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Situation & Outlook Report

Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY Micropolitan Statistical Area
(CBSA 27460)
Geographic-Demographic-Economic Characteristics -- access other areas
See about updates.

This section is no longer being updated. Access the permanent replacement section at http://proximityone.com/cbsa/1/cbsa27460.htm. Please bookmark this new URL.

Access 2018 S&O Reports, featuring county and metro projections to 2030, via the interactive table at http://proximityone.com/metros.htm. The 2018 reports are similar but have been greatly expanded and updated.

Contents of this Report
This document is organized into these sections:
1. Recent Trends & Outlook
2. Overview & Updates
3. Reference & Thematic Pattern Maps
3.1. Lay of the Land
3.2. Neighborhood Patterns of Economic Prosperity
4. Population Characteristics & Trends
4.1. Component City Characteristics
4.2. Component County Characteristics
4.2.1. RDEMS Component County Characteristics
4.3. General Demographic Characteristics
5. Housing Characteristics & Trends
5.1. Total Housing Units
5.2. General Housing Characteristics
5.3. Residential Construction; Housing Units Authorized & Value
5.4. Housing Price Index
6. Economic Characteristics & Trends
6.1. Economic Profile
6.2. Cost of Living Indexes
6.3. Cost of Doing Business Indexes
6.4. Consumer Price Index
6.5. Gross Domestic Product
6.6. Establishments, Employment & Earnings by Type of Business
6.7. Labor Market Characteristics & Trends
7. Education Infrastructure
7.1. Component School District Characteristics
7.2. Component Higher Education Institution Characteristics
8. GeoPolitics
  Terms of Use
  Related Resources
  Using this Document
  Updates
  About Metros & Principal Cities
  Glossary


1. Recent Trends & Outlook
Summary of recent business, demographic, economic trends; year-ahead & 5-year outlook.
- the Recent Trends & Outlook section, updated quarterly, covers topics about this metro such as .. assessing the implications of next jobs report .. impact of Fed''s interest rate action .. which sectors are expanding or contracting .. housing market conditions .. insights to help your planning and decision-making. The Recent Trends & Outlook section is available in the subscription edition.

2. Overview & Update
The total population of the Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY MISA metro changed from 134,750 in 2010 to 131,773 in 2015, a change of -3,971 (-2.9%). Among all 917 metros, this metro was ranked number 302 in 2010 and 312 in 2015, based on total population. Annual net migration was -305 (2011), -860 (2012), -367 (2013), -1,185 (2014), -1,185 (2015). View annual population estimates and components of change table. See more about population characteristics below.

This metro is projected to have a total population in 2020 of 137,957. The projected population change from 2010 to 2020 is 3,118 (2.3%). The population ages 65 years and over is projected to change from 23,016 (2010) to 30,632 (2020), a change of 7,616 (33.1%). See more about population projections.

Based on per capita personal income (PCPI), this metro was ranked number 687 in 2008 and 662 in 2014. among the 917 metros for which personal income was estimated.The PCPI changed from $29,736 in 2008 to $34,296 in 2014, a change of $4,560 (15.3%). Per capita personal income (PCPI) is a comprehensive measure of individual economic well-being. Use the interactive table to compare PCPI in this metro to other metros. See more about PCPI in Economic Characteristics section below.

Attributes of driil-down, small area geography within the metro ... metros account for 65,744 of the national scope 73,056 census tracts (others are in non-metro areas). This metro is comprised of 36 tracts covering the metro wall-to-wall. View, rank, compare demographic-economic attributes of these tracts using the interactive tables. Use the CBSA code 27460; see table usage details below the table.

3. Lay of the Land & Neighborhood Patterns of Economic Prosperity   go top

3.1. Lay of the Land go top
Lay of the Land. The following map shows the metro with bold boundary.
Counties are labeled with county name and state-county FIPS code.

 
  View developed with CV XE GIS software.   See this section to learn about making custom metro maps.

3.2. Patterns of Economic Prosperity by Neighborhood go top

Median household income by census tract (see color/data legend at left of map).

 
  View developed with CV XE GIS software.   See this section to learn about making custom metro maps.

4. Population Characteristics & Trends go top
Updated monthly, quarterly, annually. Housing market conditions and extended detail Available in subscription edition.

