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Regional Demographic-Economic Modeling System
  -- RDEMS1 User Guide
Decision-Making Information
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Visual analysis with ProximityOne tools
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visually analyze clients/markets
site analysis using 1 mile radius

S1

$median household income
patterns by census tract - Houston

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113th Congressional Districts

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US Asian Indian population 2010

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geocoded students and school
McKinney ISD, TX

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geocoded students and school
with tax parcels & streets

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high school attendance zones
with schools by type

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%high school graduates by
census tract - Puerto Rico

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Austin, TX MSA counties &
places 10K+ population markers

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Appalachia counties (green) &
coalfield counties (orange)

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China provinces percent urban &
cities (markers) by state plan

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Honolulu census tracts (red)
& census blocks


Central Park area NYC

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Kansas City Metro & Counties
Home Depot locations (markers)

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World Cities; focus on Spain

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Data Analytics Blog
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The ProximityOne Regional Demographic Economic Modeling System (RDEMS) integrates demographic, economic, business and other data for wide-ranging analysis. Updated continuously, the data are integrated into a cause and effect modeling system. RDEMS output is available as a set of estimates and projections. RDEMS is also available as a service with integrated Modeler software, underlying historical data and model structures. RDEMS users may set their own assumptions and develop alternative estimates and projections, examine what-if scenarios and perform impact analyses.

RDEMS1 is an integrated software and database resource available for use that can perform these operations. RDEMS1 is focused on U.S. by county level data but also supports census tract level estimates and projections. RDEMS1 is a Windows-based application that may be installed by any User Group member (Join now). See about Terms of Use.

RDEMS1 may be used in the Viewer mode and/or Projections mode. In the Viewer mode, use RDEMS1 to access/display/analyze 2010-2015 estimates (all users) and Situation & Outlook estimates and projections to 2060 (authorized users) developed by ProximityOne. In the Projections mode, use RDEMS1 to develop your own projections using alternative scenario models.

RDEMS1 updated 7/13/16. Run RDEMS1 installer if using earlier version.

Topics in this Guide:
  • Installation
  • Start-up & Usage Overview
  • Demographic Estimates & Projections - Scope of Subject Matter
  • Using Viewer - Examples
  • Developing Projections
  • Batch Operations & Regional Aggregation
  • Settings & Configuration
  • User Support
  • Terms of Use
  • FAQs .. Frequently Asked Questions

Related sections (opens new page):
  • Situation & Outlook Estimates & Projections Updates & Release Dates
  ... S&O estimates and projections are developed by ProximityOne using RDEMS

RDEMS1 Installation
An Internet connection and Windows computer are required to install RDEMS1.
After installation, Internet is not required for RDEMS operation.

  • To install RDEMS1 ...
  ... see about Terms of Use.
  ... run the RDEMS1 installer
  ... enter your User Group ID.
  ... take all defaults during installation
  • To uninstall RDEMS1, remove the RDEMS folder (c:\rdems1)
  • To update or re-install RDEMS1, rerun the RDEMS1 installer

RDEMS1 Start-up & Usage Overview
When installation is complete, RDEMS1 can be launched directly from the installer. RDEMS1 can also be started using RDEMS1 the desktop icon or using Windows explorer and clicking/using the application name -- c:\rdems\rdems1.exe.

At start-up the RDEMS1 user interface appears and is comprised of these components:
  • Toolbar/menu at top of resizeable windowe.
  • Grid section, occupying most of the window.
  • Control panel at left of grid section.

Initial view. When started, RDEMS1 displays a set of demographic estimates in the grid. The first column describes the subject matter (see organizational notes below). Subsequent columns to the right show data values for these items annually for the period 2010 through 2015.

Viewing a different geography. The initial view shows characteristics for Adair County, MO. Dbl-click any area name in the geography scroll section/listbox in the control panel at left to view characteristics of that geographic area. When an area is dbl-clicked, the grid refreshes with data for that area.

Why only Missouri? The default installation provides access to the state of Missouri and all Missouri counties. The scope of the RDEMS1 datasets available is specified in the Settings>Configuration form. Authorized users can use geography for any state or the U.S. (contact ProximityOne for details).

