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ProximityOne Weekly Update -- 12.30.24 December 30, 2024 .. topic of the week .. assessing the impact of U.S. net international migration .. the Census Bureau-sourced model-based U.S. population estimate reached 340.1 million as of July 1, 2024, largely as the result of a large net international migration (IntMig). It is unlikely that this level of IntMig will be maintained into the future. What will be the impact of changing births, deaths and migration in the years ahead? Read more ... Follow this weekly update to learn more about how, where, why and by how much geographic, demographic and economic change might impact you and your organization. Here we provide information on tools, data and collaborations that you can use to develop insights into an ever changing world. Welcome to this ProximityOne weekly update .. register here to receive these weekly updates by e-mail. Of note .. • Register for the January Using GIS & GeoDemographics Course • CRS Study/Report on the Federal Statistical System • New data release dates: 01.07.25. 119th Congressional District ACS2023 1-Year Data Profiles (ACS2023) • New section: 2025 Demographic Estimates & Projections Cycle .. interactive mapping and table • New section: K-12 Public Schools Characterstics and Patterns, 2022-23 .. interactive mapping and table • Updated section: Visual Data Analytics VDA Web GIS Projects • Recently added section: Birth and Natality Characterstics and Patterns .. examining births and birth rates by county • Recently added section: 119th Congressional District Analysis and Insights .. November election new incumbents • Recently added section: Kansas Demographic Economic Data Analytics • Expanded section: Explore 2020 Census Blocks & GeoDemographics .. interactive mapping • Expanded calender and upcoming section .. see below. • ACS areas published by year .. about the American Community Survey • Navigating the ProximityOne Website. • SiteMap • Mapping Statistical Data • User Group .. links to these weekly updates Learning & Collaboration .. goto top
Using GIS & GeoDemographics Short Course
- about .. amplify your skillset .. get your certificate .. no fee - register - 4 weekly online modules with face-to-face support start first Thursday of each month - see details Next course starts January 9, 2025 - join us Web Session where we review this module Weekly Web Sessions No sessions weeks of December 23 and December 30, 2024 01.07.25. Accessing & Using GeoDemographic-Economic Data Resources Every Tuesday -- 03:00 PM Eastern Time (US and Canada) Topics & Connectivity Link 01.08.25. Local Area Economy: Personal Income by Major Source; GDP by Sector; Housing Situation .. 119th Congress Congressional District Composition & Characteristics .. a ProximityOne & Congressional Communities collaborative program Every Wednesday -- 03:00 PM Eastern Time (US and Canada) Topics & Connectivity Link 01.09.25. GIS & GeoSpatial Analytics: Examining Geographies & Subject Matter Every Thursday -- 03:00 PM Eastern Time (US and Canada) Topics & Connectivity Link Patterns of 2024 Net International Migration by State The graphic below shows patterns of 2024 net international migration (IntMig24) labeled with IntMig24 by state. The graphic provides insights into which states might be most significantly impacted by a sharply descreasing IntMig in years ahead. Use the iVDA interactive mapping to map & geospatially examine state population trends Click graphic for larger view. 
