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Situation & Outlook Report

Tullahoma-Manchester, TN Micropolitan Statistical Area
(CBSA 46100)
Geographic-Demographic-Economic Characteristics -- access other areas
See about updates.

This section is no longer being updated. Access the permanent replacement section at http://proximityone.com/cbsa/1/cbsa46100.htm. Please bookmark this new URL.

Access 2018 S&O Reports, featuring county and metro projections to 2030, via the interactive table at http://proximityone.com/metros.htm. The 2018 reports are similar but have been greatly expanded and updated.

Contents of this Report
This document is organized into these sections:
1. Recent Trends & Outlook
2. Overview & Updates
3. Reference & Thematic Pattern Maps
3.1. Lay of the Land
3.2. Neighborhood Patterns of Economic Prosperity
4. Population Characteristics & Trends
4.1. Component City Characteristics
4.2. Component County Characteristics
4.2.1. RDEMS Component County Characteristics
4.3. General Demographic Characteristics
5. Housing Characteristics & Trends
5.1. Total Housing Units
5.2. General Housing Characteristics
5.3. Residential Construction; Housing Units Authorized & Value
5.4. Housing Price Index
6. Economic Characteristics & Trends
6.1. Economic Profile
6.2. Cost of Living Indexes
6.3. Cost of Doing Business Indexes
6.4. Consumer Price Index
6.5. Gross Domestic Product
6.6. Establishments, Employment & Earnings by Type of Business
6.7. Labor Market Characteristics & Trends
7. Education Infrastructure
7.1. Component School District Characteristics
7.2. Component Higher Education Institution Characteristics
8. GeoPolitics
  Terms of Use
  Related Resources
  Using this Document
  Updates
  About Metros & Principal Cities
  Glossary


1. Recent Trends & Outlook
Summary of recent business, demographic, economic trends; year-ahead & 5-year outlook.
- the Recent Trends & Outlook section, updated quarterly, covers topics about this metro such as .. assessing the implications of next jobs report .. impact of Fed''s interest rate action .. which sectors are expanding or contracting .. housing market conditions .. insights to help your planning and decision-making. The Recent Trends & Outlook section is available in the subscription edition.

2. Overview & Update
The total population of the Tullahoma-Manchester, TN MISA metro changed from 100,091 in 2010 to 101,352 in 2015, a change of 1,957 (2%). Among all 917 metros, this metro was ranked number 377 in 2010 and 377 in 2015, based on total population. Annual net migration was 228 (2011), 209 (2012), 731 (2013), 553 (2014), 553 (2015). View annual population estimates and components of change table. See more about population characteristics below.

This metro is projected to have a total population in 2020 of 104,167. The projected population change from 2010 to 2020 is 4,041 (4.0%). The population ages 65 years and over is projected to change from 17,106 (2010) to 23,227 (2020), a change of 6,121 (35.8%). See more about population projections.

Based on per capita personal income (PCPI), this metro was ranked number 627 in 2008 and 546 in 2014. among the 917 metros for which personal income was estimated.The PCPI changed from $30,377 in 2008 to $36,134 in 2014, a change of $5,757 (19%). Per capita personal income (PCPI) is a comprehensive measure of individual economic well-being. Use the interactive table to compare PCPI in this metro to other metros. See more about PCPI in Economic Characteristics section below.

Attributes of driil-down, small area geography within the metro ... metros account for 65,744 of the national scope 73,056 census tracts (others are in non-metro areas). This metro is comprised of 23 tracts covering the metro wall-to-wall. View, rank, compare demographic-economic attributes of these tracts using the interactive tables. Use the CBSA code 46100; see table usage details below the table.

3. Lay of the Land & Neighborhood Patterns of Economic Prosperity   go top

3.1. Lay of the Land go top
Lay of the Land. The following map shows the metro with bold boundary.
Counties are labeled with county name and state-county FIPS code.

 
  View developed with CV XE GIS software.   See this section to learn about making custom metro maps.