4.1. Component City Characteristics go top
Principal Cities (about principal cities); Click link to view city profile.
  •   Dunkirk
  •   Fredonia
  •   Jamestown

Cities 10,000 population and over; click link to view city profile.
  AreaCensus
2010
July 1
2010
July 1
2011
July 1
2012
July 1
2013
July 1
2014
Change
2010-14
%Change
2010-14
  Dunkirk, NY (3621105) 12,563 12,546 12,471 12,388 12,331 12,216 -330 -2.60
  Fredonia, NY (3627419) 11,230 11,228 11,112 10,932 10,866 10,792 -436 -3.90
  Jamestown, NY (3638264) 31,146 31,103 30,908 30,752 30,724 30,429 -674 -2.20

All places interactive tables General Demographics | Social | Economic | Housing
All places time series population estimates interactive table.

4.2. Component County Characteristics   go top
Updated periodically, annually. General demographics, social characteristics and extended detail Available in subscription edition.

Metropolitan areas are defined as one or more contiguous counties based on a set of demographic-economic criteria. Counties comprising the metro are shown below. For multi-county metros, this section provides insights into how the population is changing by county. Many metros changed geographic composition (counties included in the metro) between the Census 2010 vintage and the current vintage. These changes, if any, are also shown below (county is marked with **). See projections in related section.Click county code link to view county components of change.

  AreaJuly 1
2010
PctJuly 1
2011
PctJuly 1
2012
PctJuly 1
2013
PctJuly 1
2014
PctJuly 1
2015
Pct
Metro Summary ... more details 197,069 100.0 202,628 100.0 202,375 100.0 202,173 100.0 203,483 100.0 204,275 100.0
  Chautauqua County (36013) 134,750 68.4 134,264 66.3 133,424 65.9 132,991 65.8 131,773 64.8 130,779 64.0

All counties interactive tables General Demographics | Social | Economic | Housing
All counties population estimates & components of change time series interactive table.

4.2.1. RDEMS County Characteristics
Updated quarterly. For more information, see RDEMS Main.
Links open HSG1 Housing & New Residential Construction section. Select other sections from list above table.
  Chautauqua County, NY

4.3. General Demographic Characteristics
Updated annually. For more information, detail & to compare areas use interactive table.
  Item20132014Change
2013-14
%Change
2013-14
Total Population: Race/Origin 133,080 132,053 -1,027 -0.77
  One race 130,951 128,718 -2,233 -1.71
    White 124,100 123,006 -1,094 -0.88
    Black/African American 124,100 123,006 -1,094 -0.88
    American Indian/Alaska Native 532 630 98 18.42
    Asian alone 905 334 -571 -63.09
    Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander 0 0 0...
    Some other race alone 1,550 1,796 246 15.87
  Two or more races 2,129 3,335 1,206 56.65
  Hispanic or Latino (of any race) 9,004 9,266 262 2.91
Population 25 years and over 90,156 90,108 -48 2.91
  % high school graduate or higher 87.4 89.7 2.3 2.63
  % bachelor's degree or higher 18.7 21.6 2.9 15.51
Total Households 54,551 52,916 -1,635 15.51
  Median household income ($) 40,413 41,808 1,395 3.45
  Mean household income ($) 52,366 53,100 734 1.40
  Item20132014Change
2013-14
%Change
2013-14
Total Population: Gender & Age 133,080 132,053 -1,027 -0.77
  Male 65,892 65,753 -139 1.40
  Female 67,188 66,300 -888 1.40
  Under 5 years 6,701 6,966 265 1.40
  5 to 9 years 7,050 7,267 217 3.08
  10 to 14 years 8,876 8,273 -603 -6.79
  15 to 19 years 9,934 9,462 -472 -4.75
  20 to 24 years 10,363 9,977 -386 -3.72
  25 to 34 years 14,341 15,254 913 6.37
  35 to 44 years 14,469 13,912 -557 -3.85
  45 to 54 years 18,854 17,822 -1,032 -5.47
  55 to 59 years 9,183 11,142 1,959 21.33
  55 to 59 years 9,183 11,142 1,959 21.33
  60 to 64 years 9,862 8,337 -1,525 -15.46
  65 to 74 years 12,641 12,703 62 0.49
  75 to 84 years 7,897 7,322 -575 -7.28
  85 years and over 2,909 3,616 707 24.30
  Median age 41.3 41.9 0.6 1.45
  18 years and over 105,021 104,544 -477 -0.45
  21 years and over 97,903 96,815 -1,088 -1.11
  62 years and over 29,015 28,418 -597 -2.06
  65 years and over 23,447 23,641 194 0.83

5. Housing Characteristics & Trends go top
Updated monthly, quarterly, annually. Housing market conditions and extended detail Available in subscription edition.