Why only Years/Columns 2010 through 2015? Data are shown for the default setting for the years 2010 through 2015. To view projections (2016 and future years), enter your Key (provided separately) in the Setting>Configuration (see below) form. Then click the Apply button and the Save button. Clicking the Save button will make use of the setting changes in future RDEMS1 start-ups. Close the Configuration form. The grid automatically updates with annual projections through 2060.

Demographic Estimates & Projections - Scope of Subject Matter
Demographic estimates and projections displayed in the grid include:
  • Population Components of Change
  • Population by Race/Origin
  • Population by Single Year of Age and Selected Age Groups
See details in examples below.

Examples of Profiles Generated Using Viewer
The Viewer feature operates on the Projections Database.
  • Boone County, MO
  • Mid-Missouri RPC Regional County Summary (aggregate for 6 counties)

The regional summary was developed in the projections step. The following areas definition file was used.
G29G01 Mid-Missouri RPC Regional County Summary
29019 Boone County
29027 Callaway County
29051 Cole County
29053 Cooper County
29089 Howard County
29135 Moniteau County

Developing Projections
RDEMS1 can be operated in the Viewer or Projection mode by using the Operation buttons in the control panel.

Viewer. When the Viewer button selected, and a geographic area is selected (dbl-clicked), the estimates and projections in the specified projections database are retrieved and displayed in the grid.

Projections. When the Projections button selected, and "RunfromFile" button is used (see in control panel), the Projections Database is overwritten with new estimates and projections using the model specifications defined in "Start-up Model" in the Configuration form.

The "RunfromFile" button processes the text file specified at the left of the button.   • The "Areas file" contains a record for each county or state to be processed.
  • The Projections Database is updated with each area as it is processed.

Projections Database
The Projections Database is the file created by RDEMS1 that contains estimates and projections by geographic area The name of the Projections Database is specified in the Settings>Configuration form. The default name of the Projections Database is "projections.dbf". Using the Projections Database:
  • file is overwritten when the "RunfromFile" operation (control panel) is used.
    .. the Operation selection (control panel) must be set to Projection.
  • file is used as the source of estimates & projections when Viewer operation is selected (control panel).

The structure and content of the Projections Database are described in this separate section. Note that once a set of estimates and projections are developed this dBase structured file may be used any software. See related notes about integrating these data into CV XE GIS for mapping, geospatial analysis and integration with other data.

Batch Operations & Regional Aggregation
Use the RunfromFile operation (see in control panel) with associated Areas List file to develop projections for a set of areas and automatically create optional multi-county regional summaries. The Areas List file is a text file that contains the state and county FIPS code (5 characters) for each state or county to be included. If multi-county regional summaries are desired, all counties in the region should be grouped and a supplemental region record is provided as the first record for each group. The group record must start with a G followed by a 5 character code (unique among all state-county FIPS combinations), optionally followed by space and group/region name. See sample file "c:\rdems1\areas.txt" that contains county codes for the Mid-Missouri region.

Settings & Configuration
Access the Settings & Configuration using the Settings>Configuration via the main menu toolbar.
  • Key
  • Execution Folder c:\rdems1\
  • Data Folder c:\rdems1\1\
  • Query substr(code,3,4)=''----'' .or. substr(code,4,3)=''///''

  • Start-Up Model c:\rdems1\model1.txt
  • Projections Database c:\rdems1\projections.dbf
  • DB1 Components of Change c:\rdems1\popest2015allgeos_29.dbf
  • DB2 Age-Race-Origin-Gender c:\rdems1\popars15_cty_st_us.dbf
  • DB3 Single Year of Age c:\rdems1\syoa2015total.dbf

FAQs - Frequently Asked Questions
Q: Why is RDEMS needed?
A: There are many application/analytical scenarios that need to be described in a case-by-case manner.
In general, these data are needed as Federal statistical agencies do not produce current estimates nor projections, but yet are essential to meet planning and business needs.
For example ND counties with oil shale boom still show high population gains as of 2015, the most recent Census sourced data; the economy is changing there; out-migration is increasing, etc.

Q: How can these data be used?
A1: To reduce uncertainty and risk associated with management, policy-making and decision-making.
A2: To improve profitability and goal/objective achievement in the most expedient and cost-effective manner.
A3: There is a near infinite set of answers to this question, based on the sphere of subject matter interest.