3.2. Patterns of Economic Prosperity by Neighborhood go top

Median household income by census tract (see color/data legend at left of map).

 
  View developed with CV XE GIS software.   See this section to learn about making custom metro maps.

4. Population Characteristics & Trends go top
Updated monthly, quarterly, annually. Housing market conditions and extended detail Available in subscription edition.

4.1. Component City Characteristics go top
Principal Cities (about principal cities); Click link to view city profile.
  •   Manchester
  •   Tullahoma

Cities 10,000 population and over; click link to view city profile.
  AreaCensus
2010
July 1
2010
July 1
2011
July 1
2012
July 1
2013
July 1
2014
Change
2010-14
%Change
2010-14
  Manchester, TN (4745500) 10,102 10,132 10,176 10,223 10,251 10,349 217 2.10
  Tullahoma, TN (4775320) 18,655 18,634 18,653 18,721 18,794 18,899 265 1.40

All places interactive tables General Demographics | Social | Economic | Housing
All places time series population estimates interactive table.

4.2. Component County Characteristics   go top
Updated periodically, annually. General demographics, social characteristics and extended detail Available in subscription edition.

Metropolitan areas are defined as one or more contiguous counties based on a set of demographic-economic criteria. Counties comprising the metro are shown below. For multi-county metros, this section provides insights into how the population is changing by county. Many metros changed geographic composition (counties included in the metro) between the Census 2010 vintage and the current vintage. These changes, if any, are also shown below (county is marked with **). See projections in related section.Click county code link to view county components of change.

  AreaJuly 1
2010
PctJuly 1
2011
PctJuly 1
2012
PctJuly 1
2013
PctJuly 1
2014
PctJuly 1
2015
Pct
Metro Summary ... more details 197,069 100.0 202,628 100.0 202,375 100.0 202,173 100.0 203,483 100.0 204,275 100.0
  Coffee County (47031) 52,778 26.8 52,880 26.1 53,125 26.3 53,321 26.4 53,638 26.4 54,277 26.6
  Franklin County (47051) 40,957 20.8 40,844 20.2 40,759 20.1 41,258 20.4 41,378 20.3 41,449 20.3
  Moore County (47127) 6,356 3.2 6,418 3.2 6,355 3.1 6,325 3.1 6,336 3.1 6,322 3.1

All counties interactive tables General Demographics | Social | Economic | Housing
All counties population estimates & components of change time series interactive table.

4.2.1. RDEMS County Characteristics
Updated quarterly. For more information, see RDEMS Main.
Links open HSG1 Housing & New Residential Construction section. Select other sections from list above table.
No counties presently available for this metro.

4.3. General Demographic Characteristics
Updated annually. For more information, detail & to compare areas use interactive table.
  Item20132014Change
2013-14
%Change
2013-14
Total Population: Race/Origin 100,895 102,651 1,756 1.74
  One race 96,707 98,284 1,577 1.63
    White 91,599 93,184 1,585 1.73
    Black/African American 91,599 93,184 1,585 1.73
    American Indian/Alaska Native 786 700 -86 -10.94
    Asian alone 657 149 -508 -77.32
    Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander 23 0 -23 -100.00
    Some other race alone 1,421 2,041 620 43.63
  Two or more races 4,188 4,367 179 4.27
  Hispanic or Latino (of any race) 3,175 3,332 157 4.94
Population 25 years and over 68,092 69,773 1,681 4.94
  % high school graduate or higher 84.4 85.4 1.0 1.18
  % bachelor's degree or higher 16.6 19.6 3.0 18.07
Total Households 39,107 40,421 1,314 18.07
  Median household income ($) 42,304 44,819 2,515 5.95
  Mean household income ($) 57,040 56,857 -183 -0.32
  Item20132014Change
2013-14
%Change
2013-14
Total Population: Gender & Age 100,895 102,651 1,756 1.74
  Male 49,312 49,151 -161 -0.32
  Female 51,583 53,500 1,917 -0.32
  Under 5 years 5,341 6,218 877 -0.32
  5 to 9 years 6,373 7,776 1,403 22.01
  10 to 14 years 7,379 5,207 -2,172 -29.43
  15 to 19 years 7,374 6,826 -548 -7.43
  20 to 24 years 6,336 6,851 515 8.13
  25 to 34 years 10,639 11,744 1,105 10.39
  35 to 44 years 11,836 12,503 667 5.64
  45 to 54 years 14,047 13,381 -666 -4.74
  55 to 59 years 6,655 7,725 1,070 16.08
  55 to 59 years 6,655 7,725 1,070 16.08
  60 to 64 years 7,318 6,132 -1,186 -16.21
  65 to 74 years 10,205 10,978 773 7.57
  75 to 84 years 5,015 5,789 774 15.43
  85 years and over 2,377 1,521 -856 -36.01
  Median age 41.1 40.4 -0.7 -1.70
  18 years and over 77,924 79,356 1,432 1.84
  21 years and over 73,269 74,737 1,468 2.00
  62 years and over 22,227 22,077 -150 -0.67
  65 years and over 17,597 18,288 691 3.93