5.1. Total Housing Units
Updated Annually. Independent annual model-based estimates. For more information, detail & to compare areas use interactive table.
  ItemCensus
2010
July 1
2010
July 1
2011
July 1
2012
July 1
2013
July 1
2014
Change
2010-2014
%Change
2010-2014
  Total Housing Units 66,920 66,912 66,839 66,775 66,743 66,659 -253 -0.38

5.2. General Housing Characteristics
Updated Annually. For more information, detail & to compare areas use interactive table.
  Item20132014Change
2013-14
%Change
2013-14
Housing Units: Units in Structure 66,496 66,661 165 0.25
  1-unit, detached 44,554 45,328 774 1.74
  1-unit, attached 719 1,327 608 84.56
  2 units 8,307 7,335 -972 -11.70
  3 or 4 units 4,089 3,268 -821 -20.08
  5 to 9 units 1,203 1,239 36 2.99
  10 to 20 units 1,381 932 -449 -32.51
  20 or more units 2,108 2,429 321 15.23
  Item20132014Change
2013-14
%Change
2013-14
Housing Units: Occupancy & Tenure 66,496 66,661 165 0.25
  Occupied Housing Units 54,551 52,916 -1,635 -3.00
    Owner 37,303 37,908 605 1.62
    Renter 17,248 15,008 -2,240 -12.99
  Vacant Housing Units 11,945 13,745 1,800 15.07
  Homeowner vacancy rate 2.90 3.00 0.10...
  Rental vacancy rate 9.50 9.30 -0.20...
Average household size; owner-occ 2.42 2.44 0.02 0.83
Average household size; renter-occ 2.11 2.21 0.10 4.74
Median Value $ owner occupied 85,700 83,500 -2,200 -2.57
Median Rent $ renter occupied 586 595 9 1.54

6. Economic Characteristics & Trends go top

6.1. Economic Profile go top
The Economic Profile shows shows derivation and key components of total personal income. Data are organized by place of residence and place of work. The place of residence profile includes estimates of total personal income, population, and per capita personal income. The place of work profile includes estimates of total earnings, total employment and average earnings per job. Updated annually. See related interactive table.

