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December 2014. The most current population estimates available for all school districts are from the 2013 American Community Survey. For most districts these estimates are centric to 2010; four years old. School districts and stakeholder organizations need current (2014) estimates of demographics and an understanding of how the school age population will change in the years ahead. This information is essential to wide-ranging planning needs. Many districts need these data to help determine space allocations and if new schools will be required. Many businesses and other organizations provide products and services to school districts and need current estimates and projections for their program planning. Private schools and charter schools similarly need to know how the school age population is trending and how change might impact their space and resource requirements.

Examining societal impact issues ... in 2010, New York City had more 116,000 school age children not enrolled in school. How might this number change over the next several years? This is the superset of dropouts; school systems cannot measure school age children not enrolled in school because children must have not been in school to become dropouts. The projections enable analysts to examine how a district, districts or regions are changing with regard to school age children not enrolled. Used in impact modeling and simulation, the historical data and projections can help determine if policies to mitigate "school age children not enrolled" are working.

This section provides an overview of the ProximityOne school district demographic estimates and projections. These data are part of the ProximityOne Situation & Outlook, decision-making information resources to help stakeholders assess the what, when and where of change and the impact of change.

Coordinated with other S&O Projections & Geography
The school district estimates and projections coordinate with other demographic-economic estimates and projections for other geography (census tract up). See DE-1 Dataset. 2014 updates for school districts include only the DE-1 items.

See related population estimates and projections interactive table for all counties.
-- http://proximityone.com/outlook2020.htm
-- More about demographic-economic estimates and projections:
      • Outlook 2018 | Outlook 2030 | Outlook 2060 | Quarterly 3 year
      • integrated multi-sourced Situation & Outlook demographic-economic data

Time Frame
Updated school district demographic estimates and projections updates are scheduled for release in January 2015. The data include annual estimates (2010-2014) and 5-year annual projections (2015-2019) for all school districts.

Geography
For school districts that split counties, we develop the detailed data for county-school district parts. For those census tracts that are split by school district boundaries, we develop the detailed data for school district-tract parts. Our methodology goes down to the census block level of geography. Subject matter in tract and tract part areas within a school district sum to the school district total.

Subject Matter
The scope of subject matter for school districts include single year of age population by gender by race/origin. View an example for Broward County School District, FL in Table 1 below.

Estimates & Projections by Type of Enrollment Universe. The school district estimates and projections have the supplemental breakout by type of enrollment. See Table 2 below.

Access & Use
School district estimates and projections are available in many structures:
  • spreadsheet or HTML for individual school districts (optionally with census tract drill-down and related county(s).
  • data file for selected school districts (a few in a region, state(s) or the U.S.
    - all items or selected items

Contact us (888.364.7656) for more information. Mention school district projections in text section.

