3......
Deaths... 10,737 10,508 10,874 11,099 11,489 11,572 11,572 11,616 11,659 11,702 12,106 12,467......
- Death Rate... 8.1 8.0 8.2 8.4 8.6 8.7 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6......
Int Migration... 1,802 1,850 1,927 2,153 2,235 2,175 2,176 2,176 2,176 2,176 2,176 2,176......
- IM Rate... 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5......
Dom Migration... -2,206 -938 -2,337 2,854 -1,570 2,187 2,188 2,188 2,188 2,188 2,188 2,188......
- DM Rate... -1.7 -0.7 -1.8 2.1 -1.2 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5......
Net Migration... -404 912 -410 5,007 665 4,362 4,363 4,363 4,363 4,363 4,363 4,363......
- NM Rate... 3.2 -0.3 0.7 -0.3 3.8 0.5 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.0......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for New Jersey -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 8,791,894 8,841,243 8,873,211 8,899,162 8,925,001 8,935,421 8,944,469 8,954,975 8,965,197 8,975,138 8,984,800 9,066,570 9,122,878 330,984 3.8
Births... 106,685 104,521 103,464 103,327 102,362 102,166 101,970 101,774 101,578 101,382 99,422 97,462......
- Birth Rate... 12.1 11.8 11.6 11.6 11.5 11.4 11.4 11.4 11.3 11.3 11.0 10.7......
Deaths... 71,078 69,031 72,492 70,478 72,904 74,762 74,762 74,850 74,935 75,018 75,724 76,215......
- Death Rate... 8.0 7.8 8.1 7.9 8.2 8.4 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.4 8.4......
Int Migration... 46,987 45,202 43,980 48,842 50,929 50,087 50,088 50,088 50,088 50,088 50,088 50,088......
- IM Rate... 5.3 5.1 4.9 5.5 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5......
Dom Migration... -44,374 -48,342 -46,367 -55,009 -66,665 -66,791 -66,790 -66,790 -66,790 -66,790 -66,790 -66,790......
- DM Rate... -5.0 -5.4 -5.2 -6.2 -7.5 -7.5 -7.5 -7.4 -7.4 -7.4 -7.4 -7.3......
Net Migration... 2,613 -3,140 -2,387 -6,167 -15,736 -16,704 -16,703 -16,703 -16,703 -16,703 -16,703 -16,703......
- NM Rate... -1.9 0.3 -0.4 -0.3 -0.7 -1.8 -1.9 -1.9 -1.9 -1.9 -1.8 -1.8......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for New Mexico -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 2,059,179 2,077,756 2,083,784 2,085,193 2,083,024 2,080,328 2,081,015 2,081,439 2,081,700 2,081,801 2,081,741 2,072,647 2,048,999 -10,180 -0.5
Births... 27,799 27,043 26,738 26,357 25,650 25,491 25,332 25,173 25,014 24,855 23,265 21,675......
- Birth Rate... 13.4 13.0 12.8 12.7 12.3 12.2 12.2 12.1 12.0 11.9 11.2 10.6......
Deaths... 16,380 16,467 16,803 17,138 17,742 17,799 17,799 17,803 17,805 17,806 17,741 17,551......
- Death Rate... 7.9 7.9 8.1 8.2 8.5 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6......
Int Migration... 1,736 2,629 2,183 2,571 2,899 2,637 2,638 2,638 2,638 2,638 2,638 2,638......
- IM Rate... 0.8 1.3 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3......
Dom Migration... 84 -7,116 -10,541 -14,067 -13,668 -9,748 -9,747 -9,747 -9,747 -9,747 -9,747 -9,747......
- DM Rate... 0.0 -3.4 -5.1 -6.8 -6.6 -4.7 -4.7 -4.7 -4.7 -4.7 -4.7 -4.8......
Net Migration... 1,820 -4,487 -8,358 -11,496 -10,769 -7,111 -7,110 -7,110 -7,110 -7,110 -7,110 -7,110......
- NM Rate... -3.4 0.9 -2.2 -4.0 -5.5 -5.2 -3.4 -3.4 -3.4 -3.4 -3.4 -3.5......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for New York -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 19,378,102 19,519,529 19,602,769 19,673,546 19,718,515 19,747,183 19,745,289 19,746,805 19,746,918 19,745,638 19,742,979 19,642,875 19,416,513 38,411 0.2
Births... 243,116 239,920 239,861 237,034 237,898 236,507 235,116 233,725 232,334 230,943 217,033 203,123......