  Item20112012201320142015Change
2011-2015
%Change
2011-2015
Personal income 4,370,224 4,454,120 4,483,485 4,604,792 4,767,434 397,210 9.1
  Net earnings 1/ 2,497,044 2,551,343 2,544,851 2,593,028 2,662,720 165,676 6.6
  Personal current transfer receipts 1,297,695 1,295,254 1,323,342 1,354,340 1,420,161 122,466 9.4
    Income maintenance 2/ 167,164 166,895 167,344 169,469 169,226 2,062 1.2
    Unemployment insurance compensation 48,100 45,360 32,858 16,475 15,940 -32,160 -66.9
    Retirement and other 1,082,431 1,082,999 1,123,140 1,168,396 1,234,995 152,564 14.1
  Dividends, interest, and rent 3/ 575,485 607,523 615,292 657,424 684,553 109,068 19.0
  Population 4/ 134,264 133,424 132,991 131,773 130,779 -3,485 -2.6
  Per capita personal income 32,549 33,383 33,713 34,945 36,454 3,905 12.0
  Per capita net earnings 18,598 19,122 19,136 19,678 20,360 1,762 9.5
  Per capita personal current transfer receipts 9,665 9,708 9,951 10,278 10,859 1,194 12.4
    Per capita income maintenance 1,245 1,251 1,258 1,286 1,294 49 3.9
    Per capita unemployment insurance compensation 358 340 247 125 122 -236 -65.9
    Per capita retirement and other 8,062 8,117 8,445 8,867 9,443 1,381 17.1
  Per capita dividends, interest, and rent 4,286 4,553 4,627 4,989 5,234 948 22.1
  Earnings by place of work 2,760,143 2,815,272 2,835,896 2,893,857 2,969,234 209,091 7.6
    Wages and salaries 1,806,122 1,833,786 1,807,083 1,859,830 1,918,662 112,540 6.2
    Supplements to wages and salaries 654,156 667,676 682,308 686,019 702,118 47,962 7.3
      Employer cont. for empl. pension & insur. funds 6/ 497,196 508,465 522,440 519,665 532,841 35,645 7.2
      Employer cont. for government social insurance 156,960 159,211 159,868 166,354 169,277 12,317 7.8
    Proprietors' income 299,865 313,810 346,505 348,008 348,454 48,589 16.2
      Nonfarm proprietors' income 48,479 38,579 52,019 49,689 28,673 -19,806 -40.9
      Farm proprietors' income 251,386 275,231 294,486 298,319 319,781 68,395 27.2
Total full-time and part-time employment 66,932 66,674 65,999 65,515 66,175 -757 -1.1
  Wage and salary jobs 53,508 53,056 52,325 52,090 52,345 -1,163 -2.2
  Number of proprietors 13,424 13,618 13,674 13,425 13,830 406 3.0
    Number of nonfarm proprietors 7/ 1,436 1,384 1,416 1,428 1,429 -7 -0.5
    Number of farm proprietors 11,988 12,234 12,258 11,997 12,401 413 3.4
Average earnings per job (dollars) 41,238 42,224 42,969 44,171 44,869 3,631 8.8
  Average wages and salaries 33,754 34,563 34,536 35,704 36,654 2,900 8.6
  Average nonfarm proprietors' income 20,970 22,497 24,024 24,866 25,787 4,817 23.0
Dollar items are in current dollars (not adjusted for inflation). Per capita items in dollars; other dollar items in thousands of dollars.
See related notes.

6.2. Cost of Living Indexes   go top
Updated periodically. Available in subscription edition.

6.3. Cost of Doing Business Indexes   go top
Updated periodically. Available in subscription edition.

6.4. Consumer Price Index   go top
Updated monthly. Available in subscription edition.

6.5. Gross Domestic Product by Sector   go top
Updated quarterly, annually. For more information, detail & to compare areas use interactive table. Additional detail in subscription edition.

6.6. Establishments, Employment & Earnings by Detailed Type of Business go top
Updated quarterly. For more information, detail & to compare areas use interactive table.

Use the following links to access detailed establishment and employment data by type of business (CSV files).
  .. see notes on using these files.
  2013Q1 .. 2013Q2 .. 2013Q3 .. 2013Q4 .|. 2014Q1 .. 2014Q2 .. 2014Q3 .. 2014Q4 .|. 2015Q1 .. 2015Q2 .. 2015Q3 .. 2015Q4 .. 2016Q1 .. 2016Q2
 
6.7. Labor Market Characteristics & Trends go top
Updated monthly. Available in subscription edition.
For more information, detail & to compare areas use interactive table.
Table shows 13 most recent months.
  ItemAug15Sep15Oct15Nov15Dec15Jan16Feb16Mar16Apr16May16Jun16Jul16Aug16
Unemplymnt Rate 5.4 5.6 5.4 5.7 5.8 6.4 6.1 5.9 5.6 4.9 5.1 5.3 5.1
Unemployment 3,198 3,217 3,058 3,221 3,329 3,684 3,578 3,452 3,242 2,845 2,955 3,106 2,996
Employment 56,052 54,685 54,089 53,717 54,011 53,653 54,793 54,868 54,195 55,121 55,518 55,846 55,814
Labor Force59,25057,90257,14756,93857,34057,33758,37158,32057,43757,96658,47358,95258,810