2020 Public Use Microdata Area (PUMA) Demographics • Examining 2020 PUMA 2022 & 2023 Demographics & Change • Interactive table and interactive mapping TIGER 2024 Digital Map Database -- new annual release -- 9/26/24 • Census Bureau Topological Integrated Geographic Encoding and Referencing System • visit TIGER 2024 Web section • Wide-ranging national scope legal & statistical boundaries & related files for GIS use School District Finances -- updated with 2022 fiscal year data -- 9/20/24 • Sources and uses of funds by school district; interactive mapping and table • visit Web section • See more in context of K-12 topics below 2023 American Community Survey (ACS) -- Released 9/12/24 • see the new section on the ACS 2023 program • access and use these data using DEDE and VDAGIS 2024 Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) Annual Summary of Deposits -- Released 9/20/24 • Examining banking deserts & competitive position • The 2024 FDIC Summary of Deposits data for all FDIC-insured institutions as of 6/30/24 was released 9/20/24. • Data provide deposit totals for each of 76,000+ domestic offices operated by more than 4,500 FDIC-insured commercial & savings banks, savings associations & U.S. branches of foreign banks. • Learn more about using these data covered in the 9/24/24 web session. • Access and use these data using DEDE and VDAGIS Blog • The Importance of Small Area Data • Examining Urban Area Population Change 2020-2023 • 119th Congress Congressional District Geography • Voting Rights Act and Block Group Demographics • Hispanic Population by Specific Origin by ZIP Code Upcoming - Using iVDA for Neighborhood Insights on Your Mobile Device - Examining Patterns & Trends of the Senior Population; U.S. by County Data Analytics Tools .. goto top
Visual Data Analytics Geographic Information Systems (VDAGIS) .. goto top
Click to Start VDA Web GIS Software and enhancements GIS projects, datasets and enhancements - Los Angeles Neighborhoods VDAGIS project. - America's Cities illustrative city demographic change profiles developed using iVDA. VDAGIS is developed, maintained and supported by ProximityOne and Tsukasa Consulting. VDAGIS Projects & Datasets - Base Project updated weekly Using iVDA -- Compare How Congressional District Geography Has Changed: 118th CDs to 119th CDs .. 118th Congressional Districts -- January 2023 through December 2024 .. 119th Congressional Districts -- January 2025 through December 2026 .. changes in AL, GA, MS, NC, NY .. Census 2020 demographics for the 119th CDs are expected in Deeember 2024. .. ACS 2023 demographics for the 119th CDs are expected in January 2025. 118th & 119th CDs in Atlanta, GA Area .. 118th black boundary .. 119th orange boundary & CD code as label Make maps similar to the graphic below for your areas of interest using iVDA .. about iVDA .. click to start now.  Demographic Analytics DA .. goto top DA is an integrated software and database tool that enables the user to geographic-area to geographic-area comparative analysis profiles. DA can create comparative analysis profiles from the tract and higher level geography enabling more that 5 million comparisons. • Winfield & Cowley County, KS Regional Economic Information System REIS .. goto top REIS is an integrated software and database tool that enables the user to create several types of longitudinal economic profilss at the county and higher geographic levels. • Cowley, County, KS Demographic-Economic Data Explorer DEDE .. goto top DEDE is an API-based software tool that enables the user to create GIS friendly datasets from a wide range of statistical programs for a wide-range of types of geographic areas. .. quickstart. Federal Statistical System .. goto top
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About the FSS
• Census 2020 • American Community Survey .. most recent: ACS 2023 • Vintage 2023 Model-based Population & Components of Change Estimates.. time series Situation & Outlook .. goto top Finance & Housing .. goto top
• Bank Location Analytics .. FDIC
• Housing Price Index .. FHFA • Low & Moderate Income Analytics .. FFIEC • Housing Analytics Workforce & Employment .. goto top Income & Poverty .. goto top
• Regional Economic Information System .. BEA REIS
Health, Energy & Environment .. goto top
• Examining healthcare deserts in context of congressional districts
- Hospitals (red markers) & congressional districts (red boundaries) - Phoenix, AZ area  States, Metros, Counties, Cities .. goto top Voting Rights, Congressional Districts, Legislative Districts & Congressional Communities .. goto top
• Congressional Districts
• State Legislative Districts • Congressional Communities • Voting Rights Act & Block Group Demographics Schools & School Districts .. goto top
• Mapping Schools & School Districts .. VDAGIS Discvery
.. locate schools, school districts based on address or location .. more options • School District Community .. composite • School District Population & Poverty .. SAIPE • School District Finances .. CCD • School Attendance Zones • Grade Relevant Children by School District .. ACS STSD .. grade relevant chidren not enrolled in school • School District Characteristics .. CCD • K-12 Public School Characteristics .. CCD Geographic Relationship Tools & Data .. goto top New/Recent Developments/Featured Resources .. goto top