- Birth Rate... 12.5 12.2 12.2 12.0 12.0 12.0 11.9 11.8 11.8 11.7 11.0 10.5......
Deaths... 149,759 146,910 152,607 148,798 155,230 160,713 160,713 160,725 160,726 160,716 160,009 158,265......
- Death Rate... 7.7 7.5 7.8 7.5 7.9 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.2......
Int Migration... 108,528 107,880 104,541 115,680 120,650 118,478 118,479 118,479 118,479 118,479 118,479 118,479......
- IM Rate... 5.6 5.5 5.3 5.9 6.1 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.1......
Dom Migration... -83,457 -116,357 -110,066 -159,490 -161,612 -191,367 -191,366 -191,366 -191,366 -191,366 -191,366 -191,366......
- DM Rate... -4.3 -5.9 -5.6 -8.1 -8.2 -9.7 -9.7 -9.7 -9.7 -9.7 -9.7 -9.9......
Net Migration... 25,071 -8,477 -5,525 -43,810 -40,962 -72,889 -72,888 -72,888 -72,888 -72,888 -72,888 -72,888......
- NM Rate... -3.7 1.3 -0.4 -0.3 -2.2 -2.1 -3.7 -3.7 -3.7 -3.7 -3.7 -3.8......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for North Carolina -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 9,535,483 9,650,963 9,746,175 9,841,590 9,934,399 10,035,186 10,146,788 10,257,768 10,367,610 10,476,323 10,583,918 11,600,497 12,515,591 2,980,108 31.3
Births... 121,032 119,577 119,386 120,197 120,935 120,778 120,621 120,464 120,307 120,150 118,580 117,010......
- Birth Rate... 12.5 12.3 12.1 12.1 12.1 11.9 11.8 11.6 11.5 11.4 10.2 9.3......
Deaths... 79,944 79,510 84,326 83,485 87,724 89,721 89,721 90,702 91,674 92,635 101,718 109,896......
- Death Rate... 8.3 8.2 8.6 8.4 8.7 8.8 8.7 8.7 8.8 8.8 8.8 8.8......
Int Migration... 17,202 22,704 19,204 20,444 22,822 20,494 20,495 20,495 20,495 20,495 20,495 20,495......
- IM Rate... 1.8 2.3 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.6......
Dom Migration... 31,277 31,764 37,912 33,991 41,003 59,584 59,585 59,585 59,585 59,585 59,585 59,585......
- DM Rate... 3.2 3.3 3.9 3.4 4.1 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.1 4.8......
Net Migration... 48,479 54,468 57,116 54,435 63,825 80,078 80,079 80,079 80,079 80,079 80,079 80,079......
- NM Rate... 7.6 5.0 5.6 5.8 5.5 6.4 7.9 7.8 7.7 7.6 6.9 6.4......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for North Dakota -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 672,591 685,476 702,087 724,019 739,904 756,835 757,952 759,131 760,509 762,086 763,858 792,025 838,132 165,541 24.6
Births... 9,210 9,872 10,253 10,976 11,615 11,824 12,033 12,242 12,451 12,660 14,750 16,840......
- Birth Rate... 13.4 14.1 14.2 14.8 15.3 15.6 15.9 16.1 16.3 16.6 18.6 20.1......
Deaths... 6,054 5,935 6,229 6,205 5,963 6,172 6,172 6,182 6,193 6,206 6,420 6,781......
- Death Rate... 8.8 8.5 8.6 8.4 7.9 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.1......
Int Migration... 1,046 1,721 1,516 1,592 1,735 1,575 1,576 1,576 1,576 1,576 1,576 1,576......
- IM Rate... 1.5 2.5 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0 1.9......
Dom Migration... 6,266 10,759 16,434 9,072 9,684 -6,259 -6,258 -6,258 -6,258 -6,258 -6,258 -6,258......
- DM Rate... 9.1 15.3 22.7 12.3 12.8 -8.3 -8.2 -8.2 -8.2 -8.2 -7.9 -7.5......
Net Migration... 7,312 12,480 17,950 10,664 11,419 -4,684 -4,683 -4,683 -4,683 -4,683 -4,683 -4,683......