7. Education Infrastructure   go top

7.1. Component School District Characteristics   go top
Districts in this metro. Updated periodically. See related School District interactive table.
District NameCity Name District
Code
Locale
Code
CountyState2012-13
Enrollment
2013 Total
Population
Grade Relevant
Pop Ages 5-17
Bemus Point Central School DistrictBemus Point 36045304136013NY 754 5,102 796
Brocton Central School DistrictBrocton 36056104236013NY 559 4,719 710
Cassadaga Valley Central School DistrictSinclairville 36066604236013NY 1,055 7,057 1,153
Chautauqua Lake Central School DistrictMayville 36000184236013NY 777 5,703 863
Clymer Central School DistrictClymer 36078904236013NY 467 3,165 670
Dunkirk City School DistrictDunkirk 36094203236013NY 1,982 13,910 2,110
Falconer Central School DistrictFalconer 36109203336013NY 1,274 7,230 1,184
Forestville Central School DistrictForestville 36112504236013NY 548 3,684 555
Fredonia Central School DistrictFredonia 36115203236013NY 1,569 14,533 1,580
Frewsburg Central School DistrictFrewsburg 36116104236013NY 847 4,831 831
Jamestown City School DistrictJamestown 36156303336013NY 5,174 32,077 5,330
Panama Central School DistrictPanama 36224104236013NY 562 3,455 612
Pine Valley Central School District (South Dayton)South Dayton 36230704236013NY 631 4,384 972
Ripley Central School DistrictRipley 36246604236013NY 308 2,028 332
Sherman Central School DistrictSherman 36267304236013NY 443 2,802 622
Silver Creek Central School DistrictSilver Creek 36268804136013NY 1,111 6,095 980
Southwestern Central School District At JamestownJamestown 36276603336013NY 1,472 9,483 1,420
Westfield Central School DistrictWestfield 36309903236013NY 711 5,026 764

Number of districts: 18 ... Total enrollment: 20,244
All school districts interactive tables General Demographics | Social | Economic | Housing
All school districts enrollment & adminstratively reported data interactive table.

7.2. Component Higher Education Institution Characteristics   go top
2014-15 School Year. Extended detail Available in subscription edition.
  Institution City Name Code LevelTotal UG EnrollmentFulltime UG EnrollmentTotal Grad EnrollmentFulltime Grad Enrollment
Jamestown Business College Jamestown, NY1920045 318 314 0 0
Jamestown Community College Jamestown, NY1919863 5,065 2,551 0 0
SUNY at Fredonia Fredonia, NY1961588 4,936 4,806 279 189

  Number of institutions: 3 ... Total undergraduate enrollment: 10,319
  Levels: 3-Assoc degree, 4-at least 2, but < 4 years, 5-Bach degree, 6-Postbacc cert, 7 Masters degree, 8 Post-masters cert, 9 Doctors degree

8. GeoPolitics   go top
Updated periodically. Voting patterns, citizen voting age population, state legislative districts, congressional districts .. in this metro.
Available in subscription edition.

Notes
  • All data are for current vintage county and metro definition.
  • Developed by ProximityOne -- Metro Reports (888-364-7656)
  • Data sources: ProximityOne, Census Bureau, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Housing Finance Agency,
    National Center for Education Statistics.

Updates go top
The subscription edition updates frequently. Selected items are listed below. Register to receive update notifications.
  • Overview lead narrative; quarterly & annual/March.
  • Housing Price Index (section 5.4) quarterly.
  • Establishments, employment & earnings (section 6.6) quarterly.
  • Economic profile and personal income (section 6.1) annual/November.
  • Labor market situation (section 6.7) monthly.
  • Residential construction; units authorized & value (section 5.3.) monthly.
  • Population by county; annual series 2010-2016 (section 4.2.) annual/July.
  • Population by county; links for individual counties (section 4.2.) annual/July.
      -- includes annual data 2010-2016.
      -- includes components of change; race/origin; single year of age; age group summaries.
  • Total population and components of change; annual/March.
  • Census tracts overview section; annual/December.
  • General Demographics section updated/extended; annual/December.
  • Gross Domestic Product section; annual/September.
  • Higher education institutions; annual/February.
  • Metro & county demographic component detailed annual estimates; annual/March.
  • School districts in metro & K-12 enrollment; annual/August.
More about schedule and upcoming events ... Calendar ... Upcoming Events ... Find Event

Terms of Use go top
Situation & Outlook Reports are a proprietary resource developed by ProximityOne. There is no warranty of any type associated with any aspect of this report. The user of this document is solely responsible to any use, direct or indirect, that might be made of this document.