5. Housing Characteristics & Trends go top
Updated monthly, quarterly, annually. Housing market conditions and extended detail Available in subscription edition.

5.1. Total Housing Units
Updated Annually. Independent annual model-based estimates. For more information, detail & to compare areas use interactive table.
  ItemCensus
2010
July 1
2010
July 1
2011
July 1
2012
July 1
2013
July 1
2014
Change
2010-2014
%Change
2010-2014
  Total Housing Units 45,046 45,094 45,156 45,252 45,356 45,488 394 0.87

5.2. General Housing Characteristics
Updated Annually. For more information, detail & to compare areas use interactive table.
  Item20132014Change
2013-14
%Change
2013-14
Housing Units: Units in Structure 45,347 45,775 428 0.94
  1-unit, detached 33,314 34,983 1,669 5.01
  1-unit, attached 652 475 -177 -27.15
  2 units 2,429 2,329 -100 -4.12
  3 or 4 units 669 704 35 5.23
  5 to 9 units 752 708 -44 -5.85
  10 to 20 units 846 121 -725 -85.70
  20 or more units 433 461 28 6.47
  Item20132014Change
2013-14
%Change
2013-14
Housing Units: Occupancy & Tenure 45,347 45,775 428 0.94
  Occupied Housing Units 39,107 40,421 1,314 3.36
    Owner 27,900 28,552 652 2.34
    Renter 11,207 11,869 662 5.91
  Vacant Housing Units 6,240 5,354 -886 -14.20
  Homeowner vacancy rate 1.90 0.00 -1.90...
  Rental vacancy rate 8.40 7.40 -1.00...
Average household size; owner-occ 2.47 2.39 -0.08 -3.24
Average household size; renter-occ 2.62 2.69 0.07 2.67
Median Value $ owner occupied 100,500 115,500 15,000 14.93
Median Rent $ renter occupied 648 649 1 0.15

6. Economic Characteristics & Trends go top

6.1. Economic Profile go top
The Economic Profile shows shows derivation and key components of total personal income. Data are organized by place of residence and place of work. The place of residence profile includes estimates of total personal income, population, and per capita personal income. The place of work profile includes estimates of total earnings, total employment and average earnings per job. Updated annually. See related interactive table.

