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2025 Demographic Estimates & Projections Cycle
  -- expanding insights through data analytics

December 2024 .. the U.S. population reached 340.1 million as of July 1, 2024, up 0.98% from 336.8 million on July 1, 2023 -- the highest year-over-year increase since a jump of 0.99% between 2000 and 2001.

This section is focused on the "2025 Demographic Estimates & Projections Cycle." The 2025 cycle starts with the release of the U.S. by state "Vintage 2024" annual time series population and population components of change estimates and extends to the corresponding 2025 U.S. by state "Vintage 2025" scheduled for release in December 2025. The Cycle is comprised of a set of Census Bureau-sourced estimates and ProximityOne estimates and projections.

Topics
  • 01 Using iVDA GIS with State Demographics Project: Interactive Mapping
  • 02 State Population & Components of Change: 2020-2024 Interactive Table
  • 04 Release Dates Schedule
            - Next update: March 2025: County population and demographic components of population change
  • 06 How these Data Relate to Using American Community Survey Data

Vintage 2024 U.S. and State Estimates
The U.S. population grew by nearly 1.0% between 2023 and 2024, based on new Vintage 2024 Census Bureau population estimates released 12/19/24. As the nation's population surpasses 340 million, this is the fastest annual population growth the nation has seen since 2001 -- a notable increase from the record low growth rate of 0.2% in 2021. The growth was primarily driven by rising net international migration.

Net international migration, which refers to any change of residence across U.S. borders (the 50 states and the District of Columbia), was the critical demographic component of change driving growth in the resident population. With a net increase of 2.8 million people, it accounted for 84% of the nation's 3.3 million increase in population between 2023 and 2024. This reflects a continued trend of rising international migration, with a net increase of 1.7 million in 2022 and 2.3 million in 2023.

Patterns of State Population Change, 2020-2024 .. goto top
-- Using iVDA GIS with State Demographics Project
The following iVDA interactive map shows patterns of population percent change by state from 7/1/20 to 7/1/24. The color patterns/intervals are shown in the legend at left.
iVDA (about is a part of the Visual Data Analytics (VDA) Geographic Information System (GIS) Framework .. VDAGIS VDAGIS tools and data have been developed and are maintained by Warren Glimpse, ProximityOne and Takashi Hamamoto, Tsukasa, Osaka, Japan.
Use the VDAGIS State Demographics Project aka "Demographics 2025" with VDA Web GIS4 offering a larger screen, ability to import data and selection of other projects and data.
Integrate VDAGIS toos and data into your operation.




State Population & Components of Change: 2020-2024 .. interactive table .. goto top
  Use mouse-over on header column to view extended item/column name.
  Click ShowAll button between queries. See usage notes below table.
 


Usage Notes
  Use mouse-over on header column to view extended item/column name.
  Click ShowAll button to reset table.