Table 1. Broward County School District, FL Total Population Estimates and Projections by Age Group 2010-2020 ... scroll section
... scroll down to view single year of age detail
  Year --> 20102011201220132014201520162017201820192020
All Ages 1,748,066 1,770,895 1,793,488 1,815,729 1,837,562 1,859,168 1,880,477 1,901,474 1,922,205 1,942,765 1,963,061
Age 0-4 103,256 103,064 102,749 102,516 103,003 103,481 103,966 104,460 104,962 105,507 106,118
Age 5-9 104,071 104,394 105,672 107,229 108,211 108,602 108,404 108,088 107,856 108,341 108,820
Age 10-14 112,207 112,211 111,410 110,738 109,901 109,573 109,890 111,161 112,727 113,722 114,107
Age 15-19 114,200 118,235 119,691 118,786 117,931 117,551 117,554 116,751 116,071 115,257 114,922
Age 20-24 104,783 103,785 105,564 110,109 115,297 119,247 123,279 124,709 123,814 122,979 122,590
Age 25-29 113,599 113,658 113,466 112,318 110,736 109,832 108,844 110,598 115,120 120,300 124,241
Age 30-34 110,880 112,915 114,886 116,457 118,451 118,643 118,709 118,507 117,353 115,799 114,901
Age 35-39 120,146 116,605 114,907 114,399 114,342 115,802 117,834 119,786 121,343 123,332 123,532
Age 40-44 131,279 131,103 130,409 129,322 127,460 124,716 121,218 119,518 119,023 118,974 120,432
Age 45-49 143,737 143,366 141,953 139,836 136,898 135,338 135,164 134,484 133,402 131,561 128,855
Age 50-54 133,303 137,494 140,713 143,257 145,948 147,191 146,822 145,425 143,336 140,443 138,909
Age 55-59 112,695 117,325 122,279 127,117 131,763 136,227 140,329 143,484 145,971 148,607 149,823
Age 60-64 94,486 100,138 102,660 105,854 109,819 114,881 119,382 124,183 128,878 133,380 137,720
Age 65-69 71,669 75,311 81,698 86,403 90,859 95,510 100,865 103,273 106,324 110,105 114,936
Age 70-74 53,684 55,526 58,134 62,196 65,906 69,556 72,907 78,842 83,219 87,331 91,609
Age 75-79 44,374 44,187 44,503 45,451 46,676 47,766 49,412 51,732 55,381 58,693 61,925
Age 80-84 38,171 38,250 38,054 37,668 37,229 37,051 36,918 37,183 37,990 39,010 39,936
Age 85+ 41,526 43,328 44,740 46,073 47,132 48,201 48,980 49,290 49,435 49,424 49,685
Age 5-17 288,093 287,808 287,720 287,891 287,847 287,854 288,266 288,701 289,035 289,504 290,765
Age 18-34 371,647 377,390 382,969 387,746 392,680 395,594 398,414 401,113 403,906 406,894 408,816
Age 15-44 694,887 696,301 698,923 701,391 704,217 705,791 707,438 709,869 712,724 716,641 720,618
Age 16+ 1,404,948 1,428,064 1,450,399 1,472,372 1,493,470 1,514,317 1,535,047 1,555,308 1,574,467 1,593,040 1,611,157
Age 18+ 1,356,717 1,380,023 1,403,019 1,425,322 1,446,712 1,467,833 1,488,245 1,508,313 1,528,208 1,547,754 1,566,178
Age 65+ 249,424 256,602 267,129 277,791 287,802 298,084 309,082 320,320 332,349 344,563 358,091
Single Year:20102011201220132014201520162017201820192020
Total 1,748,066 1,770,895 1,793,488 1,815,729 1,837,562 1,859,168 1,880,477 1,901,474 1,922,205 1,942,765 1,963,061
Age 0 20,074 20,144 20,253 20,356 20,470 20,554 20,633 20,746 20,864 21,016 21,165
Age 1 20,084 20,180 20,248 20,355 20,460 20,571 20,654 20,735 20,844 20,966 21,114
Age 2 20,905 20,296 20,391 20,461 20,568 20,674 20,785 20,868 20,949 21,057 21,181
Age 3 21,103 21,123 20,516 20,610 20,679 20,784 20,890 21,003 21,084 21,164 21,277
Age 4 21,090 21,321 21,341 20,734 20,826 20,898 21,004 21,108 21,221 21,304 21,381
Age 5 20,665 21,308 21,539 21,559 20,950 21,045 21,116 21,222 21,328 21,437 21,521