  Item20112012201320142015Change
2011-2015
%Change
2011-2015
Personal income 3,217,755 3,368,394 3,419,310 3,563,417 3,714,289 496,534 15.4
  Net earnings 1/ 1,844,274 1,990,950 2,008,728 2,111,911 2,199,442 355,168 19.3
  Personal current transfer receipts 925,148 922,337 941,615 959,430 1,004,326 79,178 8.6
    Income maintenance 2/ 89,267 88,729 87,881 87,265 85,294 -3,973 -4.5
    Unemployment insurance compensation 24,604 13,758 9,124 5,036 4,368 -20,236 -82.2
    Retirement and other 811,277 819,850 844,610 867,129 914,664 103,387 12.7
  Dividends, interest, and rent 3/ 448,333 455,107 468,967 492,076 510,521 62,188 13.9
  Population 4/ 100,142 100,239 100,904 101,352 102,048 1,906 1.9
  Per capita personal income 32,132 33,604 33,887 35,159 36,397 4,265 13.3
  Per capita net earnings 18,417 19,862 19,907 20,837 21,553 3,136 17.0
  Per capita personal current transfer receipts 9,238 9,201 9,332 9,466 9,842 604 6.5
    Per capita income maintenance 891 885 871 861 836 -55 -6.2
    Per capita unemployment insurance compensation 246 137 90 50 43 -203 -82.5
    Per capita retirement and other 8,101 8,179 8,370 8,556 8,963 862 10.6
  Per capita dividends, interest, and rent 4,477 4,540 4,648 4,855 5,003 526 11.7
  Earnings by place of work 1,969,470 2,123,993 2,159,186 2,279,330 2,366,480 397,010 20.2
    Wages and salaries 1,318,546 1,419,865 1,430,438 1,537,236 1,610,076 291,530 22.1
    Supplements to wages and salaries 343,477 384,613 385,353 397,980 400,198 56,721 16.5
      Employer cont. for empl. pension & insur. funds 6/ 241,938 276,443 278,464 287,501 284,475 42,537 17.6
      Employer cont. for government social insurance 101,539 108,170 106,889 110,479 115,723 14,184 14.0
    Proprietors' income 307,447 319,515 343,395 344,114 356,206 48,759 15.9
      Nonfarm proprietors' income 22,788 15,684 41,188 28,268 15,112 -7,676 -33.7
      Farm proprietors' income 284,659 303,831 302,207 315,846 341,094 56,435 19.8
Total full-time and part-time employment 49,405 50,844 50,830 53,249 54,238 4,833 9.8
  Wage and salary jobs 37,142 38,953 38,930 41,127 41,808 4,666 12.6
  Number of proprietors 12,263 11,891 11,900 12,122 12,430 167 1.4
    Number of nonfarm proprietors 7/ 2,022 1,937 1,948 1,914 1,913 -109 -5.4
    Number of farm proprietors 10,241 9,954 9,952 10,208 10,517 276 2.7
Average earnings per job (dollars) 39,864 41,775 42,479 42,805 43,631 3,767 9.4
  Average wages and salaries 35,500 36,451 36,744 37,378 38,511 3,011 8.5
  Average nonfarm proprietors' income 27,796 30,524 30,366 30,941 32,433 4,637 16.7
Dollar items are in current dollars (not adjusted for inflation). Per capita items in dollars; other dollar items in thousands of dollars.
See related notes.

6.2. Cost of Living Indexes   go top
Updated periodically. Available in subscription edition.

6.3. Cost of Doing Business Indexes   go top
Updated periodically. Available in subscription edition.

6.4. Consumer Price Index   go top
Updated monthly. Available in subscription edition.

6.5. Gross Domestic Product by Sector   go top
Updated quarterly, annually. For more information, detail & to compare areas use interactive table. Additional detail in subscription edition.

6.6. Establishments, Employment & Earnings by Detailed Type of Business go top
Updated quarterly. For more information, detail & to compare areas use interactive table.

Use the following links to access detailed establishment and employment data by type of business (CSV files).
  .. see notes on using these files.
  2013Q1 .. 2013Q2 .. 2013Q3 .. 2013Q4 .|. 2014Q1 .. 2014Q2 .. 2014Q3 .. 2014Q4 .|. 2015Q1 .. 2015Q2 .. 2015Q3 .. 2015Q4 .. 2016Q1 .. 2016Q2
 