Column Descriptions .. goto top
0 AreaName
1 StAb
2 ESTBASE20 4/1/2020 resident total population estimates base
3 POPESTIMATE2020 7/1/2020 resident total population estimate
4 POPESTIMATE2021 7/1/2021 resident total population estimate
5 POPESTIMATE2022 7/1/2022 resident total population estimate
6 POPESTIMATE2023 7/1/2023 resident total population estimate
7 POPESTIMATE2024 7/1/2024 resident total population estimate
8 "PopChg 2023-24",
9 "%PopChg 2023-24",
10 "PopChg 2020-24",
11 "%PopChg 2020-24",
12 NPOPCHG_2020 Numeric change in resident total population 4/1/2020 to 7/1/2020
13 NPOPCHG_2021 Numeric change in resident total population 7/1/2020 to 7/1/2021
14 NPOPCHG_2022 Numeric change in resident total population 7/1/2021 to 7/1/2022
15 NPOPCHG_2023 Numeric change in resident total population 7/1/2022 to 7/1/2023
16 NPOPCHG_2024 Numeric change in resident total population 7/1/2023 to 7/1/2024
17 BIRTHS2020 Births in period 4/1/2020 to 6/30/2020
18 BIRTHS2021 Births in period 7/1/2020 to 6/30/2021
19 BIRTHS2022 Births in period 7/1/2021 to 6/30/2022
20 BIRTHS2023 Births in period 7/1/2022 to 6/30/2023
21 BIRTHS2024 Births in period 7/1/2023 to 6/30/2024
22 DEATHS2020 Deaths in period 4/1/2020 to 6/30/2020
23 DEATHS2021 Deaths in period 7/1/2020 to 6/30/2021
24 DEATHS2022 Deaths in period 7/1/2021 to 6/30/2022
25 DEATHS2023 Deaths in period 7/1/2022 to 6/30/2023
26 DEATHS2024 Deaths in period 7/1/2023 to 6/30/2024
27 NATURALCHG2020 Natural change in period 4/1/2020 to 6/30/2020
28 NATURALCHG2021 Natural change in period 7/1/2020 to 6/30/2021
29 NATURALCHG2022 Natural change in period 7/1/2021 to 6/30/2022
30 NATURALCHG2023 Natural change in period 7/1/2022 to 6/30/2023
31 NATURALCHG2024 Natural change in period 7/1/2023 to 6/30/2024
32 INTERNATIONALMIG2020 Net international migration in period 4/1/2020 to 6/30/2020
33 INTERNATIONALMIG2021 Net international migration in period 7/1/2020 to 6/30/2021
34 INTERNATIONALMIG2022 Net international migration in period 7/1/2021 to 6/30/2022
35 INTERNATIONALMIG2023 Net international migration in period 7/1/2022 to 6/30/2023
36 INTERNATIONALMIG2024 Net international migration in period 7/1/2023 to 6/30/2024
37 DOMESTICMIG2020 Net domestic migration in period 4/1/2020 to 6/30/2020
38 DOMESTICMIG2021 Net domestic migration in period 7/1/2020 to 6/30/2021
39 DOMESTICMIG2022 Net domestic migration in period 7/1/2021 to 6/30/2022
40 DOMESTICMIG2023 Net domestic migration in period 7/1/2022 to 6/30/2023
41 DOMESTICMIG2024 Net domestic migration in period 7/1/2023 to 6/30/2024
42 NETMIG2020 Net migration in period 4/1/2020 to 6/30/2020
43 NETMIG2021 Net migration in period 7/1/2020 to 6/30/2021
44 NETMIG2022 Net migration in period 7/1/2021 to 6/30/2022
45 NETMIG2023 Net migration in period 7/1/2022 to 6/30/2023
46 NETMIG2024 Net migration in period 7/1/2023 to 6/30/2024
47 RESIDUAL2020 Residual for period 4/1/2020 to 6/30/2020
48 RESIDUAL2021 Residual for period 7/1/2020 to 6/30/2021
49 RESIDUAL2022 Residual for period 7/1/2021 to 6/30/2022
50 RESIDUAL2023 Residual for period 7/1/2022 to 6/30/2023
51 RESIDUAL2024 Residual for period 7/1/2023 to 6/30/2024
52 RBIRTH2021 Birth rate in period 7/1/2020 to 6/30/2021
53 RBIRTH2022 Birth rate in period 7/1/2021 to 6/30/2022
54 RBIRTH2023 Birth rate in period 7/1/2022 to 6/30/2023
55 RBIRTH2024 Birth rate in period 7/1/2023 to 6/30/2024
56 RDEATH2021 Death rate in period 7/1/2020 to 6/30/2021
57 RDEATH2022 Death rate in period 7/1/2021 to 6/30/2022
58 RDEATH2023 Death rate in period 7/1/2022 to 6/30/2023
59 RDEATH2024 Death rate in period 7/1/2023 to 6/30/2024
60 RNATURALCHG2021 Natural change rate in period 7/1/2020 to 6/30/2021
61 RNATURALCHG2022 Natural change rate in period 7/1/2021 to 6/30/2022
62 RNATURALCHG2023 Natural change rate in period 7/1/2022 to 6/30/2023
63 RNATURALCHG2024 Natural change rate in period 7/1/2023 to 6/30/2024
64 RINTERNATIONALMIG2021 Net international migration rate in period 7/1/2020 to 6/30/2021
65 RINTERNATIONALMIG2022 Net international migration rate in period 7/1/2021 to 6/30/2022
66 RINTERNATIONALMIG2023 Net international migration rate in period 7/1/2022 to 6/30/2023
67 RINTERNATIONALMIG2024 Net international migration rate in period 7/1/2023 to 6/30/2024
68 RDOMESTICMIG2021 Net domestic migration rate in period 7/1/2020 to 6/30/2021
69 RDOMESTICMIG2022 Net domestic migration rate in period 7/1/2021 to 6/30/2022
70 RDOMESTICMIG2023 Net domestic migration rate in period 7/1/2022 to 6/30/2023
71 RDOMESTICMIG2024 Net domestic migration rate in period 7/1/2023 to 6/30/2024
72 RNETMIG2021 Net migration rate in period 7/1/2020 to 6/30/2021
73 RNETMIG2022 Net migration rate in period 7/1/2021 to 6/30/2022
74 RNETMIG2023 Net migration rate in period 7/1/2022 to 6/30/2023
75 RNETMIG2024 Net migration rate in period 7/1/2023 to 6/30/2024