Q: How often are the data updated?
A: The data are updated quarterly. Updates are released in July, October, January, April.

Q: What is an update?
A: An update involves re-estimation of the model using new/latest assumptions and new/revised historical data.
.. historical data in the database are updated.
.. revised current estimates and projections are updated in the database.
.. for the quarterly projections, the extent of the quarterly projection is advanced each quarter.
.. for the annual projections, the extent of the annual projection is extended each year with the July release.

Q: What are the data updated quarterly? Aren't annual updates adequate?
A1 Different historical data update at different times during the year.
.. for example, the ACS data update in September of each year.
  - these data need to be reflected in the current estimates and projections in the 4th quarter release, without waiting for July of the next year.
A2 Many subject matter items are very time sensitive;
.. annual updates are useful but do not adequately capture key trends and changes.
.. for example, the monthly and quarterly changes in the employment situation and housing conditions require more recent data for program management, policy-making and decision-making.
A3 Changing conditions may necessitate changes and model specification.
.. for example, a change to the Fed interest rate, change in the oil supply due to cartel action, etc. may be so fundamental that existing projections need to be modified without waiting for an annual update.

Q: What is meant by the terms "current estimates and projections"?
A1. Current estimates are data values associated with item(s) (e.g., total population) for the current time period.
Projections are data values associated with items(s) (e.g, unemployment rate) for future points in time.
Reference to "current estimates" is to distinguish from "most recent estimates".
- as of June 2016, the "most recent estimate" from ACS 2014 (the most recent ACS data) is as of 2014.
- those data are two years old and not "current estimates".
A2. "RDEMS estimates and projections" refers to a continuous series of values for subject matter item(s).
.. the RDEMS series for the "County SYOA" data are annual and run continuously for the period 2010-2060.

Q: How are the models specified? How is the scope and mix of data determined?
A1. The models are a set of cause and effect equations used to specify the jointly dependent/simultaneous determination of geographic, demographic, economic and business data.
.. the exact specification of the models is licensed to users who wish to:
1. develop extended detail (geographic or subject matter projections.
2. alternative scenario projections based on different assumptions.
3. assess impact of change using additional or differently specified equations or data.
A2. The scope and mix of data is determined by factors including:
1. subject matter needed to develop single year of age estimates and projections.
2. subject matter needed to estimate GDP and personal income models.
3. subject matter needed to estimate/project key demographic-economic items determined by Warren Glimpse.
4. need for the items in the cause and effect equations (to take account of all relevant factors)
5. limitations imposed by unavailability of some items

Q: Can I integrate my data with RDEMS estimates and projections?
A1 Yes. Subscribers may download/export data for use on their computer.
.. Downloaded/exported data are organized as described in associated documentation/file layout.
.. A standardized data structure is used that enabled importing RDEMS into wide-ranging software.

Terms of Use
1. Neither the software nor data may be distributed to others.
2. The software and data are for personal use only and exclude use for professional advice.
3. There are no warranties of guarantees of any type for any aspect of the software or data.
4. The user is solely responsible for any use made of the software or data.

Support Using these Resources
Learn more about demographic economic data and related analytical tools. Join us in a Data Analytics Lab session. There is no fee for these Web sessions. Each informal session is focused on a specific topic. The open structure also provides for Q&A and discussion of application issues of interest to participants.

ProximityOne User Group
Join the ProximityOne User Group to keep up-to-date with new developments relating to geographic-demographic-economic decision-making information resources. Receive updates and access to tools and resources available only to members. Use this form to join the User Group.

Additional Information
ProximityOne develops geographic-demographic-economic data and analytical tools and helps organizations knit together and use diverse data in a decision-making and analytical framework. We develop custom demographic/economic estimates and projections, develop geographic and geocoded address files, and assist with impact and geospatial analyses. Wide-ranging organizations use our software, data and methodologies to analyze their own data integrated with other data. Follow ProximityOne on Twitter at www.twitter.com/proximityone. Contact ProximityOne (888-364-7656) with questions about data covered in this section or to discuss custom estimates, projections or analyses for your areas of interest.

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