• New 2023 American Community Survey Section
• Geographic Summary Levels & Data Analytics • Examining Census Tract Characteristics • Knowing Your School District • Demographic-Economic Data Explorer (DEDE) • iVDA -- VDAGIS interactive mapping from a web page • America's Cities Demographic-Economic Patterns & Trends .. interactive mapping & table • Hispanic Population by Specific Origin by ZIP Code Area Calendar & Upcoming -- access to new/updated data files .. goto top • Calendar .. using the calendar .. what's new Data release dates primarily for county and sub-county geography with some state and metro geography. In date reference, A designates actual; E designates expected • 09.05.24. Quarterly Establishments, Employment & Wages by Type of Business by County (QCEW) 2024Q1 • 09.12.24. American Community Survey (ACS) 2023 1-Year Estimates (ACS2023) • 09.25.24. TIGER Digital Map Database Vintage 2024 (TIGER2024) • 09.27.24. Gross Domestic Product by State and Personal Income by State, 2024Q2 .. release date • 10.03.24. Personal Consumption Expenditures by State, 2023 .. release date • 10.17.24. 2023 State-to-State Migration Flows .. release date • 10.17.24. American Community Survey (ACS) 2023 1-Year Supplemental Estimates • 10.17.24. American Community Survey (ACS) 2023 1-Year Public Use Microdata File (ACS2023 PUMS) • 10.19.24. Housing Situation .. new P1 section • 10.24.24. September 2024 Place/County Monthly Building Permits .. new P1 time series update • 10.31.24. Census 2020 Modified Age & Race Census File - County-level modified single year of age, sex, race & Hispanic origin • 11.07.24. Intercensal Estimates of Total Population and Housing Units: 2010-2020 • 11.14.24. Personal Income by County and Metropolitan Area, 2023 .. time series (REIS) • 11.26.24. October 2024 Place/County Monthly Building Permits .. P1 time series update • 11.26.24. Housing Price Index Quarterly September 2024 & 2024Q3 by Metro • 12.04.24. Gross Domestic Product by County and Metropolitan Area, 2023 .. time series • 12.05.24. Quarterly Establishments, Employment & Wages by Type of Business by County (QCEW) 2024Q2 • 12.05.24. 119th Congressional District Census 2020 DHC - and State Legislative Disitricts 2024 cycle • 12.06.24. 2023-24 K-12 Public School & School District .. new NCES Common Core of Data release date • 12.12.24. American Community Survey 2023 5-Year Estimates .. new Census-sourced data release date ACS2023 • 12.12.24. Real Personal Consumption Expenditures by State & Real Personal Income - by State & Metropolitan Area, 2023 .. new BEA-sourced release date • 12.17.24. Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE): 2023 U.S. by county and school district • 12.19.24. Vintage 2024 National & State population & components of population change - age 18 and over - start of 2024 cycle of estimates • 12.20.24A. Gross Domestic Product by State and Personal Income by State, 2024Q3 • 12.24.24. November 2024 Place/County Monthly Building Permits .. new P1 time series update
• 01.07.25. 119th Congressional District ACS2023 1-Year Data Profiles (ACS2023) • 01.23.25. American Community Survey (ACS) 2023 5-Year Public Use Microdata Sample Files (ACS2023 PUMS) • 01.31.25. 119th Congress 119th Congress Congressional Communities; geographic updates • 02.15.25. 119th Congress Congressional Communities; demographic updates • 02.25.24. Housing Price Index Quarterly December 2024 & 2024Q4 by Metro Small Area Data Reference .. goto top • Census Blocks • Block Groups • Census Tracts Assessing the Impact of U.S. Net International Migration .. goto top The Census Bureau-sourced model-based U.S. population estimate reached 340.1 million as of July 1, 2024, largely as the result of a large net international migration (IntMig). THe U.S. net international migration is the difference between the number of immigrants and emigrants into the U.S. It is unlikely that this level of IntMig will be maintained into the future. What will be the impact of changing births, deaths and migration in the years ahead? The IntMig 2024 (7/1/24 to 6/30/25) shows the unusually high estimate of 2,786,119 compared to the 376,004 ImgMig 2021 (7/1/20 to 6/30/21) and elsewhere historically. These data are based on the Census Bureau model-based vintage 2024 population and components of change estimates released in December 2024. Learn more. The IntMig 2025 and succeeding years are expected to be dramatically lower. The decreased IntMig, along with other factors, could result in a decreasing U.S. population as early as 2030 and in adverse socioeconomic conditions affecting states in a disproportionate manner. The impacts might manifest themselves in ways such as reduced tax revenue, decreased employment in agricultural and service industries, decreased household consumption among other ways. Patterns of 2024 Net International Migration by State The graphic below shows patterns of 2024 net international migration (IntMig24) labeled with IntMig24 by state. The graphic provides insights into which states might be most significantly impacted by a sharply decreasing IntMig in years ahead. Use the iVDA interactive mapping to map & geospatially examine state population trends Click graphic for larger view.