- NM Rate... -6.1 10.7 17.8 24.8 14.4 15.1 -6.2 -6.2 -6.2 -6.1 -5.9 -5.6......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Ohio -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 11,536,504 11,544,824 11,550,839 11,570,022 11,594,408 11,605,090 11,614,373 11,628,076 11,641,236 11,653,859 11,665,950 11,758,741 11,803,850 267,346 2.3
Births... 137,930 137,688 139,092 139,547 138,418 138,012 137,606 137,200 136,794 136,388 132,328 128,268......
- Birth Rate... 11.9 11.9 12.0 12.0 11.9 11.9 11.8 11.8 11.7 11.7 11.3 10.9......
Deaths... 110,724 111,390 114,477 111,816 115,380 115,938 115,938 116,075 116,206 116,332 117,309 117,804......
- Death Rate... 9.6 9.6 9.9 9.6 9.9 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0......
Int Migration... 15,886 16,817 17,239 19,253 20,072 19,591 19,592 19,592 19,592 19,592 19,592 19,592......
- IM Rate... 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7......
Dom Migration... -37,837 -37,289 -22,250 -18,487 -31,871 -27,558 -27,557 -27,557 -27,557 -27,557 -27,557 -27,557......
- DM Rate... -3.3 -3.2 -1.9 -1.6 -2.7 -2.4 -2.4 -2.4 -2.4 -2.4 -2.3 -2.3......
Net Migration... -21,951 -20,472 -5,011 766 -11,799 -7,967 -7,966 -7,966 -7,966 -7,966 -7,966 -7,966......
- NM Rate... -0.7 -1.9 -1.8 -0.4 0.1 -1.0 -0.7 -0.7 -0.7 -0.7 -0.7 -0.7......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Oklahoma -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 3,751,351 3,786,274 3,817,054 3,852,415 3,877,499 3,907,414 3,923,561 3,939,759 3,955,509 3,970,814 3,985,680 4,111,128 4,197,237 445,886 11.9
Births... 52,558 52,340 53,353 53,072 53,460 53,175 52,890 52,605 52,320 52,035 49,185 46,335......
- Birth Rate... 13.9 13.7 13.8 13.7 13.7 13.6 13.4 13.3 13.2 13.1 12.0 11.0......
Deaths... 37,683 36,986 38,656 38,653 38,834 39,588 39,588 39,751 39,910 40,065 41,372 42,279......
- Death Rate... 10.0 9.7 10.0 10.0 9.9 10.1 10.0 10.0 10.1 10.1 10.1 10.1......
Int Migration... 4,735 6,311 5,974 6,619 7,195 6,716 6,717 6,717 6,717 6,717 6,717 6,717......
- IM Rate... 1.3 1.7 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6......
Dom Migration... 6,319 9,011 14,002 4,761 7,671 -3,822 -3,821 -3,821 -3,821 -3,821 -3,821 -3,821......
- DM Rate... 1.7 2.4 3.6 1.2 2.0 -1.0 -1.0 -1.0 -1.0 -1.0 -0.9 -0.9......
Net Migration... 11,054 15,322 19,976 11,380 14,866 2,894 2,895 2,895 2,895 2,895 2,895 2,895......
- NM Rate... 0.7 2.9 4.0 5.2 2.9 3.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Oregon -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 3,831,074 3,868,031 3,899,116 3,925,751 3,968,371 4,024,634 4,093,465 4,161,659 4,229,657 4,297,460 4,365,070 5,030,925 5,679,237 1,848,163 48.2
Births... 45,396 44,907 45,003 45,467 45,805 46,198 46,591 46,984 47,377 47,770 51,700 55,630......
- Birth Rate... 11.7 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.4 11.3 11.2 11.1 11.0 10.9 10.3 9.8......
Deaths... 32,512 32,959 33,425 33,825 34,678 35,371 35,371 35,960 36,548 37,134 42,903 48,520......
- Death Rate... 8.4 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.6 8.6 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.5......
Int Migration... 5,533 5,485 5,726 6,660 7,109 6,934 6,935 6,935 6,935 6,935 6,935 6,935......
- IM Rate... 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.2......
Dom Migration... 11,373 13,736 9,064 23,560 35,973 50,038 50,039 50,039 50,039 50,039 50,039 50,039......
- DM Rate... 2.9 3.5 2.3 5.9 8.9 12.2 12.0 11.8 11.6 11.5 9.9 8.8......