Age 6 20,182 20,883 21,527 21,757 21,775 21,172 21,267 21,336 21,441 21,545 21,660
Age 7 20,441 20,400 21,103 21,747 21,977 21,998 21,390 21,485 21,554 21,661 21,765
Age 8 20,925 20,659 20,622 21,324 21,966 22,199 22,215 21,610 21,704 21,773 21,880
Age 9 21,858 21,144 20,881 20,842 21,543 22,188 22,416 22,435 21,829 21,925 21,994
Age 10 22,103 22,078 21,365 21,102 21,060 21,763 22,405 22,635 22,655 22,051 22,148
Age 11 22,105 22,323 22,298 21,587 21,320 21,284 21,983 22,626 22,858 22,877 22,272
Age 12 22,223 22,325 22,543 22,520 21,805 21,543 21,500 22,202 22,847 23,078 23,098
Age 13 22,826 22,441 22,545 22,765 22,737 22,027 21,759 21,721 22,427 23,072 23,301
Age 14 22,950 23,044 22,659 22,764 22,979 22,956 22,243 21,977 21,940 22,644 23,288
Age 15 23,584 23,162 23,258 22,874 22,977 23,195 23,170 22,457 22,193 22,155 22,859
Age 16 24,041 23,794 23,376 23,467 23,083 23,190 23,406 23,381 22,669 22,406 22,365
Age 17 24,190 24,247 24,004 23,583 23,675 23,294 23,396 23,614 23,590 22,880 22,614
Age 18 22,435 24,394 24,455 24,207 23,787 23,881 23,498 23,599 23,817 23,796 23,085
Age 19 19,950 22,638 24,598 24,655 24,409 23,991 24,084 23,700 23,802 24,020 23,999
Age 20 20,647 20,153 22,843 24,799 24,855 24,610 24,193 24,285 23,902 24,006 24,223
Age 21 19,850 20,849 20,358 23,040 24,994 25,051 24,808 24,388 24,482 24,105 24,205
Age 22 20,652 20,052 21,052 20,560 23,239 25,189 25,251 25,004 24,587 24,682 24,300
Age 23 21,681 20,851 20,255 21,254 20,761 23,438 25,390 25,447 25,200 24,785 24,878
Age 24 21,953 21,880 21,056 20,456 21,448 20,959 23,637 25,585 25,643 25,401 24,984
Age 25 22,564 22,153 22,084 21,258 20,657 21,652 21,162 23,835 25,781 25,841 25,598
Age 26 22,429 22,766 22,357 22,286 21,458 20,862 21,855 21,365 24,036 25,980 26,038
Age 27 22,812 22,632 22,969 22,561 22,486 21,664 21,066 22,059 21,568 24,238 26,183
Age 28 22,889 23,015 22,836 23,173 22,762 22,690 21,867 21,269 22,261 21,774 24,443
Age 29 22,905 23,092 23,220 23,040 23,373 22,964 22,894 22,070 21,474 22,467 21,979
Age 30 23,383 23,108 23,295 23,421 23,241 23,576 23,169 23,095 22,271 21,678 22,670
Age 31 21,435 23,583 23,309 23,498 23,622 23,442 23,779 23,370 23,296 22,475 21,882
Age 32 22,255 21,638 23,786 23,511 23,697 23,822 23,645 23,979 23,570 23,500 22,680
Age 33 21,930 22,456 21,840 23,985 23,710 23,896 24,022 23,843 24,177 23,770 23,700
Age 34 21,877 22,130 22,656 22,042 24,181 23,907 24,094 24,220 24,039 24,376 23,969
Age 35 22,921 22,074 22,329 22,855 22,236 24,376 24,104 24,289 24,414 24,235 24,573
Age 36 22,482 23,114 22,273 22,524 23,048 22,433 24,571 24,297 24,484 24,609 24,431
Age 37 23,744 22,675 23,311 22,466 22,716 23,240 22,629 24,763 24,489 24,676 24,800
Age 38 24,623 23,934 22,870 23,499 22,656 22,907 23,433 22,818 24,950 24,676 24,864
Age 39 26,376 24,808 24,124 23,055 23,686 22,846 23,097 23,619 23,006 25,136 24,864
Age 40 26,624 26,557 24,993 24,306 23,241 23,870 23,033 23,284 23,805 23,193 25,321
Age 41 25,272 26,802 26,732 25,173 24,486 23,423 24,054 23,215 23,466 23,987 23,378
Age 42 25,748 25,449 26,973 26,908 25,347 24,662 23,605 24,231 23,396 23,645 24,166
Age 43 26,207 25,920 25,621 27,145 27,076 25,520 24,838 23,779 24,404 23,571 23,821
Age 44 27,428 26,375 26,090 25,790 27,310 27,241 25,688 25,009 23,952 24,578 23,746