Patterns of U.S. Population and Components of Change, 2020-2030 The graphic below shows patterns of population components of change and the potential impact of decreasing net international migration (IntMig) between 2020 and 2024. In this illustrative scenario shows the impact of a decreased IntMig at the level of 500,000 starting in the period 7/1/24 to 6/30/25. Data for the years 2020 to 2024 are based on the Census model-based estimates. This scenario, with declining births, increasing deaths and a decreased IntMig can result in the U.S. population decreasing from 2029 to 2030. Click graphic for larger view. 
Notes. Population and components of change estimates/counts are based on residents and do not differentiate between citizens, documented and undocumented population. Population Components of Change The population in period t (P[t]) for an area is defined using the identity: P[t]:=P[t-1]+B[t]-D[t]+IM[t]+DM[t], where: - P[t] -- resident population as of 7/1/t - P[t-1] -- resident population as of 7/1/t - B[t] -- births during the period 7/1/t-1 to 6/30/t - D[t] -- deaths during the period 7/1/t-1 to 6/30/t - IM[t] -- net international migration during the period 7/1/t-1 to 6/30/t - DM[t] -- net domestic during the period 7/1/t-1 to 6/30/t B, D, IM and DM are the components of change. Birth and death data are normally provided by the National Census for Health Statistics (NCHS). At the time this summary was developed, NCHS has not reported birth and death data for 7/1/22-6/30/23 or 7/1/23-6/30/24. The Census Bureau derives those data in part from states participating in the Census Bureau Federal State Cooperative Program for Population Estimates (FSCPE). Births for the period 2025 through 2030 are based on the assumption that the birth rate will continue to decrease through 2030. Deaths for the period 2025 through 2030 are dased on the assumption that the number of deaths will increase due to the size of the population 65 years and over increasing through 2030. Net domestic migration for the U.S. nets to zero. State to state domestic migration impacts individual states but not the total U.S. population. Net international migration is the difference between the number of immigrants and emigrants into the U.S. The net international migration projections for the period 2025 through 2030 are based on the composite of two primary events. 1. the immigration through the southern border will decrease precipitously. This immigration component is already being manifested in decreases for the period 7/1/24 to the current date. It is projected that annual southern border net international migration will be on par with the 7/1/21 to 6/30/22. 2. the 2025-2029 U.S. administration has announced deportation plans starting in early 2025. While the magnitude of the deportation process is not known, it has been announced that the deportations (forced emigration) will be more than 1.3 million population. For the illustrative scenario shown above, the annual net international migration is set at 500,000 reflecting the two above developments. Join us in a Web session to learn more about these data, interpretation and alternative scenarios. The open structure provides for Q&A and discussion of application issues of interest. ProximityOne User Group .. goto top Join the ProximityOne User Group to keep up-to-date with new developments relating to metros and component geography decision-making information resources. Receive updates and access to tools and resources available only to members. Use this form to join the User Group. Support Using these Resources .. goto top Learn more about accessing and using demographic-economic data and related analytical tools. Join us in a Web session. No fee. Each informal session is focused on a specific topic. The open structure also provides for Q&A and discussion of application issues of interest to participants. Additional Information .. goto top ProximityOne develops geographic-demographic-economic data and analytical tools and helps organizations knit together and use diverse data in a decision-making and analytical framework. We develop custom demographic/economic estimates and projections, develop geographic and geocoded address files, and assist with impact and geospatial analyses. Wide-ranging organizations use our tools (software, data, methodologies) to analyze their own data integrated with other data. Contact ProximityOne (888-364-7656) with questions about data covered in this section or to discuss custom estimates, projections or analyses for your areas of interest. |
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