Net Migration... 16,906 19,221 14,790 30,220 43,082 56,972 56,973 56,973 56,973 56,973 56,973 56,973......
- NM Rate... 13.1 4.4 4.9 3.8 7.6 10.7 13.9 13.7 13.5 13.3 11.3 10.0......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Pennsylvania -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 12,702,379 12,744,293 12,771,854 12,781,338 12,790,565 12,791,904 12,784,227 12,780,807 12,777,044 12,772,940 12,768,501 12,706,362 12,614,221 -88,158 -0.7
Births... 142,966 142,119 141,825 142,227 141,276 140,897 140,518 140,139 139,760 139,381 135,591 131,801......
- Birth Rate... 11.2 11.1 11.1 11.1 11.0 11.0 11.0 11.0 10.9 10.9 10.7 10.4......
Deaths... 127,777 125,513 130,755 126,603 130,530 133,053 133,053 133,017 132,978 132,936 132,322 131,393......
- Death Rate... 10.0 9.8 10.2 9.9 10.2 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.4......
Int Migration... 26,854 29,193 29,791 33,818 34,910 34,678 34,679 34,679 34,679 34,679 34,679 34,679......
- IM Rate... 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7......
Dom Migration... -7,450 -17,463 -31,138 -35,353 -45,064 -45,565 -45,564 -45,564 -45,564 -45,564 -45,564 -45,564......
- DM Rate... -0.6 -1.4 -2.4 -2.8 -3.5 -3.6 -3.6 -3.6 -3.6 -3.6 -3.6 -3.6......
Net Migration... 19,404 11,730 -1,347 -1,535 -10,154 -10,887 -10,886 -10,886 -10,886 -10,886 -10,886 -10,886......
- NM Rate... -0.9 1.5 0.9 -0.1 -0.1 -0.8 -0.9 -0.9 -0.9 -0.9 -0.9 -0.9......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Rhode Island -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 1,052,567 1,052,451 1,052,901 1,053,033 1,054,480 1,055,607 1,056,426 1,057,700 1,058,894 1,060,009 1,061,046 1,067,257 1,066,392 13,825 1.3
Births... 11,004 11,008 10,870 10,729 10,838 10,770 10,702 10,634 10,566 10,498 9,818 9,138......
- Birth Rate... 10.5 10.5 10.3 10.2 10.3 10.2 10.1 10.0 10.0 9.9 9.2 8.6......
Deaths... 9,764 9,323 9,638 9,709 9,818 9,849 9,849 9,861 9,872 9,882 9,947 9,946......
- Death Rate... 9.3 8.9 9.2 9.2 9.3 9.3 9.3 9.3 9.3 9.3 9.3 9.3......
Int Migration... 3,968 4,007 3,764 4,147 4,353 4,203 4,204 4,204 4,204 4,204 4,204 4,204......
- IM Rate... 3.8 3.8 3.6 3.9 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.9......
Dom Migration... -6,032 -5,255 -5,058 -3,167 -4,143 -3,784 -3,783 -3,783 -3,783 -3,783 -3,783 -3,783......
- DM Rate... -5.7 -5.0 -4.8 -3.0 -3.9 -3.6 -3.6 -3.6 -3.6 -3.6 -3.5 -3.5......
Net Migration... -2,064 -1,248 -1,294 980 210 419 420 420 420 420 420 420......
- NM Rate... 0.4 -2.0 -1.2 -1.2 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for South Carolina -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 4,625,364 4,672,637 4,720,760 4,767,894 4,828,430 4,894,834 4,961,119 5,024,451 5,087,250 5,149,522 5,211,272 5,801,114 6,343,927 1,718,563 37.2
Births... 57,471 57,525 56,575 57,293 57,852 57,926 58,000 58,074 58,148 58,222 58,962 59,702......
- Birth Rate... 12.3 12.2 11.9 11.9 11.8 11.7 11.5 11.4 11.3 11.2 10.2 9.4......
Deaths... 42,036 42,080 44,670 44,520 46,646 47,514 47,514 48,121 48,722 49,318 55,015 60,257......
- Death Rate... 9.0 8.9 9.4 9.2 9.5 9.6 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5......
Int Migration... 5,117 6,673 5,382 5,790 6,631 5,760 5,761 5,761 5,761 5,761 5,761 5,761......