Age 45 29,052 27,589 26,537 26,253 25,954 27,468 27,404 25,855 25,174 24,121 24,746
Age 46 29,057 29,205 27,746 26,698 26,411 26,114 27,626 27,560 26,016 25,336 24,286
Age 47 28,680 29,205 29,354 27,898 26,851 26,566 26,269 27,781 27,712 26,172 25,494
Age 48 28,401 28,824 29,349 29,497 28,043 27,001 26,718 26,422 27,928 27,860 26,322
Age 49 28,547 28,543 28,967 29,490 29,639 28,189 27,147 26,866 26,572 28,072 28,007
Age 50 28,529 28,686 28,684 29,108 29,626 29,775 28,329 27,294 27,010 26,716 28,214
Age 51 27,051 28,665 28,823 28,820 29,243 29,762 29,907 28,468 27,435 27,152 26,857
Age 52 26,832 27,188 28,796 28,957 28,954 29,374 29,889 30,035 28,602 27,571 27,288
Age 53 25,862 26,964 27,320 28,925 29,081 29,079 29,498 30,014 30,159 28,729 27,701
Age 54 25,029 25,991 27,090 27,447 29,044 29,201 29,199 29,614 30,130 30,275 28,849
Age 55 24,659 25,154 26,115 27,212 27,564 29,157 29,310 29,307 29,723 30,234 30,378
Age 56 22,989 24,778 25,272 26,229 27,319 27,669 29,254 29,410 29,407 29,821 30,331
Age 57 22,583 23,106 24,886 25,380 26,331 27,418 27,764 29,343 29,500 29,495 29,906
Age 58 21,488 22,693 23,213 24,986 25,475 26,422 27,500 27,849 29,421 29,573 29,572
Age 59 20,976 21,594 22,793 23,310 25,074 25,561 26,501 27,575 27,920 29,484 29,636
Age 60 20,021 21,075 21,691 22,882 23,396 25,149 25,631 26,567 27,636 27,981 29,533
Age 61 19,474 20,116 21,164 21,774 22,958 23,469 25,212 25,692 26,621 27,682 28,027
Age 62 19,851 19,562 20,198 21,240 21,846 23,022 23,529 25,257 25,737 26,660 27,715
Age 63 19,407 19,921 19,633 20,267 21,301 21,900 23,070 23,572 25,289 25,761 26,678
Age 64 15,733 19,464 19,974 19,691 20,318 21,341 21,940 23,095 23,595 25,296 25,767
Age 65 15,557 15,806 19,503 20,008 19,726 20,350 21,362 21,952 23,098 23,594 25,281
Age 66 15,221 15,616 15,862 19,520 20,021 19,743 20,356 21,359 21,944 23,079 23,568
Age 67 15,357 15,266 15,654 15,900 19,515 20,010 19,735 20,342 21,331 21,910 23,031
Age 68 13,204 15,381 15,291 15,677 15,919 19,489 19,975 19,702 20,303 21,282 21,852
Age 69 12,330 13,242 15,388 15,298 15,678 15,918 19,437 19,918 19,648 20,240 21,204
Age 70 11,859 12,364 13,261 15,376 15,287 15,663 15,896 19,362 19,834 19,571 20,152
Age 71 11,259 11,663 12,160 13,041 15,121 15,036 15,402 15,634 19,043 19,507 19,246
Age 72 10,861 11,056 11,451 11,941 12,807 14,848 14,763 15,124 15,348 18,695 19,153
Age 73 10,008 10,646 10,838 11,227 11,704 12,552 14,558 14,474 14,828 15,047 18,327
Age 74 9,697 9,797 10,424 10,611 10,987 11,457 12,288 14,248 14,166 14,511 14,731
Age 75 9,617 9,478 9,573 10,184 10,368 10,737 11,196 12,006 13,923 13,844 14,181
Age 76 8,848 9,378 9,241 9,335 9,932 10,109 10,472 10,917 11,710 13,577 13,500
Age 77 8,738 8,609 9,124 8,991 9,082 9,663 9,836 10,187 10,621 11,392 13,211
Age 78 8,515 8,479 8,355 8,854 8,724 8,813 9,378 9,545 9,887 10,309 11,057
Age 79 8,656 8,243 8,210 8,087 8,570 8,444 8,530 9,077 9,240 9,571 9,976
Age 80 8,534 8,357 7,956 7,925 7,808 8,273 8,155 8,237 8,763 8,919 9,237
Age 81 7,938 8,213 8,041 7,658 7,626 7,512 7,963 7,846 7,926 8,431 8,583
Age 82 7,673 7,609 7,872 7,709 7,339 7,308 7,202 7,634 7,520 7,598 8,083
Age 83 7,132 7,317 7,256 7,506 7,350 6,999 6,969 6,865 7,280 7,170 7,243
Age 84 6,894 6,754 6,929 6,870 7,106 6,959 6,629 6,601 6,501 6,892 6,790
Age 85+ 41,526 43,328 44,740 46,073 47,132 48,201 48,980 49,290 49,435 49,424 49,685