6.7. Labor Market Characteristics & Trends go top
Updated monthly. Available in subscription edition.
For more information, detail & to compare areas use interactive table.
Table shows 13 most recent months.
  ItemAug15Sep15Oct15Nov15Dec15Jan16Feb16Mar16Apr16May16Jun16Jul16Aug16
Unemplymnt Rate 5.5 5.4 5.2 5.3 5.2 4.7 4.2 4.0 3.8 3.7 4.9 4.8 4.9
Unemployment 1,331 1,302 1,268 1,280 1,269 1,135 1,040 985 925 918 1,220 1,191 1,217
Employment 22,986 22,808 22,954 23,022 23,014 23,191 23,512 23,581 23,543 23,658 23,633 23,662 23,503
Labor Force24,31724,11024,22224,30224,28324,32624,55224,56624,46824,57624,85324,85324,720

7. Education Infrastructure   go top

7.1. Component School District Characteristics   go top
Districts in this metro. Updated periodically. See related School District interactive table.
District NameCity Name District
Code
Locale
Code
CountyState2012-13
Enrollment
2013 Total
Population
Grade Relevant
Pop Ages 5-17
Coffee CountyManchester 47007803247031TN 4,572 35,860 5,082
Franklin CountyWinchester 47012903247051TN 5,867 41,129 6,701
ManchesterManchester 47026103247031TN 1,366 10,203 1,365
Moore CountyLynchburg 47030604247127TN 1,013 6,301 1,067
TullahomaTullahoma 47042003247031TN 3,473 17,496 3,153

Number of districts: 5 ... Total enrollment: 16,291
All school districts interactive tables General Demographics | Social | Economic | Housing
All school districts enrollment & adminstratively reported data interactive table.

7.2. Component Higher Education Institution Characteristics   go top
2014-15 School Year. Extended detail Available in subscription edition.
  Institution City Name Code LevelTotal UG EnrollmentFulltime UG EnrollmentTotal Grad EnrollmentFulltime Grad Enrollment
Motlow State Community College Tullahoma, TN2210963 4,758 2,093 0 0
Sewanee-The University of the South Sewanee, TN2215199 1,631 1,620 83 77

  Number of institutions: 2 ... Total undergraduate enrollment: 6,389
  Levels: 3-Assoc degree, 4-at least 2, but < 4 years, 5-Bach degree, 6-Postbacc cert, 7 Masters degree, 8 Post-masters cert, 9 Doctors degree

8. GeoPolitics   go top
Updated periodically. Voting patterns, citizen voting age population, state legislative districts, congressional districts .. in this metro.
Available in subscription edition.

Notes
  • All data are for current vintage county and metro definition.
  • Developed by ProximityOne -- Metro Reports (888-364-7656)
  • Data sources: ProximityOne, Census Bureau, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Housing Finance Agency,
    National Center for Education Statistics.

Updates go top
The subscription edition updates frequently. Selected items are listed below. Register to receive update notifications.
  • Overview lead narrative; quarterly & annual/March.
  • Housing Price Index (section 5.4) quarterly.
  • Establishments, employment & earnings (section 6.6) quarterly.
  • Economic profile and personal income (section 6.1) annual/November.
  • Labor market situation (section 6.7) monthly.
  • Residential construction; units authorized & value (section 5.3.) monthly.
  • Population by county; annual series 2010-2016 (section 4.2.) annual/July.
  • Population by county; links for individual counties (section 4.2.) annual/July.
      -- includes annual data 2010-2016.
      -- includes components of change; race/origin; single year of age; age group summaries.
  • Total population and components of change; annual/March.
  • Census tracts overview section; annual/December.
  • General Demographics section updated/extended; annual/December.
  • Gross Domestic Product section; annual/September.
  • Higher education institutions; annual/February.
  • Metro & county demographic component detailed annual estimates; annual/March.
  • School districts in metro & K-12 enrollment; annual/August.
More about schedule and upcoming events ... Calendar ... Upcoming Events ... Find Event

Terms of Use go top
Situation & Outlook Reports are a proprietary resource developed by ProximityOne. There is no warranty of any type associated with any aspect of this report. The user of this document is solely responsible to any use, direct or indirect, that might be made of this document.