Related Resources go top
  • Metros main page
  • Current estimates and projections: states to 2030, counties & metros to 2020 by age, counties & states to 2060.
  • Making Custom Metropolitan Area Maps
  • Rental Market Conditions by Metropolitan Area
  • Metro Gross Domestic Product
  • Housing Price Index
  • Establishments, Employment & Earnings
  • Regional Economic Information System
  • ACS 2014 1-year General Demographics ... Social Characteristics ... Economic Characteristics ... Housing Characteristics

Using this Document go top
The Situation & Outlook Report, a component of the Situation & Outlook, is a core ProximityOne information resource providing insights into characteristics and trends of counties, metropolitan areas, states and the U.S. The Report also provides a gateway to drill-down demographic, economic and business data for smaller geographic areas.

Metropolitan areas include approximately 94 percent of the U.S. population -- 85 percent in metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) and 9 percent in micropolitan statistical areas (MISAs).

About Metropolitan Areas & Principal Cities -- scroll section go top
Metropolitan Areas are designated by OMB ("Standards for Delineating Metropolitan and Micropolitan Statistical Areas") based mainly on Census Bureau-sourced data. Metropolitan areas are defined as Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSA) and Micropolitan Statistical Areas (MISA). MSAs and MISAs are also referred to a Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs). Contiguous CBSAs are defined as Combined Statistical Areas (CSA).

By definition, metropolitan areas are comprised of one or more contiguous counties. Metropolitan areas are not single cities and typically include many cities. Metropolitan areas are comprised of urban and rural areas and often have large expanses of rural territory. A business and demographic-economic synergy exists within each metro; metros often interact with adjacent metros. The demographic-economic make-up of metros vary widely and change often. See more about metros.

Principal Cities. The largest city in each metropolitan or micropolitan statistical area is designated a "principal city." Principal cities are designated by OMB based on Census-sourced data. Additional cities qualify as principal cities if specified requirements are met concerning population size and employment. The title of each metropolitan or micropolitan statistical area consists of the names of up to three of its principal cities and the name of each state into which the metropolitan or micropolitan statistical area extends. Titles of metropolitan divisions also typically are based on principal city names but in certain cases consist of county names.

One or more principal cities are designated within each Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) and Micropolitan Statistical Area (MISA). The term "principal city" is defined in the OMB "Standards for Delineating Metropolitan and Micropolitan Statistical Areas." A principal city is an OMB designation applied to one or more incorporated places and/or census designated places (CDPs). The OMB standards designate a Principal City (or Cities) of a Core-Based Statistical Area (CBSA) as determined by:
  a) The largest incorporated place with a 2010 Census population of at least 10,000 in the CBSA or,
        if no incorporated place of at least 10,000 population is present in the CBSA,
        the largest incorporated place or census designated place in the CBSA; and
  b) Additional places with 2010 Census population of at least 250,000 or in which 100,000 or more persons work; and
  c) Additional places with 2010 Census population of 50,000-250,000,
        and number of workers working in the place meets or exceeds the number of workers living in the place; and
  d) Additional places with 2010 Census population of 10,000-50,000, and at least one-third the population size of the largest place,
        and in which the number of workers working in the place meets or exceeds the number of workers living in the place.

ProximityOne User Group go top
Join the ProximityOne User Group to keep up-to-date with new developments relating to metros and component geography decision-making information resources. Receive updates and access to tools and resources available only to members. Use this form to join the User Group.

Support Using these Resources go top
Learn more about accessing and using demographic-economic data and related analytical tools. Join us in a Data Analytics Lab session. There is no fee for these one-hour Web sessions. Each informal session is focused on a specific topic. The open structure also provides for Q&A and discussion of application issues of interest to participants.

Additional Information go top
ProximityOne develops geographic-demographic-economic data and analytical tools and helps organizations knit together and use diverse data in a decision-making and analytical framework. We develop custom demographic/economic estimates and projections, develop geographic and geocoded address files, and assist with impact and geospatial analyses. Wide-ranging organizations use our tools (software, data, methodologies) to analyze their own data integrated with other data. Follow ProximityOne on Twitter at www.twitter.com/proximityone. Contact us (888-364-7656) with questions about data covered in this section or to discuss custom estimates, projections or analyses for your areas of interest.

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