Census Tract Demographic-Economic Estimates & Projections
-- examine small area, subcounty change and how it may impact you
May 2018. Census tract demographics are used in wide-ranging public and private sector applications to examine patterns and characteristics of sub-county areas. Tract level data from Census 2000, Census 2010 and the American Community Survey (ACS) can be used to analyze trade/market areas, neighborhoods and other small area study areas. But what about more current data and trends since 2010? What about business establishment data and other subject matter not included in either the census or ACS data?
There are no current demographic-economic census tract data available from the Census Bureau or other Federal statistical programs. Annually released ACS 5-year estimates are available by census tract but are for 5-year periods and out-of-date. The most recent census tract level ACS data are based on the ACS 2016 5-year estimates (ACS 1216). Those data are not for the year 2016 but estimates for ACS survey respondents for the 5 year period 2012-2016; centric to mid-2014.
ProximityOne Census Tract Estimates & Projections
ProximityOne provides annual U.S. national scope census tract demographic-economic-business estimates and projections for the period 2010 through 2023 (2018 vintage). This section provides information about these estimates and projections. These census tract level data are part of the ProximityOne Situation & Outlook database and information system.
Annual census tract level estimates and projections are available for the period 2010 through 2023. "5-year projections" are updated and extended annually. For the 2018 vintage estimates and projections, the estimates are for 2010 through 2018. The projections are for the period 2019 through 2023. The 2019 vintage data (released in mid-2019) extend the projections by one year to 2024.
Tract estimates and projections subject matter are summarized below. These data are also available summarized to the county, metro/CBSA, state and U.S. national level.
Scope of Subject Matter - categories; table below provides item level detail
Tract Estimate & Projection Items -- scroll table
-- fields included in database -- see notes below table
Contact us (888.364.7656) to place an order, get a quote or discuss what works best for you.
There are 317 fields in each census tract record.
Each census tract record (73,056 records) is iterated for each year, 2010 through 2023.
Any or all fields/items or years may be purchased with the minimum of "Group1" items:
- click Refresh then Group1 button to view list of Group1 items (21 fields)
.. code group fields plus total population and housing.
- click Refresh then Group2 button to view list of Group2 items (Group1 items + additional fields; total fields=61)
.. group1 fields plus selected population/housing attributes including age detail.
- click Refresh then Group3 button to view list of Group3 items (Group2 items + additional fields; total fields=76)
.. group2 fields plus selected economic, social and housing characteristics.
Accessing & Using the Estimates and Projections
There are several ways the census tract demographic-economic estimates and projections may be accessed and used.
Data File License. Licensed for use in the form of a data file (one year renewable)
Integrated with CVXEGIS/Modeler Software -- geospatially analysis; data linkage
.. ready-to-use GIS projects with integrated tract-county-metro-state- national estimates & projections
SiteReport -- create custom geographic area reports/analyses
On Demand/Web interface
.. illustrative demographic-economic profile
.. view in context with map & adjacent tracts
Tract estimates and projections are developed using holistic, metro/county-centric, integrated demographic-economic-business models. We use a range of sub-county data to document change at the tract and sub-tract levels. These data include USPS delivery data; motor vehicle registrations; building permits, completions and occupancy data; housing sales; business establishment and attributes data and special developments that have or may have an impact on sub-county demographic-economic change.
Tract geography is based on Census 2010 census tracts. Tract codes are uniquely identified on a national scale with the 11 character GEOID. The GEOID is comprised of the state FIPS code (2), county FIPS codes (3) and census tract code (6). All tract codes (6 character part of the GEOID) are the same annually from 2010 through the projection period. The state and county codes are the codes in the most recent annual TIGER digital map database (as defined in the U.S. county file).
About Census Tract Geography and Codes (scroll section)
ProximityOne User Group
Join the ProximityOne User Group to keep up-to-date with new developments relating to metros and component geography decision-making information resources. Receive updates and access to tools and resources available only to members. Use this form to join the User Group.
Support Using these Resources
Learn more about census tract demographic economic data and related analytical tools. Join us in a Data Analytics Lab session. There is no fee for these one-hour Web sessions. Each informal session is focused on a specific topic. The open structure also provides for Q&A and discussion of application issues of interest to participants.
ProximityOne develops geographic-demographic-economic data and analytical tools and helps organizations knit together and use diverse data in a decision-making and analytical framework. We develop custom demographic/economic estimates and projections, develop geographic and geocoded address files, and assist with impact and geospatial analyses. Wide-ranging organizations use our tools (software, data, methodologies) to analyze their own data integrated with other data. Follow ProximityOne on Twitter at www.twitter.com/proximityone. Contact ProximityOne (888-364-7656) with questions about data covered in this section or to discuss custom estimates, projections or analyses for your areas of interest.