- IM Rate... 1.1 1.4 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.9......
Dom Migration... 14,844 25,814 28,785 39,272 46,745 47,084 47,085 47,085 47,085 47,085 47,085 47,085......
- DM Rate... 3.2 5.5 6.0 8.1 9.5 9.5 9.4 9.3 9.1 9.0 8.1 7.4......
Net Migration... 19,961 32,487 34,167 45,062 53,376 52,844 52,845 52,845 52,845 52,845 52,845 52,845......
- NM Rate... 10.1 4.3 6.9 7.2 9.3 10.9 10.7 10.5 10.4 10.3 9.1 8.3......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for South Dakota -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 814,180 824,398 834,441 844,922 852,561 857,919 865,454 872,805 880,052 887,196 894,238 959,218 1,014,880 200,700 24.7
Births... 11,786 11,894 12,050 12,444 12,156 12,114 12,072 12,030 11,988 11,946 11,526 11,106......
- Birth Rate... 14.3 14.3 14.3 14.6 14.2 14.0 13.8 13.7 13.5 13.4 12.0 10.9......
Deaths... 7,296 7,431 7,290 7,172 7,300 7,296 7,296 7,358 7,419 7,479 8,035 8,512......
- Death Rate... 8.9 8.9 8.6 8.4 8.5 8.4 8.4 8.4 8.4 8.4 8.4 8.4......
Int Migration... 1,273 1,526 1,497 1,631 1,727 1,632 1,633 1,633 1,633 1,633 1,633 1,633......
- IM Rate... 1.5 1.8 1.8 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.6......
Dom Migration... 2,070 4,037 4,289 454 -1,084 941 942 942 942 942 942 942......
- DM Rate... 2.5 4.8 5.1 0.5 -1.3 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.9......
Net Migration... 3,343 5,563 5,786 2,085 643 2,573 2,574 2,574 2,574 2,574 2,574 2,574......
- NM Rate... 2.9 4.1 6.7 6.8 2.4 0.7 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.7 2.5......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Tennessee -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 6,346,105 6,397,634 6,454,306 6,494,821 6,544,663 6,595,056 6,651,194 6,706,896 6,761,802 6,815,919 6,869,256 7,361,348 7,783,372 1,437,267 22.6
Births... 78,614 80,310 80,284 80,450 81,691 81,443 81,195 80,947 80,699 80,451 77,971 75,491......
- Birth Rate... 12.3 12.4 12.4 12.3 12.4 12.2 12.1 12.0 11.8 11.7 10.6 9.7......
Deaths... 60,215 60,645 63,504 63,553 64,775 65,454 65,454 66,002 66,542 67,075 71,990 76,210......
- Death Rate... 9.4 9.4 9.8 9.7 9.8 9.8 9.8 9.8 9.8 9.8 9.8 9.8......
Int Migration... 7,738 9,017 8,216 9,280 9,995 9,440 9,441 9,441 9,441 9,441 9,441 9,441......
- IM Rate... 1.2 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.2......
Dom Migration... 15,065 27,660 14,017 23,550 21,788 30,519 30,520 30,520 30,520 30,520 30,520 30,520......
- DM Rate... 2.4 4.3 2.2 3.6 3.3 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.1 3.9......
Net Migration... 22,803 36,677 22,233 32,830 31,783 39,959 39,960 39,960 39,960 39,960 39,960 39,960......
- NM Rate... 5.8 3.6 5.7 3.4 5.0 4.8 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.4 5.1......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Texas -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 25,145,561 25,646,389 26,071,655 26,473,525 26,944,751 27,429,639 27,862,596 28,294,522 28,726,122 29,157,398 29,588,353 33,880,700 38,143,248 12,997,687 51.7
Births... 381,765 378,107 384,432 394,335 401,870 404,533 407,196 409,859 412,522 415,185 441,815 468,445......
- Birth Rate... 14.9 14.5 14.5 14.6 14.7 14.5 14.4 14.3 14.1 14.0 13.0 12.3......
Deaths... 168,065 169,134 178,624 180,764 187,483 192,814 192,814 195,803 198,790 201,774 231,499 261,017......
- Death Rate... 6.6 6.5 6.7 6.7 6.8 6.9 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8......
Int Migration... 69,376 72,347 76,746 88,279 94,803 91,839 91,840 91,840 91,840 91,840 91,840 91,840......