Related Resources go top
  • Metros main page
  • Current estimates and projections: states to 2030, counties & metros to 2020 by age, counties & states to 2060.
  • Making Custom Metropolitan Area Maps
  • Rental Market Conditions by Metropolitan Area
  • Metro Gross Domestic Product
  • Housing Price Index
  • Establishments, Employment & Earnings
  • Regional Economic Information System
  • ACS 2014 1-year General Demographics ... Social Characteristics ... Economic Characteristics ... Housing Characteristics

Using this Document go top
The Situation & Outlook Report, a component of the Situation & Outlook, is a core ProximityOne information resource providing insights into characteristics and trends of counties, metropolitan areas, states and the U.S. The Report also provides a gateway to drill-down demographic, economic and business data for smaller geographic areas.

Metropolitan areas include approximately 94 percent of the U.S. population -- 85 percent in metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) and 9 percent in micropolitan statistical areas (MISAs).

About Metropolitan Areas & Principal Cities -- scroll section go top
Metropolitan Areas are designated by OMB ("Standards for Delineating Metropolitan and Micropolitan Statistical Areas") based mainly on Census Bureau-sourced data. Metropolitan areas are defined as Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSA) and Micropolitan Statistical Areas (MISA). MSAs and MISAs are also referred to a Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs). Contiguous CBSAs are defined as Combined Statistical Areas (CSA).

By definition, metropolitan areas are comprised of one or more contiguous counties. Metropolitan areas are not single cities and typically include many cities. Metropolitan areas are comprised of urban and rural areas and often have large expanses of rural territory. A business and demographic-economic synergy exists within each metro; metros often interact with adjacent metros. The demographic-economic make-up of metros vary widely and change often. See more about metros.

Principal Cities. The largest city in each metropolitan or micropolitan statistical area is designated a "principal city." Principal cities are designated by OMB based on Census-sourced data. Additional cities qualify as principal cities if specified requirements are met concerning population size and employment. The title of each metropolitan or micropolitan statistical area consists of the names of up to three of its principal cities and the name of each state into which the metropolitan or micropolitan statistical area extends. Titles of metropolitan divisions also typically are based on principal city names but in certain cases consist of county names.

One or more principal cities are designated within each Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) and Micropolitan Statistical Area (MISA). The term "principal city" is defined in the OMB "Standards for Delineating Metropolitan and Micropolitan Statistical Areas." A principal city is an OMB designation applied to one or more incorporated places and/or census designated places (CDPs). The OMB standards designate a Principal City (or Cities) of a Core-Based Statistical Area (CBSA) as determined by:
  a) The largest incorporated place with a 2010 Census population of at least 10,000 in the CBSA or,
        if no incorporated place of at least 10,000 population is present in the CBSA,
        the largest incorporated place or census designated place in the CBSA; and
  b) Additional places with 2010 Census population of at least 250,000 or in which 100,000 or more persons work; and
  c) Additional places with 2010 Census population of 50,000-250,000,
        and number of workers working in the place meets or exceeds the number of workers living in the place; and
  d) Additional places with 2010 Census population of 10,000-50,000, and at least one-third the population size of the largest place,
        and in which the number of workers working in the place meets or exceeds the number of workers living in the place.

ProximityOne User Group go top
Join the ProximityOne User Group to keep up-to-date with new developments relating to metros and component geography decision-making information resources. Receive updates and access to tools and resources available only to members. Use this form to join the User Group.

Support Using these Resources go top
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Additional Information go top
ProximityOne develops geographic-demographic-economic data and analytical tools and helps organizations knit together and use diverse data in a decision-making and analytical framework. We develop custom demographic/economic estimates and projections, develop geographic and geocoded address files, and assist with impact and geospatial analyses. Wide-ranging organizations use our tools (software, data, methodologies) to analyze their own data integrated with other data. Follow ProximityOne on Twitter at www.twitter.com/proximityone. Contact us (888-364-7656) with questions about data covered in this section or to discuss custom estimates, projections or analyses for your areas of interest.

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