  Source: ProximityOne Situation & Outlook (888.364.7656)

Table 2. Broward County School District , FL K-12 School Age Population by Age and Type of Enrollment Universe
The following table contains data centric to 2010. See more about accessing these data for school districts centric to 2010. Available as estimates and projections annually through 2019.
General Demographics Total ChildrenRelevant ChildrenRelevant Children
Enrolled
Relevant Children
Enrolled-Public
Relevant Children
Enrolled-Private
Relevant Children
Not Enrolled
  ValuePercentValuePercentValuePercentValuePercentValuePercentValuePercent
SEX BY AGE
.. Total population406,280100.0336,240100.0312,925100.0259,865100.053,060100.023,315100.0
Male208,93051.4173,83551.7161,53051.6134,42051.727,11051.112,30552.8
.. Under 5 years52,87513.018,0405.411,7653.84,7001.87,06513.36,27526.9
.. 5 to 9 years52,80013.052,80015.750,76016.243,11016.67,65014.42,0408.7
.. 10 to 14 years58,17514.358,17517.357,39018.350,34519.47,04513.37853.4
.. 15 to 17 years36,5759.036,32510.834,84511.130,46011.74,3858.31,4806.3
.. 18 and 19 years8,5002.18,5002.56,7752.25,8052.29701.81,7257.4
Female197,35048.6162,40548.3151,39548.4125,44548.325,95048.911,01047.2
.. Under 5 years50,89512.516,4154.910,0653.23,6101.46,45512.26,35027.2
.. 5 to 9 years49,25012.149,25014.647,53015.239,46015.28,07015.21,7207.4
.. 10 to 14 years56,33013.956,33016.855,41517.749,08518.96,33011.99153.9
.. 15 to 17 years34,5758.534,15510.233,17510.628,89511.14,2808.19804.2
.. 18 and 19 years6,3001.66,2551.95,2101.74,3901.78201.51,0454.5

Columns:
Total Children: population ages 0-19 years, 18 and 19 not high school graduates.
  Grade Relevant Children: school age population grade relevant for this district.
    - Grade Relevant Children-Enrolled: school age population grade relevant for this district enrolled.
    - Grade Relevant Children-Enrolled-Public: school age population grade relevant for this district enrolled in public schools.
    - Grade Relevant Children-Enrolled-Private: school age population grade relevant for this district enrolled in private school.
    - Grade Relevant Children-Not Enrolled: school age population grade relevant for this district not enrolled in school.

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