- IM Rate... 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.3 3.5 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.1 2.7 2.4......
Dom Migration... 116,100 141,785 117,522 164,313 171,537 125,703 125,704 125,704 125,704 125,704 125,704 125,704......
- DM Rate... 4.5 5.4 4.4 6.1 6.3 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.2 3.7 3.3......
Net Migration... 185,476 214,132 194,268 252,592 266,340 217,542 217,543 217,543 217,543 217,543 217,543 217,543......
- NM Rate... 7.4 7.2 8.2 7.3 9.4 9.7 7.8 7.7 7.6 7.5 6.4 5.7......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Utah -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 2,763,885 2,816,124 2,855,782 2,902,663 2,941,836 2,990,632 3,051,217 3,111,866 3,172,426 3,232,898 3,293,281 3,892,383 4,483,195 1,719,310 62.2
Births... 51,921 50,440 51,854 50,840 51,206 51,444 51,682 51,920 52,158 52,396 54,776 57,156......
- Birth Rate... 18.4 17.7 17.9 17.3 17.1 16.9 16.6 16.4 16.1 15.9 14.1 12.7......
Deaths... 14,868 15,270 16,036 16,101 16,601 16,447 16,447 16,774 17,100 17,426 20,660 23,849......
- Death Rate... 5.3 5.3 5.5 5.5 5.6 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3......
Int Migration... 4,621 4,768 4,807 5,432 5,839 5,634 5,635 5,635 5,635 5,635 5,635 5,635......
- IM Rate... 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.8 2.0 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.4 1.3......
Dom Migration... -942 -167 6,145 -825 8,548 19,778 19,779 19,779 19,779 19,779 19,779 19,779......
- DM Rate... -0.3 -0.1 2.1 -0.3 2.9 6.5 6.4 6.2 6.1 6.0 5.1 4.4......
Net Migration... 3,679 4,601 10,952 4,607 14,387 25,412 25,413 25,413 25,413 25,413 25,413 25,413......
- NM Rate... 7.7 1.3 1.6 3.8 1.6 4.8 8.3 8.2 8.0 7.9 6.5 5.7......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Vermont -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 625,741 626,730 626,444 627,140 626,984 626,088 624,594 623,193 621,823 620,485 619,178 607,742 599,108 -26,633 -4.3
Births... 6,053 6,093 5,975 6,111 6,016 6,035 6,054 6,073 6,092 6,111 6,301 6,491......
- Birth Rate... 9.7 9.7 9.5 9.7 9.6 9.7 9.7 9.8 9.8 9.9 10.4 10.8......
Deaths... 5,431 5,456 5,559 5,596 5,585 5,547 5,547 5,535 5,522 5,511 5,406 5,327......
- Death Rate... 8.7 8.7 8.9 8.9 8.9 8.9 8.9 8.9 8.9 8.9 8.9 8.9......
Int Migration... 648 730 850 925 988 955 956 956 956 956 956 956......
- IM Rate... 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6......
Dom Migration... -425 -1,639 -609 -1,327 -2,252 -2,865 -2,864 -2,864 -2,864 -2,864 -2,864 -2,864......
- DM Rate... -0.7 -2.6 -1.0 -2.1 -3.6 -4.6 -4.6 -4.6 -4.6 -4.6 -4.7 -4.8......
Net Migration... 223 -909 241 -402 -1,264 -1,910 -1,909 -1,909 -1,909 -1,909 -1,909 -1,909......
- NM Rate... -3.1 0.4 -1.5 0.4 -0.6 -2.0 -3.1 -3.1 -3.1 -3.1 -3.1 -3.2......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Virginia -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 8,001,024 8,110,035 8,192,048 8,262,692 8,317,372 8,367,587 8,411,808 8,454,019 8,495,095 8,535,045 8,573,878 8,902,677 9,129,059 1,128,035 14.1
Births... 102,336 102,767 102,511 102,589 103,167 102,366 101,565 100,764 99,963 99,162 91,152 83,142......
- Birth Rate... 12.6 12.5 12.4 12.3 12.3 12.2 12.0 11.9 11.7 11.6 10.2 9.1......
Deaths... 60,453 60,220 63,439 62,649 64,611 66,558 66,558 66,892 67,217 67,533 70,219 72,089......