Population Components of Change .. go to top
The population in period t (P[t]) for an area is defined using the identity:
  P[t]:=P[t-1]+B[t]-D[t]+IM[t]+DM[t], where:
- P[t] -- resident population as of 7/1/t
- P[t-1] -- resident population as of 7/1/t
- B[t] -- births during the period 6/30/t-1 to 7/1/t
- D[t] -- deaths during the period 6/30/t-1 to 7/1/t
- IM[t] -- international migration during the period 6/30/t-1 to 7/1/t
- DM[t] -- domestic during the period 6/30/t-1 to 7/1/t

B, D, IM and DM are the components of change.

Example:
State   pop2024   pop2023  births24 deaths24  intmig24  dommig24 resid24
Alaska	740,133	= 736,510 +   9,014 -  5,642 +   4,029 +  -3,774 +   -4

2025 Population Estimates & Projections Cycle Schedule .. goto top
Black: Census Bureau: Red: Proximityone
Subject Matter DetailLatest Data
Available
Date
of Next Release
National and State population and demographic components of population change 7/1/2024December 2025 (7/1/2025 data)
National, State, and Puerto Rico Commonwealth population age 18 and over7/1/2024 December 2025 (7/1/2025 data)
National & State Total Population & age 18 and over -- 2020-2060   January 2025
 
County population and demographic components of population change7/1/2023March 2025 (7/1/2024 data)
Metropolitan and micropolitan statistical area population7/1/2023March 2025
(7/1/2024 data)
National population by age and sex7/1/2023April 2025
(7/1/2024 data)
City and town (incorporated place and minor civil division) population7/1/2023May 2025
(7/1/2024 data)
National, State, and County housing units7/1/2023May 2025
(7/1/2024 data)
National population by age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin7/1/2023June 2025
(7/1/2024 data)
State population by age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin7/1/2023June 2025
(7/1/2024 data)
Metropolitan and micropolitan statistical area population by age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin7/1/2023June 2025
(7/1/2024 data)
County population by age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin7/1/2023June 2025
(7/1/2024 data)
County population by age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin -- 2020-2030   July 2025
 

Support Using these Resources .. goto top
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Additional Information
ProximityOne develops geographic-demographic-economic data and analytical tools and helps organizations knit together and use diverse data in a decision-making and analytical framework. We develop custom demographic/economic estimates and projections, develop geographic and geocoded address files, and assist with impact and geospatial analyses. Wide-ranging organizations use our software, data and methodologies to analyze their own data integrated with other data. Contact ProximityOne (888-364-7656) with questions about data covered in this section or to discuss custom estimates, projections or analyses for your areas of interest.



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