- Death Rate... 7.5 7.4 7.7 7.5 7.7 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9......
Int Migration... 28,577 34,467 30,521 32,861 35,550 32,545 32,546 32,546 32,546 32,546 32,546 32,546......
- IM Rate... 3.5 4.2 3.7 4.0 4.2 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.6......
Dom Migration... 11,078 5,081 2,228 -19,073 -24,144 -25,343 -25,342 -25,342 -25,342 -25,342 -25,342 -25,342......
- DM Rate... 1.4 0.6 0.3 -2.3 -2.9 -3.0 -3.0 -3.0 -3.0 -3.0 -2.8 -2.8......
Net Migration... 39,655 39,548 32,749 13,788 11,406 7,202 7,203 7,203 7,203 7,203 7,203 7,203......
- NM Rate... 0.8 4.9 4.8 4.0 1.7 1.4 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Washington -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 6,724,540 6,822,520 6,895,226 6,968,006 7,054,196 7,160,290 7,288,000 7,414,650 7,540,991 7,667,026 7,792,757 9,033,845 10,246,985 3,522,445 52.4
Births... 86,687 86,718 87,233 87,382 89,318 89,982 90,646 91,310 91,974 92,638 99,278 105,918......
- Birth Rate... 12.7 12.6 12.5 12.4 12.5 12.3 12.2 12.1 12.0 11.9 11.0 10.3......
Deaths... 49,848 49,457 51,337 51,290 54,245 55,979 55,979 56,952 57,922 58,890 68,445 77,784......
- Death Rate... 7.3 7.2 7.4 7.3 7.6 7.7 7.5 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6......
Int Migration... 19,165 22,202 21,915 24,226 25,950 24,410 24,411 24,411 24,411 24,411 24,411 24,411......
- IM Rate... 2.8 3.2 3.1 3.4 3.6 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.1 2.7 2.4......
Dom Migration... 23,491 13,205 14,250 26,026 42,640 67,571 67,572 67,572 67,572 67,572 67,572 67,572......
- DM Rate... 3.4 1.9 2.0 3.7 6.0 9.3 9.1 9.0 8.8 8.7 7.5 6.6......
Net Migration... 42,656 35,407 36,165 50,252 68,590 91,981 91,982 91,982 91,982 91,982 91,982 91,982......
- NM Rate... 11.8 6.3 5.1 5.2 7.1 9.6 12.6 12.4 12.2 12.0 10.2 9.0......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for West Virginia -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 1,852,994 1,854,972 1,856,560 1,853,231 1,848,514 1,841,053 1,831,102 1,821,621 1,812,036 1,802,349 1,792,561 1,689,387 1,577,378 -275,616 -14.9
Births... 20,459 20,683 20,933 20,582 20,019 19,799 19,579 19,359 19,139 18,919 16,719 14,519......
- Birth Rate... 11.0 11.1 11.3 11.1 10.9 10.8 10.7 10.7 10.6 10.6 9.9 9.2......
Deaths... 21,911 21,494 22,257 21,671 22,302 22,479 22,479 22,363 22,245 22,126 20,871 19,506......
- Death Rate... 11.8 11.6 12.0 11.7 12.1 12.3 12.3 12.3 12.3 12.3 12.4 12.4......
Int Migration... 1,020 1,122 948 1,039 1,104 1,076 1,077 1,077 1,077 1,077 1,077 1,077......
- IM Rate... 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7......
Dom Migration... 1,060 1,301 -2,442 -4,199 -5,982 -7,659 -7,658 -7,658 -7,658 -7,658 -7,658 -7,658......
- DM Rate... 0.6 0.7 -1.3 -2.3 -3.2 -4.2 -4.2 -4.2 -4.2 -4.3 -4.5 -4.9......
Net Migration... 2,080 2,423 -1,494 -3,160 -4,878 -6,583 -6,582 -6,582 -6,582 -6,582 -6,582 -6,582......
- NM Rate... -3.7 1.1 1.3 -0.8 -1.7 -2.6 -3.6 -3.6 -3.6 -3.7 -3.9 -4.2......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Wisconsin -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 5,686,986 5,709,640 5,726,177 5,742,854 5,758,377 5,767,891 5,778,708 5,790,171 5,801,145 5,811,635 5,821,644 5,896,205 5,927,060 240,074 4.2
Births... 67,775 67,647 66,885 67,077 66,469 66,079 65,689 65,299 64,909 64,519 60,619 56,719......
- Birth Rate... 11.9 11.8 11.6 11.6 11.5 11.4 11.3 11.3 11.2 11.1 10.3 9.6......
Deaths... 48,488 47,888 50,051 49,335 49,773 49,823 49,823 49,922 50,016 50,107 50,789 51,092......
- Death Rate... 8.5 8.4 8.7 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6......
Int Migration... 5,683 6,334 6,664 7,736 8,155 7,990 7,991 7,991 7,991 7,991 7,991 7,991......
- IM Rate... 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3......
Dom Migration... -6,241 -9,411 -7,575 -8,796 -15,700 -12,395 -12,394 -12,394 -12,394 -12,394 -12,394 -12,394......
- DM Rate... -1.1 -1.6 -1.3 -1.5 -2.7 -2.1 -2.1 -2.1 -2.1 -2.1 -2.1 -2.1......
Net Migration... -558 -3,077 -911 -1,060 -7,545 -4,405 -4,404 -4,404 -4,404 -4,404 -4,404 -4,404......
- NM Rate... -0.8 -0.1 -0.5 -0.2 -0.2 -1.3 -0.8 -0.8 -0.8 -0.8 -0.7 -0.7......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for Wyoming -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 563,626 567,725 576,765 582,684 583,642 586,555 585,501 584,334 583,079 581,736 580,306 561,382 534,522 -29,104 -5.2
Births... 7,474 7,438 7,508 7,711 7,688 7,590 7,492 7,394 7,296 7,198 6,218 5,238......
- Birth Rate... 13.2 12.9 12.9 13.2 13.1 13.0 12.8 12.7 12.5 12.4 11.1 9.8......
Deaths... 4,448 4,378 4,615 4,536 4,625 4,838 4,838 4,828 4,818 4,807 4,657 4,442......
- Death Rate... 7.8 7.6 7.9 7.8 7.9 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.3......
Int Migration... 374 591 468 516 594 524 525 525 525 525 525 525......
- IM Rate... 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0......
Dom Migration... -241 5,244 2,544 -2,773 -653 -4,347 -4,346 -4,346 -4,346 -4,346 -4,346 -4,346......
- DM Rate... -0.4 9.1 4.4 -4.8 -1.1 -7.4 -7.4 -7.5 -7.5 -7.5 -7.7 -8.1......
Net Migration... 133 5,835 3,012 -2,257 -59 -3,823 -3,822 -3,822 -3,822 -3,822 -3,822 -3,822......
- NM Rate... -6.6 0.2 10.1 5.2 -3.9 -0.1 -6.5 -6.5 -6.6 -6.6 -6.8 -7.2......
 
Modeler1 Estimates & Projections for United States -- 01/03/2017
-- Item --2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020302040Chg 2010-40%Chg 2010-40
Population 308,745,538 311,663,358 313,998,379 316,204,908 318,563,456 320,896,618 323,127,513 325,353,173 327,555,568 329,734,902 331,891,375 352,241,858 370,515,106 61,769,568 20.0
Births... 3,973,485 3,936,976 3,940,576 3,963,195 3,983,082 3,977,745 3,972,408 3,967,071 3,961,734 3,956,397 3,903,027 3,849,657......
- Birth Rate... 12.7 12.5 12.5 12.4 12.4 12.3 12.2 12.1 12.0 11.9 11.1 10.4......
Deaths... 2,512,442 2,501,531 2,608,019 2,582,448 2,686,546 2,746,013 2,746,013 2,763,941 2,781,665 2,799,188 2,963,727 3,109,991......
- Death Rate... 8.1 8.0 8.2 8.1 8.4 8.5 8.4 8.4 8.4 8.4 8.4 8.4......
Int Migration... 854,122 899,576 873,972 977,801 1,036,626 999,163 999,214 999,214 999,214 999,214 999,214 999,214......
- IM Rate... 2.7 2.9 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.7......
Dom Migration... 0 0 0 0 0 0 51 51 51 51 51 51......
- DM Rate... 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0......
Net Migration... 854,122 899,576 873,972 977,801 1,036,626 999,163 999,214 999,214 999,214 999,214 999,214 999,214......
- NM Rate... 3.0 2.7 2.9 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.0 2.8 2.